Top 200 Fantasy Prospect Forwards – March 2017

Dobber

2017-03-16

Here are the Top 200 prospect forwards to own in fantasy hockey – March edition

This month I did a full and thorough audit, as I do every four or five months. The list takes into account upside, likelihood, wait time, team depth, and organizational status. "Type" is offense, two-way, offensive/small, power forward. This month's graduates can be found at the bottom…

Don't forget: plus or minus 5.0 rating points are considered equal value and at that point becomes a matter of need, mood, or opinion.

Mar 10	Prospect	Team	type	Prospect Rating	Feb 10	Jan 10
1	Jake Guentzel	PIT	o	79.7	9	15
2	Anthony Mantha	DET	o	79.5	6	7
3	Dylan Strome	ARI	o	79.4	5	6
4	Jesse Puljujarvi	EDM	t	78.3	1	1
5	Clayton Keller	ARI	o	76.2	17	17
6	Pavel Buchnevich	NYR	o	72.1	10	26
7	Jimmy Vesey	NYR	o	71.9	7	3
8	Kyle Connor	WPG	o	71.0	8	8
9	Joel Eriksson Ek	MIN	o	70.6	14	12
10	Pavel Zacha	NJD	p	69.8	12	11
11	Mathew Barzal	NYI	o	69.5	13	10
12	Kevin Labanc	SJS	o	68.9	18	18
13	Jakub Vrana	WAS	o	68.2	16	16
14	Pierre-Luc Dubois	CBJ	t	68.0	24	13
15	Connor Brown	TOR	o	67.7	15	21
16	Oliver Bjorkstrand	CBJ	o	67.6	19	19
17	Colin White	OTT	o	67.4	20	20
18	Brendan Perlini	ARI	o	67.2	21	24
19	Anthony Beauvillier	NYI	o	66.9	23	22
20	Timo Meier	SJS	o	66.8	27	25
21	Andreas Athanasiou	DET	o	66.8	22	23
22	Kevin Fiala	NSH	o	65.6	26	27
23	Artturi Lehkonen	MON	o	65.6	25	28
24	Ivan Barbashev	STL	t	65.4	28	32
25	Alexander Nylander	BUF	o	65.1	29	29
26	Nick Schmaltz	CHI	o	65.0	35	37
27	Nikolay Goldobin	VAN	o	64.9	34	36
28	Brock Boeser	VAN	p	64.8	30	30
29	Tyson Jost	COL	o	64.8	32	33
30	Josh Ho-Sang	NYI	o	62.5	49	53
31	Logan Brown	OTT	o	61.0	51	59
32	Jack Roslovic	WPG	t	60.7	39	34
33	Jayce Hawryluk	FLA	o	60.7	38	43
34	Kirill Kaprizov	MIN	os	60.5	87	113
35	Daniel Sprong	PIT	o	60.2	54	57
36	Drake Caggiula	EDM	os	60.0	44	47
37	Denis Malgin	FLA	os	59.9	45	40
38	Nicolas Petan	WPG	os	59.8	42	45
39	Lawson Crouse	ARI	p	59.6	33	35
40	Mark Jankowski	CGY	p	59.5	46	41
41	Sven Andrighetto	COL	os	59.4	40	39
42	Vladislav Kamenev	NSH	t	59.4	47	50
43	Tage Thompson	STL	o	59.4	160	161
44	Ryan Hartman	CHI	t	58.8	53	80
45	Danton Heinen	BOS	o	58.1	37	42
46	Charles Hudon	MON	o	58.0	43	46
47	Jason Dickinson	DAL	t	57.7	41	44
48	Christian Fischer	ARI	p	57.7	61	131
49	Hudson Fasching	BUF	p	57.7	55	51
50	Sonny Milano	CBJ	o	57.6	57	60
51	Adrian Kempe	LAK	o	57.4	58	52
52	Alex DeBrincat	CHI	os	57.3	59	55
53	J.T. Compher	COL	t	57.3	60	56
54	Kasperi Kapanen	TOR	o	57.2	70	71
55	Michael McLeod	NJD	t	56.7	67	67
56	Luke Kunin	MIN	o	56.6	91	93
57	Tyler Motte	CHI	os	56.6	52	48
58	Jakob Forsbacka Karlsson	BOS	o	56.4	72	73
59	Nikita Scherbak	MON	o	56.1	63	64
60	Evgeny Svechnikov	DET	o	56.0	65	66
61	Austin Czarnik	BOS	os	55.4	68	69
62	Alex Tuch	MIN	p	55.1	48	49
63	Curtis Lazar	CGY	o	55.0	64	61
64	Alan Quine	NYI	o	54.9	69	70
65	Jean-Christophe Beaudin	COL	o	54.6	71	72
66	Brendan Leipsic	TOR	o	54.3	73	76
67	Denis Gurianov	DAL	o	54.1	106	105
68	Tyler Bertuzzi	DET	p	54.1	75	78
69	Daniel O'Regan	SJS	t	54.1	140	141
70	Sam Steel	ANA	o	53.4	143	145
71	Anton Rodin	VAN	o	53.4	78	74
72	Nick Merkley	ARI	o	53.4	79	84
73	Hunter Shinkaruk	CGY	o	53.0	76	75
74	Tobias Lindberg	TOR	o	52.4	82	81
75	Julien Gauthier	CAR	o	52.3	150	151
76	Michael McCarron	MON	p	52.3	62	65
77	Michael Dal Colle	NYI	o	52.3	66	63
78	Nicolas Roy	CAR	p	52.0	97	97
79	Henrik Borgstrom	FLA	t	52.0	207	210
80	Francis Perron	OTT	o	51.9	101	89
81	Kenny Agostino	STL	o	51.6	83	287
82	Taylor Raddysh	TBL	o	51.6	111	110
83	Riley Barber	WAS	t	51.3	81	85
84	Teemu Pulkkinen	MIN	o	50.9	90	82
85	Rocco Grimaldi	COL	os	50.7	86	90
86	Jake Virtanen	VAN	p	50.7	80	83
87	Nikita Gusev	TBL	os	50.7	99	137
88	Seth Griffith	TOR	o	50.6	96	96
89	Cliff Pu	BUF	o	50.5	100	118
90	Nikita Soshnikov	TOR	o	50.4	103	102
91	Max Jones	ANA	p	50.3	93	94
92	Maxim Letunov	SJS	o	50.0	94	95
93	Anders Bjork	BOS	t	49.9	108	107
94	Daniel Carr	MON	o	49.5	89	92
95	Jeremy Bracco	TOR	o	49.5	127	128
96	Brock McGinn	CAR	p	49.3	107	109
97	Kevin Roy	ANA	o	49.3	104	103
98	Martin Reway	MON	o	49.1	92	87
99	AJ Greer	COL	p	48.9	128	129
100	Justin Bailey	BUF	o	48.9	154	155
101	Matt Puempel	NYR	o	48.8	110	106
102	German Rubtsov	PHI	t	48.7	120	121
103	Laurent Dauphin	ARI	o	48.6	121	120
104	Ty Rattie	STL	o	48.5	114	99
105	Rasmus Asplund	BUF	o	48.4	132	134
106	Reid Boucher	VAN	o	48.3	109	100
107	Andrew Mangiapane	CGY	o	48.3	98	98
108	Jordan Greenway	MIN	p	48.3	247	247
109	Alexander Khokhlachev	BOS	o	48.2	124	125
110	Vince Hinostroza	CHI	os	48.1	125	126
111	Cole Ully	DAL	o	48.1	118	117
112	Anthony Cirelli	TBL	o	48.0	191	193
113	Filip Chlapik	OTT	o	48.0	234	235
114	Valentin Zykov	CAR	o	47.9	102	101
115	John Quenneville	NJD	t	47.9	116	115
116	Oskar Lindblom	PHI	t	47.9	129	130
117	Adam Mascherin	FLA	os	47.8	130	191
118	Zach Sanford	STL	o	47.7	84	62
119	Nicholas Baptiste	BUF	o	47.5	155	156
120	Joseph Blandisi	NJD	o	47.4	163	152
121	Ryan Gropp	NYR	p	47.4	147	148
122	Michael Sgarbossa	FLA	o	47.3	135	183
123	Josh Leivo	TOR	p	47.2	137	132
124	Nick Paul	OTT	p	47.1	95	88
125	Riley Tufte	DAL	p	47.0	88	91
126	Dmytro Timashov	TOR	o	47.0	126	127
127	Adam Gaudette	VAN	o	47.0	352	353
128	Nick Sorensen	ANA	o	46.8	115	114
129	Grant Besse	ANA	o	46.7	138	138
130	Rourke Chartier	SJS	o	46.6	131	133
131	Carl Grundstrom	TOR	o	46.6	192	194
132	Andrew Poturalski	CAR	o	46.6	144	146
133	Jonny Brodzinski	LAK	o	46.5	181	184
134	John Hayden	CHI	p	46.4	301	302
135	Nicklas Jensen	NYR	p	46.4	146	147
136	Deven Sideroff	ANA	o	46.4	123	123
137	Kalle Kossila	ANA	os	46.1	151	166
138	Oskar Sundqvist	PIT	t	46.1	158	159
139	Dylan Sikura	CHI	o	46.0	186	245
140	Vitali Abramov	CBJ	os	46.0	337	338
141	Adam Erne	TBL	p	46.0	105	104
142	Kerby Rychel	TOR	p	45.9	145	108
143	Anton Slepyshev	EDM	o	45.8	152	153
144	Ryan MacInnis	ARI	t	45.8	113	112
145	Julius Nattinen	ANA	o	45.8	122	122
146	Daniel Zaar	CBJ	o	45.8	156	157
147	Morgan Klimchuk	CGY	t	45.6	119	119
148	Mitchell Stephens	TBL	t	45.5	141	143
149	Adam Brooks	TOR	o	45.5	274	274
150	Travis Boyd	WAS	o	45.5	161	162
151	Peter Cehlarik	BOS	o	45.5	182	203
152	Jake DeBrusk	BOS	o	45.3	165	165
153	Dominik Simon	PIT	o	45.2	166	168
154	Pontus Åberg	NSH	t	45.2	167	169
155	Radel Fazleyev	PHI	o	45.0	134	136
156	Aleksi Saarela	CAR	o	45.0	172	174
157	Emile Poirier	CGY	o	44.8	157	158
158	Martins Dzierkals	TOR	o	44.8	149	150
159	Matej Stransky	DAL	o	44.8	174	176
160	Zach Senyshyn	BOS	o	44.8	175	177
161	Tyler Pitlick	EDM	o	44.6	177	180
162	Jordan Weal	PHI	os	44.6	244	140
163	Jonathan Dahlen	VAN	o	44.5	316	317
164	Sergey Tolchinsky	CAR	os	44.4	178	178
165	Remi Elie	DAL	p	44.4	179	181
166	Warren Foegele	CAR	o	44.4	164	164
167	Axel Holmstrom	DET	o	44.3	159	160
168	Cole Cassels	VAN	o	44.3	168	167
169	Kyle Rau	FLA	os	44.1	171	173
170	Adam Helewka	SJS	t	44.0	193	195
171	Mathieu Joseph	TBL	t	44.0	323	324
172	Justin Auger	LAK	p	44.0	310	311
173	Yakov Trenin	NSH	o	44.0	219	222
174	Martin Frk	DET	o	43.9	185	188
175	Gemel Smith	DAL	o	43.7	176	179
176	Alexandre Grenier	VAN	p	43.7	187	189
177	William Carrier	BUF	t	43.7	205	208
178	Conor Garland	ARI	os	43.6	184	187
179	Alexander Kerfoot	NJD	os	43.6	189	190
180	Mike Amadio	LAK	o	43.5	216	219
181	Brett Howden	TBL	t	43.5	190	192
182	Ryan Fitzgerald	BOS	o	43.5	180	182
183	Michael Mersch	LAK	o	43.4	273	273
184	Anthony Richard	NSH	o	43.4	153	154
185	Miles Wood	NJD	o	43.4	194	196
186	Maxim Shalunov	CHI	o	43.2	195	NR
187	Michael Spacek	WPG	o	43.1	169	171
188	Giorgio Estephan	BUF	o	43.1	162	163
189	Vaclav Karabacek	BUF	t	43.1	117	116
190	Andreas Johnson	TOR	o	43.1	170	172
191	Blake Pietila	NJD	o	43.1	224	225
192	Jordan Kyrou	STL	o	43.0	196	197
193	Brandon Hagel	BUF	o	43.0	NR	NR
194	Mario Lucia	MIN	o	43.0	198	198
195	Tyler Benson	EDM	o	43.0	336	337
196	Janne Kuokkanen	CAR	o	43.0	261	261
197	Brendan Lemieux	WPG	p	42.8	148	149
198	Scott Kosmachuk	WPG	t	42.7	212	215
199	Carter Verhaeghe	NYI	o	42.6	203	206
200	Radovan Bondra	CHI	o	42.6	230	231

Graduating this month…

Brendan Gaunce
Christian Dvorak
Dennis Rasmussen
Frank Vatrano
Jayson Megna
Joel Armia
Lukas Sedlak
Marko Dano
Michael Chaput
Nick Cousins
Scott Wilson
Travis Konecny
Brayden Point
Brett Ritchie
Mikko Rantanen
Devin Shore

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Striker 2017-03-16 at 08:22Log in to Reply

What’s the criteria for graduation? It appears to be subjective or arbitrary.
- Dobber 2017-03-16 at 09:21Log in to Reply
  
  Yeah pretty much. If you want something official, it’s “when Dobber becomes 100% confident that he’s not going to be returned to the minors – not 99.9%, 100%” And it doesn’t hurt to leave them there for another month if I’m only 99.99999%
  - Striker 2017-03-16 at 10:53Log in to Reply
    
    Sorry I like standards. My favorite is the Hockey News Future watch. The rate all players under 21 or the Hockey Writers who either grade pure prospects or teams players 25 & under. No perfect standard but you have to have something. Ha-ha!
    
    As always love the data & insight juts far more structured.
    - Dobber 2017-03-16 at 11:20Log in to Reply
      
      I’m the opposite. Structure ruins it. All rules need to be flexible. Been doing this for 10 years and I”m really happy with it.
      Appreciate the kind words
      - Striker 2017-03-16 at 12:45
        
        I live by the 80/20 rule. It applies to almost everything in life. 80% follows a norm or pattern, the other 20% anything can happen.
        
        I’m 30+ years in. Started my 1st draft pool league in 1980-81, spun off our 1st H2H fantasy league in 91. No internet then, ran thru the Province; published stats in Tuesdays addition, & processed all stats manually with excel. We have 2 owners still participating that were their in 1980, the majority of the remainder mid to late 90’s.
      - Dobber 2017-03-16 at 12:51
        
        That’s great. 27 years for me in my one keeper. Began when I was 15. Pen and paper every Tuesday. Read everything I could get my hands on.
        Been doing the prospects list publicly for 10 years. Been living by the 100/0 rule – 100% what I want to do and 0% what others want me to do ;) haha
      - Striker 2017-03-16 at 13:21
        
        You do good work. I checked in periodically going back about 7 years. Started reading the ramblings religiously 3 maybe 4 years ago just started weighing in over the last year maybe 2.
      - Dobber 2017-03-16 at 14:38
        
        Thanks! Wish you chimed in earlier, it’s been great
      - Striker 2017-03-16 at 16:27
        
        A couple of total hockey dweebs. I have been for as long as I can remember now. Late teens. It’s not a hockey pool, fantasy league, box pool what have you, it’s a hobby that has kind of manifested into numerous business opportunities. 1 that returns a significant return.
chimp82x 2017-03-16 at 11:01Log in to Reply

I hate seeing Vesey above Connor, even if it’s essentially a wash. Yes, still bitter about last year’s Hobey snub. FWIW, Connor has 30P in his last 30 AHL games so a call-up should be coming. Not sure where he slots in though.

That should bump him past that bum Vesey….
seb 2017-03-16 at 16:40Log in to Reply

Hey Dobber can you give some perspective on the rating? What would an 80 rating be considered as? Love your stuff!
- Dobber 2017-03-17 at 11:36Log in to Reply
  
  Just a result of my calculation. The three at 79 or 80 here:
  Guentzel is 95% certain of being an NHLer with an 80-point ceiling, zero wait time, and holds good value on the regular fantasy list.
  Mantha is 90%, 77-point ceiling, zero wait time, holds great value on the regular list because he has so many points already.
  Strome is 90% certain, 90-point ceiling, but two years wait time (or one more season, that is) and has good value on the regular fantasy list (similar to Guentzel).
  The regular fantasy list factors in 3YP, depth chart and injury proneness as well as the other stuff.
  
  On the regular list next month, Keller and Guentzel will move up, which will cause their numbers on this list to move up next month.
  - seb 2017-03-18 at 12:50Log in to Reply
    
    Hey thanks a lot and not just for the response but the heads up on Guentzel he has been a fantastic pick up