Top 100 Rotisserie Players – October 2015

by Mike McMillan on October 15, 2015

The NHL regular season is here and the October Top 100 Roto rankings are back to guide your team to a rotisserie league fantasy hockey championship.

Player values for the Top 100 Roto Rankings are generated by the guys at FantasyHockeyGeek.com and are weighted over multiple years to determine a player's production consistency. We use their per-game averages to account for player who have missed time in the past due to injury, this is then weighted against the DobberHockey player projections to boil down the evaluations into one single number and rank the top 100 players in fantasy hockey (forwards and defensemen only).

The categories included in the values are G, A, +/-, PIM, PPP, SOG, and Hits.

As we navigate through the NHL season the values will be adjusted to include current season production, weighted at a progressively increasing percentage. To add a predictive element, we take a look at which players are likely to regress back to career averages and which players are due for hot streak over the course of the season using PDO and shooting percentages.

Being only a few games into the season, we don’t have enough data from to use shooting percentage to predict a player's production yet. For the October edition of the Top 100 Roto Rankings we’ll look at what a player has typically shot in his career and analyze the difference every month moving forward. Over the course of an 82 game season, players will typically end up around their career average in shooting percentage so if Sidney Crosby is sitting at 3.0% shooting in November but his CSH% is 14.4, we know he’ll get a scoring boost in the coming weeks.

As a quick reminder, a PDO of 100 means that when a player is on the ice both goalies are letting in shots at the same rate. If your opponent's goalie is letting in shots at a much higher rate, that can be a mix of talent or luck but is usually at least somewhat lucky. Thus, a player with a PDO of below 100, he should have some lucky bounces coming his way in the future. However, we are looking at the top 100 players in the world, so their PDO will probably be a bit above 100, but not by much. A PDO in the below 95 is a great sign to buy low. For the October edition we’ll look at the career average as a starting point and the differential every month moving forward.

Here is the October Top 100 Roto…

 

Rank

Player

Overall Value

G

A

+/-

PIM

SOG

PPP

HITS

CSH%

CPDO

Rank Change

1

Alex Ovechkin

169

52

26

6

6

26

30

24

12.4

102.6

0

2

Evgeni Malkin

140

34

45

21

13

13

29

-15

12.8

101

1

3

Sidney Crosby

132

33

47

19

3

9

22

-2

14.4

102

-1

4

David Backes

126

26

27

18

26

2

2

24

12.4

100.1

2

5

Dustin Byfuglien

121

21

26

-16

34

19

14

23

7.3

98.8

-1

6

Tyler Seguin

119

39

37

19

-8

18

16

-2

11.6

101.6

-1

7

Jamie Benn

115

33

39

18

10

10

7

-2

12.6

100.3

2

8

Milan Lucic

115

23

27

18

27

-1

-4

24

14.6

102

8

9

Kris Letang

113

14

36

12

17

9

14

10

5.7

100.3

1

10

P.K. Subban

112

16

34

8

14

11

18

10

6.3

100.7

14

11

Steven Stamkos

111

43

27

18

4

8

14

-2

17.3

101.3

1

12

John Tavares

110

36

41

6

0

9

20

-2

13

98.7

-5

13

Corey Perry

109

39

25

20

14

10

2

-2

13.4

101.3

2

14

Gabriel Landeskog

108

26

30

19

15

8

0

11

10.1

100.6

5

15

Brandon Dubinsky

107

22

29

10

16

8

0

24

9.3

100.2

-2

16

Claude Giroux

104

26

40

6

-1

9

26

-2

11.3

99.7

-5

17

Erik Karlsson

104

20

38

8

1

18

21

-3

7.1

99.5

-3

18

Alexander Steen

100

29

32

21

1

9

10

-2

10.1

99.9

0

19

Dion Phaneuf

98

8

20

9

29

3

6

23

5.8

100.5

19

20

Ryan Getzlaf

98

28

39

19

6

2

6

-2

12.4

101.7

7

21

Jakub Voracek

97

22

40

6

10

2

19

-2

10.1

99.7

-4

22

Dougie Hamilton

96

15

30

23

9

16

6

-3

5.9

100.3

29

23

Drew Doughty

96

9

30

20

9

8

9

10

6.1

99.5

21

24

Evander Kane

96

33

21

-20

13

29

-4

24

8.9

99.5

-16

25

Radko Gudas

96

4

14

11

42

-2

-9

36

3.3

100.2

32

26

Nicklas Backstrom

95

18

46

7

1

0

25

-2

11.4

101.1

-4

27

Chris Kreider

95

24

20

19

22

2

-2

11

11.7

103.1

12

28

Connor McDavid

95

31

37

-6

3

10

21

-2

TBD

TBD

NA

29

Ryan Kesler

94

23

19

20

16

5

1

11

11.5

99.7

13

30

Kevin Shattenkirk

94

12

36

9

6

11

23

-3

5.8

99.9

-9

31

Zac Rinaldo

92

1

8

-6

87

-19

-15

37

4.7

97.5

56

32

Taylor Hall

92

34

38

-6

2

20

6

-2

10.9

99.9

-12

33

Kyle Okposo

92

29

34

8

2

14

6

-2

10.2

98.2

-1

34

Wayne Simmonds

91

28

22

-6

19

2

14

11

12.9

100.7

-11

35

T.J. Oshie

91

22

36

21

8

0

7

-2

11.7

100.9

14

36

Henrik Zetterberg

89

20

40

8

-5

9

19

-2

10.4

100.1

-5

37

Joe Pavelski

89

34

24

18

-5

5

15

-2

11.5

100.1

-11

38

Jack Eichel

89

31

28

-6

0

10

16

11

TBD

TBD

NA

39

Scott Hartnell

89

23

23

-6

31

2

5

11

11.4

101

-10

40

Martin Hanzal

86

21

25

-6

15

5

2

24

8.8

99.7

-12

41

Max Pacioretty

86

39

23

7

-2

18

3

-2

11.6

101.2

-16

42

Logan Couture

85

28

30

19

-10

10

9

-2

11.6

100.3

3

43

Steve Downie

85

12

11

-6

86

-6

-10

-2

12.4

100.3

36

44

Tom Wilson

85

8

17

-6

59

-3

-14

24

4.9

100.4

23

45

Nathan MacKinnon

84

30

30

7

-4

20

4

-2

8.9

101.8

3

46

James Wisniewski

84

9

34

-4

12

6

17

10

5.2

98.9

10

47

Shea Weber

84

17

27

-4

14

9

11

10

7.8

100.4

-13

48

Mark Giordano

84

15

35

10

6

10

10

-3

7

99.8

2

49

Derek Dorsett

83

8

11

-6

84

-10

-15

11

6.9

99.1

NA

50

Patrick Kane

82

34

38

8

-9

7

18

-15

11.9

100

-15

51

Oliver Ekman-Larsson

81

20

23

-4

2

17

14

10

7.3

99.7

-8

52

Patric Hornqvist

81

29

27

8

-5

17

8

-2

9.4

100.3

-12

53

Patrick Sharp

80

26

26

8

2

14

7

-2

11.3

100.4

-1

54

Anze Kopitar

80

25

34

18

-10

2

13

-2

12.2

99.5

8

55

Jonathan Toews

77

28

33

18

-3

1

2

-2

14.9

101.2

5

56

Travis Hamonic

77

6

23

-4

21

10

-2

23

3

99.6

3

57

Brent Burns

77

18

32

-6

13

4

5

11

7.3

100

-27

58

Blake Wheeler

77

28

29

-6

8

6

2

11

11.4

101.1

-25

59

James Neal

76

31

23

-6

12

9

9

-2

12.1

100.4

-4

60

Vladimir Tarasenko

76

39

29

7

-3

13

5

-15

13.9

102.3

-13

61

Phil Kessel

76

35

34

-6

-6

17

15

-15

10.8

99.8

-8

62

Keith Yandle

76

10

34

-4

5

15

19

-3

5

99.3

4

63

Zach Parise

75

33

27

-6

0

13

9

-2

11.6

100.4

-26

64

Nick Foligno

75

31

22

-6

11

3

3

11

12.2

100.2

-23

65

Chris Kunitz

74

23

17

19

7

-4

1

11

12.9

101.4

12

66

Joe Thornton

74

15

41

18

-5

-4

11

-2

14

100.7

9

67

Radim Vrbata

74

28

23

7

-7

13

11

-2

9.5

101.1

-21

68

David Perron

73

27

23

-6

12

8

-3

11

12.4

99.3

5

69

Nikita Kucherov

73

30

33

6

-2

7

0

-2

13

102.1

-8

70

Rick Nash

73

42

19

-6

-1

22

-3

-2

12.5

100.6

-34

71

Zack Kassian

73

18

19

-6

51

-9

-11

11

14.1

99.2

27

72

Patrice Bergeron

72

24

26

18

1

7

-2

-2

10.2

100.9

14

73

Ondrej Palat

72

17

40

18

-6

-6

-2

11

12.7

104.2

-3

74

Victor Hedman

72

14

34

9

7

8

2

-3

6.1

99.7

14

75

Kyle Palmieri

71

24

19

8

10

5

-6

11

11

102

6

76

Johnny Boychuk

71

9

21

21

-4

16

-3

10

3.3

101

14

77

Torey Krug

70

13

25

20

-4

8

10

-3

6.5

101.4

23

78

Ryan Callahan

70

22

24

7

3

1

2

11

11

99.9

-14

79

Marian Gaborik

70

31

22

9

-8

10

7

-2

13

101.7

-11

80

Ryan Johansen

70

27

34

-6

0

5

11

-2

11.7

100.1

-26

81

David Krejci

69

19

31

21

-1

-1

2

-2

11.7

102.1

16

82

Matt Beleskey

69

22

14

8

9

0

-9

24

10

100.7

-8

83

Mike Green

68

15

32

-4

4

9

15

-3

8.2

101.2

-7

84

Jeff Carter

68

30

26

6

-3

6

5

-2

11.5

100.5

-13

85

Brad Marchand

68

24

21

18

21

-3

-12

-2

15

101.7

NA

86

Patrick Maroon

68

14

26

7

19

-4

-6

11

9.2

100.3

NA

87

Troy Brouwer

68

21

17

-6

11

-5

6

24

14.4

99.9

-22

88

Pavel Datsyuk

67

24

38

9

-13

-2

13

-2

14.4

101.3

-25

89

Matt Niskanen

67

9

29

8

4

4

2

10

4.6

100.6

NA

90

Erik Johnson

66

15

23

-4

6

13

3

10

5.3

99.1

-7

91

Justin Faulk

66

14

27

-4

-2

15

6

10

5.9

98

-11

92

Mark Borowiecki

66

1

11

-4

47

-13

-12

36

4.9

103.9

NA

93

Kyle Turris

66

24

30

6

-2

5

4

-2

10.5

101.5

-15

94

Marian Hossa

65

22

28

19

-5

2

1

-2

12.5

101.1

-3

95

John Carlson

64

12

31

8

-4

10

10

-3

5.5

101.1

4

96

Eric Staal

64

24

31

-6

7

8

1

-2

10.8

98.9

-14

97

Andrew Ladd

63

25

28

-18

12

3

1

11

11.4

100

-39

98

Zach Bogosian

62

6

26

-19

23

8

-7

23

4.5

99.4

-2

99

Alex Pietrangelo

62

9

28

20

-3

9

2

-3

5.3

100.5

NA

100

Tyler Johnson

62

28

36

6

-8

3

-1

-2

13.9

103.6

-28

 

Just missed the cut: Bobby Ryan, Duncan Keith, Justin Abdelkader, Tomas Plekanec and Ryan Nugent-Hopkins.

*

Follow Mike McMillan on Twitter (@MikeMcMillanNHL) to talk fantasy hockey and for values specific to your league settings, go to FantasyHockeyGeek.com to get customized rankings. As always, check out DobberHockey.com for daily fantasy hockey analysis.