Looking Ahead: Week 25 (2015-16)
Mike Schmidt
2016-03-18
Mike Ribeiro and the Predators have a nice upcoming schedule. Look ahead at the teams with the best schedule this week.
lf fantasy owners need help in the short term AND the long term, the Looking Ahead feature identifies one player to plug into lineups in the short term, a second to invest in for the long term, a third to bench for the coming week and a fourth who will struggle to meet expectations for some time. All players discussed are selected based on their team’s upcoming schedule. Without further ado…
The Immediate Fixes (Grab these guys and use them for the next several days)
Mike Ribeiro, C, Nashville (Available in 79 percent of Yahoo leagues) – His stat line is that of a No. 1 fantasy defenseman (seven goals and 40 assists in 71 games), but fantasy owners should not discount what this veteran centerman can provide them. As DobberHockey’s Steve Laidlaw noted in one of his latest Ramblings, Nashville’s line of Ribeiro, Filip Forsberg and Craig Smith (more on Smith below) have shown great chemistry as of late. Ribeiro is also an integral member of the Preds’ forward corps, and he continues to see significant action on the power play. As far as plug-and-play options go this late in the season, poolies could do a lot worse than a 35-year-old who has scored at least 47 points each and every year since the 2002-03 campaign.
Craig Smith, C/RW, Nashville (Available in 54 percent of Yahoo leagues) – Don’t look now, but the 26-year-old Smith is right on the cusp of his third consecutive 20-goal season. If he gets there, a significant amount of credit should be given to his linemates, the aforementioned Ribeiro and Forsberg, for helping to get him there. Smith hasn’t been able to top his 52-point campaign from 2013-14, but poolies have to like him so long as he sees action with one or more of Nashville’s gifted forwards (be it Forsberg, Ryan Johansen or James Neal). Does he have another level to his game? It may be worth it to pick him up and find out. If not, he is what the fantasy owners already thought he was: a solid player whose stats are elevated by a productive supporting cast. All that being said, things are already going pretty well for the longtime Predator (11 points in 11 games since Feb. 23).
The Odd Men Out (Their short-term value is cause for concern)
Mike Hoffman, C/LW, Ottawa (Owned in 69 percent of Yahoo leagues) – Here is Hoffman’s shooting percentage by month:
October — 18.2 percent
November — 18.8 percent
December — 17.0 percent
January — 10.0 percent
February — 8.6 percent
March — 4.5 percent
No statistic better reflects how the Senators’ wingers season has played out. A few short months ago, the 26-year-old forward was a point-per-game player. Now he’s a lineup albatross. To make matters worse, Hoffman’s ice time is also trending down a bit from where it was during the fall and early winter months. There’s not a lot to like here for poolies looking for production down the stretch, so the Ottawa forward should be benched until further notice. He could get hot again at any moment, but fantasy owners should make him prove he offer something positive before trusting him again.
Marian Hossa, RW, Chicago (Owned in 68 percent of Yahoo leagues) – How is the veteran Blackhawks forward owned in nearly three out of four fantasy hockey leagues? Sure, Hossa is playing on the same line as talented teammates Jonathan Toews and Andrew Ladd, but he is averaging a point every other game and is hardly a shoo-in for totaling 35-plus on the year. Hossa’s shooting percentage has cratered (it currently stands at 6.3 percent) and he is taking fewer shots on goal than at any point since the 2012-13 campaign. It’s also important to remember he is a 37-year-old winger who just returned to the lineup after missing a month due to a leg injury, and he has put the puck in the back of the opposition’s net just once since Feb. 6. Simply stated, Hossa is a name-brand player that provides generic production.
By taking some time to analyze the upcoming NHL schedule, poolies can gain a significant and measurable edge over their opponents. Now let’s identify some teams that will help or hurt fantasy owners in the coming days.
Love ‘Em (These squads are sure to pay dividends in the coming days)
San Jose – The veteran-laden Sharks will benefit from a lengthy homestand during the second half of this month. San Jose will play five consecutive games on its own ice between Sunday, March 20 and Monday, March 28. Poolies should enjoy some nice production from Brent Burns, Joe Pavelski and the rest of the fantasy-relevant players on the team during this stretch.
Pittsburgh – The Pens’ plans for a lengthy playoff run took a hit with the recent injury to all-world forward Evgeni Malkin. However, the team can take solace in the fact that they close out the month of March with four of six at home.
Nashville – The Preds are quietly building a case as a Stanley Cup contender (mostly because starting netminder Pekka Rinne is playing like the Pekka Rinne of old rather than a less-desirable alternative to backup Carter Hutton). Also, starting Friday March 18, Nashville will play four of its next five contests at home. Three of those games will be against Vancouver, Columbus and (barely playoff-caliber) Colorado. Enjoy!
Leave ‘Em (These squads will leave fantasy owners sorely disappointed in the short term)
Ottawa – It’s quite possible no team has a more difficult schedule during the final few days of March. Of the Senators’ final five games, three of them will take them away from Ottawa. Their two home games? They will be forced to take on two Stanley Cup-contending squads in Washington and Anaheim. It’s safe to say things may not go well for the Sens. Not well at all.
Chicago – No one is really worried about this team over the long haul, but many squads have it better in the latter days of March. The Blackhawks close out the month with four of six away from the Windy City, and their two home tilts are against the Minnesota Wild (the homeless man’s version of themselves) and the always-dangerous Dallas Stars.
Buffalo – Four of six on the road to close out the month? Uh-oh. Also, the Sabres have three consecutive nights off during the week of Sunday, March 20. Pass.
Friday, March 18 to Thursday, March 24 |
Best Bets |
Edmonton 4.44 – four games – VAN, COL, ARI and SJS |
Columbus 4.41 – four games – three at home |
San Jose 4.36 – four games – four at home |
Arizona 4.30 – four games – three at home |
Philadelphia 3.94 – four games – PIT, NYI, CBJ and COL |
Steer Clear |
St. Louis 2.04 – two games – both on road |
Tampa Bay 2.30 – two games – ARI and DET |
Detroit 2.84 – three games – two on road |
Washington 2.85 – three games – two on road |
Chicago 2.90 – three games – WPG, MIN and DAL |
Saturday, March 19 to Friday, March 25 |
Best Bets |
Columbus 4.41 – four games – three at home |
San Jose 4.36 – four games – four at home |
Arizona 4.30 – four games – three at home |
New York Islanders 4.15 – four games – DAL, PHI, OTT and TBL |
Philadelphia 3.94 – four games – PIT, NYI, CBJ and COL |
Steer Clear |
Chicago 2.00 – two games – MIN and DAL |
Buffalo 2.04 – two games – both on road |
Nashville 2.05 – two games – LAK and VAN |
Colorado 2.15 – two games – EDM and PHI |
Calgary 2.66- three games – all on road
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Sunday, March 20 to Saturday, March 26 |
Best Bets |
San Jose 4.46 – four games – four at home |
Arizona 4.41 – four games – three at home |
Edmonton 4.20 – four games – COL, ARI, SJS and LAK |
Columbus 4.15 – four games – NJD, PHI, CAR and NSH |
New York Islanders 4.11 – four games – PHI, OTT, TBL and CAR |
Steer Clear |
Buffalo 1.95 – two games – CAR and WPG |
Vancouver 2.71 – three games – all on road |
Detroit 2.79 – three games – TBL, MTL and PIT |
Ottawa 2.79 – three games – WAS, NYI and ANA |
Florida 2.80 – three games – all on road |
Monday, March 21 to Sunday, March 27 |
Best Bets |
Carolina 4.36 – four games – three at home |
New York Islanders 4.11 – four games – PHI, OTT, TBL and CAR |
Philadelphia 4.09 – four games – NYI, CBJ, COL and ARI |
New York Rangers 3.96 – four games – three at home |
Los Angeles 3.72 – four games – NSH, MIN, WPG and EDM |
Steer Clear |
Buffalo 1.95 – two games – CAR and WPG |
Colorado 2.05 – two games – PHI and MIN |
Detroit 2.79 – three games – TBL, MTL and PIT |
Ottawa 2.79 – three games – WAS, NYI and ANA |
New Jersey 2.80 – three games – two on road |
Tuesday, March 22 to Monday, March 28 |
Best Bets |
Tampa Bay 4.57 – four games – four at home |
Arizona 4.41 – four games – four at home |
Carolina 4.36 – four games – three at home |
Winnipeg 4.19 – four games – VAN, LAK, BUF and PHI |
San Jose 4.15 – four games – all at home |
Steer Clear |
Florida 1.90 – two games – both on road |
Ottawa 2.79 – three games – WAS, NYI and ANA |
New Jersey 2.80 – three games – two on road |
New York Rangers 2.81 – three games – BOS, MTL and PIT |
Calgary 2.89 – three games – two on road |
Wednesday, March 23 to Tuesday, March 29 |
Best Bets |
Pittsburgh 4.31 – four games – NJD, DET, NYR and BUF |
Nashville 4.31 – four games – three at home |
Boston 4.20 – four games – NYR, FLA, TOR and NJD |
San Jose 4.15 – four games – three at home |
Carolina 4.11 – four games – CBJ, NYIx2 and NJD |
Steer Clear |
Ottawa 1.84 – two games – NYI and ANA |
Chicago 2.76 – three games – all on road |
Edmonton 2.79 – three games – two on road |
Columbus 2.81 – three games – two on road |
New York Rangers 2.81 – three games – BOS, MTL and PIT |
Thursday, March 24 to Wednesday, March 30 |
Best Bets |
Pittsburgh 4.31 – four games – NJD, DET, NYR and BUF |
Nashville 4.31 – four games – three at home |
San Jose 4.15 – four games – three at home |
Washington 4.14 – four games – NJD, STL, CBJ and PHI |
Winnipeg 4.13 – four games – LAK, BUF, PHI and OTT |
Steer Clear |
New York Rangers 1.76 – two games – MTL and PIT |
Ottawa 1.80 – two games – ANA and WPG |
Chicago 2.76 – three games – all on road |
Edmonton 2.79 – three games – two on road |
Columbus 2.81 – three games – two on road |
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I love you looking ahead article as it gives me good insight into the teams schedule and next week; but I have to dress 2 of the 3….Johnson, Kessel, or Hoffman…. It is our first week of the playoffs and Hoffman has been a bit more consistent than Johnson. So I am sitting Johnson this week. RNH was in the talk too, but he seems to keep finding ways to get pts on the pp, even though he is the 3rd line Center. I am going against the “Dobber Advice” this week! Let’s hope I make it to the semi finals next week!
I love you looking ahead article as it gives me good insight into the teams schedule and next week; but I have to dress 2 of the 3….Johnson, Kessel, or Hoffman…. It is our first week of the playoffs and Hoffman has been a bit more consistent than Johnson. So I am sitting Johnson this week. RNH was in the talk too, but he seems to keep finding ways to get pts on the pp, even though he is the 3rd line Center. I am going against the “Dobber Advice” this week! Let’s hope I make it to the semi finals next week!