Frozen Forensics: Vladimir Tarasenko is a top-10 talent
Derek Gibson
2015-05-15

Is Vladimir Tarasenko worth a top-10 pick next fall?
Attention fantasy hockey fans: Despite the fact that in a year where the Art Ross was won with a mere 87 points (thanks to Jamie Benn's insane finish during Dallas' final game), and the Hart Trophy is going to a goalie who took on the role of Dominik Hasek circa late 1990's (Price, Carey). There are STILL some dynamic offensive hockey players, capable of bringing you out of your seat whenever the puck is on their stick. The buzz in the fantasy hockey world for the 2015-16 season is simple: Is Vladimir Tarasenko on the verge of super stardom? And, more importantly, is he a Top-10 fantasy draft pick? I'm here to tell you YES on both accounts!
At age 22 to start the season, 2014-15 was Tarasenko's coming out party, as he tallied more points this year (73) than he had in his previous two seasons combined (62). When he scored his 30th goal of the season on February 21st, he became the youngest Blues' player to do so since '92-'93 (Brendan Shanahan, pretty good company….). Yes, the St. Louis Blues are a balanced offensive hockey club who ranked fifth in the NHL in goals per game (2.91), who can roll three solid lines, but Tarasenko has become their game-changer. Looking at his career arc, I feel strongly that the best is yet to come for Tarasenko:
|
Season |
Games Played |
Goals |
Assists
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|
Points |
+/- |
Power Play Points |
Shots on Goal |
Time on Ice |
PP TOI |
|
'12-'13 |
38 |
8 |
11 |
19 |
1 |
5 |
75 |
13:25
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|
1:47 |
|
'13-'14 |
64 |
21 |
22 |
43 |
20 |
7 |
136 |
15:10 |
1:40 |
|
'14-'15 |
77 |
37 |
36 |
73 |
27 |
18 |
264 |
17:37 |
2:38 |
As you can see, his numbers have consistently been on the upswing, but that I also put two very important figures in bold: shots on goal and power play time per game. Each season, Tarasenko has nearly doubled his shots on goal. Now, by no means am I saying he's ready for 510 some odd SOG's in 2015-'16 (the record is 550 by Phil Esposito in '70-'71), but his 264 ranked him 11th in the NHL, and there's no reason he can't crack the top 10 and perhaps break 300. Couple that with a potential increase to his '14-'15 shooting percentage of 14.0% (which only ranked him 30th in the NHL with players who scored 20+ goals), and The "Tarasenk-Show" could be a legitimate threat for the Rocket Richard Trophy.