Dobber’s Offseason Fantasy Grades: Nashville Predators
Dobber
2016-08-26
Dobber's offseason fantasy hockey grades – Nashville Predators
For the last 13 years (12 with The Hockey News) I have reviewed each team from a fantasy hockey standpoint, and graded them. My 14th annual review will appear here on DobberHockey throughout the summer. This is not a review of the likely performance on the ice or in the standings, but in the realm of fantasy hockey.
Enjoy!
Gone – Carter Hutton, Shea Weber, Gabriel Bourque, Paul Gaustad, Cody Hodgson, Barret Jackman, Eric Nystrom
Incoming – Matt Carle, Yannick Weber, P.K. Subban
Impact of changes – The only impact here is the Subban-for-Weber trade. The defense gets a little more mobile, but loses some size and experience. Given the career-trajectory factor, the Preds got a defenseman on his way up, replacing a defenseman who is going in the other direction (albeit slower than many seem to believe).
The Preds also gain some experience on the blue line with Carle and Weber (Yannick, this time). But they essentially just force the likes of Stefan Elliott, Petter Granberg and Anthony Bitetto to work harder for roster spots. Minor stuff really.
Other than that, it’s addition by subtraction. Hutton is easily replaced by Marek Mazanec; Jackman/Nystrom/Bourque/Hodgson were bit players in the end and their absence opens up a couple of spots for NHL-ready prospects (of which there are a handful, when it comes to the forwards).
Ready for full-time – Kevin Fiala was a highly-touted prospect because he was taken 11th overall in the 2014 draft and was one of the five or six highest-upside forwards of his class. But he started slowly in the AHL, managing just 20 points in his first 37 contests with Milwaukee, so that delayed his Nashville promotion. The 20-year-old turned things up a notch though and tallied 50 points in his last 62 games (though a minus-14). By no means is a roster spot being handed to him, so a strong training camp is imperative. (Read more on Fiala here)
Marek Mazanec will be Nashville’s Maytag Repairman. He’ll be that guy sitting at the end of the bench, bored. But hey, we all remember when Pekka Rinne was injured, and Carter Hutton actually got into 40 games. So Mazanec could turn out to be a fantasy asset. But bet on that not happening and look for similar numbers for Mazanec as you saw with Hutton over the last three years. (Read more on Mazanec here)
Colton Sissons was up and down all season long for Nashville, and in the end he got into 34 NHL games. He proved to be an elite faceoff man – astonishing for a rookie – when he won 141 faceoffs while boasting a 56.0 FO%. He made Gaustad expendable. His production will be modest, perhaps topping out at 40 points over his career, but as a checker and key faceoff guy he’ll be important. (Read more on Sissons here)
Fantasy Outlook – Nashville’s offense improved from 14th in the league in 2014-15 to 12th in the NHL last year. They have a young group of forwards still on the rise and they now have a true No.1 center in Ryan Johansen. As always, offense from the defense is key. Goaltending is no longer the blue-chip fantasy asset that it once was when Barry Trotz was the coach. And after Fiala, Jack Dougherty, Dante Fabbro and Samuel Girard, the prospects in the pipeline leave something to be desired (in fantasy).
Fantasy Grade: B- (last year was C+)
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What’s the outlook for Rinne this year? He was atrocious for a lot of last year, and even though the Preds might win a lot of games, his other statistics are a bit of a a concern.
I am not high on Rinne at all and I’m more than a little afraid of him in fantasy hockey. Any solid numbers we get from him will be due to the great team in front of him. It deserved a mention here, my oversight
I don’t know if Hutton is quite there yet in terms of replacing Rinne’s former glory, but I do believe he’s capable of lightening Rinne’s workload as a backup right now. With a couple years in that spot already where he’s been cannibalizing starts, I think he’s near ready to be a 2nd tier starter in the next 2 years.
The last time you graded these teams was before the 2015-16 season, and here you leave that grade at the end for comparison. In which case, it seems almost like cheating to mention Johansen in this analysis if you’re not going to include him as an addition, or Seth Jones as a departure. So either take the time to address the full turn-over between the current roster and the last graded roster, or don’t include anything about the previously graded roster.
This is a good point. I don’t know, it’s just how I’ve always done these things. But you’re not wrong
And the way you do it, in general, is fine. This write-up was great (though I’d give NSH an A-), and the information in it isn’t misleading, given the grading period you used. The only issue is that, if you’re comparing grades, you need to compare apples to apples.
In that sense, I wouldn’t change a thing about the format of these write-ups; I’d just change the period over which you evaluate the coming year’s grade. I think it’s worth reporting on the current roster as compared to the previously graded one, especially if you use the previous grade as an anchor for the current one.