Fantasy Take: Calgary Flames Acquire Brian Elliott
Michael Clifford
2016-06-24
Fantasy Impact: Calgary Flames Acquire Brian Elliott from St. Louis for a Second Round Pick
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I had mused in Friday’s Ramblings that the Flames would do well to grab Ben Bishop in a trade, and that it would make sense for the Lightning. Well, that didn’t quite work out as the Flames went and traded for St. Louis Blues goalie Brian Elliott instead. The return was a second round pick this year, and a conditional third in 2018.
As mentioned in the Ramblings with regards to Bishop, how Glen Gulutzan changes the way the Flames play will be paramount to fantasy success for Elliott. According to Corsica Hockey, the Flames are a bottom-3 team over the last two years in adjusted shot attempts allowed at five-on-five. Facing that many shots can be good for goalies in points leagues, but is murderous in standard roto leagues. It hurts the goals against average, and can hamper wins without a high-scoring team.
With all that said, the Flames have a top-six that looks pretty stellar, and a defence corps where the top-half is as good as any in the league. With appropriate systems changes, and focus in areas like preventative defence rather than selling-out shot blocking, the Flames could improve drastically. Even a middling team in shot attempts allowed gives a goaltender a fighting chance to be a top-10 fantasy tender.
What this also does is clear up the situations for both Elliott and St. Louis Blues goaltender Jake Allen. After splitting starts over the last two years – at times due to injury, at times to just riding a hot hand – both Elliott and Allen will be the starter for their respective teams. It finally gives a real fantasy boost to Allen, and should the Flames be able to turn around the way the team plays, this could be a boost to Elliott as well.
According to Corsica, Elliott has been a top-10 goalie over the last three years in adjusted five-on-five save percentage. Not since the run of Miikka Kiprusoff have the Flames had a goalie they can rely, and now they finally do (provided he can stay healthy). Keeper owners of both Elliott and Allen have to be smiling right now, if not only for clarity’s sake.
Fantasy Players This Helps, In Order:
1. Allen – injuries will always be a factor, but otherwise he's the clear-cut guy on a great team with amazing defense.
2. Ville Husso – now just one (likely) injury away from getting some starts. (Husso scouting report here)
3. Elliott – more saves and starts in Calgary. Even wins – with 15 more starts there, it should be enough to make up for the slip in team quality. His SV% and GAA will hurt, as will the losses.
Fantasy Players This Hurts, In Order:
1. Joni Ortio – he can't catch a break.
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Helps/Hurts?
I am interested in your take, especially the helps column in St. Louis. Outside of Allen of course.
I always miss the ‘who this helps’ and ‘who this hurts’ feature when it’s not there.
Helps
Jake Allen – clear cut starter for one of the better teams in the NHL
Ville Husso – he’s now only a Jake Allen injury away from getting to play in the NHL
Hurts
Tampa Bay and Pittsburgh – where do they trade a goalie to now
Depends on your league settings
Brian Elliott – Calgary is no where near close to the team St Louis is but Elliott should get more starts and more saves with less wins and a worse GAA
Elliott will be an upgrade in net for the 40-45 games he is capable of playing. I’d probably still make a move to get Reimer.
As a Flames fan and Allen owner, today is a good day.
Helps and hurts now put into the article!
How would u rank both Allen and Elliott in the Top 100 Keeper League Goalies now? I would move Elliott above Lehtonen,Niemi and Anderson now but I have a hard time putting Allen alot higher even tho his value have gone up.