The Fantasy Hockey Top 100 Roto players, featuring Alex Grant and Julien Brouillette
Welcome to the Top 100 Roto, a ranking of the Top 100 per-game rotisserie contributors in one-year leagues. What this list brings to the table is a clear indication of not only per-game value, but where that value comes from. Is Zetterberg's production balanced or is he going to drag down one of your categories? Both types of tiers are useful. The coloured tiers show which players are similar in value overall value. The category scores should make most of this list applicable to everyone by letting you pick and choose what is applicable to your team. The overall score is basically a fancy average of all of the included categories.
After playing with the formulas throughout the season, this has been the month with the least movement. Other then the rookies. From Gudas to Mackinnen to Kreider, a future generation of multi-cat stars are making their Top 100 Roto debuts! With the way my formula took into account prior years production, rookies used to have no chance of making the list and even sophomores were pretty significantly punished. No longer! Now the years where a player is out of the league are disregarded in the calculations, allowing six young players to enter the list.
An amusing side effect to the inclusion of rookies into a per-game list is that small sample sizes are no longer punished. Thus, the formula's inclusion of future superstars Julien Brouillette at 57 and Alex Grant at 72. You may remember Grant, he holds the distinction of being the only player in NHL history to score on his first two shots... and never take another. Brouillette is a 28 year old journeyman that would be lucky to get another game in the NHL, let alone place one spot ahead of Daniel Sedin. While their brief runs may have been impressive, I made my first ever manual edits to the list by taking them out. That opened up spots for Seabrook and Roussel to sneak in.
Other than the rookies, there was relatively little movement from last month. Kessel made a big jump after a pretty incredible start to the year. What I find interesting about this list is the juxtaposition of scorers and grinders throughout the Top 100 Roto players. Kessel, the most valuable player to score the worst possible rating in any category (an 8 in PIMs) is just ahead of Hanzal, a two-way, multi-cat centre who was just a healthy scratch for the Czech Republic.
The top player, James Neal, widened his lead thanks to another great month. The top of this list is dominated by physical scorers and superstars and Neal is a physical scorer that plays with a superstar. The fact that Kunitz and Neal are on top still seems to surprise some people, but on a per game basis who do you think was significantly better?
Even though Neal is great, he isn't the best player in the game. He is dominant in only shots and goals, which is good but not what you might expect from the best multi-category player in the league. Crosby is dominant across more categories but his lack of PIMs and hits hurts him a lot. It makes me wonder if anyone has ever been dominant enough to score a 1 or 2 in each category. The Top 100 Roto is era-adjusted by definition, so higher scoring periods (or hitting, or shooting, etc.) would be factored in.
If anyone has any candidates for most dominant multi-cat player ever, send me a tweet @austeane. Also tweet/email(@gmail.com)/PM(you guessed it, austeane) me if you would like to see anything else from this list. Comments and criticism are welcome!
Some final notes on the assembly of the Top 100 Roto:
This list was assembled from a weighted average of the last three years, and players were ranked by how well they did in each (equally weighted) category compared to the other top fantasy players. It best applies to leagues with 250 fantasy relevant players, no positional requirements and equally weighted categories. It is easy to get the score that is relevant to your league though, just average out the categories you are interested in!
Other than the removal of Brouillette and Grant, this is a purely stats-based list. I don't make any changes to what comes out of the formula; I trust that you can apply the numbers to your own intricate and unique situation better than I can. For example, since this is a per-game list you will have to account for band-aid boys yourself. Again, this is due to the differences in leagues. Injuries matter much more in a league with a highly limited number of transactions and no injured reserve than they do than in a salary-cap league with many injury slots and unlimited transactions.
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