Top 100 Keeper League Goalies – July

Dobber

2016-07-21

The top 100 goalies to own in fantasy hockey keeper leagues, July edition. New faces/new places…

These rankings are based on keeper leagues, but how much they can help you this year plays a big part – more so than with skaters. This is because the goaltending position fluctuates so much. One day you're a starter, the next day a rookie stud steals your job, the day after that the hotshot rookie gets injured and the job is yours again. Injury proneness and how much a goalie has to share the net also plays a significant role.

Because of how the position fluctuates, it's best to compare goalies within their tier. One Tier 1 goalie is as good as another in terms of risk/reward balance.

This month – Allen, Elliott, Bernier with adjustments. The 2016 draftees were added, though because each one is at least four years away only one (barely) cracked the Top 100…

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As always, go to GOALIE POST for the full list of 100 goalies.

Jul 20	Goalie	Team	Rating	Jun 20	Tier
1	Braden Holtby	WAS	118.6	1	0
2	Carey Price	MON	111.3	2	0
3	Martin Jones	SJS	102.2	3	1
4	Jonathan Quick	LAK	100.1	4	1
5	Corey Crawford	CHI	99.7	5	1
6	Tuukka Rask	BOS	99.5	6	1
7	Ben Bishop	TBL	96.5	7	1
8	Cory Schneider	NJD	95.6	8	1
9	Henrik Lundqvist	NYR	93.8	9	1
10	Jake Allen	STL	93.1	21	2
11	Cam Talbot	EDM	92.3	10	2
12	John Gibson	ANA	91.4	11	1
13	Roberto Luongo	FLA	91.3	12	2
14	Marc-Andre Fleury	PIT	90.9	14	2
15	Devan Dubnyk	MIN	89.0	13	2
16	Matt Murray	PIT	88.8	15	2
17	Petr Mrazek	DET	88.7	16	2
18	Sergei Bobrovsky	CBJ	87.7	17	2
19	Semyon Varlamov	COL	86.2	18	2
20	Frederik Andersen	TOR	84.9	19	2
21	Brian Elliott	CGY	83.6	25	2
22	Pekka Rinne	NSH	83.0	20	2
23	Antti Niemi	DAL	82.4	22	2
24	Craig Anderson	OTT	80.3	23	2
25	Jaroslav Halak	NYI	78.5	26	2
26	Steve Mason	PHI	78.2	27	2
27	Thomas Greiss	NYI	75.0	28	3
28	Connor Hellebuyck	WPG	75.0	29	3
29	Jacob Markstrom	VAN	74.8	35	3
30	Andrei Vasilevski	TBL	74.4	30	3
31	Kari Lehtonen	DAL	74.3	24	2
32	James Reimer	FLA	72.6	34	3
33	Robyn Lehner	BUF	70.0	31	2
34	Eddie Lack	CAR	63.0	36	3
35	Ondrej Pavelec	WPG	62.3	37	3
36	Mike Smith	ARI	62.2	38	3
37	Jimmy Howard	DET	61.8	39	3
38	Louis Domingue	ARI	61.6	40	3
39	Cam Ward	CAR	61.5	41	3
40	Ryan Miller	VAN	59.0	32	3
41	Antti Raanta	NYR	56.8	42	4
42	Michal Neuvirth	PHI	55.5	43	4
43	Philipp Grubauer	WAS	52.6	45	4
44	Calvin Pickard	COL	51.9	46	4
45	Darcy Kuemper	MIN	46.5	47	4
46	Laurent Brossoit	EDM	46.2	48	4
47	Michael Hutchinson	WPG	42.6	49	4
48	Joonas Korpisalo	CBJ	42.5	50	4
49	Malcolm Subban	BOS	41.9	51	5
50	Linus Ullmark	BUF	41.2	44	5

Next 50 – go to Goalie Post (we don't want you to forget that site during the offseason!)

jae 2016-07-21 at 12:15Log in to Reply

I wonder how many would draft Holtby ahead of Price in a multicat league. No way I would trade Price for Holtby. I assume injury risk has put Holtby ahead of Carey.
- Dobber 2016-07-21 at 12:30Log in to Reply
  
  Definitely. That and the ‘wins’ category.
  For the record, I’d trade Price for Holtby in a heartbeat. More wins, less injury risk.
  - slyone7107 2016-07-21 at 13:40Log in to Reply
    
    Not only that but Washington has a way better chance at consistently winning than Montreal does.
Daniel Sandler 2016-07-21 at 13:16Log in to Reply

Pekka had a bad year in 2015 but with the addition of pekka and Nashville seeming like a real contender, why is he so low? Is this a matter of him being older and not worth keeping for the future or what?
- Dobber 2016-07-21 at 13:20Log in to Reply
  
  It’s a matter of trust. Go here:
  http://dobberhockey.com/players/pekka-rinne
  
  In the Goalie Calculator window, click “Oct 1st” for the first box and “Dec 20th” for the second box. Now look at those numbers. That’s 28 games in and he was barely backup-worthy. How many fantasy teams did he ruin there? Can’t completely trust him.
  - Daniel Sandler 2016-07-21 at 13:39Log in to Reply
    
    Can you give a little more insight then into how you calculate the ratings? If Rinne is only low because of trust I get it, but I think he is in line for a big year with the addition of Subban and getting back to form like he was in 2010, ’12, ’14 (notice a pattern there?)
    Also, if Rinne’s rating is lower than it otherwise would be because of trust or stretches of bad play or just a bad season, how does being in a time-share affect things? I think MAF and MM are great goalies, but only one of them can start >50% of their games. How does that lack of possibilities for wins make them still within 5 points of Jake Allen?
    - Dobber 2016-07-21 at 15:01Log in to Reply
      
      I don’t think Rinne is in line for a big year at all. How on earth is adding Subban and subtracting Weber make them a sudden powerhouse? I don’t want him on my team. He’s not exactly young anymore and he still has some injury risk.
      Allen is a Band-Aid Boy and that drives his value down.
      MAF and MM are both still potential 35+ win goalies. These are keeper ratings and whichever one goes to a new team (expansion?) will get the net to himself – if not this year then next.
      - Daniel Sandler 2016-07-21 at 15:11
        
        So this is something I’ve always wondered since being a fan of your work and the site as a whole, how far into the future are you thinking with “keeper” rankings? I mean, Hellebuyck is the highest rated WPG goalie in your rankings but right now it doesn’t seem like he’ll play more than 30 games because he could be in the AHL all year barring injury
      - Dobber 2016-07-21 at 15:16
        
        I don’t go beyond three years, generally, because in keepers most players are traded/turned over within 2-3 years. That’s why you don’t see any ’16 draftees on here and the ’14 draftees are only now finally making their presence felt deep on the list.
        Hellebuyck will get that net, he’s their best goalie. And Pavelec gets hurt a lot
      - Dobber 2016-07-23 at 23:25
        
        I took a closer look and it turns out that after 46 games his numbers were even worse. For the second date, use Feb 13. He had a .902 SV% after 46 games! Yikes
99rules66isafatbum 2016-07-21 at 14:38Log in to Reply

Dobber – any chance you could make a goalie prospect list just like you do for forwards and D? There isn’t a lot out there and you seem to really follow the goalies. If not, could you recommend some sites that do rank prospect goalies? Thanks and keep up the great work.
- Dobber 2016-07-21 at 15:02Log in to Reply
  
  It’s in the works. But it’s been in the works for a year now so I wonder if that project ever gets done ;)
David Goodburn 2016-07-21 at 14:42Log in to Reply

Do you think Murray is that much better than Vasilevskiy long term? Both are in a similar situation of being the presumptive starter in 2017/18 but stuck behind an established starter for the time being. Better stats from Murray by far in the backup role last year but is it that big of a gap long term?
- Dobber 2016-07-21 at 15:05Log in to Reply
  
  I like Murray’s situation a ‘little’ bit better than Vas’s situation. Vas was supposed to steal starts last year and didn’t. What did he do to suddenly take more starts this year? I don’t see it. I see another 25 games. Again.
  Now look at what Murray did to steal more starts this year – he won a Cup!
  So with him 40 games or 50 games or even 55 games this year is within the realm of possibility
  - David Goodburn 2016-07-21 at 19:01Log in to Reply
    
    Thanks Dobber. Appreciate the insight and agree.
    
    The other side is that bishop is a much more attractive trade option than fleury so Vas may get a shot at a starter job first, assuming another goalie doesn’t come back to TB. Though Stevie Y has been known to hold on to his assets lol.
    
    A bit too hypothetical to influence the rankings much but a minor factor in guessing starts.
simon cadieux 2016-08-14 at 16:18Log in to Reply

Where I may find a Goalie prospect ranking ??

Thanks
- CM 2016-08-17 at 15:31Log in to Reply
  
  Dobber, are you working on one?

UPCOMING GAMES

Nov 21 - 19:11	WSH	vs	COL
Nov 21 - 19:11	CBJ	vs	T.B
Nov 21 - 19:11	OTT	vs	VGK
Nov 21 - 19:11	DET	vs	NYI
Nov 21 - 19:11	BOS	vs	UTA
Nov 21 - 19:11	N.J	vs	CAR
Nov 21 - 20:11	STL	vs	S.J
Nov 21 - 20:11	CHI	vs	FLA
Nov 21 - 21:11	CGY	vs	NYR
Nov 21 - 21:11	EDM	vs	MIN