Ramblings: Rounding up Monday’s happenings (June 27)
Neil Parker
2017-06-27
It was a busy Monday in the NHL. Here's what stood out …
Mike Condon is an interesting free agent. He's a clear backup and of 37 goalies with at least 3,000 minutes at five-on-five the past two seasons, his .917 save percentage ranks tied for 36th. He posted a .920 mark this past season, though, and he's apparently garnering a lot of interest.
In the right setting, he's capable of posting respectable fantasy numbers over 25 starts. He's unlikely to demand a huge salary, so there is potential for a contender to ink him as its No. 2. The Oilers, Kings, Rangers and Flyers are all potential landing spots where Condon could move the needle.
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My understanding is that if Jordan Weal had played more NHL games this season he would have been a restricted free agent instead of an unrestricted one. If that's the case, it's a major slip up. I recently discussed Weal here, and he's also a popular target leading into July 1. The Canucks would be a good fit for him to slide right into a top-six gig and produce. Although, suiting up for a lottery team obviously isn't ideal.
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Patrick Sharp rumors about returning to Chicago seem fitting, and especially with Hossa's status. At this stage of his career, Sharp offers little fantasy upside, and he's probably not even a top-six option for most teams, though.
The 35-year-old veteran posted an underwhelming 1.59 points per 60 minutes at five-on-five through the past three seasons with just 44 goals over 192 games. Perhaps, getting the band back together would help Sharp, and he would likely be extended tenure in a top-six gig because of past production. But it's a tough sell for me.
Allowing someone else to buy into the potential of a rebound showing in an age-36 season is advised.
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Pierre-Luc Dubois has an interesting summer ahead. The Blue Jackets are in win-now mode, and Dubois isn't eligible to play in the AHL. He'll need to make the roster and stick or return to the QMJHL. After posting 22 points through 19 playoff games this spring, there probably isn't a lot left to prove at that level, and he owns the size to play a bottom-six role and hold his own.
Of course, the Blue Jackets have a deep offensive attack, and Dubois could earn the third-line center gig and face soft even-strength matchups. Brandon Dubinsky projects to continue lining up opposite the opponent's best players, and Alexander Wennberg should receive plenty of attention from opposing defenses.
There is a decent chance that Dubois has a solid rookie campaign, albeit likely not a relevant fantasy showing for most settings.
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General manager Doug Armstrong said that Oskar Sundqvist is going to begin the season with the Blues. With the ability to play all three forward positions and excellent defensive acumen, Sundqvist is probably eyeing a third- or fourth-line role. He owns modest offensive upside, which he showed by posting a respectable 46 points through 63 AHL games last year.
It's unlikely Sundqvist tilts the fantasy needle often this season, but there could be stretches of relevance.
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Tampa Bay re-signed Yanni Gourde to a two-year, one-way contract worth $1 million per season. The biggest takeaway is that it is a one-way pact, so the 25-year-old forward is going to be playing his home games at Amalie Arena, and he will probably even be extended an opportunity to have an offensive role.
Take a quick look at the Tampa Bay depth chart. It isn't as stacked as you might think, and Gourde is definitely a talent to keep an eye on. He could have fleeting stretches of serviceable fantasy results at various points throughout the year. Gourde is coming off a solid AHL campaign with 22 goals and 48 points through 56 games, after all.
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Edmonton re-upped Zack Kassian to a three-year, $1.95 million per season contract Monday. At this stage of his career, there are no surprises with Kassian. He hasn't received power-play time since joining Edmonton and has posted just 10 goals and 32 points through 115 games.
Still, there are settings where his penalty minutes and hits move the needle. There's also the potential that he finds his way onto a line with Connor McDavid and/or Leon Draisaitl. So, while Kassian is off the fantasy radar in most settings, he's worth keeping tabs on because there is some offensive potential if given the right opportunity.
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Following a respectable first season in the league, Esa Lindell re-signed a two-year, $2.2 million per season contract with Dallas. He finished the season strong and should play a prominent role again in 2017-18.
The Stars will likely need to lean on Lindell again in offensive situations, but it probably won't include skating with the No. 1 power-play unit. He'll have to do most of his damage at even strength, and expecting a significant improvement on his two power-play assists from last season will likely prove ill-advised.
He's an endgame option in deeper setups, though. And he also could thrive if John Klingberg were ever injured.
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Tired/Rested games for the upcoming 2017-2018 season. pic.twitter.com/yit03RGYxs
— Micah Blake McCurdy (@IneffectiveMath) June 23, 2017
Pairing this with the upcoming schedule analysis from the Dobber Fantasy Guide should prove helpful.
How significant the impact is of playing back-to-back games, or in this case, a tired team playing a rested team is still up in the air. It's the cramped schedule spots that tend to be more disadvantageous, for example when a team is playing its fifth road game in eight nights.
Still, this is worth filing in the more-you-know folder.
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I'm told UFA goaltender Brian Elliott has been making tentative accommodation plans for Winnipeg. He's on the #nhljets radar.
— Rick Ralph (@RickRalphTSN) June 26, 2017
A Brian Elliott–Connor Hellebuyck tandem seems like a solid fit. Elliott is capable of stringing together amazing stretches but always seems to fall apart or get injured. Additionally, the veteran appears best suited to being a 40-game starter, or at least that's the role he's played himself into.
Hellebuyck, on the other hand, could use a little insulation. He has all the talent and upside, but game-to-game consistency has been a shortcoming, and the 23-year-old netminder is still allowing too many weak goals.
Both netminders could prove to be excellent values on draft day and pair to be a Frankenstein No. 2 goalie. Winnipeg could be this season's Columbus, as the Jets have the pieces to skyrocket back up the standings and return to the playoffs.
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Here are the details of Antti Niemi's buyout.
Niemi's buyout is two thirds of remaining $4.5 million. Cost is $3.0 million spread out over two seasons or $1.5 million cap hit for 2 years
— Mike Heika (@MikeHeika) June 26, 2017
I'm in on Niemi in the right situation, but it also wouldn't be shocking if he didn't play again in the NHL.
Where are his potential landing spots?
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Thanks for checking in, Dobberheads.
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No Methot-to-Dallas analysis? Seems to me to be important, especially with the Lindell news. Dallas’ D looks something like this now:
Klingberg-Methot
Lindell-Johns
Hamhuis-Oleksiak
Honka
Methot was an ace sidekick to Karlsson; no reason to think he can’t be the same to Karlsson-lite (Dobber’s comparison, not mine). If he sticks there, it could open up the ice for Klingberg to attack like a madman and a return to 60+ points.
That said, Methot’s game is very simple, meaning he’ll fit with anyone and maintain good chemistry. I could see him getting time with everyone while Hitch looks for the best balance among his D corps.
Barring a trade, it also means one of Honka or Oleksiak are on the outside looking in. Dallas only have 3 RD right now (Klingberg, Johns, Pateryn), so someone is playing on their off-side, assuming Hitch doesn’t try to shoehorn Pateryn into the bottom pairing. For now I’ll guess Oleksiak gets the 6th spot, but I’m only saying that since Honka is still waiver-exempt. Honka’s clearly the superior player, but my feeling is he’d be an injury call-up rather than breaking camp with the team, unless he melts some faces in the preseason.