Looking Ahead: It’s Time to Get Marleau in Your Lineup

Mike Schmidt

2016-12-02

Marleau and the Sharks have a great upcoming schedule.

All fantasy owners need help in the short term AND the long term. The Looking Ahead feature identifies one player to plug into lineups in the short term, a second to invest in for the long term, a third to bench for the coming week and a fourth who will struggle to meet expectations for some time. All players discussed are selected based on their team’s upcoming schedule. Without further ado…


The Immediate Fix (Grab this guy and use him for the next several days)

 

Radim Vrbata, RW, Arizona (Available in 90 percent of Yahoo leagues)Don’t call it a comeback, Radim Vrbata’s been here for years. Aside from last season’s underwhelming 27-point campaign with Vancouver, Vrbata has been a productive fantasy forward for the better part of the last decade. This season, one in which he returned to the Coyotes after two years with the Canucks, Vrbata has registered a respectable 15 points in 21 games played and put last year’s poor on-ice performance squarely behind him. He’s shooting percentage has rebounded after last season’s paltry .065 mark, he’s a fixture on Arizona’s power play right now, he’s seeing 17-plus minutes of playing time for the first time since his previous stint with the Coyotes. There’s a lot to like here for a short-term add, despite the fact that Vrbata is a player who just turned 35 years of age and made his NHL debut during this fantasy analyst’s senior year of high school (the 2001-02 campaign). Don’t discount Vrbata’s solid start because his value cratered a year ago. He’s a legit speculative add in any and all leagues — especially when Arizona’s schedule breaks right.

 

The Building Block (Buy now, sit back and enjoy the production)

 

Patrick Marleau, C/LW, San Jose (Available in 54 percent of Yahoo leagues) – Since we’re on the topic of accomplished NHL players who are ancient… here’s Patrick Marleau! The 37-year-old forward was a 30-goal scorer as recently as three years ago, but he’s shown some significant signs of slowing down since then. His point total, shots on goal total and total ice time per game has dropped every season since 2013-14.  So why is he someone to target? Because he’s still a pretty good player and he’s heating up as of late, having tallied three points in his last five contests. Also, this is a player who:

  • Hasn’t missed a single game since the 2008-09 campaign.
  • Is playing on the same line as Joe Thornton and Joe Pavelski.
  • Is a key member of a deep forward corps that is capable of doing some serious damage on the power play.
  • Is Patrick Marleau.

 

Don’t write him off after his sluggish start. Marleau is still capable of helping fantasy owners in leagues of all types and sizes. Give him a (long) look.

 

The Odd Man Out (His short-term value is cause for concern)

 

Bobby Ryan, RW, Ottawa (Owned in 53 percent of Yahoo leagues) –  For four straight seasons — from 2008-09 through 2011-12, Ryan totaled at least 31 goals per year. Then in his age-25 season — which marked his final campaign with Anaheim — he suddenly became a 20-goal scorer. That season also marked the first of four straight years in which the Duck-turned-Senator posted a shooting percentage under his career mark. This season, things have gotten worse for Ryan. He’s currently on pace for about 30 points and is seeing less ice per game than any year since his rookie season of 2007-08. He’s (probably) going to be more useful in the coming weeks and months, but it would be nice to see him see more opportunities to produce before he can really and truly be counted on as a fixture in fantasy lineups. Owners should actively avoid using Ryan for now, as his squad’s schedule is underwhelming in the short term. Also, he’s dealing with a lingering hand injury. There’s just not a ton to like here right now.

 

The Anchor (He’ll do nothing but disappoint, even over the long haul)

 

Andrei Vasilevskiy, G, Tampa Bay (Owned in 57 percent of Yahoo leagues) – Vasilevskiy’s inclusion in this portion of the article is not an indictment of his abilities as an NHL-caliber netminder, nor is it an indictment of what’s he’s accomplished between the pipes this year. It’s just that he’s not going to play enough to be all that useful in the vast majority of fantasy leagues this year. He’s made nine appearances between the pipes in 2016-17, or exactly as many as the following NHL netminders:

 

So… yeah… Vasilevskiy’s eye-popping .940 save percentage, his pedigree and the fact that he plays for a pretty talented Tampa Bay squad make him someone to hold onto, but unless he or fellow Lightning goaltender Ben Bishop gets traded (or Bishop gets injured), Vasilevskiy will be a frustrating guy to own moving forward.  Just keep that in mind.

 

Love ‘Em (These squads are sure to pay dividends in the coming days)

 

Edmonton – Between Sunday, Dec. 4 and Tuesday, Dec. 13, Connor McDavid and Co. play a whopping six games. Forget where they are being played and forget the matchups. That’s just a ton of hockey in a short amount of time.

 

Arizona – No, there aren’t all that many fantasy-relevant Coyotes. But those who are should produce for poolies in what’s shaping up to be a busy month of December. Between Saturday Dec. 3 and Friday, Dec 23, the squad will take to the ice at least once every other day.

 

San Jose – Just look at how often this (very good) Sharks squad will play this month.

 

Leave ‘Em (These squads will leave fantasy owners sorely disappointed in the short term)

 

Toronto – The Leafs’ schedule is pretty light to open December. Toronto plays on Saturday, Dec 3 (at Vancouver), then has three nights off. Then the Leafs host Minnesota and follow it up with two more nights off. That’s just not going to cut it for most fantasy owners.

 

Ottawa – Four of this squad’s next five games are on the road. Would this be a good time to mention the teams hosting the Sens during this time period are Pittsburgh, San Jose, Los Angeles and Anaheim? Yeah, that’s four teams with a wealth of veteran talent and experience. Few teams have it worse than Ottawa in the short term.

 

Tampa Bay – Between Saturday Dec. 3 and Wednesday, Dec. 14, the Lightning play just four times. No bueno.

 

Friday, December 2 Thursday, December 8

Best Bets

Nashville 4.30 – four games – three at home

Arizona 4.21 – four games – CBJx2, CHI and CGY

Florida 3.98 – four games – OTT, BOS, PHI and PIT

Calgary 3.97 – four games – MIN, ANA, DAL and ARI

Boston 3.91 – four games – BUF, FLA, WAS and COL

Steer Clear

Toronto 2.03 – two games – VAN and MIN

Los Angeles 2.05 – two games – MTL and CAR

San Jose 2.10 – two games – MTL and OTT

Columbus 2.40 – two games – ARIx2

Ottawa 2.66 – three games – two on road

Saturday, December 3 to Friday, December 9

Best Bets

Edmonton 4.64 – five games – ANA, MINx2, BUF and PHI

Chicago 4.46 – four games – three at home

Nashville 4.30 – four games – three at home

Washington 4.25 – four games – TBL, BUFx2 and BOS

Arizona 4.21 – four games – CBJx2, CHI and CGY

Steer Clear

San Jose 2.02 – two games – OTT and ANA

Toronto 2.03 – two games – VAN and MIN

Los Angeles 2.05 – two games – MTL and CAR

Montreal 2.61 – three games – two on road

Ottawa 2.66 – three games – two on road

Sunday, December 4 to Saturday, December 10

Best Bets

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Nashville 4.44 – four games – PHI, COL, DAL and ARI

Calgary 4.23 – four games – ANA, DAL, ARI and WPG

Florida 4.15 – four games – BOS, PHI, PIT and VAN

New York Islanders 4.09 – four games – three at home

Philadelphia 4.06 – four games – three at home

Steer Clear

Toronto 1.89 – two games – MIN and BOS

Colorado 2.66 – three games – all on road

Colorado 2.66 – three games – all on road

Buffalo 2.70 – three games – all on road

Vancouver 2.71 – three games – all on road

Monday, December 5 to Sunday, December 11

Best Bets

Washington 4.56 – four games – three at home

Philadelphia 4.15 – four games – three at home

Florida 4.15 – four games – BOS, PHI, PIT and VAN

Winnipeg 4.14 – four games – DET, NYR, CGY and EDM

Boston 4.02 – four games – three at home

Steer Clear

Carolina 2.47 – three games – all on road

Tampa Bay 2.15 – two games – VAN and PIT

Buffalo 2.70 – three games – WASx2 and EDM

Los Angeles 2.36 – two games – CAR and OTT

Montreal 3.01 – three games – STL, NJD and COL

Tuesday, December 6 to Monday, December 12

Best Bets

Philadelphia 4.15 – four games – three at home

Montreal 4.11 – four games – three at home

Edmonton 4.01 – four games – BUF, PHI, MIN and WPG

Winnipeg 4.14 – four games – DET, NYR, CGY and EDM

New Jersey 3.96 – four games – VAN, MTL, STL and NYR

Steer Clear

Buffalo 1.94 – two games – EDM and WAS

Columbus 2.00 – two games – DET and NYI

Tampa Bay 2.15 – two games – VAN and PIT

Los Angeles 2.36 – two games – CAR and OTT

Carolina 2.47 – three games – all on road

Wednesday, December 7 to Tuesday, December 13

Best Bets

Anaheim 4.41 – four games – three at home

Washington 4.36 – four games – BOS, BUF, VAN and NYI

San Jose 4.22 – four games – OTT, ANA, CAR and TOR

Edmonton 4.12 – four games – PHI, MIN, WPG and CBJ

Toronto 4.04 – four games – three at home

Steer Clear

Buffalo 1.68 – two games – WAS and LAK

Tampa Bay 2.15 – two games – VAN and PIT

Calgary 2.30 – two games – ARI and WPG

Ottawa 2.47 – three games – all on road

New Jersey 2.70 – three games – two on road

Thursday, December 8 to Wednesday, December 14

Best Bets

Philadelphia 4.25 – four games – EDM, DAL, DET and COL

Pittsburgh 4.17 – four games – FLA, TBL, ARI and BOS

Edmonton 4.12 – four games – PHI, MIN, WPG and CBJ

San Jose 4.10 – four games – ANA, CAR, TOR and OTT

Colorado 3.95 – four games – BOS, MTK, TOR and PHI

Steer Clear

Buffalo 1.68 – two games – WAS and LAK

Ottawa 2.57 – three games – two on road

New Jersey 2.70 – three games – two on road

New York Islanders 2.83 – three games – STL, CBJ and WAS

Carolina 2.92 – three games – two on road

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UPCOMING GAMES

Nov 05 - 19:11 CAR vs PHI
Nov 05 - 19:11 MTL vs CGY
Nov 05 - 19:11 BUF vs OTT
Nov 05 - 19:11 TOR vs BOS
Nov 05 - 19:11 NYI vs PIT
Nov 05 - 20:11 MIN vs L.A
Nov 05 - 20:11 STL vs T.B
Nov 05 - 20:11 WPG vs UTA
Nov 05 - 21:11 COL vs SEA
Nov 05 - 22:11 ANA vs VAN
Nov 05 - 22:11 S.J vs CBJ

Starting Goalies

Top Skater Views

  Players Team
CONNOR MCMICHAEL WSH
ALEX LAFERRIERE L.A
MARTIN NECAS CAR
PAVEL DOROFEYEV VGK
TIMOTHY LILJEGREN S.J

Top Goalie Profile Views

  Players Team
LUKAS DOSTAL ANA
FILIP GUSTAVSSON MIN
PYOTR KOCHETKOV CAR
JUSTUS ANNUNEN COL
FREDERIK ANDERSEN CAR

LINE COMBOS

  Frequency WSH Players
23.4 TOM WILSON CONNOR MCMICHAEL PIERRE-LUC DUBOIS
19.7 DYLAN STROME ALIAKSEI PROTAS ALEX OVECHKIN
19.1 TAYLOR RADDYSH BRANDON DUHAIME NIC DOWD

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