The Journey: AHL Live Viewing vs Analytics

Victor Nuno

2025-12-13

Welcome back to The Journey, where we track the players who are turning their development curves into real fantasy relevance. This week's stop took me to San Diego for an AHL matchup between the Texas Stars and the San Diego Gulls on Friday, December 5. The AHL is often the final proving ground before the NHL, and seeing players live reveals nuances that numbers or video clips cannot fully capture. Timing, pace control, physical engagement, emotional intensity, and how a player responds when structure breaks down all become far more obvious from rink level. Both teams iced a mix of high-profile prospects and quietly developing pieces pushing for greater responsibility, and several stood out for different reasons. Below are my live impressions of each player.

San Diego Gulls

Tomas Suchanek (G) 

Suchanek got the start in this game, his first AHL appearance of the season after getting caught in Anaheim's organizational logjam in net. Undrafted out of the WHL, he signed his first professional contract with San Diego in 2023, then earned an NHL deal with Anaheim after his strong first AHL season. Between his junior résumé and excellent World Junior Championship showing, the Ducks saw enough upside to bring him into the system, and he has been quietly solid in the AHL ever since. This outing was no exception. He kept San Diego competitive throughout, and while one goal from the high slot was a bit soft, the other two were more about defensive breakdowns than poor goaltending. His size, composure, and ability to settle play when things get hectic continue to stand out.

Hockey Prospecting gives him a 13% chance of becoming an NHLer, and the Mike Vernon comparable is certainly an intriguing one. Given the Gulls' frequent rotation and Anaheim's unsettled long term crease picture, Suchanek should see more opportunities. He remains a watch-list name for deeper dynasty formats, especially if he strings together more outings like this.

Tristan Luneau (D)

Luneau looked engaged defensively throughout the game, using his mobility and strong skating to close gaps, disrupt entries, and steer play away from dangerous areas. Offensively, he was not overly involved on the scoresheet, but his transition reads, poise under pressure, and quick, clean puck movement stood out even on a night when San Diego struggled. His decision-making was consistently sharp, and he showed flashes of creativity that hint at more upside as he gains reps.

After a strong AHL rookie season, his pNHLe has dipped a bit this year, but the tools remain evident. He already has 13 NHL games to his name, and based on this viewing he certainly looks capable of handling more. He didn't necessarily look too good for the AHL, but he did look a cut above, which makes it curious that he hasn't received a longer NHL look yet. If he gets more opportunity in the NHL, whether with the Ducks or another organization, you should probably have interest in adding him.

Stian Solberg (D)

Solberg showed flashes of poise for a younger defender, stepping up confidently to challenge rushes and competing with real edge along the boards. He looked assertive, reading plays early and closing space with purpose. That urgency elevates the rest of his game, and if he continues trending in this direction, his ascent to the NHL will be quick.

Solberg is a force. He is the type of defender opponents are acutely aware of whenever he hops over the boards. Players keep their heads up around him and often rush decisions to avoid getting crunched. For a team that already features Radko Gudas and Jacob Trouba, Anaheim appears to have another punishing, momentum-shifting defender in the same mold on the way. His blocks, shots, and hits (BASH) are elite, and his 97% BASH rating on the Fantasy Hockey Life skater card reflects exactly that. The offensive ceiling may still be forming, but the multicategory foundation is already rock solid.

Noah Warren (D)

Warren played a simple, physical game, but his adjustment to the professional pace still looks uneven. He was steady enough defensively, yet his footspeed and decision-making lagged at times, leading to hurried or ineffective plays. The physical tools are clear, and he profiles as a potential AHL–NHL tweener at this stage, but he will need quicker reads to carve out a meaningful role.

Sam Colangelo (F)

Colangelo flashed his finishing ability with a well-placed goal, showing the quick, clean release that remains one of his best tools. But outside of that moment, he often looked a step behind the play and had trouble keeping pace on the forecheck. Once he is engaged in the shift he can make skilled plays, yet consistency and overall tempo remain areas he will need to improve to push for NHL consideration.

Sasha Pastujov (F)

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Pastujov showed flashes of offensive touch, but his overall pace remained an issue. Despite his solid AHL production, he struggled to stay engaged in faster sequences, and his skating continues to limit the consistency of his impact. The skill is evident once he has the puck, but translating that to the NHL will be difficult unless he can elevate his tempo.

Nathan Gaucher (F)

Gaucher was largely invisible for long stretches, providing physicality but not much else. His BASH contributions remain his calling card, yet the scoring touch he showed in junior has not translated to the professional level. For a former 22nd overall pick, he is not trending toward an NHL impact player, and at this point, carving out even a modest bottom-six role would count as a win.

Texas Stars

Arno Tiefensee (G)

Tiefensee was excellent in this game, easily the best goalie on the ice. He made several key stops in high-danger moments and kept Texas in it long enough to earn the overtime win. His positioning was confident, his reads were sharp, and he deserved the result. With the Stars lacking depth in their goalie pipeline, he looks like the clear frontrunner among their current prospects.

Hockey Prospecting gives him a 19% chance of becoming an NHLer, with solid comparables such as Keith Kinkaid and ironically, similar to Suchanek, Mike Vernon. If he can build on outings like this one, he should push for a more regular role in the AHL rotation and could move onto deeper dynasty radars sooner rather than later.

Tristan Bertucci (D)

Bertucci was excellent in this game, scoring twice including the overtime winner and looking poised throughout. He handled the breakout smoothly, moved the puck with confidence, and showed good instincts about when to activate or pinch. Among all the skaters in this matchup, he looked the most NHL-ready, showing a calm, composed two-way presence that belies his age.

His pNHLe is the highest of any player in this game, and while his raw scoring numbers and some underlying metrics are not eye-popping, he looks entirely comfortable at the AHL level. Based on this viewing, he is trending toward an NHL opportunity sooner rather than later and is a name dynasty managers should keep close tabs on.

Ayrton Martino (F)

Martino did not make much of an impact in this viewing. Since turning pro, he has struggled to find his footing in the AHL and even spent time in the ECHL earlier this season. The offensive skill from his NCAA days has not translated yet, and at this point he does not project as a future NHL top-six option.

Antonio Stranges (F)

Stranges had a strong AHL season in 2024–25, but his play has dipped this year, and this viewing did little to suggest an NHL breakthrough is coming. Now in his fourth professional season with no NHL games, he is not trending toward a meaningful role at the next level. Based on both his trajectory and his performance here, he does not currently project as an NHLer.

Samu Tuomaala (F)

Tuomaala looked invisible for most of this game, continuing what has been a disappointing season after two decent years in Lehigh Valley. His play has regressed, and he appears to be trending toward his worst AHL campaign yet. At this stage, he looks like a tweener unlikely to earn NHL games.

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Final Thoughts

This viewing was a reminder of how varied AHL development paths can be. Several players, like Bertucci and Tiefensee, looked legitimately on the rise, showing NHL-caliber poise and execution that the analytics already hint at. Others, such as Solberg and Luneau, reinforced that they are trending in the right direction, even if opportunity or refinement will determine how quickly they reach the next level. On the other end of the spectrum, a handful of forwards struggled with pace or consistency, underscoring how difficult it is for junior or NCAA production to translate meaningfully at the pro level.

Thanks for reading! See you next week. For more fantasy hockey analysis, or if there's a prospect, topic, or theme you'd like me to cover, follow and message me on X: https://x.com/VictorNuno12

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