What Went Wrong? What Did We Learn

Terry Campkin


USATSI 7217415

Campkin recaps what went wrong with his Hockey Geek predictions, and what lessons we learned.

Last week, I took a look at some of the biggest "hits" that we had in this year's Geek of the Week feature with the 2013 All-Geek Fantasy Hockey Team. By and large, it was a very successful season for the players profiled here and a lot of the players helped propel me to a championship in two of the four leagues I am in. As always though, there are going to be some misses and to balance things out today I am going to take a look at some of the Geeks who didn't pan out quite so nicely.


Over the course of the season we profiled 28 players, 22 of which I would classify as a hit or at least a push (fair value). Three of the players (Lupul, Morris and Kulikov) I would rank as an N/A due to injury, although they did show promise in the games that they played. That leaves only three misses, which is a respectably low number although admittedly the ones that missed did so pretty badly.


Miika Kiprusoff


I was tempted to cop-out on this one and classify Kipper as an "N/A" due to injury but he was just so bad that I couldn't possibly do that and look myself in the mirror. He started 24 games, winning only 8 of them while sporting an abysmal 3.44GAA and .882sv%. Looking through his game log he only had 12 games that I would consider "good starts" in most leagues (a win with 3GA or less/ a loss with 2GA or less). Three of those starts came in April, when it was likely far too late to help your fantasy hockey team anyway. If you were smart enough to hand-pick the 12 good games Kipper actually had then good for you because in his other 12 games he combined for 54 goals against. Viktor Fasth let in two less than that in ALL 25 games that he appeared in.


What Went Wrong?


Kipper was bound to hit the wall eventually and he did it in spectacular fashion this season. I personally believe that the combination of his injury and pending retirement caused him to "check-out" early. He had a rough start to the season in the first seven games which wasn't entirely a surprise and I expected a bounce back but then he got hurt. When he came back he showed flashes at times, but as soon as it was evident that Calgary was going nowhere he literally had nothing to play for. This theory is backed up by the fact that in his last two home games he managed to step it up for his farewell tour, allowing only three total goals and stopping 68 of 71 shots.


As I mentioned in my original article, Kipper's value stems from his durability and the fact that he played almost every game for the flames, making him a huge contributor to cumulative stats. Both of those things changed this year as Kipper got hurt and then lost playing time to Joey Mac. Kipper was probably the worst performer of all Geeks of the Week, the only saving grace is that you likely wouldn't have had to waste a high pick on him.


What Did We Learn


Goalies are extremely unpredictable. I am going to have to do a full write-up one day on the conundrum of goalies – they can be so extremely valuable to your team but at the same time they can be so unpredictable. Just look at the 2013 numbers for guys like Jonathan Quick and Pekka Rinne compared to the likes of Sergei Bobrovsky, James Reimer, Craig Anderson etc. An