Top 200 Fantasy Prospect Forwards – August 2016

Dobber

2016-08-10

The Top 200 Prospect Forwards to own in fantasy hockey, August edition.

Here are this month's top prospects to own in a points-only keeper league. Taking into account the organization depth chart, wait time, upside and NHL certainty. "Type" is measured by offensive/offense-small/power forward/two-way. This month, the main adjustments are from players being adjusted/added to the 'main' fantasy rankings. Those rankings have a small impact on these rankings, with the idea being that prospects worthy of consideration in the main rankings are obviously a little more valuable.

+/- 5.0 rating points please consider them similar in value

The Top 50 Prospect Defensemen – Posted Thursday, so check back in for that one…

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Aug 10	Prospect	Team	type	Prospect Rating	Jul 10	Jun 10
1	Auston Matthews	TOR	o	112.8	1	NR
2	Patrik Laine	WPG	p	112.2	2	NR
3	Jesse Puljujarvi	EDM	t	98.5	3	NR
4	Mitch Marner	TOR	o	91.9	7	3
5	Dylan Strome	ARI	o	90.0	5	1
6	William Nylander	TOR	o	87.7	6	2
7	Pierre-Luc Dubois	CBJ	o	81.6	4	NR
8	Christian Dvorak	ARI	o	77.3	9	5
9	Sebastian Aho	CAR	o	76.4	14	11
10	Mikko Rantanen	COL	p	76.2	8	4
11	Kyle Connor	WPG	o	75.3	10	6
12	Jimmy Vesey	BUF	o	75.0	13	8
13	Pavel Zacha	NJD	p	74.4	22	18
14	Oliver Bjorkstrand	CBJ	o	73.7	16	12
15	Travis Konecny	PHI	o	70.9	12	9
16	Nick Ritchie	ANA	p	70.9	11	10
17	Brayden Point	TBL	os	69.5	15	7
18	Mathew Barzal	NYI	o	69.3	18	14
19	Sonny Milano	CBJ	o	68.0	19	15
20	Jake Virtanen	VAN	p	67.7	20	17
21	Anthony Mantha	DET	o	67.7	21	16
22	Clayton Keller	ARI	o	67.3	23	NR
23	Colin White	OTT	o	67.2	24	19
24	Kerby Rychel	TOR	p	66.3	17	13
25	Matthew Tkachuk	CGY	p	66.2	25	NR
26	Andreas Athanasiou	DET	o	65.8	28	22
27	Jakub Vrana	WAS	o	65.3	26	20
28	Kevin Fiala	NSH	o	65.2	27	21
29	Adrian Kempe	LAK	o	64.2	31	27
30	Brett Ritchie	DAL	p	64.1	32	26
31	Michael Dal Colle	NYI	o	63.8	29	24
32	Teemu Pulkkinen	DET	o	63.7	30	23
33	Ty Rattie	STL	o	63.3	35	28
34	Michael McCarron	MON	p	62.9	34	29
35	Martin Reway	MON	o	62.7	89	79
36	Timo Meier	SJS	o	62.7	37	32
37	Pavel Buchnevich	NYR	o	62.6	36	31
38	Nick Paul	OTT	p	62.6	38	30
39	Daniel Sprong	PIT	o	62.5	39	35
40	Tyson Jost	COL	o	62.4	40	NR
41	Alexander Nylander	BUF	o	62.2	41	NR
42	Ivan Barbashev	STL	t	62.1	42	36
43	Brock Boeser	VAN	p	61.9	44	37
44	Lawson Crouse	FLA	p	61.7	48	42
45	Connor Brown	TOR	o	61.6	43	33
46	Nicolas Petan	WPG	os	61.5	33	25
47	Sven Andrighetto	MON	os	61.3	45	34
48	Jonathan Marchessault	FLA	os	61.1	66	72
49	Jayce Hawryluk	FLA	o	60.9	51	50
50	Alex Tuch	MIN	p	60.8	53	43
51	Nick Schmaltz	CHI	o	60.7	54	51
52	Kevin Labanc	SJS	o	60.7	47	41
53	Jason Dickinson	DAL	t	60.4	46	39
54	Devin Shore	DAL	t	60.3	49	46
55	Ryan Dzingel	OTT	o	60.1	50	48
56	Nick Cousins	PHI	o	59.9	95	86
57	Frank Vatrano	BOS	o	59.8	79	70
58	Tyler Motte	CHI	os	59.7	132	117
59	Tobias Lindberg	TOR	o	59.4	56	44
60	Vladislav Kamenev	NSH	t	59.4	58	53
61	J.T. Compher	COL	t	59.4	93	85
62	Seth Griffith	BOS	o	59.2	59	40
63	Hudson Fasching	BUF	p	59.2	60	49
64	Charles Hudon	MON	o	59.1	61	52
65	Nikita Scherbak	MON	o	58.9	55	45
66	Nikolay Goldobin	SJS	o	58.7	62	54
67	Rocco Grimaldi	COL	os	58.6	57	47
68	Evgeny Svechnikov	DET	p	58.5	64	56
69	Joseph Blandisi	NJD	o	58.3	52	38
70	Marko Dano	WPG	o	58.2	63	55
71	Andrew Copp	WPG	o	58.1	65	57
72	Logan Brown	OTT	o	57.6	68	NR
73	Joel Armia	WPG	o	57.5	69	59
74	Reid Boucher	NJD	o	57.3	67	58
75	Nick Merkley	ARI	o	57.0	71	63
76	Kasperi Kapanen	TOR	o	56.8	72	61
77	Emile Poirier	CGY	o	56.6	73	64
78	Zach Hyman	TOR	o	56.5	74	62
79	Joel Eriksson Ek	MIN	o	56.4	70	60
80	Brendan Perlini	ARI	o	56.4	75	66
81	Josh Ho-Sang	NYI	o	56.1	76	68
82	Riley Barber	WAS	t	56.1	77	67
83	Drake Caggiula	EDM	os	56.1	116	103
84	Conor Sheary	PIT	o	56.0	82	73
85	Brendan Leipsic	TOR	o	55.9	78	65
86	Alan Quine	NYI	o	55.1	129	115
87	Anton Rodin	VAN	o	55.1	135	120
88	Daniel Carr	MON	o	54.8	81	71
89	Cole Cassels	VAN	o	54.8	83	76
90	Artturi Lehkonen	MON	o	54.7	85	77
91	Jakob Forsbacka Karlsson	BOS	o	54.5	86	127
92	Hunter Shinkaruk	CGY	o	54.4	90	83
93	Sergey Tolchinsky	CAR	os	53.9	87	75
94	Matt Puempel	OTT	o	53.6	88	80
95	Dennis Rasmussen	CHI	o	53.3	91	81
96	Julius Nattinen	ANA	o	53.0	92	84
97	Henrik Samuelsson	ARI	t	52.9	98	78
98	Bryan Rust	PIT	o	52.5	84	74
99	Francis Perron	OTT	o	52.4	166	215
100	Brendan Gaunce	VAN	o	52.4	97	87
101	Anton Slepyshev	EDM	o	52.3	80	69
102	Jordan Weal	PHI	os	52.2	100	89
103	Michael McLeod	NJD	t	52.2	96	NR
104	Riley Tufte	DAL	p	51.9	99	NR
105	Anthony Beauvillier	NYI	o	51.8	150	134
106	Jean-Christophe Beaudin	COL	o	51.8	149	133
107	Maxim Letunov	SJS	o	51.5	101	88
108	Tyler Bertuzzi	DET	p	51.2	111	101
109	Ryan Hartman	CHI	t	51.2	103	92
110	Dmytro Timashov	TOR	o	51.0	105	93
111	Anthony Richard	NSH	o	50.8	106	94
112	Markus Granlund	VAN	o	50.8	102	90
113	Brock McGinn	CAR	p	50.7	104	95
114	Stanislav Galiev	WAS	o	50.5	94	82
115	Andreas Johnson	TOR	o	50.5	107	96
116	Nikita Soshnikov	TOR	o	50.4	109	97
117	Kevin Roy	ANA	o	50.2	110	100
118	Adam Erne	TBL	p	50.2	112	98
119	German Rubtsov	PHI	t	50.2	113	NR
120	Kalle Kossila	ANA	os	50.1	108	270
121	Dominik Simon	PIT	o	50.1	114	99
122	Ryan MacInnis	ARI	t	49.5	115	102
123	Jake Guentzel	PIT	o	49.4	117	104
124	Tyler Graovac	MIN	o	49.1	118	105
125	Josh Leivo	TOR	p	49.1	119	107
126	Nicolas Roy	CAR	p	49.1	120	106
127	Denis Gurianov	DAL	o	48.9	121	113
128	Mark Jankowski	CGY	p	48.9	123	108
129	Brendan Lemieux	WPG	p	48.8	124	112
130	Phillip Di Giuseppe	CAR	o	48.6	126	111
131	Nicolas Aube-Kubel	PHI	o	48.4	127	114
132	Alexander Khokhlachev	BOS	o	48.2	128	91
133	Luke Kunin	MIN	o	48.1	130	NR
134	Jens Looke	ARI	o	48.1	131	116
135	Jacob De La Rose	MON	t	47.9	133	118
136	Nick Sorensen	ANA	o	47.9	134	119
137	Christian Fischer	ARI	t	47.6	136	121
138	Rourke Chartier	SJS	o	47.5	137	122
139	John Quenneville	NJD	t	47.4	138	123
140	Radel Fazleyev	PHI	o	47.3	139	124
141	Jack Roslovic	WPG	p	47.3	140	125
142	Nikita Gusev	TBL	os	47.3	141	126
143	Josh Anderson	CBJ	t	47.2	170	153
144	Deven Sideroff	ANA	o	47.0	142	128
145	Rasmus Asplund	BUF	o	46.9	143	NR
146	Zach Sanford	WAS	o	46.8	144	129
147	J.C. Lipon	WPG	t	46.7	145	130
148	Daniel O'Regan	SJS	o	46.6	146	131
149	Laurent Dauphin	ARI	o	46.6	147	186
150	Brett Pollock	CGY	t	46.6	148	132
151	Nicklas Jensen	NYR	p	46.4	122	109
152	Austin Czarnik	BOS	os	46.3	151	135
153	Martins Dzierkals	TOR	o	46.3	152	136
154	Tom Kuhnhackl	PIT	o	46.1	125	110
155	Oskar Lindblom	PHI	t	46.0	153	137
156	Vince Hinostroza	CHI	os	45.9	154	138
157	Vaclav Karabacek	BUF	t	45.9	155	139
158	Cole Ully	DAL	o	45.9	156	140
159	Ryan Gropp	NYR	p	45.9	157	141
160	Justin Bailey	BUF	o	45.8	158	142
161	Nicholas Baptiste	BUF	o	45.8	159	143
162	Axel Holmstrom	DET	o	45.6	160	144
163	Giorgio Estephan	BUF	o	45.5	161	145
164	Derek Grant	BUF	o	45.4	162	146
165	Scott Wilson	PIT	o	45.2	163	147
166	Danton Heinen	BOS	o	45.1	164	148
167	Kyle Rau	FLA	os	45.0	165	149
168	Aleksi Saarela	CAR	o	45.0	167	150
169	Valentin Zykov	CAR	o	45.0	194	181
170	Adam Tambellini	NYR	o	44.9	169	152
171	Jeremy Bracco	TOR	o	44.8	171	154
172	Tanner Kero	CHI	o	44.8	172	155
173	Daniel Zaar	CBJ	o	44.6	173	157
174	Andrew Mangiapane	CGY	o	44.5	174	158
175	Remi Elie	DAL	p	44.4	175	159
176	Ryan Fitzgerald	BOS	o	44.4	176	160
177	Andrew Poturalski	CAR	o	44.1	178	163
178	Colton Sissons	NSH	t	44.1	179	173
179	Samuel Blais	STL	o	44.1	180	164
180	Paul Bittner	CBJ	p	44.1	181	209
181	Travis Boyd	WAS	o	44.1	182	166
182	Mario Lucia	MIN	o	44.0	185	170
183	Noah Rod	SJS	t	44.0	168	151
184	Conor Garland	ARI	os	44.0	186	171
185	Mitchell Stephens	TBL	o	43.7	187	175
186	Jake DeBrusk	BOS	o	43.5	188	258
187	T.J. Tynan	CBJ	os	43.5	189	208
188	Nicolas Kerdiles	ANA	t	43.5	190	176
189	Scott Kosmachuk	WPG	t	43.4	191	177
190	Adam Helewka	SJS	o	43.4	192	178
191	Dylan Sadowy	DET	o	43.4	193	179
192	Bogdan Yakimov	EDM	p	43.3	195	182
193	Drew Shore	UFA	o	43.2	177	162
194	Teddy Blueger	PIT	o	43.1	196	183
195	Kieffer Bellows	NYI	p	43.1	197	NR
196	Oskar Sundqvist	PIT	p	43.1	250	242
197	Thomas Di Pauli	WAS	o	43.0	198	187
198	Zach Senyshyn	BOS	o	43.0	199	188
199	Mark McNeill	CHI	p	42.8	203	191
200	Alex DeBrincat	CHI	os	42.8	274	NR

Tom Collins 2016-08-10 at 12:51Log in to Reply

Surprised DeBrincat is so low (200). He’s been going pretty high in a lot of drafts I’ve been doing this summer.
- Dobber 2016-08-10 at 13:08Log in to Reply
  
  That’s a coup for you then. Let those GMs sit on him for a few years.
  
  Did those same guys grab McNeill? Schmaltz (at 18, therefore sitting on him two years now, will likely be three)? Hartman? Teravainen (still didn’t make a points-only pro roster until likely 2016-17 after sitting on him for four years)? Kyle Beach? Pirri?
  
  Minimum four years for DeBrincat – and that’s just four years before his first 40-point season. How long for his actual fantasy-helpful season? Chicago is not the team to go out and grab 18-year-old high draft picks. Better off taking another 18-year-old with another organization, or targeting 20 or 21-year-olds (i.e. now is the time I’d be targeting Schmatlz and Motte in my 15-team, 37-player roster league)
  - Dobber 2016-08-10 at 13:15Log in to Reply
    
    A player like DeBrincat would jump up about 60 spots each year and would be a Top 20 own (if all goes well) in the summer of 2019.
LAKings 2016-08-10 at 15:58Log in to Reply

Good update, much better than the July ranking. I can’t really argue with anything (I may have Dubois behind the next three or four below him)
Cam Robinson 2016-08-11 at 11:16Log in to Reply

Great stuff as always, Dobber.

Any thoughts on Brock Boeser climbing the rankings? He’s a strong candidate to make the Canucks in 2017-18 and has the look of an A prospect. I see a lot of Patrick Sharp in him.
- Dobber 2016-08-11 at 12:02Log in to Reply
  
  Thanks Cam
  Sharp is a fair comparison. And Sharp was 24 when he first became useful in points-only leagues, so…
  Besides, Boeser is in college and has not turned pro
  - Cam Robinson 2016-08-12 at 12:43Log in to Reply
    
    Sharp certainly took his time reaching fantasy relevance, but from what I’ve seen, Boeser is quite a bit ahead in terms of development at the same age. He’s on a path that would see him turn pro after this season and begin producing quality NHL points by 2018-19 or 2019-20 at age 21/22.
    
    I may be higher on him then some, but he’s got an elite shot that is going to only get better. Now Vancouver needs to find a distributor to grow up alongside him.
    - Dobber 2016-08-12 at 12:50Log in to Reply
      
      Don’t rush prospects man, they almost always take four years minimum to become fantasy relevant, even the great ones.
      He is in college again this year, so that’s for sure one year wait. Plus on a crap team like VAN you know his first year is going to be sub-50 points. So best case is – best case – in 2018-19 he gets over 50 points.
      I won’t bank on best case, I’ll add in a year for ‘likely case’. So 2019-20.
      
      The beauty thing about monthly rankings is that as soon as something changes, you can adjust them! So if Vancouver signs him in March then he’ll bump up 60 spots or more.
Alex 2016-08-11 at 21:35Log in to Reply

Awesome stuff as always Dobber.

One guy I would have much higher is Buchnevich. He should be top-15 guy with his level of talent and opportunity for success right away. He will likely on the 3rd line but has an opportunity to move up quickly especially if Nash is moved as has been speculated for awhile.
Jeremy Campbell 2016-08-12 at 09:41Log in to Reply

Looks good! Hopefully there’s a TOR beside Vesey next week but sounds like the Leafs are out of the running for him depending on who you believe.
R McGinnis 2016-08-22 at 13:10Log in to Reply

Tkachuk, Boeser, Brown, Bellows and Senyshyn far too low. Boeser is close to a mortal lock to be in the NHL next season (2018-2018). Tkachuk could be there this season and has star potential. Neither should be downrated due to their years away from the NHL. They are 1 year out. There are to many marginal prospects rated high simply due to being perceived as NHL ready that have very, very lmited upside. Jensen for the NYR springs to mind. What do you see in him?

The methodology seems odd to me. Far too much preference for time to NHL. Even with that approach, I see Clayton Keller ahead of Boeser and I shake my head.
- Dobber 2016-08-22 at 13:16Log in to Reply
  
  I think you’ll be disappointed, man. You can’t sit on a player for five years waiting for him to get 50 measly points. Not when there’s a ‘less hyped’ guy sitting right there who could get 45 points immediately and 55 within two years.
  After seeing the Khoch treatment, I’m not sure how you can be all that high on Senyshyn, either…
  - R McGinnis 2016-08-22 at 13:46Log in to Reply
    
    Who are you referring to? Boeser? If so you are way off. He is the Canucks top prospect and will certainly be a better points producer than Virtanen. Probably as soon as next year. He has first line upside and second line downside. Better NHL prospect than Vesey and only a year behind him in NHL readiness.
    
    I’m not “high” on Senyshyn. He’s a legit NHL prospect that was just taken too high.
    - Dobber 2016-08-22 at 13:55Log in to Reply
      
      These discussions are great because two years from now when you’re right you can laugh in my face. And if you’re wrong you can just forget you ever said anything. Beauty!
      ;)
      - R McGinnis 2016-08-22 at 14:04
        
        To be fair my only other critique was pointing out this spring the incredibly low ranking on Kyle Connor. I’m just not sure what else Boeser needed to accomplish last year to be considered vastly superior to Vrana, Fiala, Rychel, Pulkkinen, Sprong, Paul, Reway, Virtanen (I’m a Canucks fan), Kempe, Athanasiou, Brett Richie, Mantha, Rattie, Barbashev and Milano. I also rate him ahead of Konecny (who I really like), Nick Ritchie (I will give you NHL readiness on this one), Point, Dal Colle (very poor season) and White.
Tyler Thompson 2016-08-22 at 23:14Log in to Reply

Thomas Di Pauli profile no work
Paul 2016-08-24 at 12:16Log in to Reply

I’d rank Nylander ahead of Strome personally, but it’s nice to see a lot of TOR prospects in the top 200. Good list. :)
- Paul 2016-08-24 at 12:21Log in to Reply
  
  Strome just doesn’t impress me… I know he puts up numbers in the OHL; however, it seems that whenever the competition gets stiffer, he doesn’t rise to the occasion. Marner destroyed him head-to-head in the OHL playoffs and he wasn’t very good in the playoffs last year either. I’ve heard he also didn’t look particularly impressive at the Coyotes’ summer camp. He’ll be an NHL player, but I think he may be more of a Chris Gratton type than a Toews or Kopitar.

UPCOMING GAMES

Nov 05 - 19:11	CAR	vs	PHI
Nov 05 - 19:11	MTL	vs	CGY
Nov 05 - 19:11	BUF	vs	OTT
Nov 05 - 19:11	TOR	vs	BOS
Nov 05 - 19:11	NYI	vs	PIT
Nov 05 - 20:11	MIN	vs	L.A
Nov 05 - 20:11	STL	vs	T.B
Nov 05 - 20:11	WPG	vs	UTA
Nov 05 - 21:11	COL	vs	SEA
Nov 05 - 22:11	ANA	vs	VAN
Nov 05 - 22:11	S.J	vs	CBJ