Maple Leafs Acquire Michael Grabner
Michael Clifford
2015-09-17
The Leafs have acquired Islanders forward Michael Grabner for five prospects.
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We are just a few days away from preseason games, and the New York Islanders and Toronto Maple Leafs made a trade. It was the kind of trade you see in a fantasy hockey league because it’s “here take all my nothings for a useful player.” The entire trade reads as follows:
#Leafs trade Taylor Beck, Matt Finn, Christopher Gibson, Tom Nilsson and Carter Verhaeghe to #Isles for Michael Grabner.
— Stephen Whyno (@SWhyno) September 17, 2015
Ok so “nothings” may be a bit harsh. The only two players I see that the Leafs gave up who may be useful players are forward Carter Verhaeghe and defenceman Matt Finn. Everyone else is just filling roster spots at the non-NHL level.
Verhaeghe is a former third round pick from 2013 who won’t be cracking the NHL this year, and due to decent centre depth at the non-NHL level, may not be in the AHL. Finn is a second round pick from 2012 that spent time in the ECHL this past season. And those are the two good pieces coming back for Grabner.
One thing I will say for Toronto is this is a bit odd. Grabner seems like a guy you would add if you feel the need to add a piece for a playoff push, not a guy you give up five prospects for when you’re rebuilding. In Shanny We Trust, I guess.
For fantasy purposes, the guy to talk about is obviously Grabner, who has one year left at $3-million.
Grabner has had a very, very weird NHL career. He scored 34 goals as a rookie in 2010-2011, scored 20 goals in 2011-2012, and has 36 total goals since. The last couple of seasons have been marred by injury, but this is what stands out to me: out of 242 forwards with at least 3000 five-on-five minutes over the last five seasons, Grabner is tenth in goals per 60 minutes. The only players ahead of him are Steven Stamkos, Rick Nash, Corey Perry, Max Pacioretty, Sidney Crosby, Jonathan Toews, Evgeni Malkin, Tyler Seguin, and Jamie Benn. That means he’s ahead of guys like Patrick Kane, Phil Kessel, Jeff Carter, James Neal, Marian Gaborik, and so on. The problem, of course, is that he hasn’t played 15 minutes per game in any of the last three seasons.
Grabner has fantastic speed, but sometimes seems like his feet are ahead of his hands, and it can make him frustrating to watch at times. He can kill penalties, forecheck very well, and contribute on the score sheet. I will be interested to see where he lands on the roster. If he can somehow lock down a spot next to Nazem Kadri, he could be in line for a bounce back season. If he can’t stay in the top-six, though, it will be hard for him to have much value in standard fantasy hockey leagues. There just isn’t a whole lot to play with in Toronto down the middle this year outside of Kadri, so Grabner going from playing with Brock Nelson and Frans Nielsen to playing with Tyler Bozak and Peter Holland would be a clear step down.
*Year over year data from Hockey Analysis. Cap info from capfriendly.com
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I look at it like this: you acquire a guy for nothing, if he has a decent 1st half flip him to a playoff team for a little bit more than you gave up! Shanny's got some AA magic up his sleave!
I think the most relevant part of this deal from a fantasy perspective is: how does this affect the scoring lines and 3rd line of the Islanders? Was this done as a means to open up a spot for Dal Colle? Does someone like Nelson now take over Grabner's role?
Remember, NHL teams can only carry a max of 53 contracts. Toronto's now (after the deal) at 51 contracts. So I think they did this out of necessity more than anything else.
Woops, 50 contract maximum. So there you go. They're still over the limit by 1, according to nhlnumbers.com
That’s why you go with Cap Friendly. NHLnumbers.com isn’t even my secondary fall-back option. 49 contracts, per Bobby Mac. Limit is 50
I counted again on capfriendly; still 51…
Bob McKenzie, Friedman and Mirtle each said the Leafs are actually at 45. See here:Â https://twitter.com/TSNBobMcKenzie/status/644552245170827264 Glean from that what you will.
This deal was done more as a salary dump for the isles. They now have a little more to extend Okposo (even though Grabner is off the books next year anyway) or possibly now trade for a Vet D-man. The deal also gives some depth to Bridgeport where it is sorely needed with recent graduations to the big club by Nelson, Lee, Dehaan and possibly Mayfield or Pullock this season.