Changing Your Fantasy Fate

Ryan Ma

2011-03-08

benn

 

We're turning the final corner of the fantasy season and depending on your league settings you could be heading down a few different paths. Let's look at those who are gunning for a money spot in Roto leagues, or those entering the playoffs in H2H leagues. If you are in a tight league where every little stat matters, making the smart adds/drops could determine whether you are the league champion or just another one of the 10 or 12 disappointed losers. At this point of the season it's not about what your players have done for you all season long, it's all about what your player will do for you in the next four weeks that will determine your fantasy fate.

 

Outlook Good

 

Sam Gagner

If you noticed my forum post the other day, you're probably ahead of your competition on the Gagner game. With seven points in his last seven starts (nine in the last 10), Gagner is poised to have another one of his "under-the-radar" late season surges. He was derailed last season by a hip injury, but prior to that he posted 28 in the final 29 contests back in 2007-08, and then followed it up with 21 in the final 20 contests the following season. I would not be completely surprised to see 16 in the final 16 from the "magical fourth year" candidate the rest of the way.

 

Tom Gilbert

Following along the same lines as Gagner, Gilbert has also seen plenty of past historical success down the stretch for many fantasy poolies. Last season, we saw him rattle off 20 points in the final 21 contests while the season before that we saw him tally 18 in the final 29. You generally won't see very many point-per-game defensemen down the stretch, so don't expect that he'll repeat last season's performance once again, but if you're realistic expecting around 0.6 or 0.7 per game, that seems very achievable considering he's averaging 24:29 and 1:59 on the PP per contest for the Oilers during the last two weeks. You certainly can't ask for much more from the 15 percent Yahoo! owned blue liner.

 

Scottie Upshall

I've always liked the pedigree of Upshall (I've slotted him as back-to-back sleeper candidates during the last two pre-season guides), and he's finally getting a "real" shot at making a big difference at the NHL level as he joined the Jackets at the trade deadline. Much like James Neal, Upshall is a great complementary player, but doesn't have the skill set to generate the offense on his own, which is why slotting him alongside star Rick Nash (exactly 30 percent) works so beautifully. He's also been given legitimate top-six time as well (18:38 and 2:53 on the PP), which has transla