Top 100 Rotisserie Players: February 2016

Mike McMillan

2016-02-24

 

The Top 100 rotisserie league Fantasy Hockey Rankings are here to guide your team towards your league's playoffs. February edition.

 

Top 100 Rotisserie Players: Feb 2016

 

Trade deadline is coming up for both the NHL and for Fantasy Hockey. The Top 100 Rotisserie Players list for February has your player values to help with negotiations and hopefully give you some guys to target.

 

Player values for the Top 100 Roto Rankings are generated by the guys at FantasyHockeyGeek.com and are weighted over multiple years to determine a player's production consistency.  We use their per-game averages to account for player who have missed time in the past due to injury. This is then weighted against the Dobber Hockey player projections to boil down the evaluations into one single number and rank the top 100 players in fantasy hockey (forwards and defensemen only).

As we navigate through the NHL season the values will be adjusted to include current season production, weighted at a progressively increasing percentage. To add a predictive element, we take a look at which players are likely to regress back to career averages and which players are due for hot streak over the course of the season using shooting percentages.  

 

One change for this month/future lists is: rather than weighing current shooting percentage against career shooting percentage. I will just taking data from the last 3 years. I think that’s a more accurate representation of where the player should be.

 

Based on the differential between player’s shooting percentage at even strength this season compared to their average SH% at  5v5 over the last 3 years, we find some players that should climb up to the top 100 in coming weeks and some that will fall off…

 

Top 5 Players Likely to Increase in Value

Player

SH% Diff.

Ryan Getzlaf

-3

Nick Foligno

-3

Corey Perry

-2.8

Zach Parise

-2.5

Evgeni Malkin

-2.3

These players are shooting significantly below where they should be, which should adjust over the next month and result in a scoring bounce back heading towards the fantasy playoffs.

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Top 5 Players Likely to Decrease in Value

Player

SH% Diff.

Logan Couture

+2.7

Daniel Sedin

+2.2

Alex Ovechkin

+2

Martin Hanzal

+2

Matt Martin

+1.9

These players are shooting significantly above where they should be, which should also adjust and reduce their per-game value for fantasy.

The categories included in the values are G, A, +/-, PIM, PPP, SOG, and Hits. Remember: This is NOT a points-only ranking, but a ranking for rotisserie leagues. Here is the February Top 100 Roto…

 

 

Rank Name Overall Value G    A    +/-   PIM  SOG  PPP  HITS  SH% 5v5 CSH% 5v5 SH% Diff.
1 Alex Ovechkin 169 51 18 22 5 29 19 25 10 8 2
2 Dustin Byfuglien 144 20 22 8 38 19 11 26 9 7.9 1.1
3 Jamie Benn 130 37 34 14 11 11 10 12 9.8 10.6 -0.8
4 Patrick Kane 127 41 41 24 -4 13 26 -14 10.4 9.3 1.1
5 P.K. Subban 117 10 36 12 23 14 22 0 9.1 8.5 0.6
6 Erik Karlsson 115 16 45 5 7 18 23 0 9.1 8.2 0.9
7 Wayne Simmonds 111 28 19 -8 45 5 11 12 8.7 8.1 0.6
8 Kris Letang 110 13 37 -5 19 14 20 13 6 6.7 -0.7
9 Joe Pavelski 110 34 26 19 -3 6 16 12 10.1 8.3 1.8
10 Tyler Seguin 107 40 32 8 -7 18 16 -1 9.6 10.1 -0.5
11 Drew Doughty 105 13 25 17 11 11 14 13 6.2 7 -0.8
12 Oliver Ekman-Larsson 103 21 25 -16 17 19 24 13 8.6 7.2 1.4
13 Nicklas Backstrom 100 22 39 17 0 -2 24 -1 8.8 7.9 0.9
14 Sidney Crosby 98 33 33 3 3 9 17 -1 8.4 8.8 -0.4
15 Milan Lucic 96 19 23 10 27 -2 -5 25 8.6 8.8 -0.2
16 Brent Burns 95 23 30 -10 9 17 14 12 7 8 -1
17 Evgeni Malkin 95 32 30 -3 18 7 24 -14 6.3 8.6 -2.3
18 Brad Marchand 95 35 15 16 29 6 -5 -1 7.7 7.8 -0.1
19 James Neal 92 28 17 17 17 10 4 -1 7.7 8.9 -1.2
20 Evgeny Kuznetsov 91 21 37 27 -1 1 7 -1 11.3 10.2 1.1
21 Evander Kane 91 27 12 -21 29 23 -5 25 4.5 6.7 -2.2
22 Tom Wilson 88 8 14 2 60 -6 -14 25 9.5 7.8 1.7
23 Joe Thornton 88 17 38 19 6 -4 13 -1 10.4 8.6 1.8
24 Patrice Bergeron 86 27 25 8 5 11 10 -1 6.9 7.6 -0.7
25 David Backes 86 21 19 1 20 0 0 25 6.3 8.4 -2.1
26 John Tavares 85 32 28 2 2 10 11 -1 8.1 8.8 -0.7
27 Claude Giroux 85 23 33 -9 9 9 22 -1 6.4 7.6 -1.2
28 Ryan Getzlaf 84 16 37 14 11 0 7 -1 7.5 10.5 -3
29 Scott Hartnell 84 24 18 -8 36 0 2 12 9.6 8.7 0.9
30 Connor McDavid 81 31 38 -12 1 7 17 -1 11.3 11.3 0
31 Shea Weber 80 19 21 -2 2 11 17 13 6.2 7.6 -1.4
32 Victor Hedman 79 10 28 17 8 10 5 0 8.2 9.4 -1.2
33 Taylor Hall 78 26 30 -4 9 17 1 -1 8.6 9.4 -0.8
34 Vladimir Tarasenko 78 37 23 6 1 14 10 -14 8.4 9.6 -1.2
35 Corey Perry 78 34 19 -2 14 8 5 -1 7.5 10.3 -2.8
36 Blake Wheeler 77 23 33 1 6 8 6 -1 7.9 8.2 -0.3
37 Radko Gudas 77 1 6 -1 40 2 -9 39 6.1 7 -0.9
38 Alexander Steen (IR) 76 23 28 1 6 7 12 -1 7.4 8.5 -1.1
39 Ryan Suter 76 8 28 16 1 12 10 0 7.5 7.7 -0.2
40 Dion Phaneuf 76 5 23 -8 29 8 5 13 5.4 8.1 -2.7
41 T.J. Oshie 75 23 22 14 0 2 4 12 8.7 9.5 -0.8
42 Jake Muzzin 75 9 24 5 9 9 6 13 5.5 6.3 -0.8
43 Mark Giordano 75 19 24 4 7 12 8 0 8.9 8.7 0.2
44 Shayne Gostisbehere 74 21 27 6 0 10 23 -12 9.5 9.5 0
45 Chris Kunitz 74 17 16 20 3 -2 -5 25 9.5 9 0.5
46 Nikita Kucherov 74 31 25 1 0 6 13 -1 6.9 8.7 -1.8
47 Ryan Kesler 74 19 19 -4 22 4 2 12 4.6 6.8 -2.2
48 Boone Jenner 74 25 14 -11 17 5 0 25 7.1 7.3 -0.2
49 Brandon Dubinsky 74 19 23 -3 12 1 -3 25 8.4 8.7 -0.3
50 Brent Seabrook 74 12 23 9 -1 7 12 13 6.5 7.2 -0.7
51 John Klingberg 74 12 34 10 -1 6 12 0 8 8.6 -0.6
52 Jakub Voracek 73 16 36 -6 5 7 16 -1 7.3 8 -0.7
53 Derick Brassard 73 24 24 21 -3 2 6 -1 10.8 9 1.8
54 Zdeno Chara 73 10 20 10 12 7 2 13 8.9 7.4 1.5
55 Steven Stamkos 73 36 21 -4 0 8 14 -1 8.7 9.5 -0.8
56 Keith Yandle 73 7 28 12 4 11 10 0 8.6 7.5 1.1
57 Tyler Toffoli 73 31 19 24 -7 8 -1 -1 8.5 8.8 -0.3
58 Anze Kopitar 73 23 32 19 -8 2 6 -1 9.1 8.1 1
59 Gabriel Landeskog 72 20 24 -2 15 3 1 12 6.8 9 -2.2
60 Matt Niskanen 72 6 22 17 2 7 6 13 8.4 8.7 -0.3
61 Brendan Gallagher 72 27 20 11 4 12 -1 -1 8.3 7.9 0.4
62 Matt Martin 72 7 6 2 30 -9 -15 50 8.9 7 1.9
63 Daniel Sedin 72 25 30 12 -2 11 9 -14 10 7.8 2.2
64 Patric Hornqvist 72 19 22 5 -2 13 3 12 7.2 8.9 -1.7
65 Jonathan Toews 70 27 23 19 6 2 -4 -1 6.4 8.2 -1.8
66 Matt Beleskey 70 16 16 10 12 -1 -8 25 9.2 9.9 -0.7
67 John Carlson 70 11 27 13 -4 9 13 0 7.6 7.9 -0.3
68 Zach Parise 70 28 21 -4 3 14 10 -1 4.5 7 -2.5
69 Duncan Keith 69 11 31 21 -5 9 15 -12 6.6 7.8 -1.2
70 Pavel Datsyuk 69 22 30 15 -11 4 10 -1 7.5 8.1 -0.6
71 Kyle Palmieri 69 28 16 -2 7 5 4 12 7.7 9.2 -1.5
72 Justin Faulk 69 18 19 -10 1 16 12 13 6.7 7 -0.3
73 Kyle Okposo 68 23 29 -7 6 6 12 -1 6.8 8.5 -1.7
74 Roman Josi 68 14 28 -1 1 11 14 0 6.6 7.7 -1.1
75 Shane Doan 67 25 14 -7 19 0 4 12 9.6 7.8 1.8
76 Mark Borowiecki 67 1 4 -5 48 -9 -11 39 5.5 7.3 -1.8
77 Johnny Boychuk 67 9 18 19 -1 13 -3 13 8.7 8.6 0.1
78 Ryan Johansen 67 18 30 -1 6 4 11 -1 7.3 8 -0.7
79 Martin Hanzal 67 18 23 -8 19 1 2 12 10.2 8.2 2
80 David Krejci 66 21 35 4 0 1 6 -1 10 9.4 0.6
81 Kevin Shattenkirk 66 12 24 -6 7 11 19 0 6.4 7.9 -1.5
82 Justin Abdelkader 64 20 16 -6 22 1 -1 12 7.5 8.2 -0.7
83 Nathan MacKinnon 64 26 24 -3 -4 15 7 -1 8.1 8.5 -0.4
84 Jaden Schwartz 64 26 26 21 -8 2 -3 -1 10.2 9.2 1
85 Chris Kreider 63 16 17 10 13 1 -6 12 9.3 8.9 0.4
86 David Perron 62 17 20 1 11 4 -2 12 7.6 8.1 -0.5
87 Artemy Panarin 62 25 29 4 -1 1 5 -1 9.1 9.1 0
88 Logan Couture 61 21 24 9 -6 4 10 -1 11.4 8.7 2.7
89 Leo Komarov 61 21 17 -9 3 -3 -6 37 6.7 7.6 -0.9
90 Dylan Larkin 61 25 18 21 3 5 -9 -1 10.5 10.5 0
91 Aaron Ekblad 60 13 17 16 4 9 2 0 8.9 8.1 0.8
92 Patrick Sharp 60 23 25 -7 -3 13 9 -1 8.2 8.5 -0.3
93 Max Pacioretty 59 30 19 -9 -2 18 5 -1 6 8 -2
94 Nick Foligno 59 16 23 -6 7 2 5 12 6.1 9.1 -3
95 Mats Zuccarello 59 23 24 11 -1 0 2 -1 9.8 9.3 0.5
96 Brayden Schenn 58 22 18 -1 0 0 6 12 7.5 7.4 0.1
97 Jeff Carter 57 22 25 9 -7 7 2 -1 5.4 7.2 -1.8
98 Andrew Shaw 56 15 16 8 12 -2 -4 12 6.8 7.4 -0.6
99 Henrik Zetterberg 56 17 29 -2 -7 6 15 -1 7.7 8.5 -0.8
100 Andrew Ladd 56 22 19 -9 10 4 -1 12 7.7 8 -0.3

 

Just Missed the Cut: Johnny Gaudreau, Filip Forsberg, and Torey Krug.

 

Follow Mike McMillan on Twitter (@MikeMcMillanNHL) to talk fantasy hockey or check out his fantasy hockey blog. For values specific to your league settings, go to FantasyHockeyGeek.com to get customized rankings.

 

 

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Starting Goalies

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LANE HUTSON MTL
JURAJ SLAFKOVSKY MTL
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SIDNEY CROSBY PIT

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CHARLIE LINDGREN WSH
JET GREAVES CBJ
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23.9 TYLER TOFFOLI SEAN MONAHAN NIKOLAJ EHLERS
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14.7 GABRIEL VILARDI BRAD LAMBERT ALEX IAFALLO

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