Home Run Thinking

Dobber Sports

2011-03-10

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There are a few players in the league who are dominant no matter where they are playing. Jarome Iginla is a good example. He has 66 points in 68 games this season and of those, 33 have been recorded both at home and on the road. Another example is Rick Nash, who has 29 points at home and on the road, but not every player is wired this way. Many perform either better on the road or better at home and in this two part series, I’ll look at both.

 

Nashville has the most lopsided final schedule of any team. In 15 games remaining, they play 12 at home. If you can get him, Shea Weber is worth grabbing. Outside of the injured Steve Sullivan, Weber is the only Predator to score more points at home (22) than on the road (19) and that comes with having played more nine more road games than home up to this point of the year. With 12 more games at Bridgestone Arena, you can expect Weber’s production to rise.

In San Jose, the Sharks have nine home games remaining and only six road games. So if you’re a contender and you managed to grab Joe Thornton or Patrick Marleau at your trade deadline, your future looks pretty bright. Thornton has 32 points at home and only 22 on the road while Marleau follows suit with 35 and 16 respectively.

Other players to keep an eye on include Detroit’s Pavel Datsyuk who has 31H/21R points and 10H/6R games remaining, Buffalo’s Drew Stafford who has 24H/16R points, with 9H/7R games remaining, Phoenix’s Ray Whitney who has 32H/18R points and 8H/6R games remaining, Boston’s Zdeno Chara who has 20H/12R points and 9H/7R games remaining, and Carolina?’s Jamie McBain who has 16H/9R points and 10H/6R games remaining.

 

On the flip side, there are guys who play well on the road, but have a lot of home games remaining. I’m not telling you to dump and change on these guys, but if you’re hoping for a late season (fantasy playoff) push from them, you might want to lower your expectations. Logan Couture, for example, has only 13 points at home and 31 on the road. So with 9 home games and only 6 road games remaining, his production might not be ideal.

Ryan Kesler is an example of a player who performs well at home (34H/25R points), but has a road-heavy schedule (6H/8R). Tomas Plekanec is another with 33H/19R points but only plays 6 more home games, with 9 on the road. Claude Giroux (37H/24R) and Mike Richards (35H/20R) have only 7 home games compared to 9 road games.

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Without getting into the numbers, other players who have road-heavy schedules but perform well at home include Stamkos, St. Louis, Purcell, Lecavalier (just about the whole TB team), Tanguay, Jokinen, Parenteau, Moulson, Comeau, Grabner, Nielsen, Bolland, Seabrook, Keith, and Brian Campbell, among others.

Some players fluctuate more than others, but simply looking at total points and total games remaining might not paint the whole picture for you and your playoff planning. Stay tuned for my next article Road Warriors, which focuses on players who perform well on the road and whether or not they have favorable schedules for the remainder of the season.

 

Check out my section at Dub’s Take for articles on Mike Santorelli, Justin Schultz, Andreas Nodl, & Stefan Elliott, as well as in-depth game audits, and analysis on players leaguewide.

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UPCOMING GAMES

Nov 23 - 13:11 PHI vs CHI
Nov 23 - 16:11 CGY vs MIN
Nov 23 - 16:11 L.A vs SEA
Nov 23 - 18:11 FLA vs COL
Nov 23 - 19:11 T.B vs DAL
Nov 23 - 19:11 CBJ vs CAR
Nov 23 - 19:11 OTT vs VAN
Nov 23 - 19:11 WSH vs N.J
Nov 23 - 19:11 MTL vs VGK
Nov 23 - 19:11 DET vs BOS
Nov 23 - 19:11 NSH vs WPG
Nov 23 - 19:11 PIT vs UTA
Nov 23 - 19:11 NYI vs STL
Nov 23 - 20:11 S.J vs BUF
Nov 23 - 22:11 EDM vs NYR

Starting Goalies

Top Skater Views

  Players Team
KENT JOHNSON CBJ
VALERI NICHUSHKIN COL
JOSH MANSON COL
DMITRI VORONKOV CBJ
WYATT JOHNSTON DAL

Top Goalie Profile Views

  Players Team
DUSTIN WOLF CGY
JOHN GIBSON ANA
ALEXANDAR GEORGIEV COL
TRISTAN JARRY PIT
YAROSLAV ASKAROV S.J

LINE COMBOS

  Frequency NYI Players
25.7 MAXIM TSYPLAKOV KYLE PALMIERI BROCK NELSON
24.2 JEAN-GABRIEL PAGEAU ANDERS LEE BO HORVAT
17.4 SIMON HOLMSTROM PIERRE ENGVALL CASEY CIZIKAS

DobberHockey Podcasts

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Jeremy and Shams are here to break down all the new injuries and update timelines as well. After all the injury news they close out the show covering all the cold Kings players giving actionable fantasy advice on each one. Lastly, they close out the show the latest hot Russian forward for Columbus that is only 1% rostered on Yahoo right now.

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