Looking Ahead: Week Three
Bob Fisher
2013-10-11
Looking ahead at some of the best fantasy options for Week Three.
The season has started with some odd results: Colorado is currently undefeated and leading the Central Division. Calgary is second in the Pacific Division. Everyone thinks Tomas Hertl is the next coming of Wayne Gretzky. Don't worry, things will settle back down. If your fantasy team is struggling right now, don't forget that we've only had two to five games played by each NHL team. Hang in there. If you're looking for some help to turn things around, or you're looking to maintain a lead you're holding right now, take a look at these teams to target (or avoid) for the coming week or two.
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Minnesota Wild = Target
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Games: 6 (2H/4A)
Favorable Matchups:
- @ Buffalo – Has allowed 11 goals in their past three games, all losses.
- @ Florida – Have allowed 18 goals in four games this season, including two seven goal games against St. Louis and Tampa Bay. Third worst defensive team in the league.   Even crazy Tim Thomas can't save this team.
- vs. Nashville – 13 goals against in 4 games for a 3.25 GAA. Nashville doesn't look very good this year.
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The Wild finally got their first win of the season last night against Winnipeg. They are about to hit a favorable stretch of games in the next couple weeks so guys like Zach Parise, Ryan Suter and Mikko Koivu should make their fantasy owners happy, although the Niklas Backstrom owners may not be (especially if he's out long with that leg injury).
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Nashville Predators = Consider
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Games: 6 (3H/3A)
Favorable Matchups:
- vs. Florida – Have allowed 18 goals in four games this season, including two seven goal games against St. Louis and Tampa Bay. Third worst defensive team in the league.
- vs. Los Angeles – Have uncharacteristically allowed at least three goals against each in the past three games.
- @ Winnipeg – Until last night, Winnipeg had not allowed fewer than three goals in a game this season.
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Why would anyone target a Predator? Especially with the fact they have only put up six goals in four games this season. I may be crazy, but I like their upcoming schedule. They have three straight home games against the Islanders (came be susceptible to allowing goals), Florida (brutal defensively) and Los Angeles (oddly poor defensively so far). Follow that up with road games against Montreal, Winnipeg and Minnesota, which are all non-defensively known teams. Could be a good stretch to take a flier on a Pred.
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Calgary Flames = Beware
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Games: 5 (1H/4A)
Unfavorable Matchups:
- @ Anaheim – Coming off a shutout of the struggling Rangers and have won three straight allowing five goals total.
- @ San Jose – Have allowed five goals all season (four games) and Antti Niemi is playing insanely good right now.
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Calgary has put up an impressive 15 goals in the first four games, which was surprising to most, myself included. I see that coming to an end with their upcoming road trip against all the California teams and Phoenix. Beware of counting on Jiri Hudler, Sean Monahan and Lee Stempniak to continue putting up the type of stats they have been so far.
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New York Rangers = Avoid
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Games: 3 (0H/3A)
Unfavorable Matchups:
- @ St. Louis – 3-0, with only four goals against. Ken Hitchcock behind the bench. One of the deepest bluelines in the NHL. Enough said.
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St. Louis is the only really poor matchup for New York, as Washington and New Jersey are pretty good matchups in terms of allowing fantasy points against. However, after getting destroyed two games in a row by San Jose and Anaheim, they only have three games in the next 13 days. Things are looking rough for Alain Vigneault and company.
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Possible Pickups
Here's a list of some players, owned in less than 30% of Yahoo leagues, to target for the upcoming Monday to Sunday schedule.
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Minnesota: Jonas Brodin (12%) – Tied for the team lead with three points in four games and plays alongside Ryan Suter. That's enough for me.
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Nashville: Mike Fisher (4%) – Shea Weber and Seth Jones are the only players that are owned more than 12% on the Predators, so you can probably take your pick. Fisher leads the team in points, penalty minutes and forward ice time.
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Buffalo: Steve Ott (22%) – Notched his first point last night but has been skating with Thomas Vanek and Cody Hodgson. When he's not getting points, he's still chipping in with PIMs, faceoff wins and hits.
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Vancouver: Mike Santorelli (1%) – Four goals in the past three games. He's leading the lottery right now taking over for the injured Alex Burrows. He's seen over 15 minutes per game over the past three games.
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Columbus: Brandon Dubinsky (23%) – Three points in three games. He's lining up with Marian Gaborik and Cam Atkinson at even strength and the powerplay. He's the heart and soul of this Blue Jackets team and a lot of their offense will go through him.
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Friday, October 11 to Thursday, October 17 |
Best Bets |
Pittsburgh (4.39) – 4 Games: @FLA, @TB, EDM, @PHI |
Minnesota (4.23) – 4 Games: DAL, @BUF, @TOR, @TB |
Chicago (4.20) – 4 Games: NYI, BUF, @CAR, STL |
NY Islanders (4.12) – 4 Games: @CHI, @NSH, BUF, EDM |
Detroit (4.11) – 4 Games: PHI, @BOS, CBJ, @COL |
Steer Clear |
NY Rangers (1.81) – 2 Games: @STL, @WSH |
Calgary (2.05) – 2 Games: NJ, @ANH |
Anaheim (2.26) – 2 Games: OTW, CGY |
San Jose (2.80) – 3 Games: OTW, @STL, @DAL |
Columbus (2.89) – 3 Games: BOS, @DET, @MTL |
Saturday, October 12 to Friday, October 18 |
Best Bets |
Minnesota (4.23) – 4 Games: DAL, @BUF, @TOR, @TB |
Detroit (4.11) – 4 Games: PHI, @BOS, CBJ, @COL |
Edmonton (4.03) – 4 Games: @TOR, @WSH, @PIT, @NYI |
St. Louis (3.95) – 4 Games: NYR, SJ, @CHI, @WPG |
Buffalo (3.95) – 4 Games: @CHI, MIN, @NYI, VAN |
Steer Clear |
Calgary (1.00) – 1 Games: @ANH |
NY Rangers (1.81) – 2 Games: @STL, @WSH |
New Jersey (1.95) – 2 Games: @WPG, @OTW
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Florida (2.79) – 3 Games: LA, @NSH, BOS |
San Jose (2.80) – 3 Games: OTW, @STL, @DAL |
Sunday, October 13 to Saturday, October 19 |
Best Bets |
Minnesota (4.22) – 4 Games: @BUF, @TOR, @TB, @FLA |
Buffalo (4.20) – 4 Games: MIN, @NYI, VAN, COL |
Los Angeles (4.14) – 4 Games: @FLA, @TB, @NSH, DAL |
Ottawa (4.11) – 4 Games: @ANH, @PHX, NJ, EDM |
Phoenix (4.04) – 4 Games: @CAR, OTW, @ANH, DET |
Steer Clear |
Calgary (1.90) – 2 Games: @ANH, @SJ |
NY Rangers (1.95) – 2 Games: @WSH, @NJ |
Philadelphia (2.05) – 2 Games: VAN, PIT |
Dallas (2.85) – 3 Games: @COL, SJ, @LA |
St. Louis (2.90) – 3 Games: SJ, @CHI, @WPG |
Monday, October 14 to Sunday, October 20 |
Best Bets |
Minnesota (4.22) – 4 Games: @BUF, @TOR, @TB, @FLA |
Nashville (4.20) – 4 Games: FLA, LA, @MTL, @WPG |
Buffalo (4.20) – 4 Games: MIN, @NYI, VAN, COL |
Vancouver (4.04) – 4 Games: @PHI, @BUF, @PIT, @CBJ |
Columbus (3.94) – 4 Games: @DET, @MTL, @WSH, VAN |
Steer Clear |
Calgary (1.90) – 2 Games: @ANH, @SJ |
NY Rangers (1.95) – 2 Games: @WSH, @NJ |
New Jersey (1.95) – 2 Games: @OTW, NYR |
Philadelphia (2.05) – 2 Games: VAN, PIT |
Florida (2.90) – 3 Games: @NSH, BOS, MIN |
Tuesday, October 15 to Monday, October 21 |
Best Bets |
Pittsburgh (4.35) – 4 Games: EDM, @PHI, VAN, COL |
Los Angeles (4.31) – 4 Games: @TB, @NSH, DAL, CGY |
Nashville (4.20) – 4 Games: FLA, LA, @MTL, @WPG |
Colorado (4.15) – 4 Games: DAL, DET, @BUF, @PIT |
Vancouver (4.04) – 4 Games: @PHI, @BUF, @PIT, @CBJ |
Steer Clear |
NY Rangers (1.95) – 2 Games: @WSH, @NJ |
New Jersey (1.95) – 2 Games: @OTW, NYR |
Philadelphia (2.05) – 2 Games: VAN, PIT |
Boston (2.14) – 2 Games: @FLA, @TB |
Washington (2.15) – 2 Games: NYR, CBJ |
Wednesday, October 16 to Tuesday, October 22 |
Best Bets |
Anaheim (4.35) – 4 Games: CGY, PHX, DAL, @TOR |
Columbus (4.04) – 4 Games: @MTL, @WSH, VAN, NJ |
Vancouver (4.04) – 4 Games: @BUF, @PIT, @CBJ, @NYI |
Nashville (3.94) – 4 Games: LA, @MTL, @WPG, @MIN |
Calgary (3.61) – 4 Games: @ANH, @SJ, @LA, @PHX |
Steer Clear |
Philadelphia (1.05) – 1 Games: PIT |
St. Louis (1.90) – 2 Games: @CHI, @WPG |
NY Rangers (1.95) – 2 Games: @WSH, @NJ |
Tampa Bay (2.00) – 2 Games: MIN, BOS |
Carolina (2.09) – 2 Games: @TOR, @NYI |
Thursday, October 17 to Wednesday, October 23 |
Best Bets |
Columbus (4.04) – 4 Games: @MTL, @WSH, VAN, NJ |
Vancouver (4.04) – 4 Games: @BUF, @PIT, @CBJ, @NYI |
Nashville (3.94) – 4 Games: LA, @MTL, @WPG, @MIN |
Detroit (3.85) – 4 Games: @COL, @PHX, SJ, OTW |
Phoenix (3.31) – 3 Games: @ANH, DET, CGY |
Steer Clear |
NY Rangers (0.95) – 1 Games: @NJ |
Philadelphia (1.05) – 1 Games: PIT |
St. Louis (1.90) – 2 Games: @CHI, @WPG |
Tampa Bay (2.00) – 2 Games: MIN, BOS |
Carolina (2.09) – 2 Games: @TOR, @NYI |