Top 100 Rotisserie Players: March 2016

Mike McMillan

2016-03-17

The Top 100 rotisserie league Fantasy Hockey Rankings are here to guide your team into the fantasy playoffs and (hopefully) to a league championship.

The last stretch of the season is finally here. All our work getting our teams together through trades and scavenging the waiver wire is complete and now it’s time to see the results.

The Top 100 Rotisserie Players list for March is slightly different than previous months. I’ve been playing with a new approach in putting together the player values by using some of the free tools provided on the Frozen Pool page of DobberHockey.com.

Here’s the breakdown on how it all works if you’ve never used it:

NHL players compared for every category! To save your custom stat categories, just bookmark it.

The numbers are representative of a combination of average and deviation to the average for the date range selected.

Zero being the average, a player with a higher number is above average. Conversely, a player with a negative score is below average. The higher the number, the more dominant the player is leading the category!

'NHL Score' is a stat category comparison vs the entire league.

Player values are still weighted over multiple seasons to try and determine a player's production consistency. For this edition of the Top 100, I’ve taken 80% of the players value from this season and 20% from last season (Rookie values are this season only).

To add a predictive element, we take a look at which players are likely to regress back to career averages and which players are due for hot streak over the course of the season using shooting percentages.

Based on the differential between player’s shooting percentage this season compared to their career average SH%, we find some players that should climb up to the top 100 in the last few weeks and some that will fall off…

Top 5 Players Likely to Increase in Value

Player	SH% Diff
DATSYUK, PAVEL	-5.2
RIBEIRO, MIKE	-4.3
GETZLAF, RYAN	-4.1
VORACEK, JAKUB	-4
JOHANSEN, RYAN	-3.8

These players are shooting significantly below where they should be, which should adjust over the next month and result in a scoring bounce back in the fantasy playoffs.

Top 5 Players Likely to Decrease in Value

Player	SH% Diff
BRASSARD, DERICK	4.5
HARTNELL, SCOTT	4.9
JAGR, JAROMIR	5.2
PAVELSKI, JOE	5.4
DOAN, SHANE	5.8

These players are shooting significantly above where they should be, which should also adjust and reduce their per-game value for fantasy.

The categories included in the values are G, A, +/-, PIM, PPP, and SOG. Remember: This is NOT a points-only ranking, but a ranking for rotisserie leagues. Here is the March Top 100 Roto…

Rank	Player	Adj. Value	Value: TY	Value: LY	Pos	Team	G	A	+/-	PPPnts	PIM	Shots	SH% Diff
1	KANE, PATRICK	40.15	44.61	22.3	R	CHI	16.05	11.35	4.27	8.97	0.36	3.61	3
2	OVECHKIN, ALEXANDER	38.69	37.73	42.55	L	WSH	18.16	2.51	5.06	5.35	0.97	5.69	-0.1
3	BENN, JAMIE	35.29	35.97	32.58	L	DAL	14	8.9	1.17	6.94	1.85	3.11	2.2
4	PAVELSKI, JOE	33.57	34.23	30.92	C	S.J	12.94	6.38	6.59	6.06	-0.01	2.26	5.4
5	CROSBY, SIDNEY	31.84	31.86	31.76	C	PIT	11.39	8.31	3.24	5.42	0.86	2.64	0
6	SEGUIN, TYLER	31.57	32.08	29.51	C	DAL	13.46	7.76	0.14	7.03	-0.5	4.18	0.2
7	KUZNETSOV, EVGENY	31.53	31.53	NA	C	WSH	6.73	10.79	7.88	4.12	0.36	1.65	1.7
8	TARASENKO, VLADIMIR	28.87	28.27	31.26	R	STL	13.46	5.01	-0.37	5.74	0.68	3.76	-0.7
9	BERGERON, PATRICE	28.74	31.47	17.81	C	BOS	10.87	6.11	3.75	6.06	1.3	3.38	1.5
10	BACKSTROM, NICKLAS	27.66	28.09	25.93	C	WSH	5.69	9.42	4.27	7.68	0.24	0.8	4
11	BURNS, BRENT	27.58	29.61	19.44	D	S.J	9.84	7.49	-0.63	6.71	1.67	4.54	1.4
12	MALKIN, EVGENI	27.53	28	25.64	C	PIT	10.35	5.56	0.4	7.35	2.54	1.79	3.6
13	THORNTON, JOE	27.23	29.62	17.69	C	S.J	4.66	11.07	6.33	5.42	1.61	0.55	1.4
14	KARLSSON, ERIK	26.81	26.85	26.66	D	OTT	3.1	13.55	-0.89	6.71	1.48	2.89	-0.8
15	MARCHAND, BRAD	26.57	29.77	13.76	L	BOS	14	2.23	5.83	1.19	3.61	2.89	0.7
16	SEDIN, DANIEL	26.36	26.66	25.16	L	VAN	9.84	5.84	3.25	4.07	0.56	3.11	0.1
17	KOPITAR, ANZE	26.16	28.41	17.14	C	L.A	7.76	8.04	7.88	3.8	-0.63	1.56	2.2
18	TAVARES, JOHN	25.85	23.45	35.46	C	NYI	9.84	5.01	1.17	3.8	0.74	2.89	-0.7
19	GAUDREAU, JOHNNY	25.55	26.44	22.01	L	CGY	9.84	9.17	1.69	4.07	-0.62	2.28	-0.3
20	STAMKOS, STEVEN	25.15	23.84	30.4	C	T.B	12.43	3.63	-0.37	5.09	0.61	2.45	-1
21	KUCHEROV, NIKITA	24.85	24.01	28.19	R	T.B	9.32	5.28	0.92	6.06	0.24	2.19	0.5
22	PANARIN, ARTEMI	24.82	24.82	NA	L	CHI	9.32	7.23	1.69	4.39	0.32	1.87	0
23	GIROUX, CLAUDE	24.66	23.56	29.07	C	PHI	5.69	8.31	-1.66	7.03	1.67	2.51	-1.9
24	WHEELER, BLAKE	24.34	23.9	26.1	R	WPG	5.69	9.14	0.92	3.8	1.42	2.93	-2.6
25	SIMMONDS, WAYNE	23.85	24.91	19.61	R	PHI	9.32	3.63	-0.89	4.12	6.51	2.22	0.7
26	FORSBERG, FILIP	23.18	22.97	24.01	L	NSH	10.88	3.9	-0.38	4.71	0.97	2.89	1.7
27	NEAL, JAMES	22.92	25.22	13.7	R	NSH	9.84	1.97	5.81	2.18	2.41	3	-0.3
28	TOFFOLI, TYLER	22.87	24.16	17.73	C	L.A	9.84	3.08	7.62	2.18	-0.75	2.19	2.4
29	PERRY, COREY	22.7	23.15	20.91	R	ANA	11.39	3.08	-0.63	5.09	1.92	2.3	2.1
30	TOEWS, JONATHAN	22.59	21.4	27.34	C	CHI	9.32	3.63	4.01	1.22	1.48	1.75	0.5
31	SUBBAN, P.K.	22.09	21.7	23.66	D	MTL	-0.53	9.42	1.17	6.39	3.16	2.09	-2.4
32	BRASSARD, DERICK	22.03	22.74	19.19	C	NYR	9.32	4.18	2.98	4.77	-0.13	1.62	4.5
33	SPEZZA, JASON	21.83	22.65	18.54	C	DAL	10.87	3.9	0.4	5.42	-0.13	2.19	2
34	PACIORETTY, MAX	21.81	19.46	31.19	L	MTL	8.8	5.01	-2.19	3.43	0.44	3.98	-1.9
35	GETZLAF, RYAN	21.17	20.33	24.51	C	ANA	2.06	8.59	2.46	4.45	1.48	1.29	-4.1
36	BYFUGLIEN, DUSTIN	20.98	21.32	19.64	D	WPG	4.66	4.73	0.66	3.8	4.65	2.83	0.2
37	DOUGHTY, DREW	20.88	22.86	12.96	D	L.A	3.1	5.28	5.81	5.74	1.23	1.69	1.9
38	ERIKSSON, LOUI	20.65	22.83	11.92	R	BOS	10.35	4.45	4.27	3.15	-1	1.6	3.6
39	EKMAN-LARSSON, OLIVER	20.39	22.08	13.65	D	ARI	6.21	5.28	-3.21	8	3.1	2.7	1.6
40	LETANG, KRISTOPHER	20.37	20.13	21.33	D	PIT	3.1	8.04	-0.63	5.74	1.85	2.03	1.6
41	TROCHECK, VINCENT	19.95	19.95	NA	C	FLA	7.25	4.45	2.72	2.83	0.99	1.71	1.7
42	JAGR, JAROMIR	19.83	21.8	11.96	R	FLA	8.28	5.28	4.78	1.54	0.99	0.93	5.2
43	OSHIE, T.J.	19.71	19.9	18.97	R	WSH	7.25	3.35	3.49	3.8	0.24	1.77	1
44	STONE, MARK	19.61	19.1	21.67	R	OTT	7.76	6.94	-1.15	3.48	0.74	1.33	0.2
45	LUCIC, MILAN	19.37	20.49	14.88	L	L.A	5.16	4.73	5.83	1.19	2.91	0.66	0.8
46	STEEN, ALEXANDER	19.26	18.06	24.08	L	STL	5.16	5.29	0.14	4.71	1.03	1.74	0.5
47	HALL, TAYLOR	19.17	22.07	7.58	L	EDM	8.28	6.68	-0.12	1.83	1.5	3.91	-1.8
48	CARTER, JEFF	19	18.71	20.18	C	L.A	5.69	5.28	4.01	1.86	-0.63 📢 advertisement:	2.49	-2.2
49	OKPOSO, KYLE	18.99	20.49	13	R	NYI	6.21	6.94	-1.4	5.42	1.54	1.79	1.3
50	DUCHENE, MATT	18.99	20.21	14.09	C	COL	11.39	4.45	-1.4	3.48	-0.01	2.3	3.3
51	VORACEK, JAKUB	18.93	15.97	30.79	R	PHI	1.55	7.49	-0.63	5.09	0.36	2.11	-4
52	WILLIAMS, JUSTIN	18.86	20.53	12.16	R	WSH	7.25	4.18	5.3	1.54	0.24	2.03	2.6
53	HORNQVIST, PATRIC	18.75	18.62	19.28	R	PIT	5.69	4.18	2.72	2.83	0.24	2.96	-1
54	JOHANSEN, RYAN	18.62	17.47	23.21	C	NSH	2.06	6.66	1.17	4.77	1.05	1.75	-3.8
55	MONAHAN, SEAN	18.41	17.54	21.87	C	CGY	8.8	4.73	-0.11	2.83	-0.63	1.92	-1.1
56	ZUCCARELLO, MATS	18.2	19.17	14.34	R	NYR	7.76	5.28	1.17	3.15	0.36	1.43	3.6
57	SCHEIFELE, MARK	18.14	19.05	14.5	C	WPG	8.28	3.35	3.75	1.22	0.74	1.71	2.8
58	SCHENN, BRAYDEN	18.1	19.31	13.28	C	PHI	8.8	3.63	0.92	4.12	0.3	1.54	3.8
59	JOSI, ROMAN	17.95	17.9	18.17	D	NSH	2.06	7.49	-0.37	6.06	0.8	1.86	-0.4
60	BACKES, DAVID	17.74	16.4	23.1	C	STL	6.21	2.52	0.66	2.18	3.28	1.54	0.2
61	KLINGBERG, JOHN	17.38	19.53	8.8	D	DAL	1.55	8.59	2.98	5.09	-0.01	1.33	-1.7
62	LANDESKOG, GABRIEL	17.25	16.43	20.51	L	COL	5.16	5.01	-0.12	2.79	2.08	1.5	1.3
63	PALMIERI, KYLE	17.16	20.03	5.66	R	N.J	9.32	2.52	0.66	4.45	0.8	2.28	1.8
64	HARTNELL, SCOTT	17.16	15.7	22.98	L	CBJ	7.24	3.07	-2.45	2.15	4.67	1.03	4.9
65	SEDIN, HENRIK	17.01	15.62	22.57	C	VAN	2.06	7.76	1.69	4.45	-0.38	0.04	0.6
66	JOKINEN, JUSSI	16.99	19.38	7.44	L	FLA	3.08	7.23	5.06	2.15	0.79	1.07	-2.2
67	HUBERDEAU, JONATHAN	16.88	17.17	15.71	L	FLA	3.08	6.95	2.99	2.15	0.56	1.44	-0.6
68	SMITH, REILLY	16.83	18.64	9.57	R	FLA	8.28	2.8	3.49	2.18	0.43	1.45	3.3
69	DOAN, SHANE	16.68	19.76	4.34	R	ARI	8.8	1.97	0.66	3.8	3.03	1.5	5.8
70	HOFFMAN, MIKE	16.64	17.08	14.88	L	OTT	9.84	3.35	-0.64	2.47	-0.5	2.57	1
71	KESSEL, PHIL	16.62	16.84	15.74	R	PIT	6.73	3.9	0.66	2.83	-0.38	3.1	-1.8
72	KREJCI, DAVID	16.62	19.76	4.06	C	BOS	4.14	7.76	3.49	3.15	0.24	0.97	0.6
73	LARKIN, DYLAN	16.59	16.59	NA	C	DET	6.73	2.52	4.78	-0.4	0.61	2.34	0
74	PARISE, ZACH	16.44	13.83	26.86	L	MIN	6.2	3.07	-1.42	3.11	0.32	2.54	-1.7
75	MACKINNON, NATHAN	16.34	18.69	6.94	C	COL	7.25	5.28	-0.89	3.8	-0.26	3.51	-0.1
76	DOMI, MAX	16.34	16.34	NA	L	ARI	5.16	4.46	-0.12	4.07	1.73	1.05	0
77	GIORDANO, MARK	16.29	16.8	14.26	D	CGY	5.69	5.01	-0.89	3.48	1.36	2.15	2.5
78	GALCHENYUK, ALEX	16.05	16.48	14.35	C	MTL	9.84	3.08	-1.4	3.15	-0.38	2.19	1.6
79	WEBER, SHEA	15.96	15.37	18.32	D	NSH	5.17	4.45	-1.4	5.74	-0.32	1.73	2.6
80	PLEKANEC, TOMAS	15.9	14.37	22	C	MTL	2.58	6.66	0.4	2.51	0.36	1.86	-3.2
81	BARKOV, ALEKSANDER	15.74	18.29	5.55	C	FLA	8.28	3.08	3.49	3.15	-1	1.29	3.2
82	KOIVU, MIKKO	15.69	16.22	13.57	C	MIN	4.14	5.56	1.43	3.8	0.36	0.93	3.5
83	GOSTISBEHERE, SHAYNE	15.68	15.68	NA	D	PHI	4.66	3.35	1.95	5.09	-0.38	1.01	0.2
84	DATSYUK, PAVEL	15.62	13.82	22.81	C	DET	3.62	3.9	2.72	2.83	-1	1.75	-5.2
85	EICHEL, JACK	15.6	15.6	NA	C	BUF	7.76	4.18	-3.47	4.45	-0.26	2.93	0
86	RYAN, BOBBY	15.54	15.29	16.53	R	OTT	7.76	5.28	-2.95	3.8	-0.38	1.77	0.7
87	NIELSEN, FRANS	15.51	16.21	12.73	C	NYI	6.21	4.45	0.4	4.12	-0.75	1.77	1.4
88	TATAR, TOMAS	15.38	13.99	20.93	L	DET	6.2	3.07	0.91	2.47	-0.03	1.37	0.2
89	ZETTERBERG, HENRIK	15.36	13.82	21.5	L	DET	3.08	5.57	-1.42	4.71	-0.38	2.26	-3.5
90	RIBEIRO, MIKE	15.26	14.67	17.6	C	NSH	-0.01	8.04	1.95	3.15	1.73	-0.19	-4.3
91	SEABROOK, BRENT	15.2	17.38	6.48	D	CHI	3.1	5.01	2.21	5.42	0.12	1.54	3.1
92	HENRIQUE, ADAM	15.13	16.33	10.33	C	N.J	8.28	2.25	3.24	1.54	-0.07	1.1	2.7
93	KUNITZ, CHRIS	15.03	15.43	13.44	L	PIT	3.6	2.51	7.65	0.23	0.5	0.94	-1.5
94	KESLER, RYAN	14.86	15.01	14.25	C	ANA	4.14	3.9	-0.63	3.15	2.97	1.48	-1.2
95	SHARP, PATRICK	14.8	15.68	11.29	L	DAL	5.16	5.29	-1.93	4.71	-0.09	2.54	-2.5
96	SUTER, RYAN	14.54	16.16	8.04	D	MIN	0.51	7.21	2.46	4.12	-0.01	1.86	0.5
97	JENNER, BOONE	14.42	14.42	NA	C	CBJ	8.8	1.15	-2.69	2.18	2.54	2.45	0.2
98	GALLAGHER, BRENDAN	14.25	13.4	17.63	R	MTL	5.69	1.7	2.98	1.54	-0.13	1.62	1.4
99	STEMPNIAK, LEE	14.16	16.68	4.06	R	N.J	5.17	5.28	1.95	2.51	0.61	1.16	2.5
100	KEITH, DUNCAN	14.15	14.49	12.8	D	CHI	0.51	6.38	2.98	4.45	-0.63	0.8	2.9

Just Missed the Cut: Jeff Skinner, Ryan O’Reilly, and Zack Smith.

Follow Mike McMillan on Twitter (@MikeMcMillanNHL) to talk fantasy hockey or check out his fantasy hockey blog. For values specific to your league settings, go to the Frozen Pool fantasy tools page.

UPCOMING GAMES

Dec 27 - 19:12	DET	vs	TOR
Dec 27 - 19:12	BUF	vs	CHI
Dec 27 - 19:12	CBJ	vs	BOS
Dec 27 - 19:12	N.J	vs	CAR
Dec 27 - 20:12	DAL	vs	MIN
Dec 27 - 20:12	STL	vs	NSH
Dec 27 - 21:12	UTA	vs	COL
Dec 27 - 22:12	S.J	vs	VGK