Bye Week Alert! Target the Blackhawks Next Week as Teams Hit Their Bye Weeks, Plus Who to Avoid

Adam Daly-Frey

2018-01-05

 

All fantasy owners need help in the short term AND the long term. The Looking Ahead feature identifies one player to plug into lineups in the short term, a second to invest in for the long term, a third to bench for the coming week, and a fourth who will struggle to meet expectations for some time. All players discussed are selected based on their upcoming schedule. Stats in this article updated through January 3rd

The Immediate Fix (Grab this guy and use him for the next several days)

Josh Manson, D, Anaheim (Available in 61 percent of Yahoo! Leagues) – Quick, name the point-leader from Anaheim’s defensemen! This isn’t the best game because of how obvious it is, but Josh Manson, and not Brandon Montour or Cam Fowler, leads the Ducks with 3G-17A. Manson is also a plus/minus stud which is to be expected given his fancy stats (53.5% CF over his career against the toughest opposition), and is seeing 20:39 a game. He doesn’t see time on the power play unfortunately, but he rarely misses games – full 82 games last season and 71 in ’15-16 – and is actually shooting the puck at a great clip from where he used to be. He picks up peripherals (2HIT/gm and a little over 1BLK/gm) and given his TOI, could be picked up to fill a gap in the short-term.

 

The Building Block (Buy now, sit back and enjoy the production)

Calle Jarnkrok, C, Nashville (Available in 91 percent of Yahoo! Leagues) – The Predators’ loss of Filip Forsberg for the next 4-6 weeks is a big one, but for the 9% that already own Calle Jarnkrok it couldn’t be better. The man known as ‘Ironhook’ has already had a productive season even in a small role on the Preds, scoring 10G-10A while seeing just under 16 minutes a night with some second-unit power play time, but it’s his role without Forsberg that intrigues: in the first game since getting bumped up beside Ryan Johansen/Viktor Arvidsson, Jarnkrok saw 20:00 (2A, 2SOG), and 20:02 three nights later. With the second line of the Preds humming along, there aren’t many options for the first line, and Jarnkrok has already shown he fits – albeit in a small sample. Grab him while he’s still available.

Note: this was written before Pontus Aberg jumped Jarnkrok onto the first line. Given Nashville lost yet again, speculating on Jarnkrok if you have room is still the play that makes the most sense.

 

The Odd Man Out (His short-term value is cause for concern)

Oscar Klefbom, D, Edmonton (Owned in 48 percent of Yahoo! Leagues) – There are a number of things wrong with the Oilers these days, but it’s been an incredibly disappointing season for a player expected to take a giant leap as the quarterback of what was supposed to be the best PP in the league. Instead, Klefbom has only 3G-7A in 36 games, is a minus-10 for leagues where that matters, and has only four power play points. He still shoots the puck at an incredible rate (3/gm) and sees 22+ a night, but with an injury history and the Oilers’ struggles, Klefbom can sit on the side until the Oilers start to score again.

 

The Anchors (They’ll do nothing but disappoint even over the long haul)

Andre Burakovsky, LW, Washington (Owned in 30 percent of Yahoo! Leagues) – A non-comprehensive list of the players owned at the 25-30% range on Yahoo!: Derrick Brassard (10-14-24), Derek Stepan (8-16-24), Bryan Little (7-17-24), Craig Smith (13-10-23). That Burakovsky – with the 3-5-8 line and averaging only 13:08 with some healthy scratches and no special teams play – is owned anywhere close to those players says something either about inactivity in pools, or keeper league owners that refuse to give up the ghost. He’s playing fourth line minutes and is droppable in all formats.

 

Love ‘Em (These squads are sure to pay dividends in the coming days)

Minnesota – The Wild finally have their intended line all fully healthy, and their depth with the returns of Nino Neiderreiter, Zach Parise and Charlie Coyle is astounding. With three home games upcoming against soft competition (Calgary sans Frolik, Winnipeg, Vancouver) and road games against Colorado and Chicago, the Wild should keep putting pucks in the net after putting up 11 goals in their last two games.

Carolina – Fresh off a 4-0 win against Pittsburgh, the ‘Canes have a nice five-game stretch upcoming, although that’s more based on volume than anything else. Carolina will face Boston and Tampa which are tough defensive matchups, but then have a back-to-back home-and-home against Washington, with their last game before the bye coming against the Flames. With Aho and Teravainen finally getting on the scoresheet, feel free to unleash the few Carolina studs, and hope to see some value from Justin Faulk.

Chicago – The Blackhawks have six games before heading off for their bye after the 14th, all but one coming at home and only one back-to-back. That back-to-back is a road-home b2b, but the first leg is against the hapless Sens which is always good for a deep team like Chicago, and they also get games against Edmonton (#HereComeTheOilers) and Detroit.

 

Leave ‘Em (These squads will leave fantasy owners sorely disappointed in the short term)

With all the bye weeks during this period, this week’s Leave ‘Em will be a little different.

NHL teams on bye Jan 7th-12th: Anaheim, Arizona (-11th), Colorado, Dallas, Los Angeles

NHL teams on bye Jan 8th-12th: Boston, Detroit, Montreal, New Jersey, New York (Islanders and Rangers), Philadelphia, Pittsburgh, San Jose, Vegas

NHL teams on bye Jan 10th-15th: Nashville, St. Louis

NHL teams on bye Jan 11th-15th: Ottawa (-17th), Toronto

NHL teams on bye Jan 12th-17th: Buffalo, Tampa Bay

NHL teams on bye Jan 13th-17th: Columbus, Florida (-18th), Washington

NHL teams on bye Jan 14th-19th: Edmonton, Winnipeg

NHL teams on bye Jan 15th-19th: Calgary, Carolina, Chicago, Minnesota, Vancouver

The advice would differ depending on when your league starts, but the most effected teams this week to come will be the 15 teams that start their bye on the 7th or 8th, and should be avoided as much as possible.

January 5th to January 11th

Best Bets

TBL 4.2 – Away OTT DET – Home CAR CGY

CHI 4.0525 – Away OTT – Home VGK EDM MIN

OTT 4.0475 – Away TOR – Home SJS TBL CHI

BUF 4.0375 – Away WPG PHI – Home WPG CBJ

WSH 3.4125 – Away – Home STL VAN CAR

Steer Clear

NJD 0.95 – Away NYI – Home

ANH 0.9975 – Away CGY – Home

DAL 0.9975 – Away – Home EDM

LAK 0.9975 – Away – Home NSH

ARI 0.9975 – Away – Home NYR

January 6th to January 12th

Best Bets

WSH 4.41 – Away CAR- Home STL VAN CAR

CBJ 4.305 – Away TOR BUF – Home FLA VAN

TBL 4.2 – Away OTT DET – Home CAR CGY

CHI 3.895 – Away OTT – Home EDM MIN WPG

EDM 3.8475 – Away DAL CHI NSH ARI- Home

Steer Clear

NJD 0.95 – Away NYI – Home

ANH 0.9975 – Away CGY – Home

DAL 0.9975 – Away – Home EDM

LAK 0.9975 – Away – Home NSH

SJS 0.9975 – Away WPG – Home

January 7th to January 13th

Best Bets

WSH 4.41 – Away CAR – Home STL VAN CAR

CBJ 4.305 – Away TOR BUF – Home FLA VAN

EDM 4.0375 – Away CHI NSH ARI VGK- Home

CHI 3.895 – Away OTT – Home EDM MIN WPG

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WPG 3.8 – Away BUF CHI MIN- Home SJS

Steer Clear

COL 0.95 – Away DAL- Home

LAK 0.9975 – Away – Home ANH

NSH 0.9975 – Away – Home EDM

DAL 1.2075 – Away – Home COL

BOS 1.71 – Away PIT MTL- Home

January 8th to January 14th

Best Bets

MIN 4.415 – Away CHI – Home CGY WPG VAN

CHI 4.105 – Away OTT – Home MIN WPG DET

CGY 3.705 – Away MIN TBL FLA CAR- Home

CAR 3.6525 – Away TBL WSH – Home WSH CGY

WSH 3.36 – Away CAR – Home VAN CAR

Steer Clear

COL 0.95 – Away DAL – Home

BOS 0.855 – Away MTL – Home

LAK 0.9975 – Away – Home ANH

NYI 0.9025 – Away NYR – Home

NSH 0.9975 – Away – Home EDM

January 9th to January 15th

Best Bets

MIN 4.415 – Away CHI – Home CGY WPG VAN

CGY 3.705 – Away MIN TBL FLA CAR – Home

CAR 3.6525 – Away TBL WSH – Home WSH CGY

CHI 4.105 – Away OTT – Home MIN WPG DET

WSH 3.36 – Away CAR – Home VAN CAR

Steer Clear

PHI 0.9975 – Away NJD – Home

TOR 0.9975 – Away – Home OTT

VGK 0.9975 – Away – Home EDM

STL 1.05 – Away – Home FLA

NJD 1.155 – Away – Home PHI

January 10th to January 16th

Best Bets

MIN 3.3125 – Away CHI – Home WPG VAN

DAL 3.25 – Away BOS DET- Home COL

CHI 3.2025 – Away – Home MIN WPG DET

NYR 3.06 – Away PIT – Home NYI PHI

SJS 3.055 – Away LAK ARI- Home ARI

Steer Clear

OTT 0.95 – Away TOR – Home

STL 0.95 – Away TOR- Home

FLA 1.1025 – Away – Home CGY

TBL 1.1025 – Away – Home CGY

NSH 1.26 – Away – Home VGK

January 11th to January 17th

Best Bets

DAL 3.25 – Away BOS DET – Home COL

PIT 3.1075 – Away ANH- Home DET NYR

NYR 3.06 – Away PIT – Home NYI PHI

SJS 3.055 – Away LAK ARI – Home ARI

MTL 3.05 – Away BOS- Home BOS NYI

Steer Clear

BUF 0.8925 – Away – Home CBJ

STL 0.95 – Away TOR – Home

TOR 1.05 – Away – Home STL

FLA 1.1025 – Away – Home CGY

TBL 1.1025 – Away – Home CGY

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UPCOMING GAMES

Nov 05 - 19:11 CAR vs PHI
Nov 05 - 19:11 MTL vs CGY
Nov 05 - 19:11 BUF vs OTT
Nov 05 - 19:11 TOR vs BOS
Nov 05 - 19:11 NYI vs PIT
Nov 05 - 20:11 MIN vs L.A
Nov 05 - 20:11 STL vs T.B
Nov 05 - 20:11 WPG vs UTA
Nov 05 - 21:11 COL vs SEA
Nov 05 - 22:11 ANA vs VAN
Nov 05 - 22:11 S.J vs CBJ

Starting Goalies

Top Skater Views

  Players Team
CONNOR MCMICHAEL WSH
ALEX LAFERRIERE L.A
PAVEL DOROFEYEV VGK
MARTIN NECAS CAR
TIMOTHY LILJEGREN S.J

Top Goalie Profile Views

  Players Team
LUKAS DOSTAL ANA
FILIP GUSTAVSSON MIN
PYOTR KOCHETKOV CAR
JUSTUS ANNUNEN COL
FREDERIK ANDERSEN CAR

LINE COMBOS

  Frequency PHI Players
18.8 SCOTT LAUGHTON JOEL FARABEE BOBBY BRINK
15.5 OWEN TIPPETT TRAVIS KONECNY MORGAN FROST
14.5 RYAN POEHLING GARNET HATHAWAY NOAH CATES

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