November 21, 2014
steve laidlaw
2014-11-21
Is Price merely average, buy low on Stastny and Steen, Klingberg is legit and more…
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The hottest line in hockey continues to sizzle as Vladimir Tarasenko, Jori Lehtera and Jaden Schwartz combined for the lone Blues goal last night. Unfortunately, that was probably the only positive for the Blues as they were dumped 4-1 by the Canadiens.
This is all going to slow down for that line eventually. Both Tarasenko and Lehtera rank in the top-25 for on-ice shooting percentage at even strength. I made the superstar case for Tarasenko earlier this year. I still believe he can get to 70 points this season though. What really hurts their chances of sustaining production is that the Blues roll their power play units indiscriminately whereas on other teams they might see the bulk of the power play shifts.
The flip side of that is what's happening to last year's blues darlings Alexander Steen, David Backes and TJ Oshie as well as their big free agent acquisition Paul Stastny. Those four are all at 6.06% for on-ice shooting percentage or less, which is extremely unlucky. You could argue that they were due to regress after the trio of Steen, Backes and Oshie sustained some +10% on-ice shooting for much of last season, they all eventually regressed towards league average. That's what's coming for Tarasenko, Lehtera and Schwartz.
Last night was particularly unfortunate for Stastny and Oshie as they each went minus-three. Those two have been skating predominantly with Steen while Backes has centered a third line with Joakim Lindstrom and Patrik Berglund. Consider Backes the loser in this whole scenario. I'd be making some hard pitches for Stastny and Steen though.
Jake Allen got the start for St. Louis and while he wasn't bad from what I saw, he also wasn't the start-stealing threat that he has looked like for much of this season. Little fist pump for all the Brian Elliott owners out there.
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Carey Price with an excellent bounce-back effort after getting picked apart by the Penguins the other night. Interestingly, Price's ratios this season are almost exactly in line with his career numbers. Check it out:
Price Career: 2.52 GAA, 0.917 Save Percentage
Price 2014-15: 2.49 GAA, 0.917 Save Percentage
I don't question Price's bonafides as an elite netminder but perhaps his reputation as an elite fantasy netminder is worth questioning. Since taking over as the full-time starter in 2011-12 Price has two seasons of elite play and two seasons of mere average performance. This is looking like another "average" season. I love the reliability of quality play but with this season looking more like an "average" one perhaps that's more of the norm.
Of course, it's only 17 games into the season for Price, which is hardly a large enough sample size to form any conclusions. I just figured it might be worth sparking the conversation.
PA Parenteau has not been the hit I expected coming over to Montreal but he has been productive when the Canadiens have used him on the top line with Max Pacioretty and David Desharnais. That's Parenteau in a nutshell. He can fit in with good offensive players and help make them better. Stick him on the third line and he'll give you nothing. He's like a watered down version of Thomas Vanek or Alex Semin. Check out this saucer to spring Pacioretty for a breakaway:
Pacioretty, by the way, scored two goals last night to hit double-digits at 10 on the season. He has nine points in the last seven games. No surprise that that's right around where Parenteau was moved back onto the top line. What's scary is that we still haven't seen the Montreal power play get going yet. That's probably required for Parenteau and Desharnais to really start producing.
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I'll tell you, Darcy Kuemper stole a win in Philadelphia last night. The Flyers played an excellent game but could only beat him on two of their 39 shots. You rarely see the Wild allow that many shots but Kuemper played a genuinely great game, which should be a confidence booster for those Kuemper owners growing disconcerted with his inconsistency of late.
The Wild may have been outplayed but they got a few solid performances outside of Kuemper. I loved what I saw from Marco Scandella. Maybe not so much from a fantasy perspective (though he did score two points) but more just the physical and intelligent way that he played the game. He simply took excellent angles in chases for the puck and did a great job of establishing body position and holding it. I mean, he LEANED on people in a way you just don't normally see.