Top 200 Fantasy Prospect Forwards – March 2017
Dobber
2017-03-16
Here are the Top 200 prospect forwards to own in fantasy hockey – March edition
This month I did a full and thorough audit, as I do every four or five months. The list takes into account upside, likelihood, wait time, team depth, and organizational status. "Type" is offense, two-way, offensive/small, power forward. This month's graduates can be found at the bottom…
Don't forget: plus or minus 5.0 rating points are considered equal value and at that point becomes a matter of need, mood, or opinion.
Mar 10 | Prospect | Team | type | Prospect Rating | Feb 10 | Jan 10 |
1 | Jake Guentzel | PIT | o | 79.7 | 9 | 15 |
2 | Anthony Mantha | DET | o | 79.5 | 6 | 7 |
3 | Dylan Strome | ARI | o | 79.4 | 5 | 6 |
4 | Jesse Puljujarvi | EDM | t | 78.3 | 1 | 1 |
5 | Clayton Keller | ARI | o | 76.2 | 17 | 17 |
6 | Pavel Buchnevich | NYR | o | 72.1 | 10 | 26 |
7 | Jimmy Vesey | NYR | o | 71.9 | 7 | 3 |
8 | Kyle Connor | WPG | o | 71.0 | 8 | 8 |
9 | Joel Eriksson Ek | MIN | o | 70.6 | 14 | 12 |
10 | Pavel Zacha | NJD | p | 69.8 | 12 | 11 |
11 | Mathew Barzal | NYI | o | 69.5 | 13 | 10 |
12 | Kevin Labanc | SJS | o | 68.9 | 18 | 18 |
13 | Jakub Vrana | WAS | o | 68.2 | 16 | 16 |
14 | Pierre-Luc Dubois | CBJ | t | 68.0 | 24 | 13 |
15 | Connor Brown | TOR | o | 67.7 | 15 | 21 |
16 | Oliver Bjorkstrand | CBJ | o | 67.6 | 19 | 19 |
17 | Colin White | OTT | o | 67.4 | 20 | 20 |
18 | Brendan Perlini | ARI | o | 67.2 | 21 | 24 |
19 | Anthony Beauvillier | NYI | o | 66.9 | 23 | 22 |
20 | Timo Meier | SJS | o | 66.8 | 27 | 25 |
21 | Andreas Athanasiou | DET | o | 66.8 | 22 | 23 |
22 | Kevin Fiala | NSH | o | 65.6 | 26 | 27 |
23 | Artturi Lehkonen | MON | o | 65.6 | 25 | 28 |
24 | Ivan Barbashev | STL | t | 65.4 | 28 | 32 |
25 | Alexander Nylander | BUF | o | 65.1 | 29 | 29 |
26 | Nick Schmaltz | CHI | o | 65.0 | 35 | 37 |
27 | Nikolay Goldobin | VAN | o | 64.9 | 34 | 36 |
28 | Brock Boeser | VAN | p | 64.8 | 30 | 30 |
29 | Tyson Jost | COL | o | 64.8 | 32 | 33 |
30 | Josh Ho-Sang | NYI | o | 62.5 | 49 | 53 |
31 | Logan Brown | OTT | o | 61.0 | 51 | 59 |
32 | Jack Roslovic | WPG | t | 60.7 | 39 | 34 |
33 | Jayce Hawryluk | FLA | o | 60.7 | 38 | 43 |
34 | Kirill Kaprizov | MIN | os | 60.5 | 87 | 113 |
35 | Daniel Sprong | PIT | o | 60.2 | 54 | 57 |
36 | Drake Caggiula | EDM | os | 60.0 | 44 | 47 |
37 | Denis Malgin | FLA | os | 59.9 | 45 | 40 |
38 | Nicolas Petan | WPG | os | 59.8 | 42 | 45 |
39 | Lawson Crouse | ARI | p | 59.6 | 33 | 35 |
40 | Mark Jankowski | CGY | p | 59.5 | 46 | 41 |
41 | Sven Andrighetto | COL | os | 59.4 | 40 | 39 |
42 | Vladislav Kamenev | NSH | t | 59.4 | 47 | 50 |
43 | Tage Thompson | STL | o | 59.4 | 160 | 161 |
44 | Ryan Hartman | CHI | t | 58.8 | 53 | 80 |
45 | Danton Heinen | BOS | o | 58.1 | 37 | 42 |
46 | Charles Hudon | MON | o | 58.0 | 43 | 46 |
47 | Jason Dickinson | DAL | t | 57.7 | 41 | 44 |
48 | Christian Fischer | ARI | p | 57.7 | 61 | 131 |
49 | Hudson Fasching | BUF | p | 57.7 | 55 | 51 |
50 | Sonny Milano | CBJ | o | 57.6 | 57 | 60 |
51 | Adrian Kempe | LAK | o | 57.4 | 58 | 52 |
52 | Alex DeBrincat | CHI | os | 57.3 | 59 | 55 |
53 | J.T. Compher | COL | t | 57.3 | 60 | 56 |
54 | Kasperi Kapanen | TOR | o | 57.2 | 70 | 71 |
55 | Michael McLeod | NJD | t | 56.7 | 67 | 67 |
56 | Luke Kunin | MIN | o | 56.6 | 91 | 93 |
57 | Tyler Motte | CHI | os | 56.6 | 52 | 48 |
58 | Jakob Forsbacka Karlsson | BOS | o | 56.4 | 72 | 73 |
59 | Nikita Scherbak | MON | o | 56.1 | 63 | 64 |
60 | Evgeny Svechnikov | DET | o | 56.0 | 65 | 66 |
61 | Austin Czarnik | BOS | os | 55.4 | 68 | 69 |
62 | Alex Tuch | MIN | p | 55.1 | 48 | 49 |
63 | Curtis Lazar | CGY | o | 55.0 | 64 | 61 |
64 | Alan Quine | NYI | o | 54.9 | 69 | 70 |
65 | Jean-Christophe Beaudin | COL | o | 54.6 | 71 | 72 |
66 | Brendan Leipsic | TOR | o | 54.3 | 73 | 76 |
67 | Denis Gurianov | DAL | o | 54.1 | 106 | 105 |
68 | Tyler Bertuzzi | DET | p | 54.1 | 75 | 78 |
69 | Daniel O'Regan | SJS | t | 54.1 | 140 | 141 |
70 | Sam Steel | ANA | o | 53.4 | 143 | 145 |
71 | Anton Rodin | VAN | o | 53.4 | 78 | 74 |
72 | Nick Merkley | ARI | o | 53.4 | 79 | 84 |
73 | Hunter Shinkaruk | CGY | o | 53.0 | 76 | 75 |
74 | Tobias Lindberg | TOR | o | 52.4 | 82 | 81 |
75 | Julien Gauthier | CAR | o | 52.3 | 150 | 151 |
76 | Michael McCarron | MON | p | 52.3 | 62 | 65 |
77 | Michael Dal Colle | NYI | o | 52.3 | 66 | 63 |
78 | Nicolas Roy | CAR | p | 52.0 | 97 | 97 |
79 | Henrik Borgstrom | FLA | t | 52.0 | 207 | 210 |
80 | Francis Perron | OTT | o | 51.9 | 101 | 89 |
81 | Kenny Agostino | STL | o | 51.6 | 83 | 287 |
82 | Taylor Raddysh | TBL | o | 51.6 | 111 | 110 |
83 | Riley Barber | WAS | t | 51.3 | 81 | 85 |
84 | Teemu Pulkkinen | MIN | o | 50.9 | 90 | 82 |
85 | Rocco Grimaldi | COL | os | 50.7 | 86 | 90 |
86 | Jake Virtanen | VAN | p | 50.7 | 80 | 83 |
87 | Nikita Gusev | TBL | os | 50.7 | 99 | 137 |
88 | Seth Griffith | TOR | o | 50.6 | 96 | 96 |
89 | Cliff Pu | BUF | o | 50.5 | 100 | 118 |
90 | Nikita Soshnikov | TOR | o | 50.4 | 103 | 102 |
91 | Max Jones | ANA | p | 50.3 | 93 | 94 |
92 | Maxim Letunov | SJS | o | 50.0 | 94 | 95 |
93 | Anders Bjork | BOS | t | 49.9 | 108 | 107 |
94 | Daniel Carr | MON | o | 49.5 | 89 | 92 |
95 | Jeremy Bracco | TOR | o | 49.5 | 127 | 128 |
96 | Brock McGinn | CAR | p | 49.3 | 107 | 109 |
97 | Kevin Roy | ANA | o | 49.3 | 104 | 103 |
98 | Martin Reway | MON | o | 49.1 | 92 | 87 |
99 | AJ Greer | COL | p | 48.9 | 128 | 129 |
100 | Justin Bailey | BUF | o | 48.9 | 154 | 155 |
101 | Matt Puempel | NYR | o | 48.8 | 110 | 106 |
102 | German Rubtsov | PHI | t | 48.7 | 120 | 121 |
103 | Laurent Dauphin | ARI | o | 48.6 | 121 | 120 |
104 | Ty Rattie | STL | o | 48.5 | 114 | 99 |
105 | Rasmus Asplund | BUF | o | 48.4 | 132 | 134 |
106 | Reid Boucher | VAN | o | 48.3 | 109 | 100 |
107 | Andrew Mangiapane | CGY | o | 48.3 | 98 | 98 |
108 | Jordan Greenway | MIN | p | 48.3 | 247 | 247 |
109 | Alexander Khokhlachev | BOS | o | 48.2 | 124 | 125 |
110 | Vince Hinostroza | CHI | os | 48.1 | 125 | 126 |
111 | Cole Ully | DAL | o | 48.1 | 118 | 117 |
112 | Anthony Cirelli | TBL | o | 48.0 | 191 | 193 |
113 | Filip Chlapik | OTT | o | 48.0 | 234 | 235 |
114 | Valentin Zykov | CAR | o | 47.9 | 102 | 101 |
115 | John Quenneville | NJD | t | 47.9 | 116 | 115 |
116 | Oskar Lindblom | PHI | t | 47.9 | 129 | 130 |
117 | Adam Mascherin | FLA | os | 47.8 | 130 | 191 |
118 | Zach Sanford | STL | o | 47.7 | 84 | 62 |
119 | Nicholas Baptiste | BUF | o | 47.5 | 155 | 156 |
120 | Joseph Blandisi | NJD | o | 47.4 | 163 | 152 |
121 | Ryan Gropp | NYR | p | 47.4 | 147 | 148 |
122 | Michael Sgarbossa | FLA | o | 47.3 | 135 | 183 |
123 | Josh Leivo | TOR | p | 47.2 | 137 | 132 |
124 | Nick Paul | OTT | p | 47.1 | 95 | 88 |
125 | Riley Tufte | DAL | p | 47.0 | 88 | 91 |
126 | Dmytro Timashov | TOR | o | 47.0 | 126 | 127 |
127 | Adam Gaudette | VAN | o | 47.0 | 352 | 353 |
128 | Nick Sorensen | ANA | o | 46.8 | 115 | 114 |
129 | Grant Besse | ANA | o | 46.7 | 138 | 138 |
130 | Rourke Chartier | SJS | o | 46.6 | 131 | 133 |
131 | Carl Grundstrom | TOR | o | 46.6 | 192 | 194 |
132 | Andrew Poturalski | CAR | o | 46.6 | 144 | 146 |
133 | Jonny Brodzinski | LAK | o | 46.5 | 181 | 184 |
134 | John Hayden | CHI | p | 46.4 | 301 | 302 |
135 | Nicklas Jensen | NYR | p | 46.4 | 146 | 147 |
136 | Deven Sideroff | ANA | o | 46.4 | 123 | 123 |
137 | Kalle Kossila | ANA | os | 46.1 | 151 | 166 |
138 | Oskar Sundqvist | PIT | t | 46.1 | 158 | 159 |
139 | Dylan Sikura | CHI | o | 46.0 | 186 | 245 |
140 | Vitali Abramov | CBJ | os | 46.0 | 337 | 338 |
141 | Adam Erne | TBL | p | 46.0 | 105 | 104 |
142 | Kerby Rychel | TOR | p | 45.9 | 145 | 108 |
143 | Anton Slepyshev | EDM | o | 45.8 | 152 | 153 |
144 | Ryan MacInnis | ARI | t | 45.8 | 113 | 112 |
145 | Julius Nattinen | ANA | o | 45.8 | 122 | 122 |
146 | Daniel Zaar | CBJ | o | 45.8 | 156 | 157 |
147 | Morgan Klimchuk | CGY | t | 45.6 | 119 | 119 |
148 | Mitchell Stephens | TBL | t | 45.5 | 141 | 143 |
149 | Adam Brooks | TOR | o | 45.5 | 274 | 274 |
150 | Travis Boyd | WAS | o | 45.5 | 161 | 162 |
151 | Peter Cehlarik | BOS | o | 45.5 | 182 | 203 |
152 | Jake DeBrusk | BOS | o | 45.3 | 165 | 165 |
153 | Dominik Simon | PIT | o | 45.2 | 166 | 168 |
154 | Pontus Åberg | NSH | t | 45.2 | 167 | 169 |
155 | Radel Fazleyev | PHI | o | 45.0 | 134 | 136 |
156 | Aleksi Saarela | CAR | o | 45.0 | 172 | 174 |
157 | Emile Poirier | CGY | o | 44.8 | 157 | 158 |
158 | Martins Dzierkals | TOR | o | 44.8 | 149 | 150 |
159 | Matej Stransky | DAL | o | 44.8 | 174 | 176 |
160 | Zach Senyshyn | BOS | o | 44.8 | 175 | 177 |
161 | Tyler Pitlick | EDM | o | 44.6 | 177 | 180 |
162 | Jordan Weal | PHI | os | 44.6 | 244 | 140 |
163 | Jonathan Dahlen | VAN | o | 44.5 | 316 | 317 |
164 | Sergey Tolchinsky | CAR | os | 44.4 | 178 | 178 |
165 | Remi Elie | DAL | p | 44.4 | 179 | 181 |
166 | Warren Foegele | CAR | o | 44.4 | 164 | 164 |
167 | Axel Holmstrom | DET | o | 44.3 | 159 | 160 |
168 | Cole Cassels | VAN | o | 44.3 | 168 | 167 |
169 | Kyle Rau | FLA | os | 44.1 | 171 | 173 |
170 | Adam Helewka | SJS | t | 44.0 | 193 | 195 |
171 | Mathieu Joseph | TBL | t | 44.0 | 323 | 324 |
172 | Justin Auger | LAK | p | 44.0 | 310 | 311 |
173 | Yakov Trenin | NSH | o | 44.0 | 219 | 222 |
174 | Martin Frk | DET | o | 43.9 | 185 | 188 |
175 | Gemel Smith | DAL | o | 43.7 | 176 | 179 |
176 | Alexandre Grenier | VAN | p | 43.7 | 187 | 189 |
177 | William Carrier | BUF | t | 43.7 | 205 | 208 |
178 | Conor Garland | ARI | os | 43.6 | 184 | 187 |
179 | Alexander Kerfoot | NJD | os | 43.6 | 189 | 190 |
180 | Mike Amadio | LAK | o | 43.5 | 216 | 219 |
181 | Brett Howden | TBL | t | 43.5 | 190 | 192 |
182 | Ryan Fitzgerald | BOS | o | 43.5 | 180 | 182 |
183 | Michael Mersch | LAK | o | 43.4 | 273 | 273 |
184 | Anthony Richard | NSH | o | 43.4 | 153 | 154 |
185 | Miles Wood | NJD | o | 43.4 | 194 | 196 |
186 | Maxim Shalunov | CHI | o | 43.2 | 195 | NR |
187 | Michael Spacek | WPG | o | 43.1 | 169 | 171 |
188 | Giorgio Estephan | BUF | o | 43.1 | 162 | 163 |
189 | Vaclav Karabacek | BUF | t | 43.1 | 117 | 116 |
190 | Andreas Johnson | TOR | o | 43.1 | 170 | 172 |
191 | Blake Pietila | NJD | o | 43.1 | 224 | 225 |
192 | Jordan Kyrou | STL | o | 43.0 | 196 | 197 |
193 | Brandon Hagel | BUF | o | 43.0 | NR | NR |
194 | Mario Lucia | MIN | o | 43.0 | 198 | 198 |
195 | Tyler Benson | EDM | o | 43.0 | 336 | 337 |
196 | Janne Kuokkanen | CAR | o | 43.0 | 261 | 261 |
197 | Brendan Lemieux | WPG | p | 42.8 | 148 | 149 |
198 | Scott Kosmachuk | WPG | t | 42.7 | 212 | 215 |
199 | Carter Verhaeghe | NYI | o | 42.6 | 203 | 206 |
200 | Radovan Bondra | CHI | o | 42.6 | 230 | 231 |
Graduating this month…
Brendan Gaunce
Christian Dvorak
Dennis Rasmussen
Frank Vatrano
Jayson Megna
Joel Armia
Lukas Sedlak
Marko Dano
Michael Chaput
Nick Cousins
Scott Wilson
Travis Konecny
Brayden Point
Brett Ritchie
Mikko Rantanen
Devin Shore
13 Comments
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What’s the criteria for graduation? It appears to be subjective or arbitrary.
Yeah pretty much. If you want something official, it’s “when Dobber becomes 100% confident that he’s not going to be returned to the minors – not 99.9%, 100%” And it doesn’t hurt to leave them there for another month if I’m only 99.99999%
Sorry I like standards. My favorite is the Hockey News Future watch. The rate all players under 21 or the Hockey Writers who either grade pure prospects or teams players 25 & under. No perfect standard but you have to have something. Ha-ha!
As always love the data & insight juts far more structured.
I’m the opposite. Structure ruins it. All rules need to be flexible. Been doing this for 10 years and I”m really happy with it.
Appreciate the kind words
I live by the 80/20 rule. It applies to almost everything in life. 80% follows a norm or pattern, the other 20% anything can happen.
I’m 30+ years in. Started my 1st draft pool league in 1980-81, spun off our 1st H2H fantasy league in 91. No internet then, ran thru the Province; published stats in Tuesdays addition, & processed all stats manually with excel. We have 2 owners still participating that were their in 1980, the majority of the remainder mid to late 90’s.
That’s great. 27 years for me in my one keeper. Began when I was 15. Pen and paper every Tuesday. Read everything I could get my hands on.
Been doing the prospects list publicly for 10 years. Been living by the 100/0 rule – 100% what I want to do and 0% what others want me to do ;) haha
You do good work. I checked in periodically going back about 7 years. Started reading the ramblings religiously 3 maybe 4 years ago just started weighing in over the last year maybe 2.
Thanks! Wish you chimed in earlier, it’s been great
A couple of total hockey dweebs. I have been for as long as I can remember now. Late teens. It’s not a hockey pool, fantasy league, box pool what have you, it’s a hobby that has kind of manifested into numerous business opportunities. 1 that returns a significant return.
I hate seeing Vesey above Connor, even if it’s essentially a wash. Yes, still bitter about last year’s Hobey snub. FWIW, Connor has 30P in his last 30 AHL games so a call-up should be coming. Not sure where he slots in though.
That should bump him past that bum Vesey….
Hey Dobber can you give some perspective on the rating? What would an 80 rating be considered as? Love your stuff!
Just a result of my calculation. The three at 79 or 80 here:
Guentzel is 95% certain of being an NHLer with an 80-point ceiling, zero wait time, and holds good value on the regular fantasy list.
Mantha is 90%, 77-point ceiling, zero wait time, holds great value on the regular list because he has so many points already.
Strome is 90% certain, 90-point ceiling, but two years wait time (or one more season, that is) and has good value on the regular fantasy list (similar to Guentzel).
The regular fantasy list factors in 3YP, depth chart and injury proneness as well as the other stuff.
On the regular list next month, Keller and Guentzel will move up, which will cause their numbers on this list to move up next month.
Hey thanks a lot and not just for the response but the heads up on Guentzel he has been a fantastic pick up