March 11, 2010

Jeff Angus

2010-03-11

Dobber here. Just an update on the Fantasy Prospects List. I’ve been working around the clock on the update and I’m up to Phoenix (alphabetically). It may not get up until tomorrow, though. With 700 prospects to track, I usually make notes throughout the month and then scan through it over a few hours on the 10th. But once a year I go through every player and depth chart with a fine-tooth comb and really audit it. Usually that happens in April/May, but I felt like doing it now. In April and May it will get another thorough look, though, thanks to the upcoming Fantasy Prospects Report. I’m already seen tons of changes on this list – big ones. You’ll love it

 

Dobber’s weekly piece on Puck Daddy is up.

 

The Kings have recalled Jonathan Bernier on an emergency basis, as Jonathan Quick has left the team to be with his wife, who is set to deliver their first child. Perhaps Bernier will get the start tomorrow night?

 

Henrik Sedin needs 21 points in the final 15 games to break Pavel Bure’s team record mark of 110. Can he do it?

 

Mikael Samuelsson again reaped the benefits of playing with the Sedin twins last night in the desert, scoring a goal and adding an assist. Burrows is still the long term fit on this line in my opinion, but the Sedins have proven time and time again that they can play with basically anyone. Expect Samuelsson's increased production to continue as long as he keeps coming over the boards with Daniel and Henrik. The fact that he can shoot right opens up a lot more passing lanes for the twins, who like to work the puck on their strong side behind the net and along the boards.

 

As for Burrows, he won't see the same production five on five obviously, but he is finally getting a regular shift on the second power play unit with Ryan Kesler and Kyle Wellwood. He has replaced Pavol Demitra, who now plays the point on the top unit.

 

Desperate for goals down the stretch? Lee Stempniak may be your man. He had two goals last night in regulation, and added one in the shootout for Phoenix. He is playing for a new contract as well, so expect him to be hungry and motivated to put the underwhelming stint in Toronto behind him.

 

You may call me insane for this, but I think Mike Green is incredbly underrated. Sure his defense is suspect, but as a poolie, who cares? Only 16 players in the entire league have better PPG numbers than Green (1.06). Duncan Keith at 0.89 is the next best defenseman. Green is on pace for 20 goals and close to 80 points. To put it simply, say the average fantasy defenseman gets eight goals and 38 points (just an example). Say the average forward gets 25 goals and 55 assists (again, just an example). Green is the equivalent of a 55-60 goal, 130 point forward.

 

My example is just to show how Green’s relative value as a defenseman is through the roof. Maybe it is just here on DobberHockey, but I don’t see as much chatter about Green as there was last season. I guess people have come to expect a point-per-game from him…

 

There are four weeks left in the NHL regular season, beginning on Monday. I'll have an announcement this Friday or Saturday about a fun contest I will be organizing for these final few weeks. Each week there will be a list of players to select from, and certain fantasy rules. Each week the entrant with the most points will receive a signed 8×10. The four photos that are up for grabs include Mike Ribeiro, Steve Sullivan, Brad Boyes, and Jason Spezza. Stay tuned! Long time members and regular posters will be rewarded – consider this one way we can give back to you for helping to grow the site!

 

Alex Edler and Christian Ehrhoff combined for 11 shots on goal last night. Ehrhoff is having a fantasy season to remember. He has 13 goals, close to 40 points, and is among the league leaders in plus-minus. There is a very good chance he will find himself a member of the Prime Cuts roster, set to be unveiled in a few weeks.

 

Oskar Osala was pointless in under seven minutes of ice time last night for Carolina. He did fire one shot on goal, though.

 

A game after being a healthy scratch, Tomas Fleischmann delivered. He had five shots on goal, one of them beating Manny Legace for the overtime winner.

 

Anze Kopitar has 13 points in his last ten games. He went through a bit of a lull production-wise around Christmas, but has bounced back in a big way.

 

Henrik Sedin is now only two points behind Ovechkin for the league lead.

 

Antti Niemi played a strong game last night. He handles the puck like a grenade, but is stopping it much better than Cristobal Huet right now. There are so many intriguing goaltending situations among the elite teams. Washington and Chicago are both such strong cup contenders, but both could be derailed by poor goaltending in the post season. That could be true of any team, but those two teams in particular have tricky goaltending situations to figure out.

 

The Devils scored six times last night, and Kovalchuk had zero points. Go figure.

 

Olli Jokinen has nine points in 11 games with the Rangers since the trade.

 

Four games back for David Clarkson: zero goals, two assists, 12 PIM, plus-one, and four shots on goal. Far from impressive, but he was coming off of a serious ankle injury. Clarkson has huge value in leagues that reward offensive producers who can fill up the PIM column.

 

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The Canucks finished the marathon 14-game road trip with an impressive 8-5-1 record. The game last night was a dandy – had a real playoff feel to it. The record is even more impressive considering they did it with inconsistent goaltending from Roberto Luongo, and without their best (Willie Mitchell) and third or fourth best (Kevin Bieksa) defensemen.

 

Jamie Benn has six points in his last 10 contests. When evaluating his fantasy value compared to other prospects, don’t underrate the fact he is already playing in the NHL. Proven young players have a significant jump on those still in the junior ranks or the AHL. Benn has a ton of talent and he works extremely hard. I wouldn’t be surprised at all to see him jump up to 60 points next season.

 

Fabian Brunnstrom has two goals this year. He needs out of Dallas to salvage any sort of fantasy value.

 

I went out on a limb and traded Marian Gaborik in a one-year league to acquire Tomas Vokoun. I also received Derek Roy in return, as I had a hunch he would have a big stretch drive. He had two points last night, and now has nine points in his last 10 contests. Roy has the skill to be a 90 point center, but he struggles with consistency.

 

Time to eat crow on Scott Gomez – he has been fantastic lately. I made a point a few weeks ago about how Gomez was being underrated in fantasy circles because of his salary. I was a victim of this as well, and it is a completely foolish mindset (unless you play with a salary cap in your fantasy league). The fact that Gomez is overpaid by about $3 million should have no bearing on his fantasy value, but it has. He is over a PPG for the last 30 games and has been especially impressive since the Olympics ended. Montreal seems to be a good fit for his game, which is all about quick transition in the neutral zone. He may see a return to 70 points next year if he can establish some chemistry with Mike Cammalleri

 

One prospect to keep an eye on – Jeremy Morin. He is a physical specimen (that was very Pierre McGuire of him), and has 46 goals through 56 OHL games. He won't make Atlanta next year, as he needs to work on his skating. Expect him to play a year with the Chicago Wolves before making the leap to the Thrashers. His offensive upside is very high – in addition to his size, he has a very sound offensive game, and is a smart hockey player.

 

Sidney Crosby's gear was found by Patrice Bergeron, who noticed it yesterday along with his other equipment. Does Patrice get the reward Reebok was offering?

 

Chris Chelios has been recalled by Atlanta. He is not expected to play tonight, as it is bridge night, and he never misses one of those. He has zero fantasy value unless you count age as a positive point category. One more… Chelios was already an NHL veteran and traded from Montreal to Chicago before teammate Evander Kane had even been conceived.

 

Rob Schremp is out for the season with a torn meniscus. I tore my meniscus a few years ago playing soccer. It is a painful rehab but not as serious as a MCL or ACL tear.

 

Mike Cammalleri appears to be slated to return ahead of schedule. Word out of Montreal is that he is targeting Montreal’s game on March 20th (a week Saturday) against the Leafs.

 

Shea Weber travelled with the Preds and is questionable for their game tonight in San Jose.

 

Patric Hornqvist has gone ice cold offensively, as he has failed to light the lamp in ten consecutive games.

 

Erik Christensen had a beauty of a goal last night:

 

A fight from last week featuring two keeper league studs:

 

Andrew Raycroft with one of the best saves you will ever see:

 

 

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UPCOMING GAMES

Apr 18 - 19:04 MIN vs SEA
Apr 18 - 20:04 WPG vs VAN
Apr 18 - 21:04 CGY vs S.J
Apr 18 - 21:04 COL vs EDM
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Starting Goalies

Top Skater Views

  Players Team
LANE HUTSON MTL
JURAJ SLAFKOVSKY MTL
AUSTON MATTHEWS TOR
CONNOR MCDAVID EDM
SIDNEY CROSBY PIT

Top Goalie Profile Views

  Players Team
MARC-ANDRE FLEURY MIN
SEMYON VARLAMOV NYI
CHARLIE LINDGREN WSH
JET GREAVES CBJ
KAREL VEJMELKA ARI

LINE COMBOS

  Frequency CGY Players
21.2 MARTIN POSPISIL ANDREI KUZMENKO NAZEM KADRI
20.1 YEGOR SHARANGOVICH MATT CORONATO MIKAEL BACKLUND
15.6 CONNOR ZARY DRYDEN HUNT JONATHAN HUBERDEAU

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