Top 100 Keeper League Goaltenders – August 2019

by Dobber on August 22, 2019

Here are the Top 100 goalies to own in your keeper leagues – August edition!

 

Sorry not sorry. This is the first time my Top 100 list is untouched from the prior month. Sure, little tweaks were made outside the list – Eddie Lack retired (was far out of this list anyway), and further down the list prospect Justus Annunen (Colorado) is coming off a strong World Junior Summer Showcase, but not enough for me to move him any higher than he already was. So I left the list as is. I reviewed the comments from last month and for once there weren't any – so nothing brought to my attention to tweak and adjust. No huge protests. So if it ain't broke, don't fix it.

I did have someone protest Mackenzie Blackwood's low ranking on Twitter, and I took a closer look at that situation, but I'm sticking with my assessment for New Jersey. Cory Schneider was huge in the final month – back to his old self. From February 15 onward, 14 games, he was 6-6-2 with stellar 2.28 GAA and 0.927 SV% numbers. Going back to what Roberto Luongo said about hip surgery ("It takes two full years to recover"), to see Schneider post those kinds of numbers just 10 months later is very promising. Today, there isn't much question that Blackwood will be the future No.1 goalie for New Jersey. He's been very promising – a second-round draft pick who is 22 years old and posted a 0.918 SV% in 23 NHL games, as well as a solid 56.5% QS rate. But the Devils won't put $6 million on the bench. If Schneider has indeed come back, he will be given the starting job without reservation. The team owes him $18 million over the next three seasons and they have suffered through 18 months of his battling injuries. Now that he's apparently recovered and he gets a full summer of further rest – they're going take that time that was invested and flush it down the toilet? No chance. And with the Devils noticeably better this year, any warts in Schneider's game will be effectively covered off. As in – he could give up four goals, with two of them being softies, and the team would still win 5-4. The injury risk is certainly there, and I have accounted for that. If there was no injury risk, then Schneider would be a Tier 1 goalie right now and rank 12th or 15th instead of 29th, while Blackwood would fall to 50th. So those two stay put.

In fantasy hockey, because of the volatility of goaltenders, it's best to look at just two seasons ahead and no further. Sure, account for general upside when the player reaches his peak, but tune your focus just two seasons ahead. So much can change. The only goalies who are studs and look great beyond the two years – I have given them a Tier 0.

Look at the goalies in terms of Tiers. A goalie in the same tier as another goalie, has the same value. Don't overreach to get a different goalie in the same tier. I define the tiers, roughly, as follows:

Tier 0 – Elite 40-win goalies who are on strong teams and are going to be great fantasy assets for three or more years yet.

Tier 1 – Top goalies with a clear-cut hold on the top job, with lower injury risk, and a very strong shot at 35+ wins. Track record also helps here.

Tier 2 – This is a mixed bag of risk and reward. It could mean a top goalie who is on a terrible team and thus get his win totals held down. It could mean a good goalie on a great team, but he's in a shared goalie situation with another guy. It could mean a top goalie on a good team, but he has a high risk of injury. Or he is an aging goalie with a stud prospect coming up behind him (Schneider a great example here)

Tier 3 – This is for goalies in a shared situation, therefore limited upside for wins. Or this is a backup on a great team with the top goalie being injury prone. Or this is a top prospect finally making the team as a backup and the wait on him taking the top job is maybe a year (or sooner if top guy gets hurt)

Tier 4 – This could either indicate a clearcut backup who could take the top job because the top goalie is injury-prone, or this is a top prospect in the minors with minimal wait time. This could also be a veteran backup who has fallen out of favor in terms of fantasy value, but still has a chance of turning it around (Cam Talbot) Or somewhere in between. 

Tier 5-7 – At this point it is varying levels of prospect talent and wait time. Higher talent and lower wait time pushes them into Tier 5, etc.

Go by Tiers – not by rankings.

 

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Aug 20 Goalie Team Rating July 20 Tier
1 Andrei Vasilevskiy TBL 100.4 1 0
2 Frederik Andersen TOR 95.0 2 0
3 Sergei Bobrovsky FLA 76.6 3 1
4 Connor Hellebuyck WPG 76.3 4 1
5 Braden Holtby WAS 76.2 5 1
6 Carter Hart PHI 73.1 6 1
7 Tuukka Rask BOS 72.4 7 1
8 Devan Dubnyk MIN 69.9 8 2
9 Carey Price MON 68.4 9 2
10 Jacob Markstrom VAN 67.0 10 2
11 Jordan Binnington STL 66.5 11 2
12 Ben Bishop DAL 65.9 12 2
13 Marc-Andre Fleury VGK 65.5 13 2
14 John Gibson ANA 64.5 14 2
15 Matt Murray PIT 63.2 15 2
16 Martin Jones SJS 62.2 16 2
17 Philipp Grubauer COL 59.8 17 2
18 Robin Lehner CHI 59.8 18 2
19 Elvis Merzlikins CBJ 57.7 19 3
20 David Rittich CGY 54.3 20 2
21 Carter Hutton BUF 51.9 21 2
22 Semyon Varlamov NYI 50.7 22 3
23 Pekka Rinne NSH 50.4 23 2
24 Petr Mrazek CAR 48.7 24 3
25 Thomas Greiss NYI 48.4 25 2
26 Juuse Saros NSH 48.1 26 2
27 Linus Ullmark BUF 47.4 27 3
28 Antti Raanta ARI 47.1 28 2
29 Cory Schneider NJD 45.2 29 3
30 Thatcher Demko VAN 44.1 30 3
31 Mikko Koskinen EDM 43.2 31 3
32 Jaroslav Halak BOS 43.2 32 3
33 Jonathan Quick LAK 42.2 33 3
34 Pavel Francouz COL 41.5 34 4
35 Mackenzie Blackwood NJD 41.0 35 4
36 Igor Shesterkin NYR 39.7 36 4
37 Darcy Kuemper ARI 38.9 37 3
38 Samuel Montembeault FLA 38.0 38 4
39 Eric Comrie WPG 37.9 39 4
40 Cam Talbot CGY 37.8 40 4
41 Jimmy Howard DET 34.0 41 3
42 Ilya Samsonov WAS 32.7 42 4
43 Ilya Sorokin NYI 32.4 43 4
44 Corey Crawford CHI 32.1 44 3
45 Henrik Lundqvist NYR 31.8 45 3
46 Craig Anderson OTT 31.1 46 3
47 Cal Petersen LAK 30.4 47 4
48 Casey DeSmith PIT 30.0 48 3
49 Linus Soderstrom NYI 28.9 49 5
50 Ian Scott TOR 28.6 50 5
51 Collin Delia CHI 28.2 51 4
52 Jon Gillies CGY 27.6 52 4
53 Tristan Jarry PIT 27.5 53 5
54 Brian Elliott PHI 26.7 54 4
55 Filip Gustavsson OTT 26.2 55 5
56 Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUF 25.5 56 5
57 Spencer Knight FLA 24.8 57 5
58 Louis Domingue TBL 24.6 58 4
59 Kevin Boyle ANA 24.5 59 5
60 Alex Nedeljkovic CAR 24.4 60 4
61 Ville Husso STL 24.4 61 5
62 Joseph Woll TOR 24.3 62 6
63 Jack Campbell LAK 24.2 63 4
64 Jake Allen STL 24.1 64 4
65 Alexandar Georgiev NYR 24.0 65 5
66 Pheonix Copley WAS 24.0 66 4
67 Adin Hill ARI 23.9 67 4
68 Anton Khudobin DAL 23.8 68 4
69 Kaapo Kahkonen MIN 23.5 69 5
70 Curtis McElhinney TBL 23.1 70 4
71 Jake Oettinger DAL 23.0 71 6
72 Felix Sandstrom PHI 22.3 72 5
73 Kasmir Kaskisuo TOR 21.5 73 6
74 James Reimer CAR 21.2 74 4
75 Michael DiPietro VAN 20.8 75 5
76 Mike Smith EDM 20.5 76 4
77 Colton Point DAL 20.5 77 5
78 Laurent Brossoit WPG 20.5 78 4
79 Daniel Vladar BOS 20.2 79 5
80 Anthony Stolarz ANA 20.2 80 5
81 Patrik Rybar DET 20.2 81 5
82 Daniil Tarasov CBJ 19.9 82 6
83 Marcus Hogberg OTT 18.7 83 5
84 Shane Starrett EDM 18.5 84 5
85 Scott Wedgewood TBL 18.2 85 6
86 Joel Hofer STL 18.1 86 6
87 Kirill Ustimenko PHI 18.0 87 6
88 Tyler Parsons CGY 18.0 88 6
89 Connor Ingram NSH 17.7 89 6
90 Eetu Makiniemi CAR 16.5 90 6
91 Charlie Lindgren MON 16.4 91 6
92 Ivan Nalimov CHI 16.3 92 6
93 Justus Annunen COL 16.1 93 6
94 Mason McDonald CGY 15.5 94 6
95 Ryan Bednard FLA 15.4 95 6
96 Zane McIntyre BOS 15.0 96 6
97 Spencer Martin COL 15.0 97 6
98 Pyotr Kochetkov CAR 14.9 98 6
99 Stuart Skinner EDM 14.7 99 6
100 Cayden Primeau MON 14.7 100 7