Looking Ahead: Week 13 (2015-16)
Mike Schmidt
2015-12-24
Next week's NHL schedule, and the best strategy for optimizing fantasy hockey lineups (Week 13)…
All fantasy owners need help in the short term AND the long term. The Looking Ahead feature identifies one player to plug into lineups in the short term, a second to invest in for the long term, a third to bench for the coming week and a fourth who will struggle to meet expectations for some time. Without further ado…
The Immediate Fix (Grab this guy and use him for the next several days)
Trevor Daley, D, Pittsburgh (Available in 85 percent of Yahoo leagues) – There’s nothing stopping this veteran from being an incredibly useful and productive fantasy defenseman… other than the inevitable return of fellow Penguins blueliner Kris Letang from injury. In the meantime, however, poolies would be well-served to add Daley. He’s currently being deployed on Pittsburgh’s top power-play unit, and he’s scored four points in three games since being acquired/saved from the Chicago Blackhawks (where he put up a modest six points in 29 games). He’s seeing almost six more minutes of ice time per game with the Pens than he did with the Blackhawks, so it is evident Pittsburgh is trying to get the most out of Daley while Letang is on the shelf. Take advantage now, as Pittsburgh’s No. 1 defenseman should be back fairly soon.
The Building Block (Buy now, sit back and enjoy the production)
Mathieu Perreault, C/LW, Winnipeg (Available in 70 percent of Yahoo leagues) – Once upon the time, this former sixth-rounder didn’t receive enough playing time to provide anything more than middling offensive production. That changed last year, as Perreault averaged more than 16 minutes of ice time for the first time in his career. The increase led to a career-best campaign in which the Winnipeg forward racked up 41 points in 62 games played. Fast-forward to this season, and Perreault is poised for his best year yet (despite a career-worst shooting percentage that’s destined for some positive regression). Poolies looking for some scoring on the cheap should look no further than this 27-year-old, who is entering the prime of his career. Simply stated, Perreault is worth a bench spot in most leagues.
The Odd Men Out (His short-term value is cause for concern)
Alexander Edler, D, Vancouver (Owned in 75 percent of Yahoo leagues) – It’s been a banner year for the 29-year-old Canucks blueliner. Edler’s on pace to score more goals in a season than ever before and register more points than any campaign since 2011-12. The increase in production can largely attributed to a couple of key facts:
- Only six skaters in the entire NHL have seen more ice time this year than Edler.
- Only 10 players in the entire league have seen more power-play ice time this year than him.
There’s one problem, though. Edler hasn’t done much of anything in the last two-plus weeks. He scored two points in his squad’s 2-1 win over the New York Rangers on December 9. Since that game, he hasn’t registered a single point in six appearances. Vancouver’s upcoming schedule will do Edler no favors, so feel free to sit the veteran defenseman until both his circumstances and production change for the better.
The Anchor (He’ll do nothing but disappoint even over the long haul)
Zdeno Chara, D, Boston (Owned in 79 percent of Yahoo leagues) – Fun fact about this veteran Bruins defenseman: Chara has registered a shooting percentage at or above .060 just once since his Norris Trophy-winning 2008-09 campaign. That was 2013-14, when he far exceeded his career mark of .063 with a career-best .101. Fun fact No. 2: Chara’s shooting percentage through 31 games this year stands at .082. It’s safe to say the 38-year-old blueliner has been the beneficiary of a little bit of luck so far this season. He’s on pace to finish with 40-45 points, which would be double what he posted a year ago. Don’t bet on this happening. His declining skills and advanced age cannot be denied, and it is more than reasonable to expect him to fade in the season’s second half. Moving forward, Chara’s primed to disappoint.
By taking some time to analyze the upcoming NHL schedule, poolies can gain a significant and measurable edge over their opponents. Now let’s identify some teams that will help or hurt fantasy owners in the coming days.
Love ‘Em (These squads are sure to pay dividends in the coming days)
Washington – The Caps see the ice on five occasions between Saturday, Dec. 26 and Saturday, Jan. 2. Also, all of those games take place against squads that rank in the bottom half of the NHL in save percentage: Buffalo (twice), Montreal, Columbus and Carolina. The last two squads have registered a save percentage under the .900 on the season. Happy New Year, Alex Ovechkin owners!
Pittsburgh – As with Washington, there will be plenty of opportunities for The Penguins to pile up fantasy production in the next several days. Between Saturday, Dec. 26 and Saturday, Jan. 2, this squad plays a whopping five times. Who cares if three of those five games are on the road? The volume will be there.
Winnipeg – Two of this team’s final three games of 2015 are set to take place at home. The other game? A road matchup against the struggling Arizona Coyotes, a squad that’s goaltenders have compiled a terrible .896 save percentage on the year (and one that is currently starting an unproven rookie in net in Louis Domingue). Lean on any and all Jets in the short term.
Leave ‘Em (These squads will leave fantasy owners sorely disappointed in the short term)
San Jose – No NHL squad plays less in the coming days than the Sharks. The team squared off against the host Los Angeles Kings on Tuesday, Dec. 22, but San Jose doesn’t see action again until Monday, Dec. 28. That will be the first of two games scheduled for the remainder of 2015 for this team.
Vancouver – Like the Sharks, the Canucks play just twice between Tuesday, Dec. 22 and the end of 2015. Unlike San Jose, though, both those games occur at home.
Boston – This is no offense to the Bruins, but they don’t play a ton between now and the New Year. Between Saturday, Dec. 26 and the end of the year, they play just three times. At least they open 2016 with two straight in Beantown.
| Friday, December 25 to Thursday, December 31 | ||||||
|
Best Bets |
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| Washington 4.09 – four games – MTL, BUFx2 and CAR | ||||||
| Los Angeles 4.09 – four games – ARI, VAN, EDM and CGY | ||||||
| Nashville 4.05 – four games – DET, NYR, STL and DAL | ||||||
| Carolina 4.00 – four games – NJDx2, CHI and WAS | ||||||
| St. Louis 3.99 – four games – three at home | ||||||
|
📢 advertisement:
Steer Clear |
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| New York Rangers 1.85 – two games – both on road | ||||||
| Philadelphia 1.85 – two games – both on road | ||||||
| Florida 1.89 – two games – CBJ and MTL | ||||||
| Vancouver 2.05 – two games – EDM and LAK | ||||||
| San Jose 2.31 – two games – COL and PHI | ||||||
|
Saturday, December 26 to Friday, January 1 |
||||||
|
Best Bets |
||||||
| Anaheim 4.10 – four games – PHI, CGY, EDM and VAN | ||||||
| Washington 4.09 – four games – MTL, BUFx2 and CAR | ||||||
| Los Angeles 4.09 – four games – ARI, VAN, EDM and CGY | ||||||
| Nashville 4.05 – four games – DET, NYR, STL and DAL | ||||||
| Boston 4.05 – four games – three at home | ||||||
|
Steer Clear |
||||||
| New York Rangers 1.85 – two games – both on road | ||||||
| Philadelphia 1.85 – two games – both on road | ||||||
| Florida 1.89 – two games – CBJ and MTL | ||||||
| San Jose 2.31 – two games – COL and PHI | ||||||
| Tampa Bay 2.89 – three games – CBJ, MTL and NYR | ||||||
|
Sunday, December 27 to Saturday, January 2 |
||||||
|
Best Bets |
||||||
| Winnipeg 4.34 – four games – PIT, DET, ARI and SJS | ||||||
| Colorado 4.30 – four games – three at home | ||||||
| New York Islanders 4.30 – four games – TORx2, BUF and PIT | ||||||
| Pittsburgh 4.21 – four games – WPG, TOR, DET and NYI | ||||||
| Washington 4.20 – four games – BUFx2, CAR and CBJ | ||||||
|
Steer Clear |
||||||
| Vancouver 1.84 – two games – LAK and ANA | ||||||
| Philadelphia 2.71 – three games – all on road | ||||||
| Tampa Bay 2.73 – three games – MTL, NYR and MIN | ||||||
| Boston 2.84 – three games – OTTx2 and MTL | ||||||
| Florida 2.89 – three games – CBJ, MTL and NYR | ||||||
|
Monday, December 28 to Sunday, January 3 |
||||||
|
Best Bets |
||||||
| Washington 4.20 – four games – BUFx2, CAR and CBJ | ||||||
| New York Islanders 4.19 – four games – TOR, BUF, PIT and DAL | ||||||
| Winnipeg 4.15 – four games – DET, ARI, SJS and ANA | ||||||
| Los Angeles 4.10 – four games – VAN, EDM, CGY and PHI | ||||||
| Minnesota 4.05 – four games – DET, STL, TBL and FLA | ||||||
|
Steer Clear |
||||||
| Vancouver 1.84 – two games – LAK and ANA | ||||||
| Boston 1.89 – two games – OTT and MTL | ||||||
| Philadelphia 1.90 – two games – both on road | ||||||
| Columbus 2.05 – two games – DAL and WAS | ||||||
| Florida 2.73 – three games – MTL, NYR and MIN | ||||||
|
Tuesday, December 29 to Monday, January 4 |
||||||
|
Best Bets |
||||||
| New Jersey 4.26 – four games -three at home | ||||||
| New York Islanders 4.19 – four games – TOR, BUF, PIT and DAL | ||||||
| Winnipeg 4.15 – four games – DET, ARI, SJS and ANA | ||||||
| Los Angeles 4.15 – four games – EDM, CGY, PHI and COL | ||||||
| Edmonton 4.15 – four games – all at home | ||||||
|
Steer Clear |
||||||
| Boston 1.89 – two games – OTT and MTL | ||||||
| Tampa Bay 1.89 – two games – NYR and MIN | ||||||
| Philadelphia 1.90 – two games – both on road | ||||||
| Montreal 2.00 – two games – both on road | ||||||
| New York Rangers 2.00 – two games – both on road | ||||||
|
Wednesday, December 30 to Tuesday, January 5 |
||||||
|
Best Bets |
||||||
| Pittsburgh 4.25 – four games – three at home | ||||||
| Buffalo 4.22 – four games – three at home | ||||||
| Washington 4.06 – four games – BUF, CAR, CBJ and BOS | ||||||
| Winnipeg 3.90 – four games – ARI, SJS, ANA and NSH | ||||||
| Dallas 3.90 – four games – NSH, NJD, NYI and NYR | ||||||
|
Steer Clear |
||||||
| Boston 1.79 – two games – MTL and WAS | ||||||
| Columbus 1.84 – two games – WAS and MIN | ||||||
| Toronto 1.90 – two games – PIT and STL | ||||||
| Montreal 2.00 – two games – both on road | ||||||
| San Jose 2.15 – two games – PHI and WPG | ||||||
|
Thursday, December 31 to Wednesday, January 6 |
||||||
|
Best Bets |
||||||
| Anaheim 4.20 – four games – EDM, VAN, WPG and TOR | ||||||
| St. Louis 4.08 – four games – MIN, TOR, OTT and COL | ||||||
| Chicago 4.00 – four games – COL, OTT and PITx2 | ||||||
| Colorado 3.94 – four games – all at home | ||||||
| Carolina 3.94 – four games – WAS, NSH, EDM and VAN | ||||||
|
Steer Clear |
||||||
| San Jose 1.00 – one game – WPG | ||||||
| Philadelphia 1.70 – two games – LAK and MTL | ||||||
| Ottawa 1.76 – two games – both on road | ||||||
| Boston 1.79 – two games – MTL and WAS | ||||||
| Toronto 1.81 – two games – STL and ANA |
Related Posts
UPCOMING GAMES
| Nov 21 - 19:11 |
 WSH
| vs |
 COL | |
| Nov 21 - 19:11 |
 CBJ
| vs |
 T.B | |
| Nov 21 - 19:11 |
 OTT
| vs |
 VGK | |
| Nov 21 - 19:11 |
 DET
| vs |
 NYI | |
| Nov 21 - 19:11 |
 BOS
| vs |
 UTA | |
| Nov 21 - 19:11 |
 N.J
| vs |
 CAR | |
| Nov 21 - 20:11 |
 STL
| vs |
 S.J | |
| Nov 21 - 20:11 |
 CHI
| vs |
 FLA | |
| Nov 21 - 21:11 |
 CGY
| vs |
 NYR | |
| Nov 21 - 21:11 |
 EDM
| vs |
 MIN
| |
Starting Goalies
Top Skater Views
DALTop Goalie Profile Views
PHI
LINE COMBOS
| Frequency |
WSH Players
| |
|---|---|---|
| 27.4 | TOM WILSON CONNOR MCMICHAEL PIERRE-LUC DUBOIS | |
| 20.4 | DYLAN STROME ALIAKSEI PROTAS ANDREW MANGIAPANE | |
| 16.6 | TAYLOR RADDYSH BRANDON DUHAIME NIC DOWD | |
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