December 29, 2014

Dobber

2014-12-29

Thoughts on Derek Roy and how he’ll do elsewhere; Is Kevin Connauton emerging? And more…

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Breaking: Evander Kane is out until early February with a lower-body injury. My guess is that he’s been playing through it for the past several weeks. How else to explain the ugly production?

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Waiver update: Derek Roy has cleared waivers. Edmonton claimed Matt Fraser – and I think that was a good claim. He is a solid, NHL-ready, third-line winger who can chip in some points.

It looks like Magnus Paajarvi, Dany Heatley and Matt Hackett were each placed on today’s waiver wire.

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Can’t say enough about the Nashville Predators and the team’s turnaround. Yes, they always seem to exceed expectations but this year is different. Usually they exceed expectations with strong team play and excellent coaching. This year, the coach is completely different – from a defensive specialist to an offensive one. The Preds sit in the middle of the pack – almost exactly in the middle, actually – when it comes to scoring goals. They’re an even better team with Mike Fisher on board, and I also love it when the coach foregoes politics for the betterment of the team. Derek Roy is still a big name in hockey circles, despite the last three years. And Viktor Stalberg was a massive (overpaid) signing just 17 months ago. But Roy has been put on waivers and Stalberg sent to the minors. Even though just $900,000 comes off the cap in the Stalberg move, it wasn’t done for the savings. It was done for the betterment of the team. Right now Taylor Beck needs ice time. So does Calle Jarnkrok and Gabriel Bourque. And to take even one minute per game off of Filip Forsberg‘s ice time would be a crime against humanity.

So get rid of the baggage.

On some teams, Stalberg could be a 55-point player. On others he’d be 35 points. And on Nashville he’s a minor leaguer.

As for Roy, I think he’ll get plucked today. You’ll hear soon enough (noon EST), but his $1 million cap hit and ability to still be (at least) a 35-point experienced leader on the third line is appealing to a few teams. And with favorable ice time and the right linemates, even 45 points is doable. Roy had three points in the first three games this year, but those games were three of his highest ice time game and included power-play time. The young guns have chipped away at those things and without the favorable minutes and linemates, Roy was struggling just to get in the lineup.

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The points streak continues for Anze Kopitar. Five straight games now and 12 points in that span. And nine of those points have come on the power play. So gee, I wonder where he’s found his comfort zone?

His pace is now 60 points. Well that didn’t take long.

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I wish I knew what was going on with Dustin Brown. When he got 14 points in the postseason, it showed me that he wasn’t washed up after all. But the first half of this season has been brutal. And in the one league that I own him – a points-only keeper that counts postseason – he’s no longer worth keeping. I may have to drop him in the midseason draft, which is shocking. He gave me 14 playoff points last year, which helped win me some money. But this kind of baggage taking up a roster spot just for what I hope will be 10 playoff points this year is too much. Especially when he’s looking more and more like he’ll struggle just to get five or six rather than the 10 I hope for.

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Toronto line combos last night:

 

18.64%

EV

42 BOZAK,TYLER – 81 KESSEL,PHIL – 19 LUPUL,JOFFREY

18.22%

EV

43 KADRI,NAZEM – 25 SANTORELLI,MICHAEL – 21 VAN RIEMSDYK,JAMES

10.17%

EV

71 CLARKSON,DAVID – 24 HOLLAND,PETER – 18 PANIK,RICHARD

8.05%

EV

37 ASHTON,CARTER – 20 BOOTH,DAVID – 26 WINNIK,DANIEL

5.51%

EV

71 CLARKSON,DAVID – 24 HOLLAND,PETER – 26 WINNIK,DANIEL

 

Lupul tallied two points last night on the Kessel line. When he plays with Kessel, he’s closer to a 70-pont player as opposed to the 45-point player he seems to be otherwise. He has five points in his last six games, playing mostly on that line.

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Jonathan Huberdeau saw his lowest ice time (14:26) in 10 games, but despite that he still managed two points. I still highly regard him as a fantasy player and welcome his poor season. It makes it easier for me to acquire him in the summer. But really, he hasn’t been all that bad lately – 13 points in his last 19 games.

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Speaking of low shot counts, the Canucks were brutal. Fourteen shots on Frederick Andersen. It was the third time this year that Andersen faced fewer than 20 shots (2-0-1 record). He’s the second goalie to reach the 20-win mark after Rinne. Well after Rinne, actually.

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Weird stat. Devante Smith-Pelly led the Ducks in power-play ice time last night (4:12).

With two points last night, Ryan Getzlaf has 23 points in his last 13 games! Corey Perry has been out for 11 of them (he played just three shifts in the 11th one). Who needs who? And if they don’t need each other, then why not split them up?

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It’s looking like Steve Mason is ready to return to the lineup.

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Look at this beauty by Jack Eichel yesterday at the WJC:

 

 

And for extensive WJC coverage, check out DobberProspects. Brendan Ross put a Ramblings up yesterday – here.

 

 

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UPCOMING GAMES

Nov 21 - 19:11 WSH vs COL
Nov 21 - 19:11 CBJ vs T.B
Nov 21 - 19:11 OTT vs VGK
Nov 21 - 19:11 DET vs NYI
Nov 21 - 19:11 BOS vs UTA
Nov 21 - 19:11 N.J vs CAR
Nov 21 - 20:11 STL vs S.J
Nov 21 - 20:11 CHI vs FLA
Nov 21 - 21:11 CGY vs NYR
Nov 21 - 21:11 EDM vs MIN

Starting Goalies

Top Skater Views

  Players Team
JASON ROBERTSON DAL
WYATT JOHNSTON DAL
DECLAN CHISHOLM MIN
JAKE WALMAN S.J
WILLIAM EKLUND S.J

Top Goalie Profile Views

  Players Team
DUSTIN WOLF CGY
SEBASTIAN COSSA DET
MACKENZIE BLACKWOOD S.J
IVAN FEDOTOV PHI
YAROSLAV ASKAROV S.J

LINE COMBOS

  Frequency WSH Players
18.0 TOM WILSON CONNOR MCMICHAEL PIERRE-LUC DUBOIS
13.3 JAKUB VRANA ANDREW MANGIAPANE LARS ELLER
12.4 TAYLOR RADDYSH BRANDON DUHAIME NIC DOWD

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