Top 100 Rotisserie Players – Sept 2015

by Mike McMillan on September 16, 2015

The Top 100 roto-league players as we enter 2015 NHL training camps…

 

At long last – The Top 100 Roto is back after taking a summer hiatus. My name is Mike McMillan, taking over what Austin Wallace took over in turn from Gates Imbeau two years ago, and hoping to continue producing the best Roto Player Rankings on the 'net.

 

In case you didn't follow the Roto last season, we use a formula provided by Fantasy Hockey Geek and that weighs all statistical categories on a per game basis to provide a single number value for each player.  This is then weighted against the Dobber Hockey player projections to rank the best 100 players (forwards and defensemen only) in a straightforward evaluation.

 

The standard categories used are as follows:

  • Goals

  • Assists

  • Plus/Minus

  • Penalty Minutes

  • Shots on Goal

  • Power Play Points

  • Hits

  • PDO (5 on 5)

  • Shooting Percentage Differential (5 on 5)

 

The formula values each category based on repeatability so that a consistent year-to-year stat such as SOG will be more important when evaluating players compared to a varying stat such as plus/minus. To determine a player's production consistency we use their per-game averages weighted over multiple years.  And to help you figure out if a player’s surge up the rankings is just a lucky streak or if he is here to stay, we’re including PDO and Shooting Percentage to show you how lucky a player has been getting. For the first time readers, this is how the those stats can help your roster decisions:

 

  • Shooting Percentage Differential: How different a player’s shooting percentage this year (Since we don’t have any 2015/16 data yet, it will be showing last season) is from his career average. So if a player is usually a 10% shooter, but shot 15% last year, it’s a red flag as his shooting percentage may regress back to normal.

 

  • PDO Differential: How many percentage points someone’s PDO is from 100. As a quick reminder, a PDO of 100 means that when a player is on the ice both goalies are letting in shots at the same rate. If your opponent's goalie is letting in shots at a much higher rate, that can be a mix of talent or luck but is usually at least somewhat lucky. Thus, a player with a PDO of below 100, he should have some lucky bounces coming his way in the future.  We are looking at the top 100 players in the world, so their PDO will probably be a bit above 100, but not too much.

As the season goes along, the rankings will gradually incorporate current-season production at a higher and higher weight.  With that, we will see some movement in the list and I’ll highlight some players to keep on your radar along the way.  The best way to use this information as you approach your Roto draft is take a look at the current ADP’s of your league provider and use this as a guideline to find some undervalued players that put up great peripheral stats but may not be appreciated due to lower goal scoring.  


 

Here is the September Top 100 Roto…


 

(editor's note – apologies for table format, can't get this to sit right, will work on for next month)

 

Rank

Name

Value

G

A

+/-

PIM

SOG

PPP

HITS

PDO

SH%Diff

1

Alex Ovechkin

161

51

21

4

4

28

30

23

96.5

-3.29%

2

Sidney Crosby

114

31

39

9

2

11

24

-2

100.8

-1.55%

3

Evgeni Malkin

114

33

36

9

9

13

28

-15

101.7

0.03%

4

Dustin Byfuglien

113

21

21

-3

21

18

13

22

96

-0.25%

5

Tyler Seguin

110

39

31

9

-5

19

19

-2

103

1.17%

6

David Backes

104

26

22

9

18

3

4

23

100.9

0.18%

7

John Tavares

103

35

34

4

1

11

22

-2

102.1

1.72%

8

Evander Kane

100

31

17

-9

11

29

-2

23

98.1

-0.51%

9

Jamie Benn

100

32

34

8

7

12

9

-2

103.5

1.38%

10

Kris Letang

98

13

31

10

10

9

15

9

97.4

-2.99%

11

Claude Giroux

97

26

33

2

-1

11

28

-2

101.2

0.31%

12

Steven Stamkos

97

42

21

8

2

10

16

-2

103

0.58%

13

Brandon Dubinsky

94

21

25

7

11

8

0

23

101.7

0.27%

14

Erik Karlsson

93

20

31

7

-2

18

22

-3

99

0.10%

15

Corey Perry

92

39

21

11

10

11

3

-2

103.7

1.88%

16

Milan Lucic

90

21

22

10

17

-1

-2

23

103.7

-0.05%

17

Jakub Voracek

90

22

35

3

8

4

21

-2

101.8

-0.79%

18

Alexander Steen

88

28

27

11

1

10

13

-2

99

0.74%

19

Gabriel Landeskog

88

25

24

8

10

8

3

10

103.8

2.20%

20

Taylor Hall

86

32

30

-2

3

20

6

-2

100.8

0.70%

21

Kevin Shattenkirk

86

11

31

10

2

10

24

-3

99.5

-0.11%

22

Nicklas Backstrom

86

17

39

4

1

0

26

-2

98.4

-1.91%

23

Wayne Simmonds

85

28

18

-3

12

4

16

10

101.7

0.35%

24

P.K. Subban

84

15

29

9

7

9

18

-3

99.4

-0.38%

25

Max Pacioretty

83

38

19

8

-1

19

3

-2

101.6

0.69%

26

Joe Pavelski

83

33

21

9

-3

7

18

-2

102.2

0.34%

27

Ryan Getzlaf

83

27

32

10

5

3

7

-2

104.8

2.73%

28

Martin Hanzal

82

20

22

-2

10

6

3

23

99.3

-0.09%

29

Scott Hartnell

81

23

20

-2

20

4

6

10

101.4

-0.93%

30

Brent Burns

80

17

27

0

7

10

10

9

102.7

1.49%

31

Henrik Zetterberg

80

19

34

3

-3

10

19

-2

104.1

2.35%

32

Kyle Okposo

80

27

29

2

0

15

8

-2

101

1.53%

33

Blake Wheeler

80

27

24

1

7

8

2

10

100.6

-0.52%

34

Shea Weber

79

17

23

3

7

9

10

9

100

0.63%

35

Patrick Kane

79

33

33

5

-6

9

19

-15

100.9

-0.16%

36

Rick Nash

78

41

17

2

0

23

-1

-2

101.3

-1.40%

37

Zach Parise

78

32

22

1

1

15

10

-2

99.9

-0.75%

38

Dion Phaneuf

78

7

18

5

18

3

6

22

103

1.00%

39

Chris Kreider

78

23

17

12

15

3

-2

10

101.9

0.19%

40

Patric Hornqvist

78

28

22

5

-2

17

9

-2

99.3

0.56%

41

Nick Foligno

77

29

21

0

6

3

7

10

101.2

1.97%

42

Ryan Kesler

76

22

16

8

11

6

2

10

99.6

-0.21%

43

Oliver Ekman-Larsson

75

20

18

-1

-1

16

14

9

100.7

-0.95%

44

Drew Doughty

75

9

25

12

4

8

8

9

100.8

-0.14%

45

Logan Couture

75

27

25

8

-7

11

11

-2

101.5

1.29%

46

Radim Vrbata

74

29

20

4

-4

15

13

-2

100.2

0.10%

47

Vladimir Tarasenko

74

38

25

7

-2

14

6

-15

103.9

1.01%

48

Nathan MacKinnon

74

27

25

3

-2

20

3

-2

103.4

0.00%

49

TJ Oshie

73

22

29

11

6

1

7

-2

101.9

0.64%

50

Mark Giordano

72

15

30

10

2

9

10

-3

99.5

-0.21%

51

Dougie Hamilton

72

13

25

13

3

14

6

-3

103.9

0.83%

52

Patrick Sharp

71

25

21

3

2

15

7

-2

100.6

0.02%

53

Phil Kessel

70

32

28

-6

-3

18

17

-15

102.4

0.64%

54

Ryan Johansen

70

27

28

-3

1

6

13

-2

100.5

0.30%

55

James Neal

70

29

18

0

8

11

7

-2

100.7

0.45%

56

James Wisniewski

70

9

27

-1

5

5

16

9

100.6

0.11%

57

Radko Gudas

69

4

11

8

24

-2

-9

34

101

0.00%

58

Andrew Ladd

69

24

24

-6

9

4

4

10

100.4

-0.20%

59

Travis Hamonic

69

6

19

3

12

8

-2

22

99.9

-0.35%

60

Jonathan Toews

68

27

27

12

-1

2

4

-2

100.2

-0.38%

61

Nikita Kucherov

68

29

26

7

-1

7

2

-2

100.6

0.00%

62

Anze Kopitar

68

22

30

8

-6

1

15

-2

102.6

-0.22%

63

Pavel Datsyuk

67

25

32

6

-8

0

14

-2

98.3

-0.58%

64

Ryan Callahan

66

22

20

5

2

3

4

10

101

0.91%

65

Troy Brouwer

66

21

14

-1

7

-4

7

23

100.4

-0.15%

66

Keith Yandle

66

9

29

-2

0

14

19

-3

99.9

0.19%

67

Tom Wilson

66

7

14

-2

40

-4

-13

23

101.9

0.00%

68

Marian Gaborik

65

30

18

6

-5

10

9

-2

103.1

-0.37%

69

Slava Voynov

65

5

23

14

-4

0

5

22

99.7

-1.17%

70

Ondrej Palat

64

17

33

12

-3

-4

-1

10

104

-0.19%

71

Jeff Carter

64

29

23

4

-2

7

5

-2

99.7

-1.15%

72

Tyler Johnson

64

28

30

7

-5

4

1

-2

102.8

-0.18%

73

David Perron

63

24

19

-5

8

8

-2

10

100.6

0.26%

74

Matt Beleskey

63

23

11

6

6

1

-7

23

103

0.74%

75

Joe Thornton

62

15

35

8

-3

-3

13

-2

100.7

-0.07%

76

Mike Green

62

13

27

3

0

8

14

-3

98.4

-1.67%

77

Chris Kunitz

62

21

14

9

5

-2

3

10

102.6

1.11%

78

Kyle Turris

62

24

26

4

-1

6

5

-2

103.8

1.88%

79

Steve Downie

62

13

9

-2

58

-6

-8

-2

100.7

-1.18%

80

Justin Faulk

61

13

23

-1

-4

14

7

9

99

0.49%

81

Kyle Palmieri

61

22

16

4

6

5

-3

10

103

0.16%

82

Eric Staal

60

24

25

-4

4

10

3

-2

98.8

-0.70%

83

Erik Johnson

60

15

18

1

2

12

3

9

101.1

-0.12%

84

Nick Bjugstad

59

26

15

-3

2

11

-2

10

98.7

0.43%

85

Justin Abdelkader

59

24

14

-1

10

5

-2

10

101.2

1.20%

86

Patrice Bergeron

59

24

21

8

1

8

-1

-2

102.4

0.85%

87

Zac Rinaldo

59

1

6

-4

52

-18

-14

35

95.9

-1.58%

88

Victor Hedman

59

13

29

9

3

6

2

-3

100.4

-0.52%

89

Brett Sutter

59

0

53

-2

11

-12

-14

23

94.1

0.01%

90

Johnny Boychuk

59

9

18

14

-6

15

-1

9

101.6

1.56%

91

Marian Hossa

58

21

24

10

-2

4

3

-2

100.7

-0.09%

92

Ryan Nugent-Hopkins

58

26

23

-3

-4

10

9

-2

100.2

-0.27%

93

Tomas Plekanec

58

24

18

4

1

9

3

-2

101.7

-1.08%

94

Boone Jenner

58

19

17

-3

2

0

0

23

101.4

0.00%

95

Filip Forsberg

57

21

26

0

-3

5

10

-2

89.2

-0.29%

96

Zach Bogosian

56

6

21

-6

13

7

-6

22

100.5

0.13%

97

David Krejci

55

18

26

11

0

0

3

-2

104.4

0.35%

98

Zack Kassian

55

17

15

-3

33

-8

-9

10

100.4

0.70%

99

John Carlson

55

11

26

7

-5

9

9

-3

99.9

-1.34%

100

Torey Krug

55

13

21

13

-5

7

9

-3

101.2

-0.24%