Looking Ahead: Week 19

Bob Fisher

2014-01-31

MikaZibanejad


Five players to consider for Week 19…


* This article was written before NHL games were played on Thursday, January 30, 2014

 

Here are some teams to target and avoid for the next week or two, several players to target that may be available in your league as well as teams that play a light schedule in the upcoming week.

 

Washington Capitals = Target

 

Games: 5 (4H/1A)

Favorable Matchups:

    – vs. NY Islanders

        > 2nd worst defensive team

        > Worst PK

        > 9th most shots allowed per game

    – vs. Winnipeg

        > 10th worst defensive team

        > Nine goals allowed in last three games (3.00 GAA)

        > Ondrej Pavelec leads the league in losses and has allowed the second most goals

 

The Capitals are one of eight teams to play five games between now and the Olympic break.  They have also scored five goals in both games since the return of their captain, Alex Ovechkin.  And those two games weren't against super weak defensive teams either.  Their pre-Olympic schedule looks pretty promising with a home-and-home with the struggling Red Wings followed by three home games against the Isles, Jets and Devils.  Of that group, the Devils are the only true strong defensive team.  Ovechkin and Mike Green should continue to put up points and look for Nicklas Backstrom to join in as well because he is too good to only have two points in nine games.

 

Montreal Canadiens = Consider

 

Games: 5 (4H/1A)

Favorable Matchups:

    – vs. Winnipeg

        > See above

    – vs. Calgary

        > 3rd worst defensive team

        > 24 goals allowed in last seven games (3.43 GAA)

        > Karri Ramo has not had two consecutive games with .900+ save percentage since mid-December

    – @ Carolina

        > 7th worst PK

        > 18 goals allowed in last six games (3.00 GAA)

        > Anton Khudobin has allowed at least two goals or more in his past nine games played

 

The Canadiens have failed to provide much offense as of late, netting just 19 goals in their last ten games (1.90 GFA).  Like Washington, Montreal is one of the teams that have five games remaining on their pre-Olympic schedule.  That, coupled with a few of the opponents they are slated to play, their offensively-challenged play should improve when Winnipeg and Calgary come to town or when they travel to Carolina for their last game before the break.  Don't lose faith with Brendan Gallagher, David Desharnais, Max Pacioretty or even P.K. Subban.  The points will come.

 


Nashville Predators = Beware

 

Games: 4 (2H/2A)

Unfavorable Matchups:

    – vs. New Jersey

        > 5th best defensive team

        > 2nd best PK

        > Fewest shots allowed per game

    – @ St. Louis

        > 3rd best defensive team

        > 5th best PK

        > 2nd fewest shots allowed per game

    – @ Minnesota

        > 7th best defensive team

        > 7th fewest shots allowed per game

        > Darcy Kuemper has had one game of sub-.906 save percentage in 2014 (9 GP)

 

I listed the predators as a "Beware" team last week too.  They went out and scored nine goals in three games since then, which is a pretty good scoring clip (and possibly making me look dumb, which isn't hard to do).  But take a look at those three opponents: Calgary, Edmonton and Winnipeg.  That was the easy half of the two week chunk of games I look at.  Now they will face New Jersey, St. Louis, Minnesota and Anaheim before the Olympic break.  On top of that, their #1 defenseman and second-leading scorer, Shea Weber, is currently nursing an upper body injury.  Even if Weber suits up, the Preds will be hard pressed to put many pucks past Cory Schneider, Jaroslav Halak, Kuemper and Jonas Hiller.

 

Los Angeles Kings = Avoid

 

Games: 3 (3H/0A)

Unfavorable Matchups:

    – Their offense

    – Their schedule

 

The Kings have managed only two goals over their past four games, while being shutout twice.  They are also one of two teams that only play three games between now and the Olympic break.  Jeff Carter has one assist in those four games.  Anze Kopitar has three points in his last seven games.  Mike Richards is pointless in four.  Drew Doughty is pointless in five.  Justin Williams has one assist in his last ten games.  Dustin Brown is pointless in eight and is not even fantasy worthy anymore.  LA's upcoming schedule isn't too daunting, it's just the fact they have been too inept at putting the puck into the opposition net and that they only have three games between now and the break that makes them a team to avoid right now.

 

Possible Pickups

Here's a list of some players, owned in less than 30% of Yahoo leagues, to target for the upcoming Monday to Sunday schedule.

 

Colorado: Jamie McGinn (3%) – Two points in his past three games with 6 hits and 7 shots on goal while lining up with Matt Duchene and Ryan O'Reilly.  McGinn also earns some second unit PP time as well.

 

Vancouver: Chris Higgins (13%) – Five points in his past four games to go with +1, 5 hits and 16 shots.  Plays with Ryan Kesler in all situations.

 

Ottawa: Mika Zibanejad (4%) – Only one point in his past two games but he skates with Jason Spezza and Milan Michalek at evens while ranking sixth on the teams amongst forwards in average powerplay ice time.

 

Buffalo: Steve Ott (10%) – Four points in his past five games while also racking up 19 hits, 34 faceoff wins and 8 shots.  Still riding shotgun with Cody Hodgson and getting plenty of powerplay time.

 

New Jersey: Ryane Clowe (20%) – 11 points in his last 11 games along with 9 PIMs, 21 hits and 22 shots.  Clowe completes the trio of Adam Henrique and Michael Ryder at even strength and the man advantage.

 

 

Light Day Targets

Want to know what teams to target based on their schedule landing on light days for the upcoming Monday to Sunday schedule?

 

Week: Monday, February 3rd through Sunday, February 9th

 

Monday: 14 teams

Tuesday: 18 teams

Wednesday: 6 teams

Thursday: 22 teams

Friday: 10 teams

Saturday: 20 teams

Sunday: 0 teams

 

Only a six-day week because of the Olympics, but with that comes five days of double-digit teams in action.  So some good news with some bad.  Three teams play four games and three only play two games while the other 24 have three games.

 

So what teams have a good schedule for the light days?

 

 

Mon

Tues

Wed

Thur

Fri

Sat

Sun

San Jose Sharks

X

 

X

 

X

 

 

Pittsburgh Penguins

X

 

X

 

X

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Chicago Blackhawks

X

 

X

 

X

 

 

Anaheim Ducks

X

 

X

 

 

X

 

Buffalo Sabres

X

 

X

X

 

 

 

 

Friday, January 31 to Thursday, February 6

Best Bets

Washington (4.31) – 4 Games: @DET, DET, NYI, WPG

Montreal (4.31) – 4 Games: TB, WPG, CGY, VAN

Buffalo (4.30) – 4 Games: @COL, EDM, PIT, @OTW

St. Louis (4.15) – 4 Games: @CAR, NSH, OTW, BOS

Detroit (4.04) – 4 Games: WSH, @WSH, VAN, @FLA

Steer Clear

Carolina (2.00) – 2 Games: STL, WPG

New Jersey (2.05) – 2 Games: @NSH, COL

Phoenix (2.10) – 2 Games: PIT, DAL

Chicago (2.42) – 3 Games: @SJ, @LA, @ANH

Nashville (2.61) – 3 Games: NJ, @STL, @MIN

Saturday, February 1 to Friday, February 7

Best Bets

Montreal (4.31) – 4 Games: TB, WPG, CGY, VAN

Buffalo (4.30) – 4 Games: @COL, EDM, PIT, @OTW

San Jose (4.25) – 4 Games: CHI, PHI, DAL, CBJ

Pittsburgh (4.25) – 4 Games: @PHX, OTW, @BUF, NYR

Florida (4.11) – 4 Games: @CBJ, TOR, DET, @CAR

Steer Clear

Nashville (1.66) – 2 Games: @STL, @MIN

NY Islanders (2.16) – 2 Games: @WSH, CGY

Carolina (2.26) – 2 Games: WPG, FLA

New Jersey (2.31) – 2 Games: COL, EDM

Philadelphia (2.62) – 3 Games: @LA, @SJ, COL

Sunday, February 2 to Saturday, February 8

Best Bets

Washington (4.31) – 4 Games: DET, NYI, WPG, NJ

Montreal (4.26) – 4 Games: WPG, CGY, VAN, @CAR

Detroit (3.90) – 4 Games: @WSH, VAN, @FLA, @TB

Colorado (3.85) – 4 Games: @NJ, @NYR, @PHI, @NYI

Vancouver (3.71) – 4 Games: @DET, @BOS, @MTL, @TOR

Steer Clear

Nashville (1.80) – 2 Games: @MIN, ANH

Los Angeles (2.10) – 2 Games: CHI, CBJ

Minnesota (2.10) – 2 Games: TB, NSH

Columbus (2.42) – 3 Games: @ANH, @LA, @SJ

Chicago (2.66) – 3 Games: @LA, @ANH, @PHX

Monday, February 3 to Sunday, February 9

Best Bets

Colorado (3.85) – 4 Games: @NJ, @NYR, @PHI, @NYI

Vancouver (3.71) – 4 Games: @DET, @BOS, @MTL, @TOR

Ottawa (3.57) – 4 Games: @PIT, @STL, BUF, @BOS

Buffalo (3.35) – 3 Games: EDM, PIT, @OTW

New Jersey (3.26) – 3 Games: COL, EDM, @WSH

Steer Clear

Nashville (1.80) – 2 Games: @MIN, ANH

Los Angeles (2.10) – 2 Games: CHI, CBJ

Minnesota (2.10) – 2 Games: TB, NSH

Columbus (2.42) – 3 Games: @ANH, @LA, @SJ

Chicago (2.66) – 3 Games: @LA, @ANH, @PHX

Tuesday, February 4 to Monday, February 10

Best Bets

Washington (3.26) – 3 Games: NYI, WPG, NJ

Carolina (3.26) – 3 Games: WPG, FLA, MTL

NY Rangers (3.21) – 3 Games: COL, EDM, @PIT

NY Islanders (3.21) – 3 Games: @WSH, CGY, COL

St. Louis (3.20) – 3 Games: OTW, BOS, WPG

Steer Clear

Los Angeles (1.05) – 1 Games: CBJ

Columbus (1.57) – 2 Games: @LA, @SJ

Nashville (1.80) – 2 Games: @MIN, ANH

Edmonton (1.81) – 2 Games: @NYR, @NJ

Chicago (1.90) – 2 Games: @ANH, @PHX

Wednesday, February 5 to Tuesday, February 11

Best Bets

Philadelphia (2.26) – 2 Games: COL, CGY

NY Islanders (2.26) – 2 Games: CGY, COL

New Jersey (2.21) – 2 Games: EDM, @WSH

Tampa Bay (2.21) – 2 Games: TOR, DET

NY Rangers (2.16) – 2 Games: EDM, @PIT

Steer Clear

Los Angeles (1.05) – 1 Games: CBJ

Minnesota (1.10) – 1 Games: NSH

Columbus (1.57) – 2 Games: @LA, @SJ

Winnipeg (1.76) – 2 Games: @WSH, @STL

Nashville (1.80) – 2 Games: @MIN, ANH

Thursday, February 6 to Wednesday, February 12

Best Bets

Philadelphia (2.26) – 2 Games: COL, CGY

NY Islanders (2.26) – 2 Games: CGY, COL

New Jersey (2.21) – 2 Games: EDM, @WSH

Tampa Bay (2.21) – 2 Games: TOR, DET

NY Rangers (2.16) – 2 Games: EDM, @PIT

Steer Clear

Anaheim (1.00) – 1 Games: @NSH

Chicago (1.05) – 1 Games: @PHX

Los Angeles (1.05) – 1 Games: CBJ

Pittsburgh (1.05) – 1 Games: NYR

San Jose (1.05) – 1 Games: CBJ

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UPCOMING GAMES

Nov 05 - 19:11 CAR vs PHI
Nov 05 - 19:11 MTL vs CGY
Nov 05 - 19:11 BUF vs OTT
Nov 05 - 19:11 TOR vs BOS
Nov 05 - 19:11 NYI vs PIT
Nov 05 - 20:11 MIN vs L.A
Nov 05 - 20:11 STL vs T.B
Nov 05 - 20:11 WPG vs UTA
Nov 05 - 21:11 COL vs SEA
Nov 05 - 22:11 ANA vs VAN
Nov 05 - 22:11 S.J vs CBJ

Starting Goalies

Top Skater Views

  Players Team
CONNOR MCMICHAEL WSH
ALEX LAFERRIERE L.A
MARTIN NECAS CAR
PAVEL DOROFEYEV VGK
TIMOTHY LILJEGREN S.J

Top Goalie Profile Views

  Players Team
LUKAS DOSTAL ANA
FILIP GUSTAVSSON MIN
PYOTR KOCHETKOV CAR
JUSTUS ANNUNEN COL
FREDERIK ANDERSEN CAR

LINE COMBOS

  Frequency COL Players
20.1 MIKKO RANTANEN NATHAN MACKINNON JOEL KIVIRANTA
16.3 LOGAN O'CONNOR CASEY MITTELSTADT IVAN IVAN
14.0 NIKITA PRISHCHEPOV NIKOLAI KOVALENKO PARKER KELLY

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