February 27, 2012 – NHL Trade Deadline at 3pm
Dobber Sports
2012-02-27
Happy Trade Deadline Day! I will have a fantasy breakdown for any deal that is remotely impactful in fantasy hockey, and I'll have it quickly. Also join me for a live trade rumor chat HERE. It will begin at 11am and usually runs until around 4pm each year. Other DobberHockey columnists are all invited, and generally speaking when that happens at least five or six of them jump on for some trade talk. Makes for a fun day – pizza is on speed dial, beers are in the fridge chillin.
Join me and the DobberHockey community for a live chat right here, RIGHT NOW and running past 3pm.
BIG trade here late – Vancouver trades Cody Hodgson and Alexander Sulzer to Buffalo for MA Gragnani and Zach Kassian. Analysis to come.
After landing Johnny Oduya, the Blackhawks moved John Scott to the New York Rangers for a fifth-round draft pick.
The Bruins also added Mike Mottau today. Lots of little deals trickling in now at 3:15pm…
Steve Kampfer went to the Wild in the Zanon deal, as the Wild stock up on puck movers.
The Bruins added Brian Rolson and Greg Zanon. No fantasy impact, but solid depth help. Rangers and Canucks are said to have trade calls in for minor deals. Rick Nash NOT traded.
I’ll have the Paul Gaustad to Nashville breakdown up shortly.
Per Adrian Dater – Peter Mueller will be in the lineup tonight, recovered from his torso injury.
Winnipeg trades Johnny Oduya to Chicago for a second and third-round draft pick.
Sami Pahlsson to Vancouver for two fourth-round draft picks. No fantasy impact, but nice pickup by the Canucks.
Brian Lee to TB for Matt Gilroy.
Detroit has traded Mike Commodore to the Lightning, per Nick Kypreos. No fantasy impact
The Jets made a depth move, claiming Grant Clitsome off of waivers. He couldn’t have gone to a worst city – behind Byfuglien, Enstrom, and Bogosian I don’t see him eking any PP time.
What do I expect? I expect the usually 24 deals, give or take, with two or three 'decent' names moved and two or three somewhat coveted prospects moved.
I think Rick Nash will go to the Rangers, although I don't think that they need him. The Rangers have great chemistry and you don't want to mess with that when there are 20 games left. This is an offseason move, not an in-season move. Who will go the other way? Columbus is pushing hard for Derek Stepan, but they will fail in that (my prediction). But Chris Kreider, Brandon Dubinsky, a first-round pick won't be enough.
I believe that Dustin Brown will not be traded, but if he is then to me the Leafs would be the favorites. A great fit, but does not address their top need of a goaltender and their second-top need of a first-line center.
I have five players on my keeper league team, in the one that I run myself, who I have been hanging onto in hopes that they will be traded. Wojtek Wolski, Mikhail Grabovski, Jussi Jokinen, Andrei Kostitsyn and Jarret Stoll. In each case, a new team will boost their numbers. Even Grabovski's, and he's having a decent season already. But I think Grabovski is the least likely to be moved, and Stoll's three points Saturday certainly make the Kings lean towards keeping him.
Speaking of Wolski, I had this to say about him on Twitter. He would have an early impact in Florida and you couldn't ask for a better destination for him to go to. Long-time readers of me will remember that I've never been a backer of Wolski's, believing him too soft and too inconsistent. Had quite a bit of backlash over that stance three or four years ago from fantasy owners who thought he was the next big thing. So for me to go out on a limb and say that he will do well in Florida is saying a lot.
The truth of the matter is this – Tortorella demands an honest effort every shift. He demands toughness and grit. Wolski can't deliver that, and when he tries to deliver that, he looks silly. So on the Rangers, he "sucks" (as some Twitter followers made clear to me yesterday). But every team can afford one or two soft forwards who do nothing but dish and/or score. The Rangers choose not to have a player like that, but many teams do and they do well with it. Put Wolski out there when you need offense and he'll give it to you. For a time. I don't have an answer for the lack of consistency, but when it comes to lacking toughness I think the Panthers will overlook that – and thus he will be fine.
Wolski played over 16 minutes Sunday, but was held off the scoresheet. Interestingly enough, that was more ice time than Fleischmann.
Scoring race update: Malkin 78 in 55; Stamkos 75 in 62; Giroux 72 in 57 and Spezza 70 in 64.
Memory Lane time. After Evgeni Malkin's four points (again) Saturday, I decided to look back at some old ramblings and how I faced the storm/onslaught of readers who just could not believe or understand why I preferred Malkin over Steven Stamkos. Here are the ramblings on that one, and criticism in the comments went beyond this site and spilled onto another site where writers actually quoted me from these ramblings… and kinda tore me a new one. I'm not going to say I told you so. Malkin could have twisted his knee in early October and everyone would be laughing at me today, so I can't do that because of how easily it could have gone the other way. But my stance on the two has not changed – Malkin is an injury risk, but has much higher upside if healthy. Give me the higher upside every time, even if he misses next season again. I wouldn't trade Malkin for Stamkos in my keeper league then… and of course I wouldn't now either. And I won't next year , no matter what happens. When the conversation is about elite players, I won't change my stance with the direction the wind blows.
Still on the Memory Lane, I also noticed in those same ramblings my discussion about a deal I did. Nice to see that, and looking back on it things turned out alright. I moved Visnovsky and Parise and got Nugent-Hopkins, Turris, Granlund and Berglund. A commenter sure didn't like that one, but six months later it doesn't look too bad considering that's the league I'm rebuilding in.
Still talking about trades in my league, I made a big move last week in overpaying to get John Tavares. I now sit in fifth place in that league with a solid playoff team and Sidney Crosby on my bench. I traded Jonathan Quick, Jhonas Enroth, Joe Thornton and Max Pacioretty for Tavares, Tim Thomas, Jarret Stoll (as a throw in, in case he gets traded) and Martin Havlat. I had the BEST goaltending in the league (both quality and depth), and now I would rank my goaltending third. So I lost some of my strong situation there to get this deal done. If Crosby is ever healthy, he and Tavares could be lethal.
Just look at Tavares' production trend, year-over-year. Nice and steady in an upward direction. Ninety points next season. Mark it! I did this deal because a) Tavares, b) I was strong in net and took advantage of that, c) I was very deep and could afford to lose a couple of players and d) I needed to match up some playoff players – I have several Bruins and Sharks, but no really good playoff goalie options. Quick, Smith and Anderson are all in or close to the playoffs, but not expected to go deep. Now I have Thomas.
Give me Blake Wheeler over Evander Kane. The latter gets hurt a lot, while the former is productive and healthy. To me it's not even close and if I owned Kane I would trade him for Wheeler in a heartbeat.
I offered my Ryan Nugent-Hopkins, Magnus Paajarvi and a first-round draft pick for Sidney Crosby last Friday. I was turned down.
A reader, Mike, wrote to me floating the theory that Nicklas Backstrom's migraine problems are perhaps making his concussion issues not only worse, but more drawn out. Very good point. Backstrom, as many of you know, has battled migraines on and off over the years. A concussion can't be good for that.
He also asked me how many players have left for the KHL, and then returned and been successful in the NHL. I can think of two right off the bat – Alex Semin and Jaromir Jagr. Any others?
Erik "Orr" Karlsson – take it easy there, buddy. Gettin' a little carried away…
Marek Zidlicky joins his new team, plays 19 minutes, over five on the power play, and is a minus-2 and the team loses. So far, just more of the same. Matt Taormina gets scratched.
Martin Brodeur has faced 32 shots over the last two games total. Lost them both.
Players I've noticed heating up the last two games, and I think we'll see a nice little hot streak in the coming week or two: Kyle Turris and Stephen Weiss.
Brent Burns has 13 points in his last 13 games.
We kicked a guy out of our pool in September because he traded Ryan Getzlaf and Alex Ovechkin for PA Parenteau, Radim Vrbata and Joffrey Lupul. I'm kidding, of course, but if someone did that deal in September how much shit would he have been in from the rest of the GMs?
Studs and Duds for today are here.
Goal of the year. Malkin:
Kyle Turris with the hit on Joe Corvo. Suspendable? No suspension, no fine FYI: