Looking Ahead 2014: Week Four

steve laidlaw

2014-10-25

TobiasEnstrom

 

Looking ahead at the best schedules in Week Four.

 

There are no guarantees in fantasy hockey, but a pair of tried and true strategies will always pay off in the long haul:

 

Bet on the best combination of talent and opportunity to achieve the desired level of production you are looking for from your roster. Talent means nothing without opportunity, and vice-versa.

 

Focus on the process by which you make roster decisions, as opposed to the results they yield. Long-term success is not attainable without the knowledge of why you were successful in the short term.

 

With that in mind, let's take a look ahead at some teams and players to avoid in the coming week or so:

 

Love 'Em (These squads are the best bet to produce for fantasy owners)

 

Vancouver

 

Long overlooked as one of the game's consistent goal scorers, veteran winger Radim Vrbata is enjoying a tremendous start to the season. Playing alongside Henrik and Daniel Sedin has been a significant boon to Vrbata's fantasy value in his inaugural campaign with the Canucks. Vancouver's top line combined for seven goals and 23 points through the team's first five games. With struggling squads like Carolina (team save percentage of .889) and Edmonton (.855) on the schedule in the coming week or so, Vancouver's top line should continue to pile up points for fantasy owners.

 

Chicago

 

It's no secret the Blackhawks enjoy a tremendous amount of offensive talent. There are so many players who have the potential to contribute on any given night. The usual suspects (Jonathan Toews, Patrick Kane, Duncan Keith to name a few) are always must-starts, but Brad Richards, Kris Versteeg and Andrew Shaw also may be worthy of consideration this week. Chicago has a pair of matchups against Ottawa (home on Sunday, Oct. 26 and away on Thursday, Oct. 30), a squad with unspeakably bad defensive depth. They also take on a Toronto squad still trying to find consistency in net. Expect the Blackhawks to finish October on a high note.

 

Colorado

 

There's a lot of skilled talent on Colorado's top two lines. Nathan MacKinnon is developing into a fantasy monster. Gabriel Landeskog is a two-way forward blessed with maturity beyond his years. Ryan O'Reilly is an underrated and versatile top-line forward. Matt Duchene has put up a handful of impressive statistical seasons, and he's still just 23 years of age. This is a team that's better than what they've shown so far this season. It's only going to get better from here. Upcoming matchups against Winnipeg and the New York Islanders should allow the Avs' top offensive options to get on track. Expect big things from the aforementioned forwards, as well as elder statesman Jarome Iginla and promising young defenseman Tyson Barrie.

Leave 'Em (These squads will leave fantasy owners sorely disappointed for the immediate future)

 

Florida

 

There are a number of reasons to be wary of Panthers skaters over the next several days. First and foremost, they have very little high-end offensive talent. Aleksander Barkov is still trying to find his way and become a productive top-six player, as is Jonathan Huberdeau. They are surrounded by a bunch of veterans with limited upside and obvious flaws: Brad Boyes, Sean Bergenheim, Scottie Upshall and more. This team is nowhere close to boasting an explosive offense. Look elsewhere for help in the short term.

 

St. Louis 2.89 – three games – DAL, ANA and  COL

Tuesday, October 28 to Monday, November 3, 2014

Best Bets

Vancouver 4.31 – four games – CAR, MTL, EDM and NSH

Chicago 4.10 – four games – ANA, OTT, TOR and WPG

Arizona 3.99 – four games TB, FLA, CAR and WAS

Colorado 3.85 – four games – SJ, NYI, STL and ANA

Buffalo 3.85 – four games, TOR, BOS, PIT and DET

Steer Clear

New York Rangers 2.05 – two games – WPG and STL

Florida 2.21 – two games – ARI and PHI

Edmonton 2.26 – two games – NSH and VAN

Ottawa 2.65 – three games –  CBJ, CHI and BOS

Dallas 2.79 – three games – STL, ANA and MIN

Wednesday, October 29 to Tuesday, November 4, 2014

Best Bets

Washington 4.36 – four games – three at home

Nashville 4.18 – four games – EDM, CGY, VAN and WPG

Chicago 4.15 – four games – OTT, TOR, WPG and MTL

Arizona 4.14 – FLA, CAR, WAS and TOR

Vancouver 4.11 – four games – MTL, EDM, NSH and COL

Steer Clear

San Jose 2.05 – two games – MIN and NYI

New York Islanders 1.81 – two games – COL and SJ

Tampa Bay 2.10 – two games – PHI and WAS

New York Rangers 2.05 – two games – WPG and STL

Anaheim 2.66 – three games – STL, DAL and COL

Thursday, October 30 to Wednesday, November 5, 2014

Best Bets

Montreal 4.29 – four games – VAN, CGY, CHI and BUF

Arizona 4.14 – FLA, CAR, WAS and TOR

Vancouver 4.11 – four games – MTL, EDM, NSH and COL

Chicago 4.15 – four games – OTT, TOR, WPG and MTL

Colorado 4.01 – four games – three at home

Steer Clear

San Jose 2.05 – two games – MIN and NYI

Tampa Bay 2.10 – two games – PHI and WAS

Edmonton 2.11 two games – VAN and PHI

New York Islanders 2.66 – three games – all on road

Dallas 2.79 – three games – ANA, MIN and LAK

Friday, October 31 to Thursday, November 6, 2014

Best Bets

Nashville 4.13 – four games – CGY, VAN, WPG and DAL

St. Louis 4.10 – four games – COL, NYR and NJx2

Colorado 4.01 – four games – three at home

Los Angeles 4.00 -four games – DET, CAR, DAL and NYI

Calgary 4.00 – four games – NSH, MTL, WAS and TB

Steer Clear

San Jose 2.36 – two games – NYI and VAN

Tampa Bay 2.26 – two games – WAS and CGY

New York Islanders 2.57 – three games – all on road

New Jersey – 2.70 – three games – CBJ and STLx2

Florida 2.86 – three games – PHI, BOS and PHI

Saturday, November 1 to Friday, November 7, 2014

Best Bets

Chicago 4.20 – four games – TOR, WPG, MTL and WAS

Detroit 4.20 – four games – BUF, OTT, NYR and NJ

Washington 4.12 – four games – TB, ARI, CGY and CHI

Buffalo 4.11 – four games – three at home

St. Louis 4.10 – four games – COL, NYR and NJx2

Steer Clear

San Jose 2.36 – two games – NYI and VAN

Tampa Bay 2.26 – two games – WAS and CGY

New York Islanders 2.57 – three games – all on road

Toronto 2.84 – three games – CHI, ARI and COL

Florida 2.86 – three games – PHI, BOS and PHI

 

Want to chat fantasy hockey, premium beer or mediocre hip-hop? Let's follow one another on Twitter. Hit me up @MikeTSchmidt. 

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UPCOMING GAMES

Nov 14 - 19:11 NYR vs S.J
Nov 14 - 19:11 T.B vs WPG
Nov 14 - 19:11 OTT vs PHI
Nov 14 - 19:11 FLA vs N.J
Nov 14 - 19:11 BUF vs STL
Nov 14 - 20:11 DAL vs BOS
Nov 14 - 20:11 MIN vs MTL
Nov 14 - 21:11 EDM vs NSH
Nov 14 - 22:11 VAN vs NYI
Nov 14 - 22:11 SEA vs CHI

Starting Goalies

Top Skater Views

  Players Team
UVIS BALINSKIS FLA
JASON ROBERTSON DAL
MARTIN NECAS CAR
JONATHAN LEKKERIMAKI VAN
EMIL ANDRAE PHI

Top Goalie Profile Views

  Players Team
LOGAN THOMPSON WSH
KAREL VEJMELKA UTA
ALEXANDAR GEORGIEV COL
PYOTR KOCHETKOV CAR
CAM TALBOT DET

LINE COMBOS

  Frequency WSH Players
24.2 TOM WILSON CONNOR MCMICHAEL PIERRE-LUC DUBOIS
20.1 TAYLOR RADDYSH BRANDON DUHAIME NIC DOWD
19.7 DYLAN STROME ALIAKSEI PROTAS ALEX OVECHKIN

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