Top 200 Fantasy Hockey Prospect Forwards – January 2017

Dobber

2017-01-10

Here are the Top 200 prospect forwards to own in your points-only keeper league…

 

Factored in are the player's upside, his likelihood, his wait time, the current depth chart and the organization's political landscape (which includes the player's contract status, draft position, whether or not anything was given up for him in a trade, etc.)

 

Coming this Friday, January 13 – Dobber's 10th annual Midseason Fantasy Hockey Guide. Pre-order it here! More prospect reports, second-half projections, college free agents, trading block info and more!

 

Jan 10 Prospect Team type Prospect Rating Dec 10 Nov 10
1 Jesse Puljujarvi EDM t 90.5 2 1
2 Mikko Rantanen COL p 83.6 4 12
3 Jimmy Vesey NYR o 81.9 3 3
4 Christian Dvorak ARI o 81.2 5 6
5 Travis Konecny PHI o 80.5 8 10
6 Dylan Strome ARI o 79.6 6 4
7 Anthony Mantha DET o 79.0 19 25
8 Kyle Connor WPG o 77.4 9 9
9 Brayden Point TBL os 74.8 10 15
10 Mathew Barzal NYI o 71.3 15 14
11 Pavel Zacha NJD p 70.1 11 11
12 Joel Eriksson Ek MIN o 69.4 14 13
13 Pierre-Luc Dubois CBJ o 69.2 12 7
14 Ryan Dzingel OTT o 69.0 21 20
15 Jake Guentzel PIT o 68.9 24 33
16 Jakub Vrana WAS o 68.2 20 30
17 Clayton Keller ARI o 68.2 22 21
18 Kevin Labanc SJS o 67.9 32 36
19 Oliver Bjorkstrand CBJ o 67.6 17 19
20 Colin White OTT o 67.4 30 29
21 Connor Brown TOR o 67.2 34 40
22 Anthony Beauvillier NYI o 66.9 23 22
23 Andreas Athanasiou DET o 66.4 25 24
24 Brendan Perlini ARI o 66.2 26 83
25 Timo Meier SJS o 65.8 27 26
26 Pavel Buchnevich NYR o 65.7 28 27
27 Kevin Fiala NSH o 65.6 29 34
28 Artturi Lehkonen MON o 65.1 31 31
29 Alexander Nylander BUF o 64.0 39 45
30 Brock Boeser VAN p 63.7 33 37
31 Devin Shore DAL t 62.5 40 41
32 Ivan Barbashev STL t 62.5 36 38
33 Tyson Jost COL o 62.4 38 44
34 Jack Roslovic WPG p 61.9 64 69
35 Lawson Crouse ARI p 61.7 41 46
36 Nikolay Goldobin SJS o 61.6 43 48
37 Nick Schmaltz CHI o 61.6 44 35
38 Brett Ritchie DAL p 61.5 37 42
39 Sven Andrighetto MON os 61.2 46 52
40 Denis Malgin FLA os 60.9 45 50
41 Mark Jankowski CGY p 60.8 94 95
42 Danton Heinen BOS o 60.7 42 47
43 Jayce Hawryluk FLA o 60.6 47 54
44 Jason Dickinson DAL t 60.4 48 56
45 Nicolas Petan WPG os 60.3 49 63
46 Charles Hudon MON o 60.1 50 58
47 Drake Caggiula EDM os 59.9 52 74
48 Tyler Motte CHI os 59.4 51 32
49 Alex Tuch MIN p 59.4 54 53
50 Vladislav Kamenev NSH t 59.4 55 60
51 Hudson Fasching BUF p 59.0 56 61
52 Adrian Kempe LAK o 58.9 59 43
53 Josh Ho-Sang NYI o 58.7 58 62
54 Nick Cousins PHI o 58.7 60 59
55 Alex DeBrincat CHI os 58.6 97 105
56 J.T. Compher COL t 58.3 61 66
57 Daniel Sprong PIT o 57.8 65 55
58 Frank Vatrano BOS o 57.7 68 70
59 Logan Brown OTT o 57.6 66 72
60 Sonny Milano CBJ o 57.6 57 23
61 Curtis Lazar OTT o 57.5 18 17
62 Zach Sanford WAS o 56.5 69 57
63 Michael Dal Colle NYI o 56.4 72 73
64 Nikita Scherbak MON o 56.3 74 79
65 Michael McCarron MON p 56.2 53 51
66 Evgeny Svechnikov DET p 56.0 76 65
67 Michael McLeod NJD t 55.7 71 76
68 Josh Anderson CBJ t 55.6 93 106
69 Austin Czarnik BOS os 55.4 95 158
70 Alan Quine NYI o 55.3 77 78
71 Kasperi Kapanen TOR o 55.1 63 68
72 Jean-Christophe Beaudin COL o 54.6 82 102
73 Jakob Forsbacka Karlsson BOS o 54.5 84 86
74 Anton Rodin VAN o 54.4 80 84
75 Hunter Shinkaruk CGY o 54.4 86 88
76 Brendan Leipsic TOR o 54.3 87 89
77 Brendan Gaunce VAN o 54.1 83 85
78 Tyler Bertuzzi DET p 54.1 89 92
79 Marko Dano WPG o 54.1 92 93
80 Ryan Hartman CHI t 53.5 108 112
81 Tobias Lindberg TOR o 53.5 88 91
82 Teemu Pulkkinen MIN o 53.5 62 67
83 Jake Virtanen VAN p 53.4 67 49
84 Nick Merkley ARI o 53.4 85 87
85 Riley Barber WAS t 53.2 91 80
86 Joel Armia WPG o 53.2 70 64
87 Martin Reway MON o 53.0 79 77
88 Nick Paul OTT p 52.9 75 71
89 Francis Perron OTT o 52.4 98 97
90 Rocco Grimaldi COL os 52.1 99 98
91 Riley Tufte DAL p 51.9 100 99
92 Daniel Carr MON o 51.8 78 82
93 Luke Kunin MIN o 51.8 101 135
94 Max Jones ANA p 51.5 102 147
95 Maxim Letunov SJS o 51.5 103 104
96 Seth Griffith FLA o 51.0 81 81
97 Nicolas Roy CAR p 50.9 105 108
98 Andrew Mangiapane CGY o 50.8 106 144
99 Ty Rattie CAR o 50.8 73 75
100 Reid Boucher VAN o 50.8 90 90
101 Valentin Zykov CAR o 50.5 109 113
102 Nikita Soshnikov TOR o 50.4 110 114
103 Kevin Roy ANA o 50.2 111 115
104 Adam Erne TBL p 50.2 112 116
105 Denis Gurianov DAL o 50.1 121 122
106 Matt Puempel NYR o 50.1 96 94
107 Anders Bjork BOS t 49.9 115 225
108 Kerby Rychel TOR p 49.8 104 100
109 Brock McGinn CAR p 49.7 107 111
110 Taylor Raddysh TBL o 49.5 116 NR
111 Lukas Sedlak CBJ o 49.5 117 118
112 Ryan MacInnis ARI t 49.5 118 119
113 Kirill Kaprizov MIN os 49.5 284 276
114 Nick Sorensen ANA o 49.1 120 121
115 John Quenneville NJD t 49.0 122 124
116 Vaclav Karabacek BUF t 49.0 123 125
117 Cole Ully DAL o 49.0 124 126
118 Cliff Pu BUF t 49.0 125 478
119 Morgan Klimchuk CGY t 48.9 126 127
120 Laurent Dauphin ARI o 48.8 127 129
121 German Rubtsov PHI t 48.7 113 117
122 Julius Nattinen ANA o 48.4 129 107
123 Deven Sideroff ANA o 48.4 130 109
124 Dennis Rasmussen CHI o 48.3 131 133
125 Alexander Khokhlachev BOS o 48.2 132 134
126 Vince Hinostroza CHI os 48.1 143 148
127 Dmytro Timashov TOR o 48.0 134 138
128 Jeremy Bracco TOR o 48.0 135 176
129 AJ Greer COL p 47.9 136 139
130 Oskar Lindblom PHI t 47.9 137 162
131 Christian Fischer ARI t 47.6 138 141
132 Josh Leivo TOR p 47.6 128 130
133 Rourke Chartier SJS o 47.5 139 143
134 Rasmus Asplund BUF o 47.4 144 150
135 Nicolas Aube-Kubel PHI o 47.4 140 132
136 Radel Fazleyev PHI o 47.3 141 145
137 Nikita Gusev TBL os 47.3 142 146
138 Grant Besse ANA o 46.7 145 NR
139 J.C. Lipon WPG t 46.7 146 152
140 Jordan Weal PHI os 46.6 147 153
141 Daniel O'Regan SJS o 46.6 148 154
142 Phillip Di Giuseppe CAR o 46.6 149 142
143 Mitchell Stephens TBL o 46.6 150 191
144 Jens Looke ARI o 46.6 133 137
145 Sam Steel ANA o 46.6 151 241
146 Andrew Poturalski CAR o 46.6 152 171
147 Nicklas Jensen NYR p 46.4 153 155
148 Ryan Gropp NYR p 46.4 154 156
149 Brendan Lemieux WPG p 46.3 155 157
150 Martins Dzierkals TOR o 46.3 157 159
151 Julien Gauthier CAR o 46.1 249 240
152 Joseph Blandisi NJD o 45.9 119 120
153 Anton Slepyshev EDM o 45.8 158 163
154 Anthony Richard NSH o 45.8 159 110
155 Justin Bailey BUF o 45.8 160 164
156 Nicholas Baptiste BUF o 45.8 161 165
157 Daniel Zaar CBJ o 45.8 162 166
158 Emile Poirier CGY o 45.8 163 96
159 Oskar Sundqvist PIT p 45.6 164 203
160 Axel Holmstrom DET o 45.6 165 167
161 Tage Thompson STL p 45.6 166 242
162 Travis Boyd WAS o 45.5 167 187
163 Giorgio Estephan BUF o 45.5 168 168
164 Warren Foegele CAR o 45.4 169 169
165 Jake DeBrusk BOS o 45.3 170 170
166 Kalle Kossila ANA os 45.3 156 128
167 Cole Cassels VAN o 45.3 114 101
168 Dominik Simon PIT o 45.2 171 123
169 Pontus Åberg  NSH t 45.2 172 151
170 Stanislav Galiev WAS o 45.1 173 160
171 Michael Spacek WPG o 45.0 174 252
172 Andreas Johnson TOR o 45.0 175 140
173 Kyle Rau FLA os 45.0 176 173
174 Aleksi Saarela CAR o 45.0 177 174
175 Adam Tambellini NYR o 44.9 178 175
176 Matej Stransky DAL o 44.8 179 177
177 Zach Senyshyn BOS o 44.8 180 178
178 Sergey Tolchinsky CAR os 44.8 181 136
179 Gemel Smith DAL o 44.6 182 179
180 Tyler Pitlick EDM o 44.6 183 180
181 Remi Elie DAL p 44.4 184 182
182 Ryan Fitzgerald BOS o 44.4 185 183
183 Michael Sgarbossa FLA o 44.4 186 236
184 Jonny Brodzinski LAK o 44.2 187 266
185 Paul Bittner CBJ p 44.1 188 186
186 Taylor Leier PHI o 44.0 189 227
187 Conor Garland ARI os 44.0 190 189
188 Martin Frk DET o 43.9 191 190
189 Alexandre Grenier VAN p 43.7 192 201
190 Alexander Kerfoot NJD os 43.6 193 278
191 Adam Mascherin FLA os 43.5 194 260
192 Brett Howden TBL t 43.5 195 315
193 Anthony Cirelli TBL o 43.5 258 NR
194 Carl Grundstrom TOR o 43.5 NR NR
195 Adam Helewka SJS o 43.4 197 192
196 Miles Wood NJD o 43.4 198 194
197 Jordan Kyrou STL o 43.0 199 239
198 Mario Lucia MIN o 43.0 200 196
199 Scott Wilson PIT o 42.9 201 198
200 Nick Lappin NJD o 42.9 202 199

 

This month's graduates:

 

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1 Marner Mitch TOR
7 Aho Sebastian CAR
13 Tkachuk Matthew CGY
16 Ritchie Nick ANA
35 Hyman Zach TOR

195 Sissons Colton NSH

1D Werenski Zach CBJ
2D Provorov Ivan PHI
4D Skjei Brady NYR

 

 

23 Comments

  1. Jordan Carbone 2017-01-10 at 08:23

    How does Bellows not make the list?

    • Dobber 2017-01-10 at 09:26

      Bellows dropped from 222 down to 232. Very minimal upside compared to most on this list

      • Marc-Olivier Fortier 2017-01-10 at 15:05

        Scored 2 goals vs Canada in gold medal game. That’s 2 more than most on this list. ;-) #clutch

        • Dobber 2017-01-10 at 15:07

          Didn’t he finish with like 2 goals on the tourney and something like 3 points? Clutch all you want. Claude Lemieux was clutch, but at best a mediocre fantasy own in points-only leagues

          • Marc-Olivier Fortier 2017-01-10 at 18:06

            True, however Dylan Strome dominated the standings in the tourney but now everyone says his fantasy value is dropping bc his production fell in the medal round games and he wasn’t able to lead us to victory. Argument can work both ways I guess.

  2. Jeremy Campbell 2017-01-10 at 11:55

    Good looking list. Most of those grads sure are doing well now, wow!

  3. bossman 2017-01-10 at 12:14

    Dobber… Has Pierre-Luc Dubois performance at worlds and Jrs since being sent down by CBJ effected their outlook on him as a top line C/W and what’s his time frame?

    And being that the NHL is becoming a young mans league, have you every thought about doing a under 21or 23 mix list D-men & Forwards on value not points? It would really help with dynasty leagues and some trade offers that include prospects.

    Thanks

    • Dobber 2017-01-10 at 12:58

      Interesting idea but I have quite a few lists already on my plate
      Dubois looking more like a future second liner. fantasy value falling

  4. 99rules66isafatbum 2017-01-10 at 12:16

    Is Troy Terry just a shoot out whiz with otherwise little upside? One guy i’m surprised didn’t crack the top 200 was Jordan Greenway. Showed chemistry with potential future linemate #93 Kunin and is a 6’5 net front beast. I own him and Lemieux, and to me Greenway slots ahead at the moment.

    • Dobber 2017-01-10 at 12:57

      Greenway jumped from 266 to 247. Power forwards almost always take an extra year or two to start putting up points, Kreider a great example.

      Terry from 340 to 297 this month. You can see with Ritchie how quickly these guys get fantasy-worthy points (i.e. not very quickly).

  5. Ryan Taylor 2017-01-10 at 12:46

    Weird to me that Tkachuk is a graduate but Konecny is not.

    • Dobber 2017-01-10 at 12:55

      It doesn’t hurt to leave a guy on there for one more month. But sure does hurt to put a player back on after I take him off. I’ve done that four times in my life, and I hate doing it each time. I’d rather leave a guy on there for an extra month. I gave Konecny a lot of thought, you can be sure. If you had to pick one of them, which would you pick?

  6. BrianSTC 2017-01-10 at 13:51

    Why has Sonny Milano dropped? He seems to be putting up good AHL numbers…

  7. Tommy Lemieux 2017-01-10 at 14:54

    Kaprizov 113rd?! Please explain me this one.

    • Dobber 2017-01-10 at 14:56

      Am I explaining why he’s too high (up 200 spots) or too low?

  8. richarddoucette 2017-01-11 at 05:34

    I don’t notice Filip Chlapik. He is having a good season in the Q and had a good Jr. Tournament

  9. Jordan 2017-01-12 at 02:58

    Clayton Keller seems like a Marner clone maybe a tad less dynamic. PPG minimum at every level. Just curious why he’s rated so low (17)? Especially after the WJC where he was a lot more impactful (scoresheet and visually) than guys like Strome (6), Pierre Luc Dubois (13). I’m a Canadian but clearly this American kid is a stud and continues to be underrated and I’m just not sure why.

    • Dobber 2017-01-12 at 07:51

      I don’t consider 17th low. And in fantasy hockey, keeper league owners are still influenced by the hype of being picked 3rd overall. Dubois is there strictly for that reason. Keller is nothing special – there are 30 Kellers on this list right now, he stands out no more than the rest of them – and with an organization that won’t have a 50-point player this year (so what does that say about the next two years?). He’s no Marner, either

      • Jordan 2017-01-14 at 02:13

        Hold on, he’s ranked there because “keeper league owners are still influenced by the hype of being picked 3rd overall.” Are you saying you have someone ranked strictly based on recency bias/draft position and not how they’re actually projecting based on production? Dubois in his Draft +1 is not even scoring at a PPG rate in the most offensively inclined league in the CHL. Where as someone like Keller in his Draft +1 is scoring at a 1.5 PPG rate not only as a freshman at BU, but at the same rate for his WJC team.

        While i don’t think he’s Marner, there are not 30 Kellers. In 2 years when him, dvorak, domi, duclair, crouse and strome are playing for the Yotes’ we’ll find out who’s the dynamic scorer of the bunch. My bet is he’ll be the one you’ll want for point production in fantasy in the mold of a marner-lite, pastrnak, ehlers, gaudreau.

        (btw not trying to be a dick ha, just passionate about the industry of fantasy sports and I’d like to be involved in it one day. If i misread what you wrote, then I apologize!)

        • Dobber 2017-01-14 at 09:25

          Value-bias is a thing, but it’s one of a handful of factors in this ranking. Could you trade Keller for Dubois in any of my THREE keeper leagues (heavily points-oriented)? NO. I’ll just leave it at that. But Keller, as good as he might be, could also be not-so good.
          Here are a list of “great” prospects that I’ve had angry comments over the years about:
          Kyle Beach
          Pavel Brendl
          Sergei Kostitsyn (they were mad that I didn’t graduate him…and then a month later he was sent down again)
          Robbie Schremp

          Draft position does not only play into a fantasy owner’s bias, but also a team’s. Do you think a player drafted 130th will get to stay in training camp for Day 2 of he has a bad Day 1? Nope. Do you think a player drafted 3rd overall same thing? Hell no, that guy gets to stay. An extreme example. But in the case of Keller, he won’t get as many opportunities as Dubois will because he wasn’t drafted third overall. One off day and camp and he’s cut. One poor NHL game and he’s scratched or sent down. Dubois gets a lot more leash (which means opportunity, which means more chances to succeed). I know the difference is only four draft slots, but at 7th overall – Arizona already has 10 guys drafted around 7th overall (I exaggerate, but you get it). How many high picks does Columbus have? Zilch. Dubois is their Golden Boy. He could suddenly go out there and forget how to skate, and drag himself around the ice by his hands, and the Jackets would just say “he’s just a little rusty” and give him more ice time.

          In this business, do not underestimate hockey politics and the power it wields.

          • Jordan 2017-01-14 at 17:52

            1st rounders are 1st rounders, I think you may be over analyzing a bit to say that the 3rd overall pick would get a longer look than the 7th or 9th or 12th. But, a team’s first rounder will always get a longer look than their 4th though we can agree on that.

            Also just an aside to consider moving forward in fantasy that I think people need to start considering. These old school NHL minds are starting to come around to the youth movement. Teams are finding ways to get guys time, especially teams like Arizona who are trying to rebuild in the mold of a Toronto etc.

            I guess I just will agree to disagree because there are a lot of points that I can’t concede on. However, like so many others I love your website, rankings and projections. Keep up the excellent work, and thanks for the response I respect your opinions.

          • Dobber 2017-01-15 at 14:18

            Thanks a lot Jordan. I do agree that Keller probably has more upside, and is probably just as likely (if not more) to succeed in the NHL, and all other things be equal he’s the better fantasy own. But I guess what wins out in the end is actual case examples. In this type of points format, in all three of my keeper leagues, Keller could not get Dubois straight up in a trade. So there’s an intangible there that I’m trying to get acknowledged. So in no way am I saying you’re wrong. Thanks for the kind words

  10. seb 2017-01-21 at 14:17

    I am just curious, what did Dvorak do to prove he is a better prospect than Strome?

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