Top 100 Rotisserie Players: March 2016

Mike McMillan

2016-03-17

The Top 100 rotisserie league Fantasy Hockey Rankings are here to guide your team into the fantasy playoffs and (hopefully) to a league championship.

 

The last stretch of the season is finally here. All our work getting our teams together through trades and scavenging the waiver wire is complete and now it’s time to see the results.

 

The Top 100 Rotisserie Players list for March is slightly different than previous months.  I’ve been playing with a new approach in putting together the player values by using some of the free tools provided on the Frozen Pool page of DobberHockey.com.

 

Here’s the breakdown on how it all works if you’ve never used it:

 

NHL players compared for every category! To save your custom stat categories, just bookmark it.

 

The numbers are representative of a combination of average and deviation to the average for the date range selected. 

 

Zero being the average, a player with a higher number is above average. Conversely, a player with a negative score is below average. The higher the number, the more dominant the player is leading the category!

 

'NHL Score' is a stat category comparison vs the entire league.

 

Player values are still weighted over multiple seasons to try and determine a player's production consistency. For this edition of the Top 100, I’ve taken 80% of the players value from this season and 20% from last season (Rookie values are this season only).

 

To add a predictive element, we take a look at which players are likely to regress back to career averages and which players are due for hot streak over the course of the season using shooting percentages. 

 

Based on the differential between player’s shooting percentage this season compared to their career average SH%, we find some players that should climb up to the top 100 in the last few weeks and some that will fall off…

 

Top 5 Players Likely to Increase in Value

Player

SH% Diff

DATSYUK, PAVEL

-5.2

RIBEIRO, MIKE

-4.3

GETZLAF, RYAN

-4.1

VORACEK, JAKUB

-4

JOHANSEN, RYAN

-3.8

 

These players are shooting significantly below where they should be, which should adjust over the next month and result in a scoring bounce back in the fantasy playoffs.

Top 5 Players Likely to Decrease in Value

Player

SH% Diff

BRASSARD, DERICK

4.5

HARTNELL, SCOTT

4.9

JAGR, JAROMIR

5.2

PAVELSKI, JOE

5.4

DOAN, SHANE

5.8

 

These players are shooting significantly above where they should be, which should also adjust and reduce their per-game value for fantasy.

 

The categories included in the values are G, A, +/-, PIM, PPP, and SOG. Remember: This is NOT a points-only ranking, but a ranking for rotisserie leagues. Here is the March Top 100 Roto…

 

Rank

Player

Adj. Value

Value: TY

Value: LY

Pos

Team

G

A

+/-

PPPnts

PIM

Shots

SH% Diff

1

KANE, PATRICK

40.15

44.61

22.3

R

CHI

16.05

11.35

4.27

8.97

0.36

3.61

3

2

OVECHKIN, ALEXANDER

38.69

37.73

42.55

L

WSH

18.16

2.51

5.06

5.35

0.97

5.69

-0.1

3

BENN, JAMIE

35.29

35.97

32.58

L

DAL

14

8.9

1.17

6.94

1.85

3.11

2.2

4

PAVELSKI, JOE

33.57

34.23

30.92

C

S.J

12.94

6.38

6.59

6.06

-0.01

2.26

5.4

5

CROSBY, SIDNEY

31.84

31.86

31.76

C

PIT

11.39

8.31

3.24

5.42

0.86

2.64

0

6

SEGUIN, TYLER

31.57

32.08

29.51

C

DAL

13.46

7.76

0.14

7.03

-0.5

4.18

0.2

7

KUZNETSOV, EVGENY

31.53

31.53

NA

C

WSH

6.73

10.79

7.88

4.12

0.36

1.65

1.7

8

TARASENKO, VLADIMIR

28.87

28.27

31.26

R

STL

13.46

5.01

-0.37

5.74

0.68

3.76

-0.7

9

BERGERON, PATRICE

28.74

31.47

17.81

C

BOS

10.87

6.11

3.75

6.06

1.3

3.38

1.5

10

BACKSTROM, NICKLAS

27.66

28.09

25.93

C

WSH

5.69

9.42

4.27

7.68

0.24

0.8

4

11

BURNS, BRENT

27.58

29.61

19.44

D

S.J

9.84

7.49

-0.63

6.71

1.67

4.54

1.4

12

MALKIN, EVGENI

27.53

28

25.64

C

PIT

10.35

5.56

0.4

7.35

2.54

1.79

3.6

13

THORNTON, JOE

27.23

29.62

17.69

C

S.J

4.66

11.07

6.33

5.42

1.61

0.55

1.4

14

KARLSSON, ERIK

26.81

26.85

26.66

D

OTT

3.1

13.55

-0.89

6.71

1.48

2.89

-0.8

15

MARCHAND, BRAD

26.57

29.77

13.76

L

BOS

14

2.23

5.83

1.19

3.61

2.89

0.7

16

SEDIN, DANIEL

26.36

26.66

25.16

L

VAN

9.84

5.84

3.25

4.07

0.56

3.11

0.1

17

KOPITAR, ANZE

26.16

28.41

17.14

C

L.A

7.76

8.04

7.88

3.8

-0.63

1.56

2.2

18

TAVARES, JOHN

25.85

23.45

35.46

C

NYI

9.84

5.01

1.17

3.8

0.74

2.89

-0.7

19

GAUDREAU, JOHNNY

25.55

26.44

22.01

L

CGY

9.84

9.17

1.69

4.07

-0.62

2.28

-0.3

20

STAMKOS, STEVEN

25.15

23.84

30.4

C

T.B

12.43

3.63

-0.37

5.09

0.61

2.45

-1

21

KUCHEROV, NIKITA

24.85

24.01

28.19

R

T.B

9.32

5.28

0.92

6.06

0.24

2.19

0.5

22

PANARIN, ARTEMI

24.82

24.82

NA

L

CHI

9.32

7.23

1.69

4.39

0.32

1.87

0

23

GIROUX, CLAUDE

24.66

23.56

29.07

C

PHI

5.69

8.31

-1.66

7.03

1.67

2.51

-1.9

24

WHEELER, BLAKE

24.34

23.9

26.1

R

WPG

5.69

9.14

0.92

3.8

1.42

2.93

-2.6

25

SIMMONDS, WAYNE

23.85

24.91

19.61

R

PHI

9.32

3.63

-0.89

4.12

6.51

2.22

0.7

26

FORSBERG, FILIP

23.18

22.97

24.01

L

NSH

10.88

3.9

-0.38

4.71

0.97

2.89

1.7

27

NEAL, JAMES

22.92

25.22

13.7

R

NSH

9.84

1.97

5.81

2.18

2.41

3

-0.3

28

TOFFOLI, TYLER

22.87

24.16

17.73

C

L.A

9.84

3.08

7.62

2.18

-0.75

2.19

2.4

29

PERRY, COREY

22.7

23.15

20.91

R

ANA

11.39

3.08

-0.63

5.09

1.92

2.3

2.1

30

TOEWS, JONATHAN

22.59

21.4

27.34

C

CHI

9.32

3.63

4.01

1.22

1.48

1.75

0.5

31

SUBBAN, P.K.

22.09

21.7

23.66

D

MTL

-0.53

9.42

1.17

6.39

3.16

2.09

-2.4

32

BRASSARD, DERICK

22.03

22.74

19.19

C

NYR

9.32

4.18

2.98

4.77

-0.13

1.62

4.5

33

SPEZZA, JASON

21.83

22.65

18.54

C

DAL

10.87

3.9

0.4

5.42

-0.13

2.19

2

34

PACIORETTY, MAX

21.81

19.46

31.19

L

MTL

8.8

5.01

-2.19

3.43

0.44

3.98

-1.9

35

GETZLAF, RYAN

21.17

20.33

24.51

C

ANA

2.06

8.59

2.46

4.45

1.48

1.29

-4.1

36

BYFUGLIEN, DUSTIN

20.98

21.32

19.64

D

WPG

4.66

4.73

0.66

3.8

4.65

2.83

0.2

37

DOUGHTY, DREW

20.88

22.86

12.96

D

L.A

3.1

5.28

5.81

5.74

1.23

1.69

1.9

38

ERIKSSON, LOUI

20.65

22.83

11.92

R

BOS

10.35

4.45

4.27

3.15

-1

1.6

3.6

39

EKMAN-LARSSON, OLIVER

20.39

22.08

13.65

D

ARI

6.21

5.28

-3.21

8

3.1

2.7

1.6

40

LETANG, KRISTOPHER

20.37

20.13

21.33

D

PIT

3.1

8.04

-0.63

5.74

1.85

2.03

1.6

41

TROCHECK, VINCENT

19.95

19.95

NA

C

FLA

7.25

4.45

2.72

2.83

0.99

1.71

1.7

42

JAGR, JAROMIR

19.83

21.8

11.96

R

FLA

8.28

5.28

4.78

1.54

0.99

0.93

5.2

43

OSHIE, T.J.

19.71

19.9

18.97

R

WSH

7.25

3.35

3.49

3.8

0.24

1.77

1

44

STONE, MARK

19.61

19.1

21.67

R

OTT

7.76

6.94

-1.15

3.48

0.74

1.33

0.2

45

LUCIC, MILAN

19.37

20.49

14.88

L

L.A

5.16

4.73

5.83

1.19

2.91

0.66

0.8

46

STEEN, ALEXANDER

19.26

18.06

24.08

L

STL

5.16

5.29

0.14

4.71

1.03

1.74

0.5

47

HALL, TAYLOR

19.17

22.07

7.58

L

EDM

8.28

6.68

-0.12

1.83

1.5

3.91

-1.8

48

CARTER, JEFF

19

18.71

20.18

C

L.A

5.69

5.28

4.01

1.86

-0.63

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2.49

-2.2

49

OKPOSO, KYLE

18.99

20.49

13

R

NYI

6.21

6.94

-1.4

5.42

1.54

1.79

1.3

50

DUCHENE, MATT

18.99

20.21

14.09

C

COL

11.39

4.45

-1.4

3.48

-0.01

2.3

3.3

51

VORACEK, JAKUB

18.93

15.97

30.79

R

PHI

1.55

7.49

-0.63

5.09

0.36

2.11

-4

52

WILLIAMS, JUSTIN

18.86

20.53

12.16

R

WSH

7.25

4.18

5.3

1.54

0.24

2.03

2.6

53

HORNQVIST, PATRIC

18.75

18.62

19.28

R

PIT

5.69

4.18

2.72

2.83

0.24

2.96

-1

54

JOHANSEN, RYAN

18.62

17.47

23.21

C

NSH

2.06

6.66

1.17

4.77

1.05

1.75

-3.8

55

MONAHAN, SEAN

18.41

17.54

21.87

C

CGY

8.8

4.73

-0.11

2.83

-0.63

1.92

-1.1

56

ZUCCARELLO, MATS

18.2

19.17

14.34

R

NYR

7.76

5.28

1.17

3.15

0.36

1.43

3.6

57

SCHEIFELE, MARK

18.14

19.05

14.5

C

WPG

8.28

3.35

3.75

1.22

0.74

1.71

2.8

58

SCHENN, BRAYDEN

18.1

19.31

13.28

C

PHI

8.8

3.63

0.92

4.12

0.3

1.54

3.8

59

JOSI, ROMAN

17.95

17.9

18.17

D

NSH

2.06

7.49

-0.37

6.06

0.8

1.86

-0.4

60

BACKES, DAVID

17.74

16.4

23.1

C

STL

6.21

2.52

0.66

2.18

3.28

1.54

0.2

61

KLINGBERG, JOHN

17.38

19.53

8.8

D

DAL

1.55

8.59

2.98

5.09

-0.01

1.33

-1.7

62

LANDESKOG, GABRIEL

17.25

16.43

20.51

L

COL

5.16

5.01

-0.12

2.79

2.08

1.5

1.3

63

PALMIERI, KYLE

17.16

20.03

5.66

R

N.J

9.32

2.52

0.66

4.45

0.8

2.28

1.8

64

HARTNELL, SCOTT

17.16

15.7

22.98

L

CBJ

7.24

3.07

-2.45

2.15

4.67

1.03

4.9

65

SEDIN, HENRIK

17.01

15.62

22.57

C

VAN

2.06

7.76

1.69

4.45

-0.38

0.04

0.6

66

JOKINEN, JUSSI

16.99

19.38

7.44

L

FLA

3.08

7.23

5.06

2.15

0.79

1.07

-2.2

67

HUBERDEAU, JONATHAN

16.88

17.17

15.71

L

FLA

3.08

6.95

2.99

2.15

0.56

1.44

-0.6

68

SMITH, REILLY

16.83

18.64

9.57

R

FLA

8.28

2.8

3.49

2.18

0.43

1.45

3.3

69

DOAN, SHANE

16.68

19.76

4.34

R

ARI

8.8

1.97

0.66

3.8

3.03

1.5

5.8

70

HOFFMAN, MIKE

16.64

17.08

14.88

L

OTT

9.84

3.35

-0.64

2.47

-0.5

2.57

1

71

KESSEL, PHIL

16.62

16.84

15.74

R

PIT

6.73

3.9

0.66

2.83

-0.38

3.1

-1.8

72

KREJCI, DAVID

16.62

19.76

4.06

C

BOS

4.14

7.76

3.49

3.15

0.24

0.97

0.6

73

LARKIN, DYLAN

16.59

16.59

NA

C

DET

6.73

2.52

4.78

-0.4

0.61

2.34

0

74

PARISE, ZACH

16.44

13.83

26.86

L

MIN

6.2

3.07

-1.42

3.11

0.32

2.54

-1.7

75

MACKINNON, NATHAN

16.34

18.69

6.94

C

COL

7.25

5.28

-0.89

3.8

-0.26

3.51

-0.1

76

DOMI, MAX

16.34

16.34

NA

L

ARI

5.16

4.46

-0.12

4.07

1.73

1.05

0

77

GIORDANO, MARK

16.29

16.8

14.26

D

CGY

5.69

5.01

-0.89

3.48

1.36

2.15

2.5

78

GALCHENYUK, ALEX

16.05

16.48

14.35

C

MTL

9.84

3.08

-1.4

3.15

-0.38

2.19

1.6

79

WEBER, SHEA

15.96

15.37

18.32

D

NSH

5.17

4.45

-1.4

5.74

-0.32

1.73

2.6

80

PLEKANEC, TOMAS

15.9

14.37

22

C

MTL

2.58

6.66

0.4

2.51

0.36

1.86

-3.2

81

BARKOV, ALEKSANDER

15.74

18.29

5.55

C

FLA

8.28

3.08

3.49

3.15

-1

1.29

3.2

82

KOIVU, MIKKO

15.69

16.22

13.57

C

MIN

4.14

5.56

1.43

3.8

0.36

0.93

3.5

83

GOSTISBEHERE, SHAYNE

15.68

15.68

NA

D

PHI

4.66

3.35

1.95

5.09

-0.38

1.01

0.2

84

DATSYUK, PAVEL

15.62

13.82

22.81

C

DET

3.62

3.9

2.72

2.83

-1

1.75

-5.2

85

EICHEL, JACK

15.6

15.6

NA

C

BUF

7.76

4.18

-3.47

4.45

-0.26

2.93

0

86

RYAN, BOBBY

15.54

15.29

16.53

R

OTT

7.76

5.28

-2.95

3.8

-0.38

1.77

0.7

87

NIELSEN, FRANS

15.51

16.21

12.73

C

NYI

6.21

4.45

0.4

4.12

-0.75

1.77

1.4

88

TATAR, TOMAS

15.38

13.99

20.93

L

DET

6.2

3.07

0.91

2.47

-0.03

1.37

0.2

89

ZETTERBERG, HENRIK

15.36

13.82

21.5

L

DET

3.08

5.57

-1.42

4.71

-0.38

2.26

-3.5

90

RIBEIRO, MIKE

15.26

14.67

17.6

C

NSH

-0.01

8.04

1.95

3.15

1.73

-0.19

-4.3

91

SEABROOK, BRENT

15.2

17.38

6.48

D

CHI

3.1

5.01

2.21

5.42

0.12

1.54

3.1

92

HENRIQUE, ADAM

15.13

16.33

10.33

C

N.J

8.28

2.25

3.24

1.54

-0.07

1.1

2.7

93

KUNITZ, CHRIS

15.03

15.43

13.44

L

PIT

3.6

2.51

7.65

0.23

0.5

0.94

-1.5

94

KESLER, RYAN

14.86

15.01

14.25

C

ANA

4.14

3.9

-0.63

3.15

2.97

1.48

-1.2

95

SHARP, PATRICK

14.8

15.68

11.29

L

DAL

5.16

5.29

-1.93

4.71

-0.09

2.54

-2.5

96

SUTER, RYAN

14.54

16.16

8.04

D

MIN

0.51

7.21

2.46

4.12

-0.01

1.86

0.5

97

JENNER, BOONE

14.42

14.42

NA

C

CBJ

8.8

1.15

-2.69

2.18

2.54

2.45

0.2

98

GALLAGHER, BRENDAN

14.25

13.4

17.63

R

MTL

5.69

1.7

2.98

1.54

-0.13

1.62

1.4

99

STEMPNIAK, LEE

14.16

16.68

4.06

R

N.J

5.17

5.28

1.95

2.51

0.61

1.16

2.5

100

KEITH, DUNCAN

14.15

14.49

12.8

D

CHI

0.51

6.38

2.98

4.45

-0.63

0.8

2.9

 

Just Missed the Cut: Jeff Skinner, Ryan O’Reilly, and Zack Smith.

 

Follow Mike McMillan on Twitter (@MikeMcMillanNHL) to talk fantasy hockey or check out his fantasy hockey blog. For values specific to your league settings, go to the Frozen Pool fantasy tools page. 

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