Top 200 Prospect Forwards in Fantasy Hockey – February 2016
Dobber
2016-02-11
There is a new prospect atop this month's Top 200 Fantasy Hockey Prospects list – and his spot there is not a 'lark'!
Also new this month is the fact that I'm expanding and separating the two lists. Rather than give you the Top 180 forwards and Top 35 defensemen I thought I'd give each of them their own focus. So here for the first time, I present to you the Top 200 forwards. Tomorrow I will post the Top 50 defensemen. That's right, you now have 250 names to look over instead of 215. More isn't always better…but it sure as hell is in this case!
These are the top prospect forwards to own in fantasy hockey, combining a mix of NHL certainty with upside and wait time (waiting on a prospect for five years, for example, will seriously penalize their value). The 'type' of prospect is also indicated (offensive, two-way, offensive-small, power). Note: clicking on a name will take you to our profile of that prospect, complete with observations, stats, outlook and more.
Feb 10 | Prospect | Team | type | Prospect Rating | Jan 10 | Dec 10 |
1 | Dylan Larkin | DET | o | 93.4 | 4 | 5 |
2 | Artemi Panarin | CHI | os | 92.7 | 3 | 4 |
3 | Max Domi | ARI | p | 91.6 | 2 | 2 |
4 | Nikolaj Ehlers | WPG | o | 91.5 | 5 | 3 |
5 | Sam Bennett | CGY | o | 87.6 | 6 | 6 |
6 | Sam Reinhart | BUF | o | 81.5 | 9 | 12 |
7 | Anthony Duclair | ARI | o | 80.2 | 12 | 9 |
8 | William Nylander | TOR | o | 78.8 | 11 | 10 |
9 | Dylan Strome | ARI | o | 77.9 | 10 | 11 |
10 | Mitch Marner | TOR | o | 74.6 | 13 | 14 |
11 | Robby Fabbri | STL | os | 72.4 | 17 | 21 |
12 | Nicolas Petan | WPG | os | 72.2 | 15 | 19 |
13 | Nikolay Goldobin | SJS | o | 72.2 | 16 | 20 |
14 | Jared McCann | VAN | o | 72.0 | 14 | 15 |
15 | Anthony Mantha | DET | o | 71.4 | 18 | 22 |
16 | Michael Dal Colle | NYI | o | 71.1 | 19 | 18 |
17 | Nick Ritchie | ANA | p | 69.3 | 20 | 25 |
18 | Kevin Fiala | NSH | o | 69.3 | 21 | 26 |
19 | Mikko Rantanen | COL | p | 68.5 | 24 | 37 |
20 | Jake Virtanen | VAN | p | 68.2 | 25 | 16 |
21 | Jason Dickinson | DAL | t | 67.8 | 26 | 29 |
22 | Christian Dvorak | ARI | o | 67.7 | 27 | 28 |
23 | Teemu Pulkkinen | DET | o | 67.5 | 23 | 24 |
24 | Oliver Bjorkstrand | CBJ | o | 67.4 | 29 | 30 |
25 | Sonny Milano | CBJ | o | 67.4 | 30 | 31 |
26 | Travis Konecny | PHI | o | 66.2 | 32 | 34 |
27 | Kerby Rychel | CBJ | p | 65.9 | 33 | 35 |
28 | Emile Poirier | CGY | o | 65.5 | 34 | 36 |
29 | Nikita Scherbak | MON | o | 65.1 | 31 | 32 |
30 | Brett Ritchie | DAL | p | 64.3 | 35 | 39 |
31 | Alexander Khokhlachev | BOS | o | 64.1 | 37 | 49 |
32 | Tomas Jurco | DET | o | 63.9 | 38 | 33 |
33 | Ty Rattie | STL | o | 63.6 | 45 | 47 |
34 | Henrik Samuelsson | ARI | t | 63.6 | 40 | 41 |
35 | Rocco Grimaldi | FLA | os | 63.3 | 39 | 42 |
36 | Adrian Kempe | LAK | o | 63.2 | 41 | 57 |
37 | Shane Prince | OTT | o | 63.0 | 47 | 50 |
38 | Daniel Sprong | PIT | o | 63.0 | 42 | 43 |
39 | Oscar Lindberg | NYR | t | 63.0 | 28 | 17 |
40 | Alex Tuch | MIN | p | 62.7 | 43 | 45 |
41 | Pavel Zacha | NJD | p | 62.7 | 44 | 40 |
42 | Ivan Barbashev | STL | t | 62.2 | 46 | 48 |
43 | Nick Schmaltz | CHI | o | 61.9 | 48 | 65 |
44 | Connor Brown | TOR | o | 61.5 | 49 | 52 |
45 | Jimmy Vesey | NSH | o | 61.0 | 50 | 53 |
46 | Seth Griffith | BOS | o | 61.0 | 51 | 44 |
47 | Brendan Perlini | ARI | o | 60.9 | 52 | 51 |
48 | Jakub Vrana | WAS | o | 60.9 | 53 | 55 |
49 | Reid Boucher | NJD | o | 60.5 | 54 | 54 |
50 | Stanislav Galiev | WAS | o | 60.4 | 55 | 58 |
51 | Charles Hudon | MON | o | 60.1 | 57 | 71 |
52 | Devin Shore | DAL | t | 60.0 | 58 | 59 |
53 | Mikhail Grigorenko | COL | o | 59.7 | 56 | 46 |
54 | Sven Andrighetto | MON | os | 59.7 | 59 | 60 |
55 | William Karlsson | CBJ | o | 59.6 | 60 | 61 |
56 | Sergey Tolchinsky | CAR | os | 59.5 | 61 | 62 |
57 | Nick Paul | OTT | p | 59.5 | 62 | 63 |
58 | Jacob De La Rose | MON | t | 59.3 | 63 | 64 |
59 | Mathew Barzal | NYI | o | 59.3 | 64 | 70 |
60 | Lawson Crouse | FLA | p | 58.8 | 65 | 79 |
61 | Pavel Buchnevich | NYR | o | 58.8 | 66 | 67 |
62 | Joonas Donskoi | SJS | o | 58.6 | 86 | 91 |
63 | Cole Cassels | VAN | o | 58.6 | 67 | 72 |
64 | Markus Granlund | CGY | o | 58.4 | 68 | 73 |
65 | Kyle Connor | WPG | o | 58.3 | 69 | 74 |
66 | Nick Sorensen | ANA | o | 58.3 | 70 | 69 |
67 | Ryan Hartman | CHI | t | 58.1 | 71 | 68 |
68 | Brendan Gaunce | VAN | o | 57.7 | 72 | 77 |
69 | Micheal Ferland | CGY | p | 57.6 | 73 | 56 |
70 | Anton Slepyshev | EDM | o | 57.2 | 75 | 76 |
71 | Timo Meier | SJS | o | 57.1 | 76 | 81 |
72 | Jordan Weal | PHI | os | 57.0 | 74 | 75 |
73 | Mattias Janmark | DAL | o | 57.0 | 79 | 85 |
74 | Kasperi Kapanen | TOR | o | 56.9 | 77 | 66 |
75 | Andrew Copp | WPG | o | 56.9 | 78 | 82 |
76 | Riley Barber | WAS | t | 56.5 | 80 | 84 |
77 | Josh Ho-Sang | NYI | o | 56.2 | 81 | 86 |
78 | Scott Laughton | PHI | o | 55.9 | 82 | 83 |
79 | Marko Dano | CHI | o | 55.9 | 83 | 80 |
80 | Jeremy Bracco | TOR | o | 55.6 | 84 | 89 |
81 | Zach Hyman | TOR | o | 55.3 | 85 | 87 |
82 | Joel Eriksson Ek | MIN | o | 55.1 | 87 | 78 |
83 | Jonathan Marchessault | TBL | os | 54.4 | 89 | 194 |
84 | Tobias Lindberg | TOR | o | 54.2 | 108 | 121 |
85 | Michael Keranen | MIN | o | 53.6 | 90 | 93 |
86 | Joel Armia | WPG | o | 53.6 | 91 | 92 |
87 | Matt Puempel | OTT | o | 53.5 | 92 | 94 |
88 | Julius Nattinen | ANA | o | 53.5 | 93 | 95 |
89 | Hunter Shinkaruk | VAN | o | 53.4 | 94 | 88 |
90 | Nick Merkley | ARI | o | 53.4 | 95 | 96 |
91 | Hudson Fasching | BUF | p | 53.1 | 96 | 97 |
92 | Brendan Leipsic | TOR | o | 52.9 | 98 | 100 |
93 | Tyler Graovac | MIN | o | 52.6 | 99 | 101 |
94 | Rourke Chartier | SJS | o | 52.5 | 100 | 126 |
95 | Lucas Lessio | MON | o | 52.5 | 101 | 103 |
96 | Brendan Lemieux | WPG | p | 52.3 | 102 | 104 |
97 | Nick Shore | LAK | t | 52.2 | 103 | 118 |
98 | Brayden Point | TBL | os | 52.2 | 104 | 125 |
99 | Kevin Labanc | SJS | o | 51.8 | 126 | 124 |
100 | Kyle Rau | FLA | os | 51.8 | 106 | 102 |
101 | Maxim Letunov | ARI | o | 51.5 | 107 | 108 |
102 | Tyler Bertuzzi | DET | p | 51.3 | 109 | 109 |
103 | Michael McCarron | MON | p | 51.2 | 110 | 111 |
104 | Jayce Hawryluk | FLA | o | 50.9 | 111 | 113 |
105 | Brock McGinn | CAR | p | 50.8 | 105 | 112 |
106 | Morgan Klimchuk | CGY | t | 50.8 | 113 | 114 |
107 | Sebastian Collberg | NYI | o | 50.8 | 114 | 110 |
108 | Kevin Roy | ANA | o | 50.8 | 115 | 115 |
109 | Andreas Johnson | TOR | o | 50.5 | 117 | 117 |
110 | Landon Ferraro | BOS | o | 50.4 | 116 | 166 |
111 | Adam Erne | TBL | p | 50.2 | 119 | 119 |
112 | Sebastian Aho | CAR | o | 49.9 | 121 | 235 |
113 | Nicklas Jensen | NYI | p | 49.8 | 97 | 99 |
114 | Linden Vey | VAN | o | 49.7 | 120 | 120 |
115 | Denis Gurianov | DAL | o | 49.7 | 118 | 106 |
116 | Dmytro Timashov | TOR | o | 49.5 | 122 | 162 |
117 | Richard Panik | CHI | o | 49.4 | 123 | 98 |
118 | Artturi Lehkonen | MON | o | 49.4 | 124 | 122 |
119 | Vladislav Kamenev | NSH | t | 49.0 | 125 | 137 |
120 | Nicolas Roy | CAR | p | 48.6 | 127 | 127 |
121 | Dennis Rasmussen | CHI | o | 48.6 | 169 | NR |
122 | Drew Shore | CGY | o | 48.5 | 128 | 105 |
123 | Colin White | OTT | o | 48.4 | 129 | 131 |
124 | Nicolas Aube-Kubel | PHI | o | 48.4 | 130 | 132 |
125 | Max Friberg | MON | o | 48.2 | 131 | 129 |
126 | Frank Vatrano | BOS | o | 48.1 | 132 | 150 |
127 | Jens Looke | ARI | o | 48.1 | 133 | 133 |
128 | Jeremy Morin | TOR | o | 48.0 | 134 | 134 |
129 | Christian Fischer | ARI | t | 48.0 | 135 | 135 |
130 | Josh Leivo | TOR | p | 48.0 | 136 | 136 |
131 | Dominik Simon | PIT | o | 48.0 | 137 | 138 |
132 | Andreas Athanasiou | DET | o | 48.0 | 138 | 160 |
133 | Jake Guentzel | PIT | o | 48.0 | 139 | 139 |
134 | Conor Sheary | PIT | o | 47.8 | 140 | 230 |
135 | Phillip Di Giuseppe | CAR | o | 47.6 | 141 | 234 |
136 | Daniel O'Regan | SJS | o | 47.5 | 142 | 142 |
137 | Anthony Richard | NSH | o | 47.5 | 143 | 143 |
138 | Tom Kuhnhackl | PIT | o | 47.3 | 144 | 236 |
139 | Jack Roslovic | WPG | p | 47.3 | 145 | 145 |
140 | Austin Watson | NSH | p | 47.2 | 146 | 116 |
141 | Colton Sissons | NSH | t | 47.2 | 147 | 140 |
142 | Viktor Arvidsson | NSH | os | 47.1 | 148 | 146 |
143 | Jordan Martinook | ARI | o | 47.1 | 149 | 168 |
144 | Melker Karlsson | SJS | o | 47.1 | 150 | 147 |
145 | Deven Sideroff | ANA | o | 47.0 | 151 | 148 |
146 | Phillip Danault | CHI | t | 46.9 | 152 | 149 |
147 | Valentin Zykov | LAK | o | 46.9 | 153 | 130 |
148 | Laurent Dauphin | ARI | o | 46.8 | 154 | 151 |
149 | Remi Elie | DAL | p | 46.8 | 155 | 152 |
150 | Zach Sanford | WAS | o | 46.8 | 156 | 153 |
151 | Noah Rod | SJS | t | 46.8 | 157 | 203 |
152 | Frederik Gauthier | TOR | p | 46.7 | 158 | 154 |
153 | Connor Brickley | FLA | t | 46.7 | 159 | 155 |
154 | Miikka Salomaki | NSH | p | 46.6 | 160 | 156 |
155 | J.T. Compher | COL | t | 46.6 | 161 | 157 |
156 | Ryan MacInnis | ARI | t | 46.6 | 162 | 158 |
157 | Brett Pollock | DAL | t | 46.6 | 163 | 159 |
158 | Conor Garland | ARI | os | 46.5 | 539 | 540 |
159 | Bill Arnold | CGY | t | 46.5 | 164 | 161 |
160 | Martins Dzierkals | TOR | o | 46.3 | 167 | 165 |
161 | Ryan Donato | BOS | t | 46.2 | 168 | 167 |
162 | Chris Wagner | COL | p | 46.1 | 170 | 169 |
163 | Michael Bournival | MON | t | 46.1 | 171 | 170 |
164 | Vaclav Karabacek | BUF | t | 45.9 | 172 | 171 |
165 | Adam Tambellini | NYR | o | 45.9 | 173 | 172 |
166 | Cole Ully | DAL | o | 45.9 | 174 | 173 |
167 | Joseph Blandisi | NJD | o | 45.9 | 175 | 265 |
168 | Martin Reway | MON | o | 45.8 | 176 | 174 |
169 | Justin Bailey | BUF | o | 45.8 | 177 | 175 |
170 | Nicholas Baptiste | BUF | o | 45.8 | 178 | 176 |
171 | Jake DeBrusk | BOS | o | 45.8 | 166 | 144 |
172 | Nikita Gusev | TBL | os | 45.6 | 179 | 263 |
173 | Quinton Howden | FLA | p | 45.6 | 180 | 163 |
174 | John Quenneville | NJD | t | 45.6 | 181 | 177 |
175 | Anton Rodin | VAN | o | 45.6 | 182 | 357 |
176 | Michael Mersch | LAK | o | 45.5 | 183 | 178 |
177 | Alan Quine | NYI | o | 45.5 | 184 | 179 |
178 | Casey Bailey | OTT | o | 45.4 | 185 | 180 |
179 | Derek Grant | CGY | o | 45.4 | 264 | 260 |
180 | Josh Anderson | CBJ | t | 45.4 | 186 | 181 |
181 | James Lodge | WPG | o | 45.4 | 187 | 182 |
182 | Andrew Agozzino | COL | o | 45.3 | 188 | 183 |
183 | Mitchell Stephens | TBL | o | 45.2 | 189 | 184 |
184 | Scott Wilson | PIT | o | 45.2 | 190 | 185 |
185 | Jean-Christophe Beaudin | COL | o | 45.2 | 191 | 186 |
186 | Nikolay Prokhorkin | LAK | o | 45.1 | 192 | 187 |
187 | Taylor Leier | PHI | o | 45.0 | 193 | 189 |
188 | Garrett Ross | CHI | o | 45.0 | 194 | 190 |
189 | Radek Faksa | DAL | o | 45.0 | 195 | 223 |
190 | Saku Maenalanen | NSH | o | 45.0 | 196 | 191 |
191 | Dennis Yan | TBL | o | 45.0 | 197 | 192 |
192 | Nicolas Kerdiles | ANA | t | 45.0 | 198 | 128 |
193 | Jason Akeson | BUF | o | 44.9 | 199 | 193 |
194 | Tanner Kero | CHI | o | 44.8 | 200 | 195 |
195 | Stefan Matteau | NJD | o | 44.7 | 201 | 197 |
196 | Brock Boeser | VAN | o | 44.5 | 202 | 198 |
197 | Ryan Fitzgerald | BOS | o | 44.4 | 203 | 199 |
198 | Bogdan Yakimov | EDM | p | 44.2 | 204 | 200 |
199 | Teddy Blueger | PIT | o | 44.0 | 205 | 202 |
200 | Mark McNeill | CHI | p | 44.0 | 206 | 204 |
Here are the prospects (both forwards and defensemen) who have graduated over the last two months:
Vladislav Namestnikov |
Alexander Wennberg |
Michael Latta |
Damon Severson |
Martin Marincin |
Nate Schmidt |
Jyrki Jokipakka |
Trevor van Riemsdyk |
Klas Dahlbeck |
Ben Chiarot |
Matt Tennyson |
Cody Goloubef |
Zach Trotman |
Leon Draisaitl |
Andre Burakovsky |
Teuvo Teravainen |
Chris Tierney |
Sven Bärtschi |
Johan Larsson |
Joakim Nordstrom |
Andy Andreoff |
Alex Petrovic |
Be sure to return tomorrow to see this month's Top 50 defensemen
16 Comments
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Conor Garland. Where would he rank? Not sure how he is not on this list?
Who is that guy at #158?
He would rank as a player who needs to learn how to back check. No future without it.
I’m dying to know why you’re so hign on Goldobin. I just don’t see it.
A combination of how close he is (he’s already played in the NHL), organization depth (team will really need his talent in a year or two), and other reasons you can read up on by clicking his name
Why not a guy like Kevin Lebanc,, where does he fit in with SJS’s depth chart behind Goldobin, I agree, the guy’s NHLe is sitting around 25 points which isn’t much to be blown away by. Before he graduated, was Chris Tierney ahead of him? Also, I’ve gotta know, is Andew Potrualski getting any looks?
I like Lebanc, been a fan for a couple of years now. Very promising. Doesn’t have Goldobin’s pedigree, meaning Goldie will get more looks and longer looks. But Lebanc could steal the job first, who knows. Potrualski was very coveted, we’ll see how he does as a pro.
Jurco is to high. His game has not transferred to the NHL. He will always be a 3rd or 4th line guy
Yes I agree he is too high. Yes I agree his game hasn’t transitioned well, but that’s due to his age and because he pretty much had to play in the NHL early due to I believe waiver rules. No, he won’t always be a 3rd line guy. He’ll find his way to the 2nd line or he’ll be out of the NHL. No middle ground here. Each month I move him downwards as his standing within the organization dwindles
I think your rankings weight NHL readiness waaaay too heavily. No way Kyle Connor should be 65 behind guys like poirier, grimaldi, prince, grigorenko, and several others. Colin White and Timo Meier are also ridiculously low. Even guys already in the NHL producing are behind career AHL guys (Blandisi not ranked top 100 while grimaldi who really just isn’t that good is ranked really high. Do you just pick names out of a hat or something?
You have to take it easy there, son. What you’re doing here is taking something that is updated on the 20th of every month, and you’re looking at it on the 17th…so almost as old and outdated as can be, and you’re criticizing me for it. Blandisi? Really? 27 days ago the guy wasn’t even a gleam in your eye. When this list was posted he had 2 points in 8 games. The very night it was posted, he had a 3-point game and he has 10 points in 12 games since then. What, I’m supposed to go back in time and adjust his rankings? Or can you wait until this weekend for the next edition? ;)
Colin White – pass.
Kyle Connor – give me a break. Join my league and draft all the Kyle Connors you want. Maybe you can compete up top with me in about two decades. Wait time/NHL readiness is extremely important, and only the chronic, constant rebuilders would disagree.
Grimaldi is a great prospect, I believe in him. I own him. Grigs, well, he’s been fading I agree, but that is reflected in the rankings. I don’t knee-jerk my rankings up or down on a whim I instead gradually roll them up or down over time as they prove themselves to their organization (and that’s what matters – what their organization thinks, not what Dobber thinks or what Mark thinks).
Your suggested ‘hat’ method doesn’t help fantasy leagues so I won’t resort to that, rest assured ;)
First off, I didn’t mean to come off as a dick but reading back on it I was a bit rash. Never really looked at the prospect rankings before but now that I know it’s been roughly 20 days since this was ranked I’ll give you a break on Blandisi.
As for Connor, even before this season I would’ve had him at least 35 even given your weighting towards NHL ready prospects as he was a high upside guy who I thought had top 6 potential. After this season in the NCAA, however, I don’t see how it’s possible to keep him past 12. His production is significantly higher than Larkin’s was and I think he can be in the NHL as soon as next season but definitely by the season after that. I think that’s still earlier than a lot of the people ahead of him.
I think I was a little confused because I saw your D prospect rankings and thought they were pretty much spot on and got confused by a lot of the players I saw ranked so highly for forward prospects.
Galiev, Dickinson, Poirier, Jurco, Grimaldi, De la Rose, Granlund, and Grigorenko immediately stand out as highly ranked but have a very slim chance of making the top-6 in their careers. Then there’s guys like Tolchinsky or Scherbak who are arguably much further away from the NHL than Connor or even Colin White and it’s hard to tell what plays a large factor in how you rank your guys. I think part of it is just overrating AHL production in post development years but again it doesn’t make sense because you nailed the D rankings pretty well.
Again I don’t mean to pick a fight and I’m sorry for coming off as a douche just would like more explanation on why you think so highly of some of these prospects.
I appreciate the points.
One thing I usually put in the intro but failed to do this time was: “a rating within +/- 5.0 points is considered an equal prospect”. So in the case of Connor he’s between 35th and 91st.
If Scherbak didn’t get hurt, he would have played this year.
Galiev, again, he’ll be Top 6 or he’ll be Europe.
Tolchinsky is closer than you think, thanks to an organizational need. Connor does not have that advantage – who would he displace, Ehlers? Scheifele? Petan?
Grimaldi I stand by what I say – he’ll be a top sixer. Not a slim chance, a good chance. He’ll be in the NHL next year, and when he’s 26 he’ll really blossom. Think Steve Sullivan (same timeline too).
It’s hard to put all of these situations and likelihoods into one formula. Just when you think you should put more weight into ‘upside’ you find a case where you should put it into ‘wait time’ due to organizational depth (or vice versa). But I’ll be adjusting for this weekend as always and I’ll keep this stuff in mind.
Yeah I see what you’re saying. I don’t really see it in Galiev but I wouldn’t be surprised if Grimaldi ends up putting up around 45-50 points in the next few years, I just haven’t really seen him take the next step yet.
I do think Connor is more NHL ready than Tolchinsky though. He’s doing better than Larkin did last year and there will be a wing spot to fill when Ladd is moved. Winnipeg isn’t afraid to put prospects in the lineup after only a year as seen with Ehlers and Connor has the same upside or better as Ehlers in my opinion. With small guys like Tolchinsky, they either need elite hockey sense to create space or they end up failing. I’m not sure Tolchinsky has the hockey sense to make up for his size but we’ll find out soon enough. I wouldn’t be surprised to see Sebastian Aho make the NHL before Tolchinsky because he plays a much more mature game and has been in a men’s league for longer. I wouldn’t bet on either making the team next year but, as you said, the canes are desperate for some help on offense.
Anyways, thanks for replying, it’s nice to have a website where the writers are able to touch on anything afterwards. I’ll pay more attention to Grimaldi since I kind of took him off my radar last year. Appreciate the feedback and cheers!
Why are McDavid & Eichel missing? Because they’re the obvious number 1 & 2?
Three graduated about three months ago