Top 200 Cap League Skater Rankings – May 2022

Alexander MacLean

2022-05-25

This is the big update of the year, where all of the player stats get flipped from the finished regular season over to looking at the next one. This is especially impactful in these rankings, as a lot of the top players on the last list had expiring contracts. With a lot of them free agents this summer, there is some uncertainty with how they should rank. I try to cover that off with my contract projections (full list can be found here) that I incorporate into the ranking process – $0 is currently shown as the cap hit of impending free agents. The rookies/prospects also get a full review, adding some that have been missed, and updating the timeline and expectations for all of them, so there's a lot of movement to take in here.

In the short term, super rookie Moritz Seider jumps up to the number one spot, and it wouldn't be suprising if he held that spot for the next two years until his entry-level contract (ELC) expires. Defencemen that can thrive on the ice, on the scoresheet, and all while still playing on their ELC are a rare breed. We have been spoiled of late with Cale Makar, Adam Fox, and others, while Seider becomes the next name to take up the mantle. He may not have the same pure upside as the aforementioned defencemen, but he will continue to improve on a growing Detroit team that is still adding pieces.

One of the biggest risers is Ryan Hartman, who jumps up nearly 150 spots, and it's due to a perfect storm of all-star linemates, high underlying percentages, and maybe the most team friendly contract for a "number-one centre" in the league. His hold on a top-20 spot in the rankings is a tenuous one though, as he is not guaranteed to keep the number one centre slot in Minnesota, and percentages do tend to regress to the norm, sometimes extremely quickly. Generally he's a player that you might want to see if you can sell high on, though the bonus is that the more categories that your league counts, the more valuable he becomes as he does contribute across the board.

Standard pre-rankings note:

This isn't meant to be a be-all and end-all rating system for you to use without thinking and just trade your players for anyone above them on the list that you can find, but used with some foresight for managing salaries. The assumed league setup is for points-only leagues, and I have made an effort to balance it for a range of league and roster sizes. Cap hit is used for the player cost, so if your league uses salary or AAV, please account for that, as it can greatly change the impact of rookies. The rankings are set up so as to provide the most value in the current season, while providing some value in future years, based on modeling for predicted salary increases and production growth.

For those of you with variations from this setup, whether in terms of number of teams, salary space, roster positions, or scoring categories, you can make your own personal tweaks to move players up or down as necessary. This list is made to be a baseline guide for player evaluation, and to promote discussion and understanding of how to optimize rosters in a cap league setting.

If you note a mistake, or have any further questions about the ranking system, please let me know. You can find me on Twitter here @alexdmaclean.

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Comments help with optimizing the values, because they're not perfect and they never will be.

We're sticking with the +/- 5.0 rating that Dobber uses on all of his rating schemes as the range for approximately equivalent value. The skater and goalie rankings are synched so that the value of a skater against a goalie can be compared, though the scale of the ratings has changed a little since the last update.

RankNameAgePosCap HitYrsRatingPrev Rank
1Moritz Seider21D$863,3332309.4529
2Lucas Raymond20F$925,0002276.6266
3Michael Bunting26F$950,0001275.3412
4Trevor Zegras21F$925,0001272.3028
5Evan Bouchard22D$863,3331260.0663
6Jonathan Huberdeau28F$5,900,0001258.5913
7Tim Stutzle20F$925,0001252.658
8Troy Terry24F$1,450,0001252.4731
9Tage Thompson24F$1,400,0001251.84101
10Leon Draisaitl26F$8,500,0003232.115
11Roman Josi31D$9,059,0006231.8586
12Ryan Hartman27F$1,700,0002231.64157
13Robert Thomas22F$2,800,0001230.30123
14Cale Makar23D$9,000,0005230.2724
15Jordan Kyrou24F$2,800,0001228.4627
16Connor McDavid25F$12,500,0004228.133
17Matt Boldy21F$880,8331227.0218
18J.T. Miller29F$5,250,0001221.6667
19Nathan MacKinnon26F$6,300,0001220.1511
20Victor Hedman31D$7,875,0003217.0849
21Cole Caufield21F$880,8331217.0317
22Quinton Byfield19F$925,0002216.3710
23Johnny Gaudreau28F$00206.2091
24Kirill Kaprizov25F$9,000,0004203.9393
25Cole Sillinger19F$925,0002203.8443
26Roope Hintz25F$3,150,0001203.8121
27Adam Fox24D$9,500,0007200.391
28Kyle Connor25F$7,142,8574197.4784
29Quinn Hughes22D$7,850,0005197.0546
30Denis Gurianov24F$00196.33107
31Matty Beniers19F$897,5002195.49NR
32Elias Lindholm27F$4,850,0002195.3952
33Auston Matthews24F$11,640,2502194.7260
34Jake Guentzel27F$6,000,0002192.3436
35Tanner Jeannot24F$800,0001191.9523
36Kevin Fiala25F$00191.15141
37Jamie Drysdale20D$925,0001189.5054
38Jason Robertson22F$00189.492
39Morgan Rielly28D$7,500,0008187.7459
40Tony DeAngelo26D$00187.2222
41Shayne Gostisbehere29D$4,500,0001186.95161
42Mikko Rantanen25F$9,250,0003185.2932
43Matthew Tkachuk24F$00184.30169
44Alexis Lafreniere20F$925,0001183.539
45Kent Johnson19F$925,0002183.22NR
46Chandler Stephenson28F$2,750,0002182.7985
47Marco Rossi20F$863,3333182.7357
48David Pastrnak25F$6,666,6661181.8344
49John Carlson32D$8,000,0004181.4361
50Aaron Ekblad26D$7,500,0003181.41140
51Mason McTavish19F$894,1673180.7270
52Steven Stamkos32F$8,500,0002179.78NR
53Mitchell Marner25F$10,903,0003179.2556
54Ivan Barbashev26F$2,250,0001179.06NR
55Jesper Bratt23F$00176.7479
56Shea Theodore26D$5,200,0003176.0430
57Sam Reinhart26F$6,500,0002175.62132
58Pavel Buchnevich27F$5,800,0003175.0282
59Alex DeBrincat24F$6,400,0001174.1448
60Rasmus Dahlin22D$6,000,0002174.00128
61William Eklund19F$894,1673173.9765
62Aleksander Barkov26F$10,000,0008173.7826
63Sonny Milano26F$00173.49191
64Rasmus Andersson25D$4,550,0004173.22186
65Anton Lundell20F$925,0002173.0145
66Dylan Cozens21F$925,0001172.8525
67Noah Dobson22D$00172.7771
68William Nylander26F$6,962,3662170.43103
69Vladimir Tarasenko30F$7,500,0001170.05NR
70Timo Meier25F$6,000,0001169.30171
71Mikhail Sergachev23D$4,800,0001168.5580
72Filip Forsberg27F$00168.32138
73Anthony Duclair26F$3,000,0002168.0796
74Trevor Moore27F$1,875,0001166.50196
75MacKenzie Weegar28D$3,250,0001166.3037
76Andrew Copp27F$00166.14182
77Nazem Kadri31F$00166.05149
78Frederick Gaudreau29F$1,200,0001165.51NR
79Nikita Kucherov28F$9,500,0005165.4935
80Ryan Donato26F$00165.18NR
81Mark Scheifele29F$6,125,0002164.2933
82Dylan Larkin25F$6,100,0001164.12NR
83Noah Hanifin25D$4,950,0002162.24NR
84Danton Heinen26F$00162.09NR
85Artemi Panarin30F$11,642,8574159.9989
86Sebastian Aho24F$8,460,2502158.6077
87Tyson Barrie30D$4,500,0002156.9716
88Jesse Puljujarvi24F$00156.96139
89Nicolas Roy25F$00156.91NR
90Corey Perry37F$1,000,0001155.97156
91Ross Colton25F$1,125,0001155.57126
92Max Domi27F$00155.21NR
93Oliver Kylington25D$00154.73190
94Brad Marchand34F$6,125,0003154.1834
95Scott Perunovich23D$00153.97NR
96Patrick Kane33F$10,500,0001153.86110
97Owen Power19D$925,0002152.89NR
98Teuvo Teravainen27F$5,400,0002152.83124
99Matt Duchene31F$8,000,0004151.53NR
100Ty Smith22D$863,3331151.4515
101Seth Jarvis20F$894,1662151.4187
102Mika Zibanejad29F$8,500,0008150.71105
103Elias Pettersson23F$7,350,0002150.08181
104Cole Perfetti20F$894,1662149.44130
105David Perron33F$00149.2976
106Claude Giroux34F$00149.07NR
107Charlie McAvoy24D$9,500,0008149.0588
108Philip Tomasino20F$863,3332148.4241
109Jack Roslovic25F$00147.3264
110Andre Burakovsky27F$00146.85150
111Rem Pitlick25F$00146.42NR
112Dawson Mercer20F$894,1662145.68106
113Alex Killorn32F$4,450,0001145.50184
114Paul Stastny36F$00144.64NR
115Andrei Svechnikov22F$7,750,0007144.63142
116Dylan Guenther19F$894,1673144.33NR
117Bowen Byram20D$925,0001144.32115
118John Klingberg29D$00144.1162
119Mikael Granlund30F$5,000,0003143.96NR
120Conor Sheary29F$1,500,0001143.61195
121Jonathan Marchessault31F$5,000,0002143.41133
122Kris Letang35D$00142.9792
123Mason Marchment27F$00142.76131
124Devon Toews28D$4,100,0002142.7469
125Cam York21D$880,8331142.72NR
126Adrian Kempe25F$00142.44172
127Tyler Bertuzzi27F$4,750,0001142.38NR
128Evgeny Kuznetsov30F$7,800,0003142.35NR
129Jonathan Dahlen24F$00142.23NR
130K’Andre Miller22D$925,0001141.9774
131Sean Durzi23D$00140.55NR
132Carter Verhaeghe26F$4,166,6673140.206
133Pius Suter26F$3,250,0001139.99NR
134Andrew Mangiapane26F$00139.60122
135Bo Horvat27F$5,500,0001139.46175
136Mathew Barzal24F$7,000,0001139.45129
137Ryan Nugent-Hopkins29F$5,125,0007139.30114
138Phil Kessel34F$00139.11NR
139Alexandre Carrier25D$733,3331138.4481
140Bryan Rust30F$5,125,0000137.3872
141Dylan Strome25F$00137.21NR
142Jaccob Slavin28D$5,300,0003137.07NR
143Clayton Keller23F$7,150,0006136.88NR
144Sam Bennett25F$4,425,0003136.73166
145Chris Kreider31F$6,500,0005136.24NR
146Oliver Bjorkstrand27F$5,400,0004135.6494
147Nick Schmaltz26F$5,850,0004135.43NR
148Alexander Kerfoot27F$3,500,0001135.18NR
149Victor Olofsson26F$00135.09187
150Ryan Merkley21D$863,3331134.91NR
151Anders Bjork25F$1,600,0001134.85NR
152Drake Batherson24F$4,975,0005134.83145
153Torey Krug31D$6,500,0005134.77121
154Nikolaj Ehlers26F$6,000,0003134.5598
155Sam Gagner32F$00134.20NR
156Derek Grant32F$1,500,0001134.09NR
157Zach Werenski24D$9,583,3336133.99176
158Sidney Crosby34F$8,700,0003133.70135
159Brett Howden24F$00133.51NR
160Gabriel Landeskog29F$7,000,0007133.45100
161Fabian Lysell19F$894,1673133.29NR
162Seth Jones27D$9,500,0008133.21151
163Vinnie Hinostroza28F$00133.03NR
164Thomas Harley20D$863,3332132.59NR
165Nils Lundkvist21D$925,0002131.94NR
166Logan O’Connor25F$1,050,0003131.71158
167Taylor Hall30F$6,000,0003131.71200
168Sam Steel24F$00131.58NR
169Ville Heinola21D$863,3332131.50NR
170Thomas Chabot24D$8,000,0006131.46118
171Zach Parise37F$750,0001131.34NR
172Yegor Sharangovich23F$2,000,0001131.1668
173Taylor Raddysh24F$758,3332130.28NR
174Erik Haula31F$2,375,0001129.78NR
175Travis Konecny25F$5,500,0003129.32154
176Evander Kane30F$00129.10165
177Jack Hughes21F$8,000,0008127.9419
178Jakob Chychrun24D$4,600,0003127.8938
179Evgeni Malkin35F$00127.57NR
180Alexander Holtz20F$894,1673127.47192
181Joe Pavelski37F$5,500,0001127.34199
182Peyton Krebs21F$863,3332127.2650
183Josh Norris23F$00127.16NR
184Max Pacioretty33F$7,000,0001127.04194
185Maxim Mamin27F$00126.81NR
186Nico Sturm27F$00126.61NR
187Patrik Laine24F$00126.49NR
188Zach Sanford27F$00126.36NR
189Pierre-Luc Dubois23F$00126.34NR
190Mark Giordano38D$800,0002126.32NR
191Brady Tkachuk22F$8,208,5716126.07NR
192Kirby Dach21F$00125.95160
193Nico Hischier23F$7,250,0005125.78NR
194Brandt Clarke19D$894,1673125.74NR
195Conor Garland26F$4,950,0004125.69148
196Arthur Kaliyev20F$894,1662125.1847
197Adam Boqvist21D$00125.0173
198Carl Grundstrom24F$00124.96NR
199Evan Rodrigues28F$00124.65NR
200Colin Blackwell29F$00124.64163

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