Looking Ahead: Buy Barbashev and the Blues
Adam Daly-Frey
2017-03-24
All fantasy owners need help in the short term AND the long term. The Looking Ahead feature identifies one player to plug into lineups in the short term, a second to invest in for the long term, a third to bench for the coming week, and a fourth who will struggle to meet expectations for some time. All players discussed are selected based on their upcoming schedule.
Having just bought a house and struggling to move this week, this made for a slightly condensed version of Looking Ahead. Good luck for those of you who made it to round two of the playoffs, and back at it again next Friday!
The Immediate Fix (Grab this guy and use him for the next several days)
Ivan Barbashev, C, St. Louis (Available in 99 percent of Yahoo! Leagues) – Coming off another game with an assist, Barbashev now has four points (1G-3A) in his last five games, playing with former fantasy greats Nail Yakupov and Magnus Paarjarvi. Barbashev on paper doesn’t look like much – averaging under 1SOG/game, only six points on the year, and no power play time – but has the scoring potential and opportunity to put points up down the stretch. The young Russian put up 88G-137A in 173 games in the Q, and has a tremendous wrist shot in the same vein as his teammate Vladimir Tarasenko. With the injury to Paul Stastny being the week-to-week variety, Barbashev should see a small uptick in TOI and have a better opportunity to show Mike Yeo what he’s capable of.
The Building Block (Buy now, sit back and enjoy the production)
Tyler Toffoli, C, Los Angeles (Available in 42 percent of Yahoo! Leagues) – With the line of Tanner Pearson – Jeff Carter – Toffoli fully healthy and reunited, the fact that Toffoli is still available in 42% of Yahoo leagues is disheartening; all Toffoli has done in the month of March (10 games) is put up 2G-5A, average 1BLK, and take 2.3SOG/game. Toffoli’s ice time has been a little up and down, peaking at 19:22 at the start of the month against Toronto, and dipping as low as 11:42 against Washington. That’ll be something to keep an eye on, but with the Kings all but out of the playoffs, expect Toffoli to see more time to let summer start early on the more veteran players.
The Odd Man Out (His short term value is cause for concern)
Ryan O’Reilly, C, Buffalo (Owned in 81 percent of Yahoo! Leagues) – The suspension to Rasmus Ristolainen will have a large impact on the successful Buffalo power play over the next three games, which will be a large hit to the offensive production coming from former Masterton-nominee Ryan O’Reilly. Although ROR has six points in his last 10 games and pushed over 20 minutes of ice time in all but one, three of those six came on the power play, and two of them came directly from Ristolainen assists.
Love ‘Em (These squads are sure to pay dividends in the coming days)
St. Louis – The Blues find themselves on the “Love ‘Em” list for yet another week, as they’re still approaching the meat of their easy schedule – after four straight victories, scoring three or more in all four, the Bluenotes get to face the Coyotes and Avalanche yet again this week. Matching up twice against Arizona means a bonanza for St. Louis owners in their h2h playoffs, as scoring has been coming – and will continue to come – from all four lines.
Anaheim – Anaheim doesn’t have the nicest ending to their regular season, heading into a Western Canada road trip that also has them playing Winnipeg twice (once at home) and Calgary twice (once at home). It’s those late-year matchups against a failing Jets team – especially on the penalty kill – as well as Vancouver and Calgary that will help Anaheim showcase their offensive production as they gear up for the playoffs.
Los Angeles – Another Western Conference in this section, as the Western Conference has the luck of housing both the Coyotes and Avs. LA features not because they get to play Colorado however – no such luck for the Kopitar-led Corsi Gods – but much like Anaheim, the Kings will match up against some very poor Western Canadian teams AS WELL AS the Coyotes. Play Kings with confidence!
Leave ‘Em (These squads will leave fantasy owners sorely disappointed in the short term)
Buffalo– Jake Guentzel has a large part to play in ignoring Buffalo skaters in the short term, skating out of his blue line with his head turned and getting Rasmus Ristolainen a three-game suspension. (That was a joke). After Rasmus got dinged with his suspension and the current injuries to 50% of the Sabres’ D corps, Buffalo will be in tight during their next five games. Expect to see a steep PP decline with Risto running the point, which is a shame because the Sabres get to play against the Maple Leafs twice in that period.
Winnipeg – In the Jets’ next six games, they have to play three above-average defensive teams in Anaheim, Ottawa, and St. Louis, and won’t have cakewalks against Vancouver or New Jersey.
Friday March 24th to Thursday March 30th |
Best Bets |
ANA 4.4425 – Four games – Away VAN WPG- Home WPG NYR |
NYI 4.0425 – Four games – Away PIT PHI- Home BOS NSH |
MIN 4.0375 – Four games – Away DET – Home VAN WSH OTT |
DET 3.985 – Four games – Away CAR TB- Home TB MIN |
SJS 3.9425 – Away DAL NSH EDM- Home NYR |
Steer Clear |
NJ 2.415 – Away – Home CAR DAL |
NYR 2.5175 – Away LAK ANA SJS – Home |
OTT 2.66 – Away MTL PHI MIN- Home |
COL 2.835 – Away EDM CGY – Home WSH |
CHI 2.85 – Away FLA TB PIT – Home |
Saturday March 25th to Friday March 31st |
Best Bets |
STL 4.7475 – Four games – Away ARI COL – Home CGY ARI |
CBJ 4.31 – Four games – Away CAR CHI – Home PHI BUF |
WSH 4.3 – Four games – Away MIN COL ARI- Home ARI |
NYI 4.2425 – Four games – Away PHI – Home BOS NSH NJ |
CGY 4.09 – Four games – Away STL – Home COL LAK SJS |
Steer Clear |
TB 2.1525 – Away – Home CHI DET |
WPG 2.1525 – Away – Home VAN ANA |
OTT 2.66 – Away MTL PHI MIN – Home |
DAL 2.755 – Away NJ MTL BOS – Home |
DET 2.8825 – Away CAR TB – Home MIN |
Sunday March 26th to Saturday April 1st |
Best Bets |
ANA 4.085 – Four games – Away VAN WPG EDM- Home NYR |
PHI 4.0525 – Four games – Away PIT – Home OTT NYI NJ |
DET 3.9325 – Four games – Away CAR TB – Home MIN TOR |
DAL 3.8 – Four games – Away NJ MTL BOS CAR |
NSH 3.79 – Four games – Away NYI BOS – Home TOR MIN |
Steer Clear |
BUF 1.8575 – Away CBJ – Home FLA |
NYR 2.7075 – Away ANA SJS – Home PIT |
EDM 2.7825 – Away – Home LAK SJS ANA |
CHI 2.7925 – Away TB PIT – Home CBJ |
OTT 2.9925 – Away PHI MIN WPG- Home
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Monday March 27th to Sunday April 2nd |
Best Bets |
NSH 4.835 – Five games – Away NYI BOS STL- Home TOR MIN |
STL 4.5375 – Four games – Away ARI COL – Home ARI NSH |
TB 4.305 – Four games – Home CHI DET MTL DAL |
LAK 4.3 – Four games – Away EDM CGY VAN – Home ARI |
NYI 4.2375 – Four games – Away PHI BUF- Home NSH NJ |
Steer Clear |
EDM 2.7825 – Away – Home LAK SJS ANA |
WPG 1.995 – Away – Home ANA OTT |
VAN 2.7825 – Away – Home ANA LAK SJS |
NJ 2.0425 – Away NYI PHI – Home |
BUF 2.9075 – Away CBJ – Home FLA NYI |
Tuesday March 28th to Monday April 3rd |
Best Bets |
LAK 4.3 – Four games – Away EDM CGY VAN – Home ARI |
CAR 4.21 – Four games – Away PIT – Home DET CBJ DAL |
BOS 4.21 – Four games – Away CHI – Home NSH DAL FLA |
MTL 4.2575 – Four games – Away TB FLA- Home DAL FLA |
ANA 4.18 – Four games – Away VAN WPG EDM CGY |
Steer Clear |
WPG 1.995 – Away – Home ANA OTT |
NJ 2.0425 – Away NYI PHI – Home |
COL 2.755 – Away MIN – Home WSH STL |
CGY 2.7825 – Away – Home LAK SJS ANA |
EDM 2.7825 – Away – Home LAK SJS ANA |
Wednesday March 29th to Tuesday April 4th |
Best Bets |
STL 4.5375 – Four games – Away ARI COL – Home NSH WPG |
LAK 4.395 – Four games – Away CGY VAN – Home ARI EDM |
ANA 4.3425 – Four games – Away WPG EDM CGY – Home CGY |
MIN 4.315 – Four games – Away NSH – Home OTT COL CAR |
BOS 4.315 – Four games – Away CHI – Home DAL FLA TB |
Steer Clear |
BUF 2.1 – Away – Home NYI TOR |
NYR 2.205 – Away – Home PIT PHI |
VAN 2.5925 – Away SJS- Home LAK SJS |
FLA 2.65 – Away MTL BOS – Home MTL |
EDM 2.6975 – Away LAK- Home SJS ANA |
Thursday March 30th to Wednesday April 5th |
Best Bets |
ANA 4.3425 – Four games – Away WPG EDM CGY – Home CGY |
MIN 4.315 – Four games – Away NSH – Home OTT COL CAR |
BOS 4.315 – Four games – Away CHI – Home DAL FLA TB |
TB 4.2575 – Four games – Away BOS – Home DET MTL DAL |
DAL 4.2525 – Four games – Away BOS CAR TB – Home ARI |
Steer Clear |
VAN 2.5925 – Away SJS – Home LAK SJS |
FLA 2.65 – Away MTL BOS – Home MTL |
EDM 2.6975 – Away LAK – Home SJS ANA |
ARI 2.7875 – Away LAK DAL – Home WSH |
CGY 2.7925 – Away ANA – Home SJS ANA |
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hey man good read but a little confused as to why you’re saying it’s too bad the sabres dont have risto playing the leafs, the leafs seem to have a top ten pk. Also why wouldn’t nj and the canucks be cakewalks for the jets, both teams give up close to three goals a game and the jets are scoring almost three a game?
I see that Carolina has another five-game week next week (Mon Mar 27 – Sun Apr 2), their second in three weeks. The back-to-back games against Detroit on Monday and Tuesday seem odd, as they are both in Carolina. Is one of those the result of a cancelled game earlier in the season?