Trends

Ryan Ma

2012-01-24

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One of the major keys in helping you win a fantasy pool is to make note of current trends. This week we'll take a look at the 15 Western Conference teams to see if we can identify some.

 

Anaheim

Latest trend: 8-0-1 since Jan 6th, averaging four goals and 1.78 goals against per game with a 29.2 percent PP efficiency.

 

Advancers

Jonas Hiller is 6-0-1, 1.50 GAA and .947 SP in the last eight contests. There probably isn't a "hotter" goalie at the moment than him, which makes now a perfect time to acquire him from an unsuspecting owner. Cam Fowler has increased his SOG per game average from 1.24 up to 1.44.

 

Decliners

Watch Jason Blake: he has 8 points and 25 SOG during this "hot streak", while averaging just 13:26 and 1:16 per contest. The point production vs. TOI ratio just doesn't match up, so expect a decline moving forward.

Interesting stat: Ducks now need to go 22-8-5 to have a better than 50 percent chance of making post-season.

 

 

Calgary

Latest trend: 5-1-1 since Jan 7th, averaging 2.86 goals and 1.86 goals against per game with a 23.8 percent PP efficiency.

 

Advancers

Miikka Kiprusoff has been just as hot as Hiller, as he's gone 5-1-1, 1.53 GAA and .944 SP in the last seven starts. Michael Cammalleri is averaging 18:39 with 2:40 on the PP and 2.25 SOG per game in a Flames' uniform. He's really gelling with Jarome Iginla and Micheal Backlund on the top line. Speaking of Backlund (2 percent Yahoo! owned), he's averaging 18:11 per contest and the reigns have finally come off.

 

Decliners

Watch Lee Stempniak, he has 8 points and 18 SOG during this "hot streak", while averaging just 16:31 and 1:34 per contest. Same situation as Blake, the point production vs. TOI ratio won't last, so expect a bit of a decline moving forward.

 

 

Chicago

Latest trend: 5-1-1 since Jan 10th, averaging 3.86 goals and 2.57 goals against per game with a 25 percent PP efficiency.

 

Advancers

Since Patrick Sharp's injury, Viktor Stalberg has filled in nicely on the Hawks' top line. He has seven points and 23 SOG all while averaging 15:43per contest. Only drawback is he's seeing next to zero PP TOI, as he's averaging just 16 seconds per game. On the flip side, Steve Montador is averaging 2:02 on the PP per game during the last seven games. The Hawks are experimenting with him playing a "Byfuglien-like" role creating traffic in front of the opposition's net. Jonathan Toews splits: 1.24 points-per-game on the road compared to 0.86 at home, which should be favourable since the Hawks have a ratio of 20 to 13 road to home games moving forward.

 

Decliners

Corey Crawford has a pretty decent 18-11-4 overall record, but it's the peripherals that are the killer. His 2.88 GAA and .902 SP are ranked 35th and 36th amongst all goalies respectively.

 

 

Colorado

Latest trend: 3-2-0 during the last five, averaging 2.4 goals and 2.8 goals against per game with a 28.6 percent PP efficiency.

 

Advancers

Paul Stastny has been on fire since Peter Mueller has returned back from his concussion issue. Stastny has seven points along with 17 SOG in the last five. Mueller (16 percent Yahoo! owned) is seeing his ice-time spike, averaging 18:38 and 2:37 on the PP per game in the last three.

 

Decliners

Semyon Varlamov has been a major flop as an off-season acquisition, especially given the high price that the Avs sacrificed in order to land him. His GAA and SP rank 39th are tied for 38th in the league respectively.

Interesting note: The Avs have over $65 million in pro-rated cap space to spend at the deadline according to capgeek.com. With the Devils in huge financial trouble, could they possibly use a package of Ryan Stoa, Tyson Barrie and maybe a second round draft pick to land Parise?

 

 

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Columbus

Latest trend: 2-5-1 since Jan. 8th, averaging 2.25 goals and 3.63 goals against per game with a 19 percent PP efficiency.

 

Advancers

One of the lone bright spots for the Jackets has been the play of Derick Brassard (12 percent Yahoo! owned). He has four points and 21 SOG while spending plenty of time (49.6 percent of his overall TOI), alongside star Rick Nash during the last eight contests.

 

Decliners

Vinny Prospal has hit a bit of a dry spell after starting this campaign on nearly a point-per-game pace. He has just three points in the last 10 contests and has seen his ice-time dip down to 17:03 and 2:35 on the PP compared to 18:43 and 3:41 before the change of the calendar year.

 

 

Dallas

Latest trend: 0-4-1 since Jan. 14th, averaging 1.2 goals and 2.6 goals against per game while going 1 for 13 (7.7 percent) on the PP.

 

Advancers

Tom Wandell (0 percent Yahoo! owned), has managed to take advantage of Mike Ribeiro's knee injury to average 2.8 SOG and 1:56 on the PP per game. Although Trevor Daley has always been thought of as a "defensive defenseman", he's on pace to establish a new career-high in points (29), and SOG (141). Daley is averaging 2.2 SOG in the last five.

 

Decliners

After starting the season 14-5-1, Kari Lehtonen is just 2-6-0 with a 3.01 GAA and a .895 SP in January. Read note below.

 

Interesting note: If the Stars slip any further down the standings in the next couple of weeks, they could be "sellers" at the trade deadline. They could potentially lose both Sheldon Souray and most importantly Nicklas Grossman who are both headed to UFA status in the off-season. Nicklas Grossman leads the team with 90 BS as well as chipping in with 79 HITs, which could really change the complexion of the defensive unit in front of him.

 

 

Detroit

Latest trend: 7-0-0 since Jan. 12th, 3.29 goals and 1.57 goals against per game with a 16 percent PP efficiency.

 

Advancers

Pavel Datsyuk is on a hot streak with 10 points and 14 SOG during the last seven contests. Todd Bertuzzi, who's Datsyuk's line mate, is also reaping the benefits with seven points and 15 SOG during the same span. At just 30 percent Yahoo! owned, he's a great buy for the remainder of the season. Tomas Holmstrom doesn't have the points to show for it, but he is receiving plenty of PP TOI (2:39 per contest), alongside Datsyuk and Henrik Zetterberg on Detroit's top unit, which should see the points pick up fairly soon.

 

Decliners

Jiri Hudler has had "okay" numbers (17:02 and 1:49), during this seven game span, but the big one that jumps out at me is the lack of SOG. He has registered only eight since Jan 12th (1.14 per contest).

 

 

Edmonton

Latest trend: 2-7-1 since Jan. 3rd, averaging 1.6 goals and 3.2 goals against per game with a 21.4 percent PP efficiency.

 

Advancers

Sam Gagner's offensive game is starting to come around. He has five points in the last 10 contests. With Taylor Hall and Jordan Eberle returning it should help him pick up a few more extra points until Ryan Nugent-Hopkins returns after the ASB. I've been reading quite a few rumors regarding Ales Hemsky and Ryan Smyth being poached. If they end up going to contenders, Detroit, Pittsburgh or Nashville, their value could sky rocket.

 

Decliners

Shawn Horcoff has a monstrous lone point in the last 10 contests. The days of the high octane Smyth-Horcoff-Hemsky offensive trio are truly over. I know it's never a good thing to give up on a young 20-year old prospect, but could the Oilers be better off moving him while his value is still relatively high at the deadline? I mean with RNH, Hall, Eberle, Gagner, Horcoff and a plethora of young offensive talents, would he really get a fair crack at a top-six gig anyway?

 

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