Backes to the Future

Jeff Angus

2009-03-18

Backes

 

Sure, the title has little to do with the content, but being able to work movie references into article titles always make me happy.

 

The St. Louis Blues appeared to be a bit reluctant when it came to matching the three-year, $7.5 million offer sheet given to Backes by the Vancouver Canucks. Backes was coming off a decent 2007-2008 campaign (13 goals and 18 assists), but with so much young talent coming up through the system, the Blues had to weigh the pros and cons of a significant overpayment (at the time) for a solid, two-way player with decent upside.

 

Backes has been arguably the most consistent and impressive Blue this season, and is making John Davidson and company (as well as Mike Gillis and Vancouver's pro scouting) look very smart for giving him all that money. Fantasy owners should be just as happy, as Backes is having a season to remember.

His current numbers project to an impressive 28 goals, 51 points, and close to 200 shots on goal over 82 games. Couple that with his physical edge (on pace for 180 PIM), and Backes is getting up there with the Scott Hartnells and Brenden Morrows in terms of physical, balanced wingers in the fantasy hockey world. He brings a physical edge that the Blues desperately need up front, so expect Backes to really benefit from playing with all of the skilled young talent coming up through the St. Louis system over the next few years.

📢 advertisement:

 

It is tough to say what his upside over the next half decade is, but Backes has the drive and talent to be a consistent 25-30 goal guy. As he matures do not expect the high PIM totals (they should drop a bit, like Morrow in Dallas after he was given the captaincy). At some point in the next few years Backes could put up a 30-goal, 70-point season with 100-150 PIM and lots of bone-jarring hits.

 

Elsewhere, the Hart Trophy is developing into a three horse race (at least in my opinion). Alex Ovechkin, Zach Parise, and Evgeni Malkin are all deserving of being named 'Most Valuable Player,' and these last few weeks are going to decide who prevails. Although Ovechkin and Malkin have superior statistics across the board (including more ice time), I like Parise as the dark horse to beat out the two dominant Russians. Ovechkin and Malkin both average close to 23 minutes per game, while Parise sees 18 minutes. It is hard to discredit a player for playing too much, as being able to perform at a high level for more minutes is obviously a beneficial skill. However, Parise must not be punished for not playing the same minutes either. If his ice time was bumped up two to three minutes more per game, his stats would undoubtedly rise (up to a point). Breaking down the ice time further, Parise sees around 3:30 per contest of PP time, while Ovechkin and Malkin each see over two minutes more each game. Any of the three would be extremely deserving Hart Trophy winners, that much is not debatable.

Leave A Comment

UPCOMING GAMES

Jan 11 - 13:01 FLA vs BOS
Jan 11 - 16:01 BUF vs SEA
Jan 11 - 16:01 PIT vs OTT
Jan 11 - 19:01 MTL vs DAL
Jan 11 - 19:01 PHI vs ANA
Jan 11 - 19:01 CHI vs EDM
Jan 11 - 19:01 WPG vs COL
Jan 11 - 19:01 TOR vs VAN
Jan 11 - 19:01 STL vs CBJ
Jan 11 - 19:01 N.J vs T.B
Jan 11 - 20:01 NSH vs WSH
Jan 11 - 21:01 UTA vs NYI
Jan 11 - 22:01 CGY vs L.A
Jan 11 - 22:01 VGK vs NYR
Jan 11 - 22:01 S.J vs MIN

Starting Goalies

Top Skater Views

  Players Team
DANY HEATLEY
COLE CAUFIELD MTL
PATRICK KANE DET
DMITRI VORONKOV CBJ
JACKSON LACOMBE ANA

Top Goalie Profile Views

  Players Team
JAKUB DOBES MTL
ALEX LYON DET
SAM MONTEMBEAULT MTL
THATCHER DEMKO VAN
CONNOR HELLEBUYCK WPG

LINE COMBOS

  Frequency OTT Players
10.3 BRADY TKACHUK SHANE PINTO RIDLY GREIG
8.3 BRADY TKACHUK SHANE PINTO DRAKE BATHERSON
7.1 COLE REINHARDT ZACK OSTAPCHUK ADAM GAUDETTE

DobberHockey Podcasts

Keeping Karlsson Short Shifts – Thanks for Vejmelkmories

Elizabeth and Lewis reunite to bring you all the latest fantasy news and strategy, such as how our siblings would fare if called on to fill our roles like Owen Sillinger did for bro Cole. Then it’s onto news including coverage of the postponed CGY/LAK game and defensive injuries piling up in MIN and putting some strain on Gustavsson’s performance. Injuries and outjuries include a pair of goalies returning to their teams in Ingram and Shesterkin, as well as how Monahan’s wrist injury opens the door for big minutes for Fantilli. Finally, the pair touch on Voronkov and PLD’s hot streaks, and discuss John Carlson’s rollercoaster in light of Chychrun’s production.

Keeping Karlsson: Tuch Hunch

On this edition of the Keeping Karlsson Fantasy Hockey Podcast mega-show, Elan and Brian tour every team, ranking a slate of the least bad goalies, noticing the wind in some Red Wings’ and Stars’ sails, dangling snoozer status above a pair of commonly rostered power-play quarterbacks, and rushing or strolling, accordingly, to some skaters on the up and up.

Keeping Karlsson: Short Shifts – New Year News

Jeremy and Shams are back to bring you up to speed on what happened in the Fantasy world during New Year’s Eve and Day. They cover all the injury news headlined by Nichushkin and a couple of starting goalies and close with hot and cold streaks that include two big name defensemen that might be […]

FIND US ON FACEBOOK

📢 advertisement: