Looking Ahead – Week 3

Dave Poleck

2011-10-23

 

Elias

 

A tough decision can be made easier with these charts showing you the best five and worst five schedules for upcoming seven-day periods. Some of you used them last year but for the benefit of new readers here is a refresher. The number next to the team indicates the ‘multiplier’ to use on a player’s point-per-game pace to give you an idea how many points to expect for that week.

 

Since I started writing this article, I have almost become religious about monitoring the current games played of teams throughout the season because it is one aspect that people often overlook when making deals. Yahoo definitely helps this advantage out by not directly showing player's games played when you look at their stats. These trade advantages will only stay open for a short period of time, so capitalizing on them before the games start to even out is key.

 

As of this Saturday morning, the Pittsburgh Penguins will have played four more games than the following teams; New Jersey, Long Island, San Jose, Detroit and the New York Rangers. If you own Penguins, especially in a rotisserie league, you definitely want to look into making a deal. I would be all over trading Jordan Staal for the likes of Franzen, Clowe or Callahan in most formats. Normally these windows are only open for a short period of time, but after next Thursday's games, Pittsburgh will still have played 12 times, the Devils, Rangers and Islanders eight times, while the Sharks and Wings still sit at only seven games a piece. It is not until Monday, October 31 that any of those teams will come within three games played of Pittsburgh (San Jose plays NYR that night for game 10).

 

I think I may have jinxed the Lightning last week by pointing out their perfect penalty kill thus far in the season. They responded by giving up two powerplay goals on Saturday and an astonishing five on Monday against the Florida Panthers. The Devils and Hawks have still only allowed one powerplay goal each in four and six games respectively; but the real cream of the crop (and perhaps the one that has enough significance to alter your lineup plans) are the Pittsburgh Penguins, who have only allowed one powerplay marker in 31 attempts.

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The Rangers will finish their seven game road trip to start the season against Edmonton and Winnipeg this week, and begin a six game home stand at the newly renovated Madison Square Garden against Toronto, then Ottawa. That four game stretch could be just what the they need after starting the year 2-1-2.

 

Last season, the Ducks started 7-1-1 at home but only 3-7-2 on the road. While they were eventually able to pull up that lackluster road record because of a strong finish, I will be watching them very closely as they are about to set out on an early seven game road trip.

 

Friday Oct 21 to Thursday Oct 27, 2010
Best Bets
Columbus 4.30 – @Det, @Ott, Det, @Buf
Philadelphia 4.09 – StL, Tor, @Mon, Win
Anaheim 4.00 – Dal, Phx, @Chi, @Min
Dallas 3.84 – @Ana, @LA, @Phx, LA
Montreal 3.81 – Tor, Fla, Phi, @Mon
Steer Clear
Boston 1.75 – SJ, Mon
Minnesota 1.82 – @Van, Ana
Calgary 2.00 – Nash, Col
Colorado 2.12 – @Chi, @Cgy
Chicago 2.17 – Col, Ana
Saturday Oct 22 to Friday Oct 28, 2010
Best Bets
Philadelphia 4.09 – StL, Tor, @Mon, Win
Montreal 3.81 – Tor, Fla, Phi, @Mon
Edmonton 3.73 – NYR, Van, Wash, @Col
NYR 3.52 – @Edm, @Win, Tor
Chicago 3.27 – Col, Ana, @Car
Steer Clear
Boston 1.75 – SJ, Mon
Minnesota 1.82 – @Van, Ana
Washington 2.23 – Det, @Edm
Dallas 2.77 – @LA, @Phx, LA
NYI 2.79 – @Fla, Pit, @Pit
Sunday Oct 23 to Saturday Oct 29, 2010
Best Bets
Philadelphia 4.11 – Tor, @Mon, Win, Car
Anaheim 3.93 – Phx, @Chi, @Min, @Nash
Phoenix 3.73 – @Ana, Dal, NJ, LA
Montreal 3.58 – Fla, Phi, @Bos, Bos
Pittsburgh 3.48 – @NYI, NYI, Tor
Steer Clear
Boston 1.83 – Mon, @Mon
St.Louis 1.93 – @Van, @Cgy
Minnesota 1.97 – Ana, Det
Washington 2.08 – @Edm, @Van
Calgary 2.17 – Colorado, StL
Monday Oct 24 to Sunday Oct 30, 2010
Best Bets
Los Angeles 4.29 – NJ, @Dal, @Phx, @Col
Anaheim 4.17 – @Chi, @Min, @Nash, @CBJ
Philadelphia 4.11 – Tor, @Mon, Win, Car
Columbus 4.06 – Det, @Buf, @Chi, Ana
Ottawa 3.99 – @Car, Fla, @NJ, Tor
Steer Clear
Boston 1.83 – Mon, @Mon
Minnesota 1.97 – Ana, Det





Washington 2.08 – @Edm, @Van
Calgary 2.17 – Colorado, StL
NY Islanders 2.62 – Pit, @Pit, SJ
Tuesday Oct 25 to Monday Oct 31, 2010
Best Bets
Los Angeles 4.29 – NJ, @Dal, @Phx, @Col
Anaheim 4.17 – @Chi, @Min, @Nash, @CBJ
San Jose 4.11 – @Nas, @Det, @NYI, @NYR
Columbus 4.06 – Det, @Buf, @Chi, Ana
Ottawa 3.99 – @Car, Fla, @NJ, Tor
Steer Clear
Boston 1.83 – Mon, @Mon
Minnesota 1.97 – Ana, Det





Washington 2.08 – @Edm, @Van





Calgary 2.17 – Colorado, StL
NY Islanders 2.62 – Pit, @Pit, SJ
Wednesday Oct 26 to Tuesday Nov 1, 2010
Best Bets
Anaheim 4.04 – @Min, @Nas, @CBJ, @Was

Ottawa 3.79 – Fla, @NYR, Tor, @Bos


Los Angeles 3.43 – @Dal, @Phx, @Col
Florida 3.31 – @Ott, @Buf, Win

San Jose 3.22 – @Det, @NYI, @NYR
Steer Clear
Dallas 1.69 – LA, NJ
Phoenix 1.69 – NJ, LA
NY Islanders 1.80 – @Pit, SJ
Buffalo 2.02 – CBJ, Fla
New Jersey 2.10 – @Phx, @Dal
Thursday Oct 27 to Wednesday Nov 2, 2010
Best Bets
Anaheim 4.04 – @Min, @Nas, @CBJ, @Was
Toronto 3.84 – @NYR, Pit, @Ott, @NJ
Ottawa 3.79 – Fla, @NYR, Tor, @Bos

Los Angeles 3.43 – @Dal, @Phx, @Col
Florida 3.31 – @Ott, @Buf, Win

Steer Clear
Dallas 1.69 – LA, NJ
Montreal 1.70 – @Bos, Bos
Calgary 1.74 – StL, Van
NY Islanders 1.80 – @Pit, SJ
Vancouver 1.90 – Was, @Cgy
Friday Oct 28 to Thursday Nov 3, 2010
Best Bets
Toronto 4.11 – Pit, @Ott, @NJ, @CBJ
San Jose 4.05 – @Det, @NYI, @NYR, Pit
Chicago 4.02 – @Car, CBJ, Nas, @Fla
Detroit 3.90 – SJ, @Min, Min, Cgy
Anaheim 3.88 – @Nas, @CBJ, @Was, @NYR
Steer Clear
Montreal 0.81 – Bos
Dallas 0.87 – NJ
Washington 1.82 – @Van, Ana
Buffalo 1.88 – Fla, Phi
Boston 2.00 – @Mon, Ott
Saturday Oct 29 to Friday Nov 4, 2010
Best Bets
Toronto 4.11 – Pit, @Ott, @NJ, @CBJ
Vancouver 4.05 – Was, @Cgy, @Min, @StL
Chicago 4.02 – CBJ, Nas, @Fla, @TB
Anaheim 3.88 – @Nas, @CBJ, @Was, @NYR
Ottawa 3.71 – @NYR, Tor, @Bos, Mon
Steer Clear
Edmonton 1.88 – Stl, @LA
Montreal 1.96 – Bos, @Ott
Boston 2.00 – @Mon, Ott
NY Islanders 2.00 – SJ, Win
St.Louis 2.00 – @Edm, Van
Sunday Oct 30 to Saturday Nov 5, 2010
Best Bets
Anaheim 4.10 – @CBJ, @Was, @NYR, @Det
Toronto 4.10 – @Ott, @NJ, @CBJ, Bos
Ottawa 3.75 – Tor, @Bos, Mon, Buf
Washington 3.28 – Ana, @Car, @NYI
Los Angeles 3.26 – @Col, Edm, Pit
Steer Clear
Dallas 1.19 – Col
Carolina 1.81 – TB, Was
Pittsburgh 1.88 – @SJ, @LA
NY Islanders 1.93 – Wpg, Was
Tampa Bay 2.03 – @Car, Chi

 

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