Looking Ahead – Week 4

Dave Poleck

2011-10-28

 

Booth

 

A tough decision can be made easier with these charts showing you the best five and worst five schedules for upcoming seven-day periods. Some of you used them last year but for the benefit of new readers here is a refresher. The number next to the team indicates the ‘multiplier’ to use on a player’s point-per-game pace to give you an idea how many points to expect for that week.

 

The Penguins penalty kill has been simply off the charts so far this season. Through 12 games (shorthanded 37 times), they have still only allowed one powerplay goal against. To top that off, they have managed to score three shorthanded goals already. They have a five day break coming up next week, but if you are hoping to gain an edge in powerplay points this weekend, don't expect any Leafs to help you out when they play Pittsburgh on Saturday.

 

Staying with the Penguins, their games played advantage is still evident over most teams in the league. I traded Jordan Staal for Derek Roy in my one year league, and although I was greeted the next day with the news that Roy was off their powerplay for now, the games I am gaining will pay dividends for my team.

 

The Jets started their first lengthy road trip in…….curious fashion. Thursday's 9-8 road hockey game against the Flyers was their first of seven straight away from home in which they will face Tampa, Florida, Long Island, New Jersey, New York and Buffalo. They have still yet to win on the road and have allowed at least four goals in each of their five games so far this season.

 

The team with the fewest goals against per game is not the near perfect penalty killing Penguins or even Jonathan Quick and the Kings, but the upstart Edmonton Oilers squad led by none other than Nikolai Khabibulin. They have had the benefit of lots of home cooking over the first month though, with only two road games thus far. After a matchup Sunday in Edmonton against St. Louis, they will set out on a six game road trip through LA, Phoenix, Montreal, Boston, Detroit and Chicago. I expect them to be well prepared as they have a four day break between playing  St.Louis and the Kings.

 

Monthly Look Ahead


If you are looking at taking advantage of some games played differences when scouring your league for trades, here is a look at team totals for the month of November.

 

15 Games: Carolina, Minnesota


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14 Games: Buffalo, Calgary, Chicago, Colorado, Detroit, Edmonton, Los Angeles, Montreal, New Jersey, Toronto, Washington,


13 Games: Anaheim, Boston, Dallas, Florida, Nashville, Long Island, Phoenix, St. Louis, Tampa Bay, Vancouver, Winnipeg


12 Games: Columbus, Ottawa, Philadelphia, Pittsburgh


11 Games: New York Rangers, San Jose

 

Can you think of a slow starter on Carolina who is perfect to target right now? I'll give you a hint; he has more brothers in the NHL than you do

 

Last season, the Ducks started 7-1-1 at home but only 3-7-2 on the road. While they were eventually able to pull up that lackluster road record because of a strong finish, I will be watching them very closely as they are about to set out on an early seven game road trip.

 

Friday Oct 28 to Thursday Nov 3, 2010
Best Bets
Toronto 4.11 – Pit, @Ott, @NJ, @CBJ
San Jose 4.05 – @Det, @NYI, @NYR, Pit
Chicago 4.02 – @Car, CBJ, Nas, @Fla
Detroit 3.90 – SJ, @Min, Min, Cgy
Anaheim 3.88 – @Nas, @CBJ, @Was, @NYR
Steer Clear
Montreal 0.81 – Bos
Dallas 0.87 – NJ
Washington 1.82 – @Van, Ana
Buffalo 1.88 – Fla, Phi
Boston 2.00 – @Mon, Ott
Saturday Oct 29 to Friday Nov 4, 2010
Best Bets
Toronto 4.11 – Pit, @Ott, @NJ, @CBJ
Vancouver 4.05 – Was, @Cgy, @Min, @StL
Chicago 4.02 – CBJ, Nas, @Fla, @TB
Anaheim 3.88 – @Nas, @CBJ, @Was, @NYR
Ottawa 3.71 – @NYR, Tor, @Bos, Mon
Steer Clear
Edmonton 1.88 – Stl, @LA
Montreal 1.96 – Bos, @Ott
Boston 2.00 – @Mon, Ott
NY Islanders 2.00 – SJ, Win
St.Louis 2.00 – @Edm, Van
Sunday Oct 30 to Saturday Nov 5, 2010
Best Bets
Anaheim 4.10 – @CBJ, @Was, @NYR, @Det
Toronto 4.10 – @Ott, @NJ, @CBJ, Bos
Ottawa 3.75 – Tor, @Bos, Mon, Buf
Washington 3.28 – Ana, @Car, @NYI
Los Angeles 3.26 – @Col, Edm, Pit
Steer Clear
Dallas 1.19 – Col
Carolina 1.81 – TB, Was
Pittsburgh 1.88 – @SJ, @LA
NY Islanders 1.93 – Wpg, Was
Tampa Bay 2.03 – @Car, Chi
Monday Oct 31 to Sunday Nov 6, 2010
Best Bets
Vancouver 4.26 – @Cgy, @Min, @StL, @Chi
Calgary 4.24 – Van, @Det, @Buf, @Col
Winnipeg 4.13 – @Fla, @NYI, @NJ, @NYR
NY Rangers 3.84 – SJ, Ana, Mon, Win
Chicago 3.72 – Nas, @Fla, @TB, Van
Steer Clear
St. Louis 1.84 – Van, @Min
Pittsburgh 1.88 – @SJ, @LA





NY Islanders 1.93 – Wpg, Was
Los Angeles 1.94 – Edm, Pit
Edmonton 1.94 – @LA, @Phx
Tuesday Nov 1 to Monday Nov 7, 2010
Best Bets
Vancouver 4.26 – @Cgy, @Min, @StL, @Chi
Calgary 4.24 – Van, @Det, @Buf, @Col
Washington 3.28 – Ana, @Car, @NYI
Boston 3.28 – Ott, @Tor, NYI
Phoenix 3.24 – @Col, Nas, Edm
Steer Clear
St. Louis 1.84 – Van, @Min
Pittsburgh 1.88 – @SJ, @LA





Florida 1.93 – Chi, TB





Edmonton 1.94 – @LA, @Phx
Nashville 2.01 – @Phx, @SJ
Wednesday Nov 2 to Tuesday Nov 8, 2010
Best Bets
Calgary 4.44 – @Det, @Buf, @Col, Min

New Jersey 4.17 – Tor, @Phi, Win, Car


Buffalo 4.17 – Phi, Cgy, @Ott, Win
Winnipeg 4.13 – @Fla, @NYI, @NJ, @NYR

Colorado 4.09 – Phx, @Dal, Cgy, @Det
Steer Clear
Ottawa 1.82 – Mon, Buf
Pittsburgh 1.88 – @SJ, @LA
Tampa Bay 1.98 – Chi, @Fla
Anaheim 2.01 – @NYR, @Det
Columbus 2.06 – Tor, @Phi
Thursday Nov 3 to Wednesday Nov 9, 2010
Best Bets
Calgary 4.44 – @Det, @Buf, @Col, Min
Winnipeg 4.13 – @NYI, @NJ, @NYR, @Buf
NY Rangers 4.10 – Ana, Mon, Win, @Ott

Nashville 4.00 – @Phx, @SJ, @LA, @Ana
Chicago 3.99 – @Fla, @TB, Van, @StL

Steer Clear
Pittsburgh 1.88 – @SJ, @LA
Phoenix 1.92 – Nas, Edm
Columbus 2.06 – Tor, @Phi
Boston 2.25 – @Tor, NYI
San Jose 2.45 – Pit, Nas, LA
Friday Nov 4 to Thursday Nov 10, 2010
Best Bets
Colorado 4.25 – @Dal, Cgy, @Det, NYI
Montreal 4.21 – @Ott, @NYR, Edm, @Phx
Chicago 4.12 – @TB, Van, @StL, @CBJ
Winnpeg 3.87 – @NJ, @NYR, @Buf, Fla
St. Louis 3.81 – Van, @Min, Chi, Tor
Steer Clear
Pittsburgh 0.91 – @LA
Anaheim 1.91 – @Det, Nas
Columbus 1.96 – @Phi, Chi
Phoenix 1.98 – Edm, Mon
New Jersey 2.11 – Win, Car
Saturday Nov 5 to Friday Nov 11, 2010
Best Bets
NY Rangers 4.12 – Mon, Win, @Ott, Car
Chicago 4.01 – Van, @StL, @CBJ, Cgy
Edmonton 3.99 – @Phx, @Mon, @Bos, @Det
Winnpeg 3.87 – @NJ, @NYR, @Buf, Fla
Florida 3.38 – TB, @Tor, @Win
Steer Clear
Pittsburgh 1.87 – @LA, Dal
Columbus 1.96 – @Phi, Chi
Tampa Bay 1.98 – @Fla, Phi
Phoenix 1.98 – Edm, Mon
Philadelphia 2.17 – CBJ, @TB
Sunday Nov 6 to Saturday Nov 12, 2010
Best Bets
Calgary 4.64 – @Col, Min, @Chi, @Col
Colorda 4.10 – Cgy, @Det, NYI, Cgy
Winnipeg 4.09 – @NYR, @Buf, Fla, @CBJ
Dallas 4.02 – @Car, @Wash, @Pit, @Det
Chicago 4.01 – Van, @StL, @CBJ, Cgy
Steer Clear
Philadelphia 1.10 – @TB
Anaheim 1.57 – Nas, Van
Phoenix 1.84 – Mon, @SJ
Columbus 2.05 – Chi, Win
Pittsburgh 2.06 – Dal, @Car

 

 

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