A Roto-Look Ahead – Week 11
Tom Reeve
2008-12-12
The next week or two is probably one of the last times to cash in on any schedule imbalance before it becomes statistically insignificant. By Christmas the Rangers will have played 37 games, the Hurricanes, Ducks, Coyotes, Capitals, and Canucks will have played 35. On the other end the Senators, Oilers and Devils will have only played 32 games and the Blackhawks bringing up the rear with only 31. Those few games might just mean enough difference to turn what appears like an even deal into an advantage for you. On Christmas morning compare two 25 point players, one from the Ranger and one from the Blackhawk. They may look close but over the course of 82 games you are looking at a 55 point player versus a 66 point player.
Injury Replacements
Looking at a team's schedule may help your chances of finding a good injury replacement. Here are some of the high and low ratings for teams over a two, three and four week period starting December 12. The rating is shown in brackets.
Two weeks
High ratings: Thrashers (7.45), Devils (7.45)
Low ratings: Lightning (4.09), Predators (4.00)
Three weeks
High ratings: Thrashers (11.75), Devils (11.05)
Low ratings: Predators (7.89), Rangers (7.82), Ducks (7.70)
Four weeks
High ratings: Thrashers (15.66), Devils (15.56)
Low ratings: Rangers (10.77), Sharks (10.75), Blues (10.44)
Friday, December 12, 2008 to Thursday, December 18, 2008 | ||||||
Best Bets | ||||||
Washington 4.20 – four games OTT, MTL, NYI, STL | ||||||
New Jersey 4.19 – four games NYR, BUF, TOR, BUF | ||||||
Dallas 4.00 – four games DET, NAS, PHX, CBJ | ||||||
San Jose 4.00 – four games STL, LA, CBJ, DET | ||||||
Colorado 4.00 – four games CHI, DET, PHI, TB | ||||||
Steer Clear | ||||||
Nashville 1.90 – two games DAL, PHX | ||||||
Anaheim 2.00 – two games MIN, NYR | ||||||
NY Islanders 2.00 – two games CBJ, WAS | ||||||
Pittsburgh 2.09 – two games PHI, ATL | ||||||
Tampa Bay 2.10 – two games OTT, COL | ||||||
Saturday, December 13, 2008 to Friday December 19, 2008 | ||||||
Best Bets | ||||||
New Jersey 4.40 – four games BUF, TOR, BUF, OTT | ||||||
Minnesota 4.11 – four games LA, ANA, CGY, NYI | ||||||
San Jose 4.00 – four games STL, LA, CBJ, DET | ||||||
Los Angeles 3.88 – four games MIN, SJ, NYR, BUF | ||||||
Columbus 3.80 – four games NYI, CHI, SJ, DAL | ||||||
Steer Clear | ||||||
Toronto 1.90 – two games NJ, BOS | ||||||
Nashville 1.90 – two games DAL, PHX | ||||||
Florida 1.90 – two games VAN, CAR | ||||||
Pittsburgh 2.09 – two games PHI, ATL | ||||||
Tampa Bay 2.10 – two games OTT, COL | ||||||
Sunday, December 14, 2008 to Saturday December 20, 2008 | ||||||
Best Bets | ||||||
Minnesota 3.92 – four games ANA, CGY, NYI, STL | ||||||
Chicago 3.90 – four games CBJ, EDM, CGY, EDM | ||||||
San Jose 3.89 – four games LA, CBJ, DET, NYR | ||||||
Los Angeles 3.69 – four games SJ, NYR, BUF, DET | ||||||
Columbus 3.60 – four games CHI, SJ, DAL, PHX | ||||||
Steer Clear | ||||||
Florida 1.90 – two games VAN, CAR | ||||||
Nashville 2.11 – two games PHX, NYI | ||||||
Tampa Bay 2.19 – two games COL, ATL | ||||||
Pittsburgh 2.30 – two games ATL, TOR | ||||||
Boston 2.31 – two games TOR, CAR | ||||||
Monday, December 15, 2008 to Sunday December 21, 2008 | ||||||
Best Bets | ||||||
Montreal 4.41 – four games CAR, PHI, BUF, CAR | ||||||
New Jersey 4.30 – four games TOR, BUF, OTT, PHI | ||||||
St. Louis 4.10 – four games CGY, WAS, MIN, BOS | ||||||
Carolina 4.00 – four games MTL, FLA, BOS, MTL | ||||||
Philadelphia 3.91 – four games COL, MTL, WAS, NJ | ||||||
Steer Clear | ||||||
Anaheim 1.99 – two games NYR, EDM | ||||||
Florida 2.10 – two games CAR, COL | ||||||
Nashville 2.11 – two games PHX, NYI | ||||||
Tampa Bay 2.19 – two games COL, ATL | ||||||
Vancouver 2.21 – two games EDM, CHI | ||||||
Tuesday, December 16, 2008 to Monday December 22, 2008 | ||||||
Best Bets | ||||||
Atlanta 4.41 – four games OTT, PIT, TB, TOR | ||||||
New Jersey 4.30 – four games TOR, BUF, OTT, PHI | ||||||
Buffalo 4.10 – four games NJ, LA, MTL, PIT | ||||||
Montreal 4.41 – four games CAR, PHI, BUF, CAR | ||||||
St. Louis 4.10 – four games CGY, WAS, MIN, BOS | ||||||
Steer Clear | ||||||
Florida 2.10 – two games CAR, COL | ||||||
Detroit 2.10 – two games SJ, LA | ||||||
Nashville 2.11 – two games PHX, NYI | ||||||
Tampa Bay 2.19 – two games COL, ATL | ||||||
Columbus 2.65 – three games SJ, DAL, PHX | ||||||
Wednesday, December 17, 2008 to Tuesday December 23, 2008 | ||||||
Best Bets | ||||||
Pittsburgh 4.60 – four games ATL, TOR, BUF, TB | ||||||
Atlanta 4.41 – four games PIT, TB, TOR, NYI | ||||||
Minnesota 4.31 – four games CGY, NYI, STL, CAR | ||||||
New Jersey 4.30 – four games BUF, OTT, PHI, BOS | ||||||
Boston 4.12 – four games TOR, CAR, STL, NJ | ||||||
Steer Clear | ||||||
Chicago 1.81 – two road games CGY, VAN | ||||||
Edmonton 2.75 – three games VAN, ANA, PHX | ||||||
Ottawa 2.75 – three games NJ, DAL, PHI | ||||||
Calgary 2.84 – three games MIN, CHI, ANA | ||||||
Anaheim 2.85 – three games EDM, VAN, CGY | ||||||
Thursday, December 18, 2008 to Wednesday December 24, 2008 | ||||||
Best Bets | ||||||
Pittsburgh 4.60 – four games ATL, TOR, BUF, TB | ||||||
Atlanta 4.41 – four games PIT, TB, TOR, NYI | ||||||
Boston 4.12 – four games TOR, CAR, STL, NJ | ||||||
Phoenix 4.10 – four games NAS, CBJ, EDM, COL | ||||||
Philadelphia 4.01 – four games MTL, WAS, NJ, OTT | ||||||
Steer Clear | ||||||
Chicago 1.81 – two road games CGY, VAN | ||||||
NY Rangers 1.81 – two games SJ, WAS | ||||||
Calgary 1.89 – two games CHI, ANA | ||||||
Edmonton 1.89 – two games ANA, PHX | ||||||
Vancouver 2.65 – three games CHI, ANA, SJ | ||||||
Friday, December 19, 2008 to Thursday, December 25, 2008 | ||||||
Best Bets | ||||||
Atlanta 3.46 – three games TB, TOR, NYI | ||||||
Pittsburgh 3.46 – three games TOR, BUF, TB | ||||||
Minnesota 3.26 – three games NYI, STL, CAR | ||||||
New Jersey 3.26 – three games OTT, PHI, BOS | ||||||
NY Islanders 3.16 – three games MIN, NAS, ATL | ||||||
Steer Clear | ||||||
Chicago 1.81 – two games CGY, VAN | ||||||
Washington 1.81 – two games PHI, NYR | ||||||
NY Rangers 1.18 – two games SJ, WAS | ||||||
Calgary 1.89 – two games CHI, NJ | ||||||
Edmonton 1.89 – two games ANA, PHX | ||||||
Saturday, December 20, 2008 to Friday December 26, 2008 | ||||||
Best Bets | ||||||
Atlanta 4.62 – four game TB, TOR, NYI, CAR | ||||||
Pittsburgh 4.32 – four games TOR, BUF, TB, NJ | ||||||
Phoenix 4.19 – four games CBJ, EDM, COL, LA | ||||||
Philadelphia 4.01 – four games WAS, NJ, OTT, CHI | ||||||
Carolina 3.99 – four games BOS, MTL, MIN, ATL | ||||||
Steer Clear | ||||||
Calgary 0.84 – ONE game ANA | ||||||
Anaheim 1.81 – two games VAN, CGY | ||||||
NY Rangers 1.81 – two games SJ, WAS | ||||||
San Jose 1.89 – two games NYR, VAN | ||||||
Ottawa 1.90 – two games DAL, PHI | ||||||
Sunday, December 21, 2008 to Saturday December 27, 2008 | ||||||
Best Bets | ||||||
Florida 4.50 – four games COL, NAS, TB, TB | ||||||
Phoenix 4.40 – four games EDM, COL, LA, LA | ||||||
Pittsburgh 4.21 – four games BUF, TB, NJ, MTL | ||||||
Carolina 4.09 – four games MTL, MIN, ATL, BOS | ||||||
Philadelphia 3.91 – four games NJ, OTT, CHI, CBJ | ||||||
Steer Clear | ||||||
Chicago 1.05 – ONE games PHI | ||||||
Minnesota 1.16 – ONE game CAR | ||||||
Dallas 1.89 – two games TOR, ANA | ||||||
Nashville 1.90 – two games FLA, DET | ||||||
San Jose 1.90 – two games VAN, STL |