Top 200 Fantasy Prospect Forwards – August 2016
Dobber
2016-08-10
The Top 200 Prospect Forwards to own in fantasy hockey, August edition.
Here are this month's top prospects to own in a points-only keeper league. Taking into account the organization depth chart, wait time, upside and NHL certainty. "Type" is measured by offensive/offense-small/power forward/two-way. This month, the main adjustments are from players being adjusted/added to the 'main' fantasy rankings. Those rankings have a small impact on these rankings, with the idea being that prospects worthy of consideration in the main rankings are obviously a little more valuable.
+/- 5.0 rating points please consider them similar in value
The Top 50 Prospect Defensemen – Posted Thursday, so check back in for that one…
Dobber's 10th Annual Fantasy Prospects Report – 190 pages of PURE GOLD prospect information from a fantasy hockey slant. Was out in June. Order it here today! You can get this report for just $6.50 when you buy the Fantasy Guide – get that package right here!
Aug 10 | Prospect | Team | type | Prospect Rating | Jul 10 | Jun 10 |
1 | Auston Matthews | TOR | o | 112.8 | 1 | NR |
2 | Patrik Laine | WPG | p | 112.2 | 2 | NR |
3 | Jesse Puljujarvi | EDM | t | 98.5 | 3 | NR |
4 | Mitch Marner | TOR | o | 91.9 | 7 | 3 |
5 | Dylan Strome | ARI | o | 90.0 | 5 | 1 |
6 | William Nylander | TOR | o | 87.7 | 6 | 2 |
7 | Pierre-Luc Dubois | CBJ | o | 81.6 | 4 | NR |
8 | Christian Dvorak | ARI | o | 77.3 | 9 | 5 |
9 | Sebastian Aho | CAR | o | 76.4 | 14 | 11 |
10 | Mikko Rantanen | COL | p | 76.2 | 8 | 4 |
11 | Kyle Connor | WPG | o | 75.3 | 10 | 6 |
12 | Jimmy Vesey | BUF | o | 75.0 | 13 | 8 |
13 | Pavel Zacha | NJD | p | 74.4 | 22 | 18 |
14 | Oliver Bjorkstrand | CBJ | o | 73.7 | 16 | 12 |
15 | Travis Konecny | PHI | o | 70.9 | 12 | 9 |
16 | Nick Ritchie | ANA | p | 70.9 | 11 | 10 |
17 | Brayden Point | TBL | os | 69.5 | 15 | 7 |
18 | Mathew Barzal | NYI | o | 69.3 | 18 | 14 |
19 | Sonny Milano | CBJ | o | 68.0 | 19 | 15 |
20 | Jake Virtanen | VAN | p | 67.7 | 20 | 17 |
21 | Anthony Mantha | DET | o | 67.7 | 21 | 16 |
22 | Clayton Keller | ARI | o | 67.3 | 23 | NR |
23 | Colin White | OTT | o | 67.2 | 24 | 19 |
24 | Kerby Rychel | TOR | p | 66.3 | 17 | 13 |
25 | Matthew Tkachuk | CGY | p | 66.2 | 25 | NR |
26 | Andreas Athanasiou | DET | o | 65.8 | 28 | 22 |
27 | Jakub Vrana | WAS | o | 65.3 | 26 | 20 |
28 | Kevin Fiala | NSH | o | 65.2 | 27 | 21 |
29 | Adrian Kempe | LAK | o | 64.2 | 31 | 27 |
30 | Brett Ritchie | DAL | p | 64.1 | 32 | 26 |
31 | Michael Dal Colle | NYI | o | 63.8 | 29 | 24 |
32 | Teemu Pulkkinen | DET | o | 63.7 | 30 | 23 |
33 | Ty Rattie | STL | o | 63.3 | 35 | 28 |
34 | Michael McCarron | MON | p | 62.9 | 34 | 29 |
35 | Martin Reway | MON | o | 62.7 | 89 | 79 |
36 | Timo Meier | SJS | o | 62.7 | 37 | 32 |
37 | Pavel Buchnevich | NYR | o | 62.6 | 36 | 31 |
38 | Nick Paul | OTT | p | 62.6 | 38 | 30 |
39 | Daniel Sprong | PIT | o | 62.5 | 39 | 35 |
40 | Tyson Jost | COL | o | 62.4 | 40 | NR |
41 | Alexander Nylander | BUF | o | 62.2 | 41 | NR |
42 | Ivan Barbashev | STL | t | 62.1 | 42 | 36 |
43 | Brock Boeser | VAN | p | 61.9 | 44 | 37 |
44 | Lawson Crouse | FLA | p | 61.7 | 48 | 42 |
45 | Connor Brown | TOR | o | 61.6 | 43 | 33 |
46 | Nicolas Petan | WPG | os | 61.5 | 33 | 25 |
47 | Sven Andrighetto | MON | os | 61.3 | 45 | 34 |
48 | Jonathan Marchessault | FLA | os | 61.1 | 66 | 72 |
49 | Jayce Hawryluk | FLA | o | 60.9 | 51 | 50 |
50 | Alex Tuch | MIN | p | 60.8 | 53 | 43 |
51 | Nick Schmaltz | CHI | o | 60.7 | 54 | 51 |
52 | Kevin Labanc | SJS | o | 60.7 | 47 | 41 |
53 | Jason Dickinson | DAL | t | 60.4 | 46 | 39 |
54 | Devin Shore | DAL | t | 60.3 | 49 | 46 |
55 | Ryan Dzingel | OTT | o | 60.1 | 50 | 48 |
56 | Nick Cousins | PHI | o | 59.9 | 95 | 86 |
57 | Frank Vatrano | BOS | o | 59.8 | 79 | 70 |
58 | Tyler Motte | CHI | os | 59.7 | 132 | 117 |
59 | Tobias Lindberg | TOR | o | 59.4 | 56 | 44 |
60 | Vladislav Kamenev | NSH | t | 59.4 | 58 | 53 |
61 | J.T. Compher | COL | t | 59.4 | 93 | 85 |
62 | Seth Griffith | BOS | o | 59.2 | 59 | 40 |
63 | Hudson Fasching | BUF | p | 59.2 | 60 | 49 |
64 | Charles Hudon | MON | o | 59.1 | 61 | 52 |
65 | Nikita Scherbak | MON | o | 58.9 | 55 | 45 |
66 | Nikolay Goldobin | SJS | o | 58.7 | 62 | 54 |
67 | Rocco Grimaldi | COL | os | 58.6 | 57 | 47 |
68 | Evgeny Svechnikov | DET | p | 58.5 | 64 | 56 |
69 | Joseph Blandisi | NJD | o | 58.3 | 52 | 38 |
70 | Marko Dano | WPG | o | 58.2 | 63 | 55 |
71 | Andrew Copp | WPG | o | 58.1 | 65 | 57 |
72 | Logan Brown | OTT | o | 57.6 | 68 | NR |
73 | Joel Armia | WPG | o | 57.5 | 69 | 59 |
74 | Reid Boucher | NJD | o | 57.3 | 67 | 58 |
75 | Nick Merkley | ARI | o | 57.0 | 71 | 63 |
76 | Kasperi Kapanen | TOR | o | 56.8 | 72 | 61 |
77 | Emile Poirier | CGY | o | 56.6 | 73 | 64 |
78 | Zach Hyman | TOR | o | 56.5 | 74 | 62 |
79 | Joel Eriksson Ek | MIN | o | 56.4 | 70 | 60 |
80 | Brendan Perlini | ARI | o | 56.4 | 75 | 66 |
81 | Josh Ho-Sang | NYI | o | 56.1 | 76 | 68 |
82 | Riley Barber | WAS | t | 56.1 | 77 | 67 |
83 | Drake Caggiula | EDM | os | 56.1 | 116 | 103 |
84 | Conor Sheary | PIT | o | 56.0 | 82 | 73 |
85 | Brendan Leipsic | TOR | o | 55.9 | 78 | 65 |
86 | Alan Quine | NYI | o | 55.1 | 129 | 115 |
87 | Anton Rodin | VAN | o | 55.1 | 135 | 120 |
88 | Daniel Carr | MON | o | 54.8 | 81 | 71 |
89 | Cole Cassels | VAN | o | 54.8 | 83 | 76 |
90 | Artturi Lehkonen | MON | o | 54.7 | 85 | 77 |
91 | Jakob Forsbacka Karlsson | BOS | o | 54.5 | 86 | 127 |
92 | Hunter Shinkaruk | CGY | o | 54.4 | 90 | 83 |
93 | Sergey Tolchinsky | CAR | os | 53.9 | 87 | 75 |
94 | Matt Puempel | OTT | o | 53.6 | 88 | 80 |
95 | Dennis Rasmussen | CHI | o | 53.3 | 91 | 81 |
96 | Julius Nattinen | ANA | o | 53.0 | 92 | 84 |
97 | Henrik Samuelsson | ARI | t | 52.9 | 98 | 78 |
98 | Bryan Rust | PIT | o | 52.5 | 84 | 74 |
99 | Francis Perron | OTT | o | 52.4 | 166 | 215 |
100 | Brendan Gaunce | VAN | o | 52.4 | 97 | 87 |
101 | Anton Slepyshev | EDM | o | 52.3 | 80 | 69 |
102 | Jordan Weal | PHI | os | 52.2 | 100 | 89 |
103 | Michael McLeod | NJD | t | 52.2 | 96 | NR |
104 | Riley Tufte | DAL | p | 51.9 | 99 | NR |
105 | Anthony Beauvillier | NYI | o | 51.8 | 150 | 134 |
106 | Jean-Christophe Beaudin | COL | o | 51.8 | 149 | 133 |
107 | Maxim Letunov | SJS | o | 51.5 | 101 | 88 |
108 | Tyler Bertuzzi | DET | p | 51.2 | 111 | 101 |
109 | Ryan Hartman | CHI | t | 51.2 | 103 | 92 |
110 | Dmytro Timashov | TOR | o | 51.0 | 105 | 93 |
111 | Anthony Richard | NSH | o | 50.8 | 106 | 94 |
112 | Markus Granlund | VAN | o | 50.8 | 102 | 90 |
113 | Brock McGinn | CAR | p | 50.7 | 104 | 95 |
114 | Stanislav Galiev | WAS | o | 50.5 | 94 | 82 |
115 | Andreas Johnson | TOR | o | 50.5 | 107 | 96 |
116 | Nikita Soshnikov | TOR | o | 50.4 | 109 | 97 |
117 | Kevin Roy | ANA | o | 50.2 | 110 | 100 |
118 | Adam Erne | TBL | p | 50.2 | 112 | 98 |
119 | German Rubtsov | PHI | t | 50.2 | 113 | NR |
120 | Kalle Kossila | ANA | os | 50.1 | 108 | 270 |
121 | Dominik Simon | PIT | o | 50.1 | 114 | 99 |
122 | Ryan MacInnis | ARI | t | 49.5 | 115 | 102 |
123 | Jake Guentzel | PIT | o | 49.4 | 117 | 104 |
124 | Tyler Graovac | MIN | o | 49.1 | 118 | 105 |
125 | Josh Leivo | TOR | p | 49.1 | 119 | 107 |
126 | Nicolas Roy | CAR | p | 49.1 | 120 | 106 |
127 | Denis Gurianov | DAL | o | 48.9 | 121 | 113 |
128 | Mark Jankowski | CGY | p | 48.9 | 123 | 108 |
129 | Brendan Lemieux | WPG | p | 48.8 | 124 | 112 |
130 | Phillip Di Giuseppe | CAR | o | 48.6 | 126 | 111 |
131 | Nicolas Aube-Kubel | PHI | o | 48.4 | 127 | 114 |
132 | Alexander Khokhlachev | BOS | o | 48.2 | 128 | 91 |
133 | Luke Kunin | MIN | o | 48.1 | 130 | NR |
134 | Jens Looke | ARI | o | 48.1 | 131 | 116 |
135 | Jacob De La Rose | MON | t | 47.9 | 133 | 118 |
136 | Nick Sorensen | ANA | o | 47.9 | 134 | 119 |
137 | Christian Fischer | ARI | t | 47.6 | 136 | 121 |
138 | Rourke Chartier | SJS | o | 47.5 | 137 | 122 |
139 | John Quenneville | NJD | t | 47.4 | 138 | 123 |
140 | Radel Fazleyev | PHI | o | 47.3 | 139 | 124 |
141 | Jack Roslovic | WPG | p | 47.3 | 140 | 125 |
142 | Nikita Gusev | TBL | os | 47.3 | 141 | 126 |
143 | Josh Anderson | CBJ | t | 47.2 | 170 | 153 |
144 | Deven Sideroff | ANA | o | 47.0 | 142 | 128 |
145 | Rasmus Asplund | BUF | o | 46.9 | 143 | NR |
146 | Zach Sanford | WAS | o | 46.8 | 144 | 129 |
147 | J.C. Lipon | WPG | t | 46.7 | 145 | 130 |
148 | Daniel O'Regan | SJS | o | 46.6 | 146 | 131 |
149 | Laurent Dauphin | ARI | o | 46.6 | 147 | 186 |
150 | Brett Pollock | CGY | t | 46.6 | 148 | 132 |
151 | Nicklas Jensen | NYR | p | 46.4 | 122 | 109 |
152 | Austin Czarnik | BOS | os | 46.3 | 151 | 135 |
153 | Martins Dzierkals | TOR | o | 46.3 | 152 | 136 |
154 | Tom Kuhnhackl | PIT | o | 46.1 | 125 | 110 |
155 | Oskar Lindblom | PHI | t | 46.0 | 153 | 137 |
156 | Vince Hinostroza | CHI | os | 45.9 | 154 | 138 |
157 | Vaclav Karabacek | BUF | t | 45.9 | 155 | 139 |
158 | Cole Ully | DAL | o | 45.9 | 156 | 140 |
159 | Ryan Gropp | NYR | p | 45.9 | 157 | 141 |
160 | Justin Bailey | BUF | o | 45.8 | 158 | 142 |
161 | Nicholas Baptiste | BUF | o | 45.8 | 159 | 143 |
162 | Axel Holmstrom | DET | o | 45.6 | 160 | 144 |
163 | Giorgio Estephan | BUF | o | 45.5 | 161 | 145 |
164 | Derek Grant | BUF | o | 45.4 | 162 | 146 |
165 | Scott Wilson | PIT | o | 45.2 | 163 | 147 |
166 | Danton Heinen | BOS | o | 45.1 | 164 | 148 |
167 | Kyle Rau | FLA | os | 45.0 | 165 | 149 |
168 | Aleksi Saarela | CAR | o | 45.0 | 167 | 150 |
169 | Valentin Zykov | CAR | o | 45.0 | 194 | 181 |
170 | Adam Tambellini | NYR | o | 44.9 | 169 | 152 |
171 | Jeremy Bracco | TOR | o | 44.8 | 171 | 154 |
172 | Tanner Kero | CHI | o | 44.8 | 172 | 155 |
173 | Daniel Zaar | CBJ | o | 44.6 | 173 | 157 |
174 | Andrew Mangiapane | CGY | o | 44.5 | 174 | 158 |
175 | Remi Elie | DAL | p | 44.4 | 175 | 159 |
176 | Ryan Fitzgerald | BOS | o | 44.4 | 176 | 160 |
177 | Andrew Poturalski | CAR | o | 44.1 | 178 | 163 |
178 | Colton Sissons | NSH | t | 44.1 | 179 | 173 |
179 | Samuel Blais | STL | o | 44.1 | 180 | 164 |
180 | Paul Bittner | CBJ | p | 44.1 | 181 | 209 |
181 | Travis Boyd | WAS | o | 44.1 | 182 | 166 |
182 | Mario Lucia | MIN | o | 44.0 | 185 | 170 |
183 | Noah Rod | SJS | t | 44.0 | 168 | 151 |
184 | Conor Garland | ARI | os | 44.0 | 186 | 171 |
185 | Mitchell Stephens | TBL | o | 43.7 | 187 | 175 |
186 | Jake DeBrusk | BOS | o | 43.5 | 188 | 258 |
187 | T.J. Tynan | CBJ | os | 43.5 | 189 | 208 |
188 | Nicolas Kerdiles | ANA | t | 43.5 | 190 | 176 |
189 | Scott Kosmachuk | WPG | t | 43.4 | 191 | 177 |
190 | Adam Helewka | SJS | o | 43.4 | 192 | 178 |
191 | Dylan Sadowy | DET | o | 43.4 | 193 | 179 |
192 | Bogdan Yakimov | EDM | p | 43.3 | 195 | 182 |
193 | Drew Shore | UFA | o | 43.2 | 177 | 162 |
194 | Teddy Blueger | PIT | o | 43.1 | 196 | 183 |
195 | Kieffer Bellows | NYI | p | 43.1 | 197 | NR |
196 | Oskar Sundqvist | PIT | p | 43.1 | 250 | 242 |
197 | Thomas Di Pauli | WAS | o | 43.0 | 198 | 187 |
198 | Zach Senyshyn | BOS | o | 43.0 | 199 | 188 |
199 | Mark McNeill | CHI | p | 42.8 | 203 | 191 |
200 | Alex DeBrincat | CHI | os | 42.8 | 274 | NR |
18 Comments
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Surprised DeBrincat is so low (200). He’s been going pretty high in a lot of drafts I’ve been doing this summer.
That’s a coup for you then. Let those GMs sit on him for a few years.
Did those same guys grab McNeill? Schmaltz (at 18, therefore sitting on him two years now, will likely be three)? Hartman? Teravainen (still didn’t make a points-only pro roster until likely 2016-17 after sitting on him for four years)? Kyle Beach? Pirri?
Minimum four years for DeBrincat – and that’s just four years before his first 40-point season. How long for his actual fantasy-helpful season? Chicago is not the team to go out and grab 18-year-old high draft picks. Better off taking another 18-year-old with another organization, or targeting 20 or 21-year-olds (i.e. now is the time I’d be targeting Schmatlz and Motte in my 15-team, 37-player roster league)
A player like DeBrincat would jump up about 60 spots each year and would be a Top 20 own (if all goes well) in the summer of 2019.
Good update, much better than the July ranking. I can’t really argue with anything (I may have Dubois behind the next three or four below him)
Great stuff as always, Dobber.
Any thoughts on Brock Boeser climbing the rankings? He’s a strong candidate to make the Canucks in 2017-18 and has the look of an A prospect. I see a lot of Patrick Sharp in him.
Thanks Cam
Sharp is a fair comparison. And Sharp was 24 when he first became useful in points-only leagues, so…
Besides, Boeser is in college and has not turned pro
Sharp certainly took his time reaching fantasy relevance, but from what I’ve seen, Boeser is quite a bit ahead in terms of development at the same age. He’s on a path that would see him turn pro after this season and begin producing quality NHL points by 2018-19 or 2019-20 at age 21/22.
I may be higher on him then some, but he’s got an elite shot that is going to only get better. Now Vancouver needs to find a distributor to grow up alongside him.
Don’t rush prospects man, they almost always take four years minimum to become fantasy relevant, even the great ones.
He is in college again this year, so that’s for sure one year wait. Plus on a crap team like VAN you know his first year is going to be sub-50 points. So best case is – best case – in 2018-19 he gets over 50 points.
I won’t bank on best case, I’ll add in a year for ‘likely case’. So 2019-20.
The beauty thing about monthly rankings is that as soon as something changes, you can adjust them! So if Vancouver signs him in March then he’ll bump up 60 spots or more.
Awesome stuff as always Dobber.
One guy I would have much higher is Buchnevich. He should be top-15 guy with his level of talent and opportunity for success right away. He will likely on the 3rd line but has an opportunity to move up quickly especially if Nash is moved as has been speculated for awhile.
Looks good! Hopefully there’s a TOR beside Vesey next week but sounds like the Leafs are out of the running for him depending on who you believe.
Tkachuk, Boeser, Brown, Bellows and Senyshyn far too low. Boeser is close to a mortal lock to be in the NHL next season (2018-2018). Tkachuk could be there this season and has star potential. Neither should be downrated due to their years away from the NHL. They are 1 year out. There are to many marginal prospects rated high simply due to being perceived as NHL ready that have very, very lmited upside. Jensen for the NYR springs to mind. What do you see in him?
The methodology seems odd to me. Far too much preference for time to NHL. Even with that approach, I see Clayton Keller ahead of Boeser and I shake my head.
I think you’ll be disappointed, man. You can’t sit on a player for five years waiting for him to get 50 measly points. Not when there’s a ‘less hyped’ guy sitting right there who could get 45 points immediately and 55 within two years.
After seeing the Khoch treatment, I’m not sure how you can be all that high on Senyshyn, either…
Who are you referring to? Boeser? If so you are way off. He is the Canucks top prospect and will certainly be a better points producer than Virtanen. Probably as soon as next year. He has first line upside and second line downside. Better NHL prospect than Vesey and only a year behind him in NHL readiness.
I’m not “high” on Senyshyn. He’s a legit NHL prospect that was just taken too high.
These discussions are great because two years from now when you’re right you can laugh in my face. And if you’re wrong you can just forget you ever said anything. Beauty!
;)
To be fair my only other critique was pointing out this spring the incredibly low ranking on Kyle Connor. I’m just not sure what else Boeser needed to accomplish last year to be considered vastly superior to Vrana, Fiala, Rychel, Pulkkinen, Sprong, Paul, Reway, Virtanen (I’m a Canucks fan), Kempe, Athanasiou, Brett Richie, Mantha, Rattie, Barbashev and Milano. I also rate him ahead of Konecny (who I really like), Nick Ritchie (I will give you NHL readiness on this one), Point, Dal Colle (very poor season) and White.
Thomas Di Pauli profile no work
I’d rank Nylander ahead of Strome personally, but it’s nice to see a lot of TOR prospects in the top 200. Good list. :)
Strome just doesn’t impress me… I know he puts up numbers in the OHL; however, it seems that whenever the competition gets stiffer, he doesn’t rise to the occasion. Marner destroyed him head-to-head in the OHL playoffs and he wasn’t very good in the playoffs last year either. I’ve heard he also didn’t look particularly impressive at the Coyotes’ summer camp. He’ll be an NHL player, but I think he may be more of a Chris Gratton type than a Toews or Kopitar.