Looking Ahead: Week 9
Bob Fisher
2013-03-15
Fisher takes a look at the schedule for next week and breaks down the teams with favorable/unfavorable workloads.
* This article was written before NHL games took place on Thursday, March 14, 2013.
Conference Bias
Don't worry, everything has returned back to normal. The Eastern Conference is back to having more than double the amount of "Best Bets" appearances than the Western Conference with a 24-11 advantage. The Eastern Conference also recovered in the "Steer Clear" section to the tune of 22-13 (the West with the 22). It's safe to go back to loading up on Eastern Conference talent once again.
Things are Looking Up on the Island
There's a notion that superstars make everyone around them better. John Tavares is no exception. If/When the Islanders finally get out of the cellar; it'll be on the back of JT. He's made guys like Matt Moulson and Brad Boyes look like true first liners. He was a major reason why Lubomir Visnovsky came back from the KHL quicker than expected.
The Isles really aren't that bad of a team, they have some good pieces; they just need to pull it all together. In the next few days, the Islanders start a nice little home stand against some opponents who may be vulnerable to surrender some goals. Before their four-game home stand starts, the Isles travel to Florida on Saturday to face a team who is in a complete free fall.
Their schedule brings them back to Nassau Coliseum with games against Ottawa, Montreal, Pittsburgh and Florida again. While they're all potentially playoff teams, except Florida, the Islanders have the second most goals for on the powerplay while at home (tied with a few other teams). Pittsburgh has the sixth worst penalty kill in the league and Florida is dead last (by almost a full four percent). Their fantasy-friendly schedule then takes them back on the road to face the second worst PK team in the Washington Capitals.
Expect the Islanders to put up some points in the next several games and maybe inch closer to a playoff spot.
Jets Prepare to Take Off
Winnipeg, much like the Islanders, is holding onto hope of still making the playoffs. They're tied for eighth in the East, but the Rangers have a game in hand. The end of March is incredibly busy for the Jets, so if you have any of their players, you're going to get a lot of use out of them.
They have a seven-day span where they play five games, which includes back-to-back home games against Washington. This is the time where we'll learn if the Jets will fly or crash and burn. Watch for guys like Blake Wheeler, Andrew Ladd, Evander Kane, Dustin Byfuglien and Tobias Enstrom (who will be back soon) to shine. Ondrej Pavelec is uninspiring, but he's a workhorse.
Winnipeg is a market that lives and dies by their team, so they really need a playoff run to satisfy the frenzied fan base. If you need to fill some lineup spots, Winnipeg is a great choice for the rest of the month.
Philly's Falling into a Black Hole
The Universe is a big place and the distance from the Earth to the Moon is about the same distance Philadelphia needs to travel to make their way back into a playoff spot. OK, not really, but it seems that way. It's pretty remarkable actually, Peter Laviolette is a great coach, but he's looking like he's on the hot seat with their GM, Paul Holmgren.
The Flyers have many great pieces, but their team is brutal right now. Danny Briere can't seem to do anything lately; Ilya Bryzgalov is a crazy mess (more than normal). While they have some good depth, past the known commodities of Briere, Jake Voracek, Claude Giroux, Wayne Simmonds and Matt Read, there's only Brayden Schenn who has double digits in points among forwards and that's it.
The Flyers need some time to clear their head and this is the week to do it. They have only two games in the next nine days. And in those nine days, they'll see their chances of making the playoffs shrivel up and die. Bench your Flyers if you can only make roster updates once a week, Giroux's two assists aren't going to help you.
All Downhill from Here
You never want to peak too early. Macaulay Culkin peaked really early with the Home Alone movies and look at him now. Although, he did date Mila Kunis for a while, so that's saying something. Now, I'm not saying the Hawks are going to have a fall like Macaulay did, but they haven't looked like the same team since their streak ended. That was to be expected, but now their mettle is going to be tested with a week of road games and injuries to deal with on top of that.
Visits to Dallas and Colorado are the appetizer before the main course showdown Wednesday night at Anaheim, which could help determine the Western Conference throne, right before Corey Perry makes his return and Anaheim goes on their typical late-season charge.
A pretty sparse schedule for the Hawks coupled with the massive mental letdown that has to accompany coming off of a 24-game season-starting win streak makes starting some of their players less enticing in the near future. Steer clear until their ship has been righted.
Possible Pickups
Here's a list of some players, owned in less than 30% of Yahoo leagues, to target during the upcoming Monday through Sunday week.
Vancouver: Mason Raymond (7%) – With Ryan Kesler out and David Booth slumping, Vancouver doesn't have a clear cut second line. Their most successful line (other than the Twins' line) is the Raymond-Jannik Hansen–Chris Higgins line. They're all less than 10% owned in Yahoo leagues. Personally, I'd go with Raymond.
NY Rangers: Derek Stepan (29%) – Eight points in his past seven games. Lining up with Marian Gaborik and Ryan Callahan. Top unit PP time. Second most average ice time among forwards on the team. Why is he only owned in less than a third of Yahoo leagues? He's owned in all the leagues I play in.
NY Islanders: Brad Boyes (19%) – On the top line with John Tavares and Matt Moulson at even strength and the man advantage. Three points in his past two and six in his past five. Dual eligibility. Enough said.
Winnipeg: Bryan Little (20%) – Three points in his last four. Skating with Blake Wheeler and Andrew Ladd in all situations. Second on the team among forwards in average ice time. Plus, if you pick up him and Boyes, your team name possibilities are endless.
Los Angeles: Jake Muzzin (6%) – I don't normally suggest defensemen in this section, but Muzzin has been too good to ignore. Seven points in his past five, including four in his past three. He's +8 in the month of March and hasn't had a negative game since February 20th. In fact, he's only had two negative games all season.
Friday, March 15 to Thursday, March 21 | ||||||
Best Bets | ||||||
NY Rangers (4.26) – 4 Games: @PIT, CAR, @NJ, FLA | ||||||
Los Angeles (4.20) – 4 Games: SJ, PHX, PHX, DAL | ||||||
Nashville (4.20) – 4 Games: @CGY, @EDM, @CLB, CGY | ||||||
Carolina (4.16) – 4 Games: @TB, @NYR, FLA, NJ | ||||||
Ottawa (4.14) – 4 Games: @BUF, WPG, @NYI, BOS | ||||||
Steer Clear | ||||||
Columbus (2.00) – 2 Games: PHX, NSH | ||||||
St. Louis (2.00) – 2 Games: ANH, @VAN | ||||||
Philadelphia (2.05) – 2 Games: NJ, @TB | ||||||
Calgary (2.80) – 3 Games: NSH, @DAL, @NSH | ||||||
San Jose (2.85) – 3 Games: @LA, @ANH, @EDM | ||||||
Saturday, March 16 to Friday, March 22 | ||||||
Best Bets | ||||||
Winnipeg (4.96) – 5 Games: @TOR, @OTW, BOS, WSH, WSH | ||||||
Washington (4.95) – 5 Games: @BOS, BUF, @PIT, @WPG, @WPG | ||||||
NY Rangers (4.26) – 4 Games: @PIT, CAR, @NJ, FLA | ||||||
Los Angeles (4.20) – 4 Games: SJ, PHX, PHX, DAL | ||||||
NY Islanders (4.19) – 4 Games: @FLA, OTW, MTL, PIT | ||||||
Steer Clear | ||||||
Philadelphia (1.00) – 1 Games: @TB | ||||||
Edmonton (1.94) – 2 Games: NSH, SJ | ||||||
St. Louis (2.00) – 2 Games: ANH, @VAN | ||||||
Calgary (2.85) – 3 Games: @DAL, @NSH, @CLB | ||||||
San Jose (2.85) – 3 Games: @LA, @ANH, @EDM | ||||||
Sunday, March 17 to Saturday, March 23 | ||||||
Best Bets | ||||||
Nashville (4.25) – 4 Games: @EDM, @CLB, CGY, CLB | ||||||
Los Angeles (4.25) – 4 Games: PHX, PHX, DAL, VAN | ||||||
Ottawa (4.24) – 4 Games: WPG, @NYI, BOS, TB | ||||||
Dallas (4.16) – 4 Games: CGY, @COL, @LA, COL | ||||||
Washington (4.10) – 4 Games: BUF, @PIT, @WPG, @WPG | ||||||
Steer Clear | ||||||
Philadelphia (1.00) – 1 Games: @TB | ||||||
Chicago (1.95) – 2 Games: @COL, @ANH | ||||||
Detroit (1.95) – 2 Games: MIN, @ANH | ||||||
St. Louis (1.95) – 2 Games: @VAN, @EDM | ||||||
Calgary (2.85) – 3 Games: @DAL, @NSH, @CLB | ||||||
Monday, March 18 to Sunday, March 24 | ||||||
Best Bets | ||||||
Vancouver (4.95) – 5 Games: MIN, STL, @PHX, @LA, @COL | ||||||
NY Rangers (4.36) – 4 Games: CAR, @NJ, FLA, WSH | ||||||
NY Islanders (4.31) – 4 Games: OTW, MTL, PIT, FLA | ||||||
Winnipeg (4.25) – 4 Games: BOS, WSH, WSH, TB | ||||||
Los Angeles (4.25) – 4 Games: PHX, PHX, DAL, VAN | ||||||
Steer Clear | ||||||
Chicago (1.95) – 2 Games: @COL, @ANH | ||||||
Philadelphia (2.00) – 2 Games: @TB, @PIT | ||||||
Edmonton (2.10) – 2 Games: SJ, STL | ||||||
Boston (2.80) – 3 Games: @WPG, @OTW, @TOR | ||||||
San Jose (2.85) – 3 Games: @ANH, @EDM, @MIN | ||||||
Tuesday, March 19 to Monday, March 25 | ||||||
Best Bets | ||||||
Nashville (4.36) – 4 Games: @CLB, CGY, CLB, EDM | ||||||
NY Islanders (4.31) – 4 Games: OTW, MTL, PIT, FLA | ||||||
Winnipeg (4.25) – 4 Games: BOS, WSH, WSH, TB | ||||||
Ottawa (4.19) – 4 Games: @NYI, BOS, TB, NJ | ||||||
New Jersey (4.06) – 4 Games: NYR, @CAR, FLA, @OTW | ||||||
Steer Clear | ||||||
Philadelphia (1.00) – 1 Games: @PIT | ||||||
Chicago (1.95) – 2 Games: @ANH, LA | ||||||
Carolina (2.26) – 2 Games: FLA, NJ | ||||||
Tampa Bay (2.80) – 3 Games: @TOR, @OTW, @WPG | ||||||
San Jose (2.85) – 3 Games: @EDM, @MIN, @ANH | ||||||
Wednesday, March 20 to Tuesday, March 26 | ||||||
Best Bets | ||||||
Toronto (5.11) – 5 Games: TB, @BUF, BOS, @BOS, FLA | ||||||
NY Islanders (4.36) – 4 Games: MTL, PIT, FLA, @WSH | ||||||
Winnipeg (4.31) – 4 Games: WSH, WSH, TB, @CAR | ||||||
Washington (4.11) – 4 Games: @WPG, @WPG, @NYR, NYI | ||||||
Anaheim (4.04) – 4 Games: CHI, DET, DET, SJ | ||||||
Steer Clear | ||||||
Philadelphia (2.00) – 2 Games: @PIT, NYR | ||||||
Phoenix (2.10) – 2 Games: VAN, DET | ||||||
Carolina (2.15) – 2 Games: NJ, WPG | ||||||
San Jose (2.85) – 3 Games: @EDM, @MIN, @ANH | ||||||
Boston (2.86) – 3 Games: @OTW, @TOR, TOR | ||||||
Thursday, March 21 to Wednesday, March 27 | ||||||
Best Bets | ||||||
Calgary (4.91) – 5 Games: @NSH, @CLB, STL, @CHI, COL | ||||||
NY Islanders (4.36) – 4 Games: MTL, PIT, FLA, @WSH | ||||||
Winnipeg (4.31) – 4 Games: WSH, WSH, TB, @CAR | ||||||
Washington (4.11) – 4 Games: @WPG, @WPG, @NYR, NYI | ||||||
Montreal (4.05) – 4 Games: @NYI, BUF, @PIT, @BOS | ||||||
Steer Clear | ||||||
Philadelphia (2.00) – 2 Games: @PIT, NYR | ||||||
Carolina (2.15) – 2 Games: NJ, WPG | ||||||
Chicago (2.15) – 2 Games: LA, CGY | ||||||
Detroit (2.85) – 3 Games: @ANH, @ANH, @PHX | ||||||
San Jose (2.90) – 3 Games: @MIN, @ANH, ANH |