Looking Ahead – Week 6
Dave Poleck
2010-11-12
A tough decision can be made easier with these charts showing you the best five and worst five schedules for upcoming seven-day periods. Some of you used them last year but for the benefit of new readers here is a refresher. The number next to the team indicates the ‘multiplier’ to use on a player’s point-per-game pace to give you an idea how many points to expect for that week.
If you own any Rangers and are in a Sunday to Saturday league, then you are in luck.
We finally have our first five game week of the 2010-11 NHL season. In the Sunday to Saturday schedule, the Rangers face off vs Edm, @Pit, vs Bos, @Col, @Min. Definitely a weird stretch for the Gaborik-less Rangers, with two East teams squashed between Edmonton at MSG and a mini Western road trip. But who really cares, them playing five games should make you happy enough.
Coming off their 8-1 demolishing of the Blues earlier this week, the Blue Jackets only play twice between November 12th and the 18th. I normally try to stay away from teams after they put up uncharacteristic numbers, so this gives you even more reason to stay away from Columbus.
The Bruins are a very good 6-1 on the road thus far in season, but are now 2-3-1 at home. While they do play four of their next seven in Boston, those games are against Ottawa, New Jersey, Florida and LA. Not really the hardest competition, especially with Ottawa bound to slow down and the Devils struggling like they are.
Speaking of bad home teams, the Sabres sit at 0-6-1 at HSBC and have six of their next eight there. With or without Ryan Miller, the screams for Lindy Ruff's firing might be getting louder in the near future as those six home games are against Washington, Vancouver, LA, Tampa Bay, Pittsburgh and Toronto. They also play in Washington and Montreal over the next three weeks.
Now on to some teams that are actually using home ice as an advantage; the Canucks, Blues and Kings are all undefeated in regulation in their respective buildings. Unfortunately, each team only has four home games over the next three weeks.
The current six game home-stand that the Wings are on looks nice on paper, but they still manage to make their way into the "Steer Clear" section for five of the next seven weekly schedules. Speaking of their slow schedule to begin the season….
A few weeks ago, I mentioned the major difference in games played between teams like Detroit and Chicago. Once again using the 14 day and 21 day outlook on Frozen Pool's Game Planner, I also took a look at what the rest of the League will look like after the next few weeks of play.
Looking at the standings as of Friday, the Blackhawks still sit atop the NHL with 18 games played, while Anaheim and Buffalo have both played 17 games. On the flip side, the Panthers and Bruins have only played 13 games thus far.
Moving down the road two weeks to November 25, there are still some pretty big discrepancies in team games played. Chicago still has the most games played at 24, with Anaheim, Buffalo, NY Rangers, Philadelphia and Pittsburgh all square at 23 games played. With 20 games played at that point are Boston, Columbus, Dallas, Detroit, Florida, Minnesota, Nashville, San Jose, St. Louis and Toronto. You might want to start looking into buying low on some of the players who are on these latter teams.
Looking ahead three weeks to December 2, we are back to a five game differential between the Wings and Chicago. The Hawks, Ducks and Penguins will have all played 27 games by that point, while the Red Wings are still only at 22 games played. Also in the mix for players to buy low on are guys from the Islanders, Canucks and Blue Jackets; they will have only played 23 games by December 2.
I think this kind of information is extremely important when making trades in fantasy hockey, especially if your competition is blind to it. If on December 1 you trade your Patrick Sharp or Marian Hossa for a Datsyuk or Zetterberg, then you could be laughing the rest of the way.
Friday November 12 to Thursday November 18, 2010 | ||||||
Best Bets | ||||||
Anaheim 4.18 – four games DAL, @CHI, @DAL, @MIN | ||||||
San Jose 4.14 – four games CAL, LA, @COL, @Dal | ||||||
Tampa Bay 4.13 – four games @PIT, MIN, @NYI, @PHI | ||||||
Philadelphia 4.03 – four games FLA, OTT, @MON, TB | ||||||
Pittsburgh 3.96 – four games TB, @ATL, NYR, VAN | ||||||
Steer Clear | ||||||
Detroit 1.90 – two games COL, STL | ||||||
Carolina 1.98 – two games @MON, OTT | ||||||
Columbus 2.03 – two games COL, @LA | ||||||
NYI 2.05 – two games @LA, TB | ||||||
Toronto 2.57 – two games VAN, NAS, NJ | ||||||
Saturday November 13 to Friday November 19, 2010 | ||||||
Best Bets | ||||||
Chicago 4.30 – four games @NAS, ANA, @EDM, @CAL | ||||||
NY Rangers 4.20 – four games EDM, @PIT, BOS, @COL | ||||||
San Jose 4.14 – four games CAL, LA, @COL, @Dal | ||||||
Anaheim 4.09 – four games @CHI, @DAL, @MIN, CBJ | ||||||
Philadelphia 4.03 – four games FLA, OTT, @MON, TB | ||||||
Steer Clear | ||||||
Dallas 1.97 – two games ANA, SJ | ||||||
NYI 2.05 – two games @LA, TB | ||||||
New Jersey 2.11 – two games @BOS, @TOR | ||||||
Columbus 2.12 – two games @LA, @ANA | ||||||
Toronto 2.57 – three games VAN, NAS, NJ | ||||||
Sunday November 14 to Saturday November 20, 2010 | ||||||
Best Bets | ||||||
NY Rangers 5.14 – five games EDM, @PIT, BOS, @COL, @MIN | ||||||
Chicago 4.30 – four games @NAS, ANA, @EDM, @CAL | ||||||
San Jose 4.14 – four games CAL, LA, @COL, @Dal | ||||||
Anaheim 4.09 – four games @CHI, @DAL, @MIN, CBJ | ||||||
Philadelphia 4.09 – four games OTT, @MON, TB, @WAS | ||||||
Steer Clear | ||||||
Detroit 1.71 – two games STL, MIN | ||||||
Calgary 1.77 – two games PHO, CHI | ||||||
NYI 2.06 – two games TB, FLA | ||||||
Phoenix 2.33 – two games @CAL, @EDM | ||||||
Pittsburgh 2.69 – three games NYR, VAN, CAR | ||||||
Monday November 15 to Sunday November 21, 2010 | ||||||
Best Bets | ||||||
Anaheim 4.20 – four games @DAL, @MIN, CBJ, EDM | ||||||
San Jose 4.14 – four games LA, @COL, @Dal. CBJ | ||||||
Philadelphia 4.09 – four games OTT, @MON, TB, @WAS | ||||||
NY Rangers 3.98 – four games @PIT, BOS, @COL, @MIN | ||||||
St. Louis 3.97 – four games @COL, @DET, OTT, NJ | ||||||
Steer Clear | ||||||
Detroit 2.66 – three games STL, MIN, CAL | ||||||
Pittsburgh 2.69 – three games NYR, VAN, CAR | ||||||
Toronto 2.72 – three games NAS, NJ, @MON | ||||||
Calgary 2.75 – three games PHO, CHI, @DET | ||||||
Montreal 2.86 – three games PHI, NAS, TOR | ||||||
Tuesday November 16 to Monday November 22, 2010 | ||||||
Best Bets | ||||||
Nashville 4.31 – four games Toronto, Montreal, Carolina, Columbus | ||||||
Dallas 4.22 – four games ANA, SJ, COL, @TOR | ||||||
Pittsburgh 4.21 – four games @ATL, @BOS, @NYI, FLA | ||||||
Anaheim 4.20 – four games @DAL, @MIN, CBJ, EDM | ||||||
Boston 4.04 – four games @NYR, FLA, LA, @TB | ||||||
Steer Clear | ||||||
Detroit 2.66 – three games STL, MIN, CAL | ||||||
St. Louis 2.80 – three games @DET, OTT, NJ | ||||||
Vancouver 2.84 – three games @PIT, CHI, PHO | ||||||
Minnesota 2.89 – three games ANA, @DET, NYR | ||||||
Ottawa 2.89 – three games @CAR, @STL, LA | ||||||
Wednesday November 17 to Tuesday November 23, 2010 | ||||||
Best Bets | ||||||
Phoenix 4.33 – four games @CAL, @EDM, @VAN, EDM | ||||||
Florida 4.21 – four games @ATL, @BOS, @NYR, PIT | ||||||
Boston 4.04 – four games @NYR, FLA, LA, @TB | ||||||
Columbus 4.02 – four games @LA, @SJ, @ANA, NAS | ||||||
Tampa Bay 3.95 – four games @NYI, @PHI, @BUF, BOS | ||||||
Steer Clear | ||||||
Detroit 2.66 – three games STL, MIN, CAL | ||||||
St. Louis 2.80 – three games @DET, OTT, NJ | ||||||
Vancouver 2.84 – three games @PIT, CHI, PHO | ||||||
Minnesota 2.89 – three games ANA, @DET, NYR | ||||||
Ottawa 2.89 – three games @CAR, @STL, LA | ||||||
Thursday November 18 to Wednesday November 24, 2010 | ||||||
Best Bets | ||||||
Dallas 4.27 – four games SJ, COL, @TOR, @OTT | ||||||
Columbus 4.23 – four games @SJ, @ANA, NAS, @NYI | ||||||
NY Rangers 4.22 – four games @COL, @MIN, CAL, @TB | ||||||
Boston 4.16 – four games FLA, LA, @TB, @FLA | ||||||
Washington 4.07 – four games @ATL, PHI, @NJ, @CAR | ||||||
Steer Clear | ||||||
Anaheim 2.11 – two games CBJ, EDM | ||||||
St. Louis 2.77 – three games OTT, NJ, @NAS | ||||||
Minnesota 2.78 – three games @DET, NYR, PHI | ||||||
Vancouver 2.82 – three games CHI, PHO, COL | ||||||
Edmonton 2.87 = three games PHO, @ANA, @PHO | ||||||
Friday November 19 to Thursday November 25, 2010 | ||||||
Best Bets | ||||||
Colorado 4.26 – four games NYR, @DAL, @VAN, @EDM | ||||||
Columbus 4.23 – four games @SJ, @ANA, NAS, @NYI | ||||||
NY Rangers 4.22 – four games @COL, @MIN, CAL, @TB | ||||||
Washington 4.07 – four games @ATL, PHI, @NJ, @CAR | ||||||
LA 3.91 – four games @BUF, @BOS, @OTT, @MON | ||||||
Steer Clear | ||||||
SJ 1.90 – two games CBJ, CHI | ||||||
Toronto 2.04 – two games @MON, DAL | ||||||
Anaheim 2.11 – two games CBJ, EDM | ||||||
Tampa Bay 2.64 – three games @BUF, BOS, NYR | ||||||
Edmonton 2.87 = three games PHO, @ANA, @PHO | ||||||
Saturday November 20 to Friday November 26, 2010 | ||||||
Best Bets | ||||||
Dallas 4.18 – four games COL, @TOR, @OTT, STL | ||||||
NY Rangers 4.17 – four games @MIN, CAL, @TB, @FLA | ||||||
Montreal 4.15 – four games TOR, @PHI, LA, @ATL | ||||||
Boston 4.12 – four games LA, @TB, @FLA, CAR | ||||||
New Jersey 4.04 – four games @STL, WAS, CAL, @NYI | ||||||
Steer Clear | ||||||
Phoenix 2.10 – two games @VAN, EDM | ||||||
Anaheim 2.11 – two games CBJ, EDM | ||||||
Minnesota 2.86 – three games NYR, PHI, NAS | ||||||
Carolina 2.71 – three games NAS, WAS, @BOS | ||||||
San Jose 2.85 – three games CBJ, CHI, @VAN | ||||||
Sunday November 21 to Saturday November 27, 2010 | ||||||
Best Bets | ||||||
Calgary 4.98 – five games @DET, @NYR, @NJ, @PHI, @PIT | ||||||
NY Rangers 4.17 – four games @MIN, CAL, @TB, @FLA | ||||||
Ottawa 4.09 – four games LA, DAL, @PIT, TOR | ||||||
Dallas 4.08 – four games @TOR, @OTT, STL, @STL | ||||||
Edmonton 4.04 – four games @ANA, @PHO, COL, SJ | ||||||
Steer Clear | ||||||
Carolina 1.85 – two games WAS, @BOS | ||||||
Vancouver 2.82 – three games PHO, COL, SJ | ||||||
Atlanta 2.87 – three games NYI, DET, MON | ||||||
Columbus 2.93 – three games NAS, @NYI, DET | ||||||
Minnesota 2.93 – three games PHI, NAS, @COL |