June 8 2015

Dobber

2015-06-08

Competition committee’s recommendations, Soderberg to get the Leino treatment, MSL should retire; and more…

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I’ll kick things off just by letting you know that yesterday I stuck in another update to the Fantasy Prospects Report, just simply re-download your document and you’ll have the updated one. (buy it here). This update includes Brendan’s Top 60 chart (2015 draft) and Brendan’s Top 50 chart (the one that kicks the FPR off, side – by – side with my own Top 50 as well as the consensus).

The final update is in a few days – I generally try to wait for the NHL draft order to be finalized (i.e. a Cup win) but often can’t because it runs so late into the month – and will include the finalized Mock Draft from Brendan Ross, as well as a couple of new profiles. I’m taking requests for profiles here, if you find that a player you wanted to see isn’t in there.

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The NHL’s competition committee has some more recommendations for the board. The first is to make goalie equipment smaller. I like this quote from Elliotte Friedman’s quote here:

“The idea is to prevent gear that is more about blocking than it is about protection.”

This is going to be a long, drawn-out process. In my opinion, the goalie equipment will be reduced four or five times over the next 20 years before it starts looking a little more normal (i.e. a goaltender in the 80s). Because goalies will fight this every step of the way. But really, if Kevlar vests can stop bullets, can’t we slap on Kevlar shin pads (etc)?

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On Saturday, the Flames signed unrestricted free agent Louick Marcotte to a three-year deal. Marcott came out of the Quebec league and he posted 176 points in his last 130 QMJHL games. These productive overage juniors who sign as free agents rarely get a sniff, but occasionally they pan out. See Johnson, Tyler for more details. But it’s how well these guys produce when they are rookies in the AHL that truly give us an indicator.

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Ian addressed a lot of interesting things yesterday, but I wanted to touch on a couple of things too. And it’s June, so not many options in terms of topics.

The Stamkos ice time thing is nuts. Jon Cooper understands that his top line is the triplets and his top player is Stamkos. Well, he can’t break up the triplets. And as a trio they are by far his most productive. So really, almost by default, Stamkos should see the fourth-most ice time among TB forwards each game. It’s fine.

Gooding opined that Carl Soderberg will go to a new team this summer and he’ll slot in as the third-line center. I disagree. I think he gets second line. And in fact, will get a (miscast) trial on the first line somewhere. Why? The almighty dollar. As you saw with Ville Leino, a free agent who gets huge dollars will see a ton of ice time no matter how poorly they play. It took Leino years to get bought out. So Soderberg will get his five million or whatever, and then the team will try him on the first line with their superstar. That probably won’t work and he’ll be shifted down to the second line. But he’ll get too much money to play on the third line and he’d have to play terrible for a season or two before he gets Dave Clarksoned to a depth line. And I don’t see him playing terrible.

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It’s looking like Danny Briere will retire this summer. But I suspect Martin St. Louis will as well. I’d like him to, anyway. I love MSL and want him to go out on top (or near the top, I guess). St. Louis was a 52-point player this season with ice time that rolled back to 17:33 per game. It rolled back even further (16:30) in the playoffs, which isn’t a good sign. Now 39, he’s not getting 17 minutes per game next year and that should mean that 45 points will be out of reach for him. With what will probably be a smaller contract ($3 million?), he won’t get the ice time to boost his stats. So I’d rather he retire. He hit 1000 points and won a Cup and a Hart – a HHOF is a certainty.

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Some great ramblings by Brendan Ross here. Part 1 of a 2015 NHL Entry Draft prep…

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Sign up for my newsletter here. Right now we only use the “announcements” one. I send out an announcement each time I release a Guide and occasionally if I did a big update in the Guide I’ll let you know. I don’t abuse this – I think in the past year I sent out five newsletters.

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Don Cherry from Saturday – ICYMI:

 

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UPCOMING GAMES

Dec 22 - 12:12 NYR vs CAR
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Dec 22 - 17:12 UTA vs ANA
Dec 22 - 17:12 WSH vs L.A
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Dec 22 - 20:12 COL vs SEA

Starting Goalies

Top Skater Views

  Players Team
PATRIK LAINE MTL
LANE HUTSON MTL
JACKSON LACOMBE ANA
ALEX TURCOTTE L.A
DYLAN GUENTHER UTA

Top Goalie Profile Views

  Players Team
JESPER WALLSTEDT MIN
KAREL VEJMELKA UTA
MACKENZIE BLACKWOOD COL
LEEVI MERILAINEN OTT
PETR MRAZEK CHI

LINE COMBOS

  Frequency T.B Players
19.1 BRAYDEN POINT NIKITA KUCHEROV JAKE GUENTZEL
12.7 LUKE GLENDENING ZEMGUS GIRGENSONS MICHAEL EYSSIMONT
11.7 NICK PAUL MITCHELL CHAFFEE CAM ATKINSON

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