Over/Under Prop Results 2016-17

steve laidlaw

2017-09-29

Over/Under Prop Results 2016-17

With the 2017-18 season looming and new player point total Over/Under bets to place we should first is time to review the results of last season’s prop bets. I made 17 bets (10 over, seven under) and hit on 10 of them (58.9%) banking a small profit. Typically, one needs to win 58% of his bets to overcome the vig and consistently make profit. I hit that margin but just barely.

If you recall, I polled my Twitter followers on what they felt would be the outcome of each of the 104 Over/Under propositions available. I’ve included those polls below. People picked the over in 71 of the 104 props, were dead split on two of them and picked the under for 31 players. While we are naturally optimists it’s illogical to expect that many bets to go over, not when it’s all too easy for players to miss time with injury.

65 of the props went under, which falls in line with what you’d expect in the abstract. I also suspect that Vegas takes advantage of the natural optimism of bettors, leaning high with their totals in most cases. With the under hitting on 62.5% of props this year, there was money to be made simply hitting the under across the board.

Of course, that’s not exactly fun, which is why many of us bet. Hitting the over on Patrik Laine before the All-Star break was a lot more satisfying than needing injuries to Bryan Little and Sidney Crosby to hit the under. Still, if you are in the business of making money, going under is the way to go.

That isn’t always the case. In 2015-16, only 52.9% of the 104 props hit the under, which would have had you breaking even. Over the past three seasons the under has hit on 63.8% of the 318 player point total props. On average, it seems that you would do well to spray the under.

You would also do well to not take the advice of the pre-season polls. As you have probably guessed, the good voters did not perform very well, hitting on 47 of the 102 propositions with a decisive winner, coming in below 50%. They did just well enough that any individual might be tricked into following along but not so well as to make money. We’ll see how they do next year but this is certainly not a vote of confidence for the intelligence of crowds in this specific field.

 

Final Tally: 53 points – UNDER

📢 advertisement:

Final Tally: 73 points – OVER

Final Tally: 58 points – OVER

Final Tally: 1 point – UNDER

Final Tally: 38 points – UNDER

Final Tally: 39 points – UNDER

📢 advertisement:

Final Tally: 85 points – OVER

Final Tally: 54 points – UNDER

Final Tally: 53 points – UNDER

Final Tally: 57 points – UNDER

Final Tally: 45 points – UNDER

Final Tally: 55 points – UNDER

Final Tally: 61 points – UNDER

Final Tally: 39 points – UNDER

Final Tally: 26 points – UNDER

Final Tally: 58 points – UNDER

Final Tally: 25 points – UNDER

Final Tally: 63 points – OVER

Final Tally: 45 points – UNDER

Final Tally: 37 points – UNDER

Final Tally: 74 points – OVER

Final Tally: 58 points – UNDER

Final Tally: 89 points – OVER

Final Tally: 33 points – UNDER

Final Tally: 41 points – UNDER

Final Tally: 53 points – UNDER

Final Tally: 53 points – OVER

Final Tally: 51 points – OVER

Final Tally: 37 points – UNDER

Final Tally: 69 points – UNDER

Final Tally: 50 points – UNDER

Final Tally: 72 points – UNDER

Final Tally: 32 points – UNDER

Final Tally: 48 points – OVER

Final Tally: 68 points – OVER

Final Tally: 100 points – OVER

Final Tally: 51 points – UNDER

Final Tally: 77 points – OVER

Final Tally: 50 points – UNDER

Final Tally: 43 points – UNDER

Final Tally: 52 points – UNDER

Final Tally: 46 points – UNDER

Final Tally: 26 points – UNDER

Final Tally: 52 points – UNDER

Final Tally: 44 points – UNDER

Final Tally: 66 points – OVER

Final Tally: 65 points – OVER

Final Tally: 58 points – OVER

Final Tally: 42 points – UNDER

Final Tally: 44 points – UNDER

Final Tally: 54 points – OVER

Final Tally: 29 points – UNDER

Final Tally: 67 points – OVER

Final Tally: 42 points – UNDER

Final Tally: 31 points – UNDER

Final Tally: 45 points – OVER

Final Tally: 66 points – UNDER

Final Tally: 55 points – OVER

Final Tally: 59 points – OVER

Final Tally: 38 points – UNDER

Final Tally: 58 points – UNDER

Final Tally: 40 points – UNDER

Final Tally: 61 points – UNDER

Final Tally: 40 points – UNDER

Final Tally: 31 points – UNDER

Final Tally: 53 points – UNDER

Final Tally: 25 points – UNDER

Final Tally: 71 points – UNDER

Final Tally: 55 points – OVER

Final Tally: 54 points – UNDER

Final Tally: 61 points – OVER

Final Tally: 58 points – UNDER

Final Tally: 61 points – OVER

Final Tally: 54 points – UNDER

Final Tally: 72 points – OVER

Final Tally: 70 points – OVER

Final Tally: 89 points – UNDER

Final Tally: 68 points – UNDER

Final Tally: 50 points – UNDER

Final Tally: 52 points – UNDER

Final Tally: 51 points – UNDER

Final Tally: 40 points – UNDER

Final Tally: 75 points – OVER

Final Tally: 85 points – OVER

Final Tally: 20 points – UNDER

Final Tally: 45 points – UNDER

Final Tally: 69 points – OVER

Final Tally: 62 points – OVER

Final Tally: 61 points – OVER

Final Tally: 61 points – OVER

Final Tally: 61 points – OVER

Final Tally: 52 points – OVER

Final Tally: 34 points – OVER

Final Tally: 44 points – UNDER

Final Tally: 51 points – UNDER

Final Tally: 24 points – UNDER

Final Tally: 69 points – UNDER

Final Tally: 59 points – UNDER

Final Tally: 86 points – OVER

Final Tally: 74 points – OVER

Final Tally: 47 points – UNDER

Final Tally: 52 points – OVER

Final Tally: 82 points – OVER

Final Tally: 64 points – OVER

*

To take part in the fun this year give me a follow @SteveLaidlaw.

Leave A Comment

Related Posts

Dobbernomics is Back: Play Fantasy Hockey Like Wall Street!
Gallery

Dobbernomics is Back: Play Fantasy Hockey Like Wall Street!

September 29th, 2026|0 Comments
Experts Panel: 2026-27 Season Predictions
Gallery

Experts Panel: 2026-27 Season Predictions

September 27th, 2026|0 Comments
Dobber’s Offseason Fantasy Grades – Anaheim Ducks
Gallery

Dobber’s Offseason Fantasy Grades – Anaheim Ducks

September 4th, 2026|0 Comments
Free Hockey Pool Player Boxes: The Ultimate Office & Casual Pool Setup is Back!
Gallery

Free Hockey Pool Player Boxes: The Ultimate Office & Casual Pool Setup is Back!

September 3rd, 2026|0 Comments

Starting Goalies

CHI
@
BOS
Spencer Knight
Michael Dipietro
TD Garden | Loading local time...
STL
@
DET
Joel Hofer
John Gibson
Little Caesars Arena | Loading local time...
TBL
@
NSH
Andrei Vasilevskiy
Juuse Saros
Bridgestone Arena | Loading local time...
EDM
@
NYI
Tristan Jarry
Ilya Sorokin
UBS Arena | Loading local time...
BUF
@
LAK
Colten Ellis
Anton Forsberg
Crypto.com Arena | Loading local time...
View More...

Top Skater Views

  Players Team
CHARLE-EDOUARD D'ASTOUS T.B
VIKTOR ARVIDSSON DET
BERKLY CATTON SEA
EMMITT FINNIE DET
JOEL FARABEE CGY

Top Goalie Profile Views

  Players Team
CONNOR HELLEBUYCK N.J
STUART SKINNER WPG
JACOB FOWLER MTL
DEVIN COOLEY CGY
TRISTAN JARRY EDM

LINE COMBOS

  Frequency DET Players
23.1 LUCAS RAYMOND ANDREW COPP MICHAEL BRANDSEGG-NYGARD
22.0 EMMITT FINNIE ALEX DEBRINCAT VIKTOR ARVIDSSON
20.3 MICHAEL RASMUSSEN NATE DANIELSON J.T. COMPHER

DobberHockey Podcasts

Keeping Karlsson: Down Across the Helle-ware

On this episode of the Keeping Karlsson Fantasy Hockey Podcast, Elan and Brian dissect the implications of the Connor Hellebuyck trade, injury returns in Carolina and Washington, hot streaks in Philadelphia and Seattle, crease contenders in Calgary and San Jose, a must-add in Tampa Bay and a sell-high in Colorado for your fantasy hockey league.

Fantasy Hockey Life: Ep 506 Prospects with Plenty to Prove II

Victor and Jesse return to talk about more fantasy hockey prospects in critical seasons. Covered are David Reinbacher, Cayden Lindstrom, Dalibor Dvorsky, Bradly Nadeau, Ilya Protas, Charlie Stramel, Otto Stenberg, Emil Hemming, Trey Augustine, Sebastian Cossa, Jacob Fowler, Easton Cowan, Matthew Wood, Gabe Perreault, and Victor Eklund. Thanks to Mason Black @NHLRankKing for his polls. […]

FIND US ON FACEBOOK