Looking Ahead – Week 13

Dave Poleck

2011-12-30

 

Marchand

 

A tough decision can be made easier with these charts showing you the best five and worst five schedules for upcoming seven-day periods. Some of you used them last year but for the benefit of new readers here is a refresher. The number next to the team indicates the ‘multiplier’ to use on a player’s point-per-game pace to give you an idea how many points to expect for that week.

 

Although it seems like Sidney Crosby has been out for ages, he's only missed nine games (including Thursday night) since his December 5 injury. While there has been no word as to his condition, we can try to take some solace in knowing that most other teams in the League have played two or three more games than the Penguins over that span. So at least if he does come back, Pittsburgh will still have a higher amount of games to be played than most teams. If you still own some other Pittsburgh players (especially in weekly leagues), be warned that they only play once in between Sunday, January 1 and Friday January 6.

 

The surprising Jets have been clawing their way to a playoff spot over the past month and were finally sitting in 8th place prior to Thursday's games. Ever since the mid-December white wash Detroit handed them, Winnipeg has went 4-2-1. Take away that loss and they're 8-2-1 in their last 11 games. Winnipeg's schedule over the next few weeks, and the remainder of the season for that matter is downright bizarre. After only two road games in the month of December, they go on to play nine of 13 in January on the road, and 14 of 19 overall. They follow that awful stretch up with nine of their next 10 at home.

 

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A few weeks back, I made note of the Ducks need to make some noise in the final month of the year if they wanted a shot at the playoffs. It doesn't look like they listened. They began December nine points back of 8th place and now sit 15 points back. Their league low two road wins has grown to a earth shattering three, which was only because of their win on Monday against San Jose, which came almost two whole months after their last road win. Some good news is that they have started scoring a bit more on the road; only 18 GF in their first 11 road games, but have 16 GF in their last seven. If you own Bobby Ryan in a yearly league, don't trade him just yet. Starting Thursday against Vancouver, Anaheim plays five in a row at home. If they don't turn things around by the end of that stretch, I wouldn't be surprised to see Ryan shipped out of town.

 

The Wild and Panthers play a league low eight games over the next 21 days. Minnesota has lost their stranglehold on the Northwest Division, and are now in danger of dropping out of the race completely. While their next six are against Western opponents, they've already played 39 games, which is as many as three games more than some of the teams right below them in the standings. Florida has the Capitals to worry about, and while they are up seven points, Washington also has two games in hand.

 

Friday Dec 30 to Thursday Jan 5, 2010
Best Bets
Edmonton 4.37 – @NYI, @Chi, @Buf, @StL
Ottawa 3.93 – Cgy, @Buf, NJ, TB
Calgary 3.83 – @Ott, @Nas, @Was, @Bos
St. Louis 3.76 – Nas, @Det, Phx, Edm
Toronto 3.34 – @Win, TB. Win
Steer Clear
Pittburgh 1.00 – @NJ
Philadelphia 1.75 – NYR, Chi
Columbus 1.79 – Wash, @SJ
Minnesota 1.84 – Phx, @Van
Colorado 1.99 – @Ana, @LA
Saturday Dec 31 to Friday Jan 6, 2010
Best Bets
Edmonton 4.37 – @NYI, @Chi, @Buf, @StL
New Jersey 3.73 – Pit, @Ott, Bos, Fla
Toronto 3.34 – @Win, TB. Win
Tampa Bay 3.29 – Car, @Tor, @Ott
Chicago 3.19 – Edm, @Phi, Col
Steer Clear
Philadelphia 1.75 – NYR, Chi
Columbus 1.79 – Wash, @SJ
Pittburgh 1.82 – @NJ, NYR
Minnesota 1.84 – Phx, @Van
Nashville 1.99 – Cgy, Dal
Sunday Jan 1 to Saturday Jan 7, 2010
Best Bets
Edmonton 4.18 – @Chi, @Buf, @StL, @Dal
San Jose 3.87 – @Van, @Ana, CBJ, Was
New Jersey 3.82 – @Ott, Bos, Fla, @Pit
Calgary 3.65 – @Nas, @Wash, @Bos, Min
Tampa Bay 3.26 – @Tor, @Ott, @Mon
Steer Clear
Pittsburgh 1.72 – NYR, NJ
Columbus 1.88 – @SJ, @LA
Florida 1.91 – @NYR, @NJ
Washington 1.96 – Cgy, @SJ
Anaheim 1.98 – SJ, NYI
Monday Jan 2 to Sunday Jan 8, 2010
Best Bets
Edmonton 4.18 – @Chi, @Buf, @StL, @Dal
Chicago 4.16 – Edm, @Phi, Col, Det
Philadelphia 3.94 – NYR, Chi, Ott, @Ott
Ottawa 3.90 – NJ, TB, @Phi, Phi
San Jose 3.87 – @Van, @Ana, CBJ, Was
Steer Clear
Pittsburgh 1.72 – NYR, NJ
Florida 1.91 – @NYR, @NJ
Nashville 1.92 – Dal, Car
Washington 1.96 – Cgy, @SJ
Minnesota 1.99 – @Van, @Cgy
Tuesday Jan 3 to Monday Jan 9, 2010
Best Bets
Tampa Bay 3.26 – @Tor, @Ott, @Mon
Chicago 3.21 – @Phi, Col, Det
Detroit 3.21 – @Dal, @Tor, @Chi
NY Islanders 3.21 – @Car, @Ana, @Phx
Winnipeg 3.16 – @Mon, @Tor, @Buf
Steer Clear
Pittsburgh 1.72 – NYR, NJ
NY Rangers 1.86 – Fla, @Pit
Nashville 1.92 – Dal, Car
Minnesota 1.99 – @Van, @Cgy
Colorado 2.10 – @Chi, @StL
Wednesday Jan 4 to Tuesday Jan 10, 2010
Best Bets
Chicago 4.28 – @Phi, Col, Det, CBJ

Philadelphia 4.21 – Chi, Ott, @Ott, @Car


Winnipeg 4.05 – @Mon, @Tor, @Buf, @Bos
San Jose 4.03 – @Ana, CBJ, Was, @Min

Vancouver 4.01 – Min, @Bos, @Fla, @TB
Steer Clear
Washington 1.88 – @SJ, @LA
Edmonton 2.10 – @StL, @Dal
Florida 2.72 – @NYR, @NJ, Van
Pittsburgh 2.76 – NYR, NJ, Ott
Calgary 2.76 – @Bos, Min, NJ
Thursday Jan 5 to Wednesday Jan 11, 2010
Best Bets
Chicago 4.28 – @Phi, Col, Det, CBJ

Philadelphia 4.21 – Chi, Ott, @Ott, @Car


New Jersey 4.00 – Fla, @Pit, @Cgy, @Edm
Columbus 3.99 – @SJ, @LA, @Ana, @Chi

Ottawa 3.91 – TB, @Phi, Phi, @Pit
Steer Clear
Montreal. 1.97 – TB, StL
Minnesota 1.97 – @Cgy, SJ
Washington 2.71 – @SJ, @LA, Pit
Florida 2.72 – @NYR, @NJ, Van
Calgary 2.76 – @Bos, Min, NJ
Friday Jan 6 to Thursday Jan 12, 2010
Best Bets
Philadelphia 4.49 – Ott, @Ott, @Car, @NYI
Detroit 4.33 – @Tor, @Chi, @NYI, Phx
Chicago 4.20 – Col, Det, CBJ, Min
Anaheim 4.18 – NYI, CBJ, Dal, @Cgy
Vancouver 4.12 – @Bos, @Fla, @TB, @STL
Steer Clear
Florida 1.81 – @NJ, Van
Toronto 1.92 – Det, Buf
Edmonton 1.93 – @Dal, NJ
Washington 2.71 – @SJ, @LA, Pit
Tampa Bay 2.77 – @Mon, Van, Car
Saturday Jan 7 to Friday Jan 13, 2010
Best Bets
Philadelphia 4.49 – Ott, @Ott, @Car, @NYI
Detroit 4.33 – @Tor, @Chi, @NYI, Phx
Phoenix 4.26 – NYI, @NYR, @Det, @CBJ
Anaheim 4.14 – CBJ, Dal, @Cgy, @Edm
Vancouver 4.12 – @Bos, @Fla, @TB, @STL
Steer Clear
Florida 1.64 – Van, Pit
NY Rangers 1.97 – Phx, Ott
Colorado 2.77 – @STL, Nash, @Nash
Boston 2.80 – Van, Win, Mon
Los Angeles 2.82 – CBJ, Was, Dal
Sunday Jan 8 to Saturday Jan 14, 2010
Best Bets
Philadelphia 4.34 – @Ott, @Car, @NYI, @Nash
Anaheim 4.14 – CBJ, Dal, @Cgy, @Edm
Detroit 4.11 – @Chi, @NYI, Phx, Chi
Chicago 4.08 – Det, CBJ, Min, @Det
Columbus 3.93 – @Ana, @Chi, Phx, SJ
Steer Clear
Florida 1.64 – Van, Pit
Edmonton 1.88 – NJ, Ana
Winnipeg 2.68 – @Bos, SJ, NJ
Calgary 2.70 – NJ, Ana, LA
Tampa Bay 2.71 – Van, Car, @Wash

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