Top 100 Rotisserie Players – Sept 2015
Mike McMillan
2015-09-16
The Top 100 roto-league players as we enter 2015 NHL training camps…
At long last – The Top 100 Roto is back after taking a summer hiatus. My name is Mike McMillan, taking over what Austin Wallace took over in turn from Gates Imbeau two years ago, and hoping to continue producing the best Roto Player Rankings on the 'net.
In case you didn't follow the Roto last season, we use a formula provided by Fantasy Hockey Geek and that weighs all statistical categories on a per game basis to provide a single number value for each player. This is then weighted against the Dobber Hockey player projections to rank the best 100 players (forwards and defensemen only) in a straightforward evaluation.
The standard categories used are as follows:
-
Goals
-
Assists
-
Plus/Minus
-
Penalty Minutes
-
Shots on Goal
-
Power Play Points
-
Hits
-
PDO (5 on 5)
-
Shooting Percentage Differential (5 on 5)
The formula values each category based on repeatability so that a consistent year-to-year stat such as SOG will be more important when evaluating players compared to a varying stat such as plus/minus. To determine a player's production consistency we use their per-game averages weighted over multiple years. And to help you figure out if a player’s surge up the rankings is just a lucky streak or if he is here to stay, we’re including PDO and Shooting Percentage to show you how lucky a player has been getting. For the first time readers, this is how the those stats can help your roster decisions:
-
Shooting Percentage Differential: How different a player’s shooting percentage this year (Since we don’t have any 2015/16 data yet, it will be showing last season) is from his career average. So if a player is usually a 10% shooter, but shot 15% last year, it’s a red flag as his shooting percentage may regress back to normal.
-
PDO Differential: How many percentage points someone’s PDO is from 100. As a quick reminder, a PDO of 100 means that when a player is on the ice both goalies are letting in shots at the same rate. If your opponent's goalie is letting in shots at a much higher rate, that can be a mix of talent or luck but is usually at least somewhat lucky. Thus, a player with a PDO of below 100, he should have some lucky bounces coming his way in the future. We are looking at the top 100 players in the world, so their PDO will probably be a bit above 100, but not too much.
As the season goes along, the rankings will gradually incorporate current-season production at a higher and higher weight. With that, we will see some movement in the list and I’ll highlight some players to keep on your radar along the way. The best way to use this information as you approach your Roto draft is take a look at the current ADP’s of your league provider and use this as a guideline to find some undervalued players that put up great peripheral stats but may not be appreciated due to lower goal scoring.
Here is the September Top 100 Roto…
|
Rank |
Name |
Value |
G |
A |
+/- |
PIM |
SOG |
PPP |
HITS |
PDO |
SH%Diff |
|
1 |
Alex Ovechkin |
161 |
51 |
21 |
4 |
4 |
28 |
30 |
23 |
96.5 |
-3.29% |
|
2 |
Sidney Crosby |
114 |
31 |
39 |
9 |
2 |
11 |
24 |
-2 |
100.8 |
-1.55% |
|
3 |
Evgeni Malkin |
114 |
33 |
36 |
9 |
9 |
13 |
28 |
-15 |
101.7 |
0.03% |
|
4 |
Dustin Byfuglien |
113 |
21 |
21 |
-3 |
21 |
18 |
13 |
22 |
96 |
-0.25% |
|
5 |
Tyler Seguin |
110 |
39 |
31 |
9 |
-5 |
19 |
19 |
-2 |
103 |
1.17% |
|
6 |
David Backes |
104 |
26 |
22 |
9 |
18 |
3 |
4 |
23 |
100.9 |
0.18% |
|
7 |
John Tavares |
103 |
35 |
34 |
4 |
1 |
11 |
22 |
-2 |
102.1 |
1.72% |
|
8 |
Evander Kane |
100 |
31 |
17 |
-9 |
11 |
29 |
-2 |
23 |
98.1 |
-0.51% |
|
9 |
Jamie Benn |
100 |
32 |
34 |
8 |
7 |
12 |
9 |
-2 |
103.5 |
1.38% |
|
10 |
Kris Letang |
98 |
13 |
31 |
10 |
10 |
9 |
15 |
9 |
97.4 |
-2.99% |
|
11 |
Claude Giroux |
97 |
26 |
33 |
2 |
-1 |
11 |
28 |
-2 |
101.2 |
0.31% |
|
12 |
Steven Stamkos |
97 |
42 |
21 |
8 |
2 |
10 |
16 |
-2 |
103 |
0.58% |
|
13 |
Brandon Dubinsky |
94 |
21 |
25 |
7 |
11 |
8 |
0 |
23 |
101.7 |
0.27% |
|
14 |
Erik Karlsson |
93 |
20 |
31 |
7 |
-2 |
18 |
22 |
-3 |
99 |
0.10% |
|
15 |
Corey Perry |
92 |
39 |
21 |
11 |
10 |
11 |
3 |
-2 |
103.7 |
1.88% |
|
16 |
Milan Lucic |
90 |
21 |
22 |
10 |
17 |
-1 |
-2 |
23 |
103.7 |
-0.05% |
|
17 |
Jakub Voracek |
90 |
22 |
35 |
3 |
8 |
4 |
21 |
-2 |
101.8 |
-0.79% |
|
18 |
Alexander Steen |
88 |
28 |
27 |
11 |
1 |
10 |
13 |
-2 |
99 |
0.74% |
|
19 |
Gabriel Landeskog |
88 |
25 |
24 |
8 |
10 |
8 |
3 |
10 |
103.8 |
2.20% |
|
20 |
Taylor Hall |
86 |
32 |
30 |
-2 |
3 |
20 |
6 |
-2 |
100.8 |
0.70% |
|
21 |
Kevin Shattenkirk |
86 |
11 |
31 |
10 |
2 |
10 |
24 |
-3 |
99.5 |
-0.11% |
|
22 |
Nicklas Backstrom |
86 |
17 |
39 |
4 |
1 |
0 |
26 |
-2 |
98.4 |
-1.91% |
|
23 |
Wayne Simmonds |
85 |
28 |
18 |
-3 |
12 |
4 |
16 |
10 |
101.7 |
0.35% |
|
24 |
P.K. Subban |
84 |
15 |
29 |
9 |
7 |
9 |
18 |
-3 |
99.4 |
-0.38% |
|
25 |
Max Pacioretty |
83 |
38 |
19 |
8 |
-1 |
19 |
3 |
-2 |
101.6 |
0.69% |
|
26 |
Joe Pavelski |
83 |
33 |
21 |
9 |
-3 |
7 |
18 |
-2 |
102.2 |
0.34% |
|
27 |
Ryan Getzlaf |
83 |
27 |
32 |
10 |
5 |
3 |
7 |
-2 |
104.8 |
2.73% |
|
28 |
Martin Hanzal |
82 |
20 |
22 |
-2 |
10 |
6 |
3 |
23 |
99.3 |
-0.09% |
|
29 |
Scott Hartnell |
81 |
23 |
20 |
-2 |
20 |
4 |
6 |
10 |
101.4 |
-0.93% |
|
30 |
Brent Burns |
80 |
17 |
27 |
0 |
7 |
10 |
10 |
9 |
102.7 |
1.49% |
|
31 |
Henrik Zetterberg |
80 |
19 |
34 |
3 |
-3 |
10 |
19 |
-2 |
104.1 |
2.35% |
|
32 |
Kyle Okposo |
80 |
27 |
29 |
2 |
0 |
15 |
8 |
-2 |
101 |
1.53% |
|
33 |
Blake Wheeler |
80 |
27 |
24 |
1 |
7 |
8 |
2 |
10 |
100.6 |
-0.52% |
|
34 |
Shea Weber |
79 |
17 |
23 |
3 |
7 |
9 |
10 |
9 |
100 |
0.63% |
|
35 |
Patrick Kane |
79 |
33 |
33 |
5 |
-6 |
9 |
19 |
-15 |
100.9 |
-0.16% |
|
36 |
Rick Nash |
78 |
41 |
17 |
2 |
0 |
23 |
-1 |
-2 |
101.3 |
-1.40% |
|
37 |
Zach Parise |
78 |
32 |
22 |
1 |
1 |
15 |
10 |
-2 |
99.9 |
-0.75% |
|
38 |
Dion Phaneuf |
78 |
7 |
18 |
5 |
18 |
3 |
6 |
22 |
103 |
1.00% |
|
39 |
Chris Kreider |
78 |
23 |
17 |
12 |
15 |
3 |
-2 |
10 |
101.9 |
0.19% |
|
40 |
Patric Hornqvist |
78 |
28 |
22 |
5 |
-2 |
17 |
9 |
-2 |
99.3 |
0.56% |
|
41 |
Nick Foligno |
77 |
29 |
21 |
0 |
6 |
3 |
7 |
10 |
101.2 |
1.97% |
|
42 |
Ryan Kesler |
76 |
22 |
16 |
8 |
11 |
6 |
2 |
10 |
99.6 |
-0.21% |
|
43 |
Oliver Ekman-Larsson |
75 |
20 |
18 |
-1 |
-1 |
16 |
14 |
9 |
100.7 |
-0.95% |
|
44 |
Drew Doughty |
75 |
9 |
25 |
12 |
4 |
8 |
8 |
9 |
100.8 |
-0.14% |
|
45 |
Logan Couture |
75 |
27 |
25 |
8 |
-7 |
11 |
11 |
-2 |
101.5 |
1.29% |
|
46 |
Radim Vrbata |
74 |
29 |
20 |
4 |
-4 |
15 |
13 |
-2 |
100.2 |
0.10% |
|
47 |
Vladimir Tarasenko |
74 |
38 |
25 |
7 |
-2 |
14 |
6 |
-15 |
103.9 |
1.01% |
|
48 |
Nathan MacKinnon |
74 |
27 |
25 |
3 |
-2 |
20 |
3 |
-2 |
103.4 |
0.00% |
|
49 |
TJ Oshie |
73 |
22 |
29
📢 advertisement:
|
11 |
6 |
1 |
7 |
-2 |
101.9 |
0.64% |
|
50 |
Mark Giordano |
72 |
15 |
30 |
10 |
2 |
9 |
10 |
-3 |
99.5 |
-0.21% |
|
51 |
Dougie Hamilton |
72 |
13 |
25 |
13 |
3 |
14 |
6 |
-3 |
103.9 |
0.83% |
|
52 |
Patrick Sharp |
71 |
25 |
21 |
3 |
2 |
15 |
7 |
-2 |
100.6 |
0.02% |
|
53 |
Phil Kessel |
70 |
32 |
28 |
-6 |
-3 |
18 |
17 |
-15 |
102.4 |
0.64% |
|
54 |
Ryan Johansen |
70 |
27 |
28 |
-3 |
1 |
6 |
13 |
-2 |
100.5 |
0.30% |
|
55 |
James Neal |
70 |
29 |
18 |
0 |
8 |
11 |
7 |
-2 |
100.7 |
0.45% |
|
56 |
James Wisniewski |
70 |
9 |
27 |
-1 |
5 |
5 |
16 |
9 |
100.6 |
0.11% |
|
57 |
Radko Gudas |
69 |
4 |
11 |
8 |
24 |
-2 |
-9 |
34 |
101 |
0.00% |
|
58 |
Andrew Ladd |
69 |
24 |
24 |
-6 |
9 |
4 |
4 |
10 |
100.4 |
-0.20% |
|
59 |
Travis Hamonic |
69 |
6 |
19 |
3 |
12 |
8 |
-2 |
22 |
99.9 |
-0.35% |
|
60 |
Jonathan Toews |
68 |
27 |
27 |
12 |
-1 |
2 |
4 |
-2 |
100.2 |
-0.38% |
|
61 |
Nikita Kucherov |
68 |
29 |
26 |
7 |
-1 |
7 |
2 |
-2 |
100.6 |
0.00% |
|
62 |
Anze Kopitar |
68 |
22 |
30 |
8 |
-6 |
1 |
15 |
-2 |
102.6 |
-0.22% |
|
63 |
Pavel Datsyuk |
67 |
25 |
32 |
6 |
-8 |
0 |
14 |
-2 |
98.3 |
-0.58% |
|
64 |
Ryan Callahan |
66 |
22 |
20 |
5 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
10 |
101 |
0.91% |
|
65 |
Troy Brouwer |
66 |
21 |
14 |
-1 |
7 |
-4 |
7 |
23 |
100.4 |
-0.15% |
|
66 |
Keith Yandle |
66 |
9 |
29 |
-2 |
0 |
14 |
19 |
-3 |
99.9 |
0.19% |
|
67 |
Tom Wilson |
66 |
7 |
14 |
-2 |
40 |
-4 |
-13 |
23 |
101.9 |
0.00% |
|
68 |
Marian Gaborik |
65 |
30 |
18 |
6 |
-5 |
10 |
9 |
-2 |
103.1 |
-0.37% |
|
69 |
Slava Voynov |
65 |
5 |
23 |
14 |
-4 |
0 |
5 |
22 |
99.7 |
-1.17% |
|
70 |
Ondrej Palat |
64 |
17 |
33 |
12 |
-3 |
-4 |
-1 |
10 |
104 |
-0.19% |
|
71 |
Jeff Carter |
64 |
29 |
23 |
4 |
-2 |
7 |
5 |
-2 |
99.7 |
-1.15% |
|
72 |
Tyler Johnson |
64 |
28 |
30 |
7 |
-5 |
4 |
1 |
-2 |
102.8 |
-0.18% |
|
73 |
David Perron |
63 |
24 |
19 |
-5 |
8 |
8 |
-2 |
10 |
100.6 |
0.26% |
|
74 |
Matt Beleskey |
63 |
23 |
11 |
6 |
6 |
1 |
-7 |
23 |
103 |
0.74% |
|
75 |
Joe Thornton |
62 |
15 |
35 |
8 |
-3 |
-3 |
13 |
-2 |
100.7 |
-0.07% |
|
76 |
Mike Green |
62 |
13 |
27 |
3 |
0 |
8 |
14 |
-3 |
98.4 |
-1.67% |
|
77 |
Chris Kunitz |
62 |
21 |
14 |
9 |
5 |
-2 |
3 |
10 |
102.6 |
1.11% |
|
78 |
Kyle Turris |
62 |
24 |
26 |
4 |
-1 |
6 |
5 |
-2 |
103.8 |
1.88% |
|
79 |
Steve Downie |
62 |
13 |
9 |
-2 |
58 |
-6 |
-8 |
-2 |
100.7 |
-1.18% |
|
80 |
Justin Faulk |
61 |
13 |
23 |
-1 |
-4 |
14 |
7 |
9 |
99 |
0.49% |
|
81 |
Kyle Palmieri |
61 |
22 |
16 |
4 |
6 |
5 |
-3 |
10 |
103 |
0.16% |
|
82 |
Eric Staal |
60 |
24 |
25 |
-4 |
4 |
10 |
3 |
-2 |
98.8 |
-0.70% |
|
83 |
Erik Johnson |
60 |
15 |
18 |
1 |
2 |
12 |
3 |
9 |
101.1 |
-0.12% |
|
84 |
Nick Bjugstad |
59 |
26 |
15 |
-3 |
2 |
11 |
-2 |
10 |
98.7 |
0.43% |
|
85 |
Justin Abdelkader |
59 |
24 |
14 |
-1 |
10 |
5 |
-2 |
10 |
101.2 |
1.20% |
|
86 |
Patrice Bergeron |
59 |
24 |
21 |
8 |
1 |
8 |
-1 |
-2 |
102.4 |
0.85% |
|
87 |
Zac Rinaldo |
59 |
1 |
6 |
-4 |
52 |
-18 |
-14 |
35 |
95.9 |
-1.58% |
|
88 |
Victor Hedman |
59 |
13 |
29 |
9 |
3 |
6 |
2 |
-3 |
100.4 |
-0.52% |
|
89 |
Brett Sutter |
59 |
0 |
53 |
-2 |
11 |
-12 |
-14 |
23 |
94.1 |
0.01% |
|
90 |
Johnny Boychuk |
59 |
9 |
18 |
14 |
-6 |
15 |
-1 |
9 |
101.6 |
1.56% |
|
91 |
Marian Hossa |
58 |
21 |
24 |
10 |
-2 |
4 |
3 |
-2 |
100.7 |
-0.09% |
|
92 |
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
58 |
26 |
23 |
-3 |
-4 |
10 |
9 |
-2 |
100.2 |
-0.27% |
|
93 |
Tomas Plekanec |
58 |
24 |
18 |
4 |
1 |
9 |
3 |
-2 |
101.7 |
-1.08% |
|
94 |
Boone Jenner |
58 |
19 |
17 |
-3 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
23 |
101.4 |
0.00% |
|
95 |
Filip Forsberg |
57 |
21 |
26 |
0 |
-3 |
5 |
10 |
-2 |
89.2 |
-0.29% |
|
96 |
Zach Bogosian |
56 |
6 |
21 |
-6 |
13 |
7 |
-6 |
22 |
100.5 |
0.13% |
|
97 |
David Krejci |
55 |
18 |
26 |
11 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
-2 |
104.4 |
0.35% |
|
98 |
Zack Kassian |
55 |
17 |
15 |
-3 |
33 |
-8 |
-9 |
10 |
100.4 |
0.70% |
|
99 |
John Carlson |
55 |
11 |
26 |
7 |
-5 |
9 |
9 |
-3 |
99.9 |
-1.34% |
|
100 |
Torey Krug |
55 |
13 |
21 |
13 |
-5 |
7 |
9 |
-3 |
101.2 |
-0.24% |
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Awesome list. Thank you for the SH%Dif and PDO description. Still trying to wrap my head around these new measurements.
can the list be re-run without PIMS ? Cheers Grapes
Thanks! If you follow all season, you'll really see how useful those luck stats can be. Send me a quick email mikemcmillan55 (@) gmail.com and I'll send you an updated list without PIMS.
Hey Mike, Thanks for this list. It's perfect for my league. Evander Kane has been sitting on the waivers since his injury, basically. We keep between 3-5 players every year before draft. I was planning on targetting Kane early but I agree with your ranking so I picked him up off the waivers and I'm making him one my keepers, Jamie Benn, Rick Nash and Backstrom being the others. I have Logan Couture as well, but I'm concerned with his lower FOW tally. What do you think? (Thanks, again, man.)