Get On Board With Gourde
Adam Daly-Frey
2017-11-03
All fantasy owners need help in the short term AND the long term. The Looking Ahead feature identifies one player to plug into lineups in the short term, a second to invest in for the long term, a third to bench for the coming week, and a fourth who will struggle to meet expectations for some time. All players discussed are selected based on their upcoming schedule. Stats in this article updated through November 1st
The Immediate Fix (Grab this guy and use him for the next several days)
Chris DiDomenico, W, Ottawa (Available in 99 percent of Yahoo! Leagues) – Since joining Mike Hoffman and JG Pageau on Ottawa’s 2nd/3rd-tweener line on the 26th (vs. Philadelphia), DiDomenico has seen his ice time increase to the point where he’s a viable play – from five minutes in his first appearance to 17 and 14 minutes in his last two games. In the three games with Hoffman and Pageau, the 28-year old rookie has put two goals in to go along with three assists, with four shots and a +1. DiDomenico is a former WJC player for Canada who lit up the Q (1.24PPG) and had a lot of success in the top Swiss leagues (22G-54A in 94 games), so long as he can stay on his current line he’ll have value.
The Building Block (Buy now, sit back and enjoy the production)
Yanni Gourde, W, Tampa Bay Lightning (Available in 99 percent of Yahoo! Leagues) – It was easy to assume early on that at some point, Tampa Bay’s second line would either be broken up or stop scoring at an unsustainable rate. Given that that still hasn’t happened, it’s time to look at picking up the forgotten third man on that line. Gourde won’t set the world on fire, but is a tremendous depth add in cap leagues – an AAV of only $1,000,000 – and offers half-decent peripheral stats as well. He should average a hit and block every other game, and is used as the secondary face-off man on his line for leagues that track that. He sees time on the 2nd power play unit (1 PPP to date), is seeing close to 17 minutes a game, and has already put up 2G-5A with 24SOG. His on-ice S% will come down from its current 13% eventually, but Gourde also scored well in both the Q and AHL and is currently shooting 5% individually.
The Odd Man Out (His short term value is cause for concern)
Tyler Johnson, C, Tampa Bay (Owned in 34 percent of Yahoo! Leagues) – Tampa Bay only has four games during this next slate of games, and Johnson’s spot on this team has never looked more tenuous; he’s averaging almost three full minutes less than he saw last year, is relegated to the third line C role, and has only three even strength points in 13 games. He’s slotted beside Chris Kunitz and Ryan Callahan – not exactly Nikita Kucherov and Ondrej Palat – and gets the scraps on the second power play unit.
The Anchors (They’ll do nothing but disappoint even over the long haul)
Nail Yakupov, W, Colorado (Owned in 7 percent of Yahoo! Leagues) – With a light schedule upcoming, here are some numbers to consider from Yakupov’s previous five games: zero points, seven shots on goal, below 15 minutes of ice time four times – including two games of less than nine minutes. His shooting percentage this year is 4% above his career number, he doesn’t collect peripheral stats, and his average ice time on the year is less than at any other point of his career even though he’s ostensibly on the second line. He needs to be shipped away as soon as possible to collect any value off his hot start, before he loses his spot beside Matt Duchene.
One note here: Yakupov is only 7% owned on Yahoo!, but this should apply to those in deeper leagues or cap leagues.
Love ‘Em (These squads are sure to pay dividends in the coming days)
Edmonton – Although the Oilers are struggling like nobody’s business with only 24 goals in 11 games, their upcoming schedule is too good to ignore; Edmonton has seven games between the 3rd and 15th, against some teams not known for their defensive acumen in both New York teams as well as the Devils. Someone on this team has to heat up at some point soon if they have a hope this season, and this upcoming slate would be the time to do it.
Montreal – The Habs’ underlying numbers show a completely different team than the one that’s shown up the scoresheet, thanks to poor team shooting % and porous goaltending from Carey Price. In their last four games leading up to last night’s game against the Wild, Montreal finally put goals together (18 in four GP although they got shutout once). With a schedule that sees six games, four at home, there’s no better time to unleash the Habs or even find some on the waiver wire.
New Jersey – Taylor Hall and company get to face the Oilers twice during this next stretch – two of their six games during this period – along with some lax defenses in Chicago and Florida. More importantly, they’ve got a total of FIVE games against bottom-8 penalty killing teams; the Devils currently sit as the fifth-best power play group, scoring 11 times in 41 attempts (26.83%) and should be able to feast on soft opponents. Jesper Bratt owners should rejoice, as his 2nd line minutes are augmented with time on that dynamite first PP unit.
Leave ‘Em (These squads will leave fantasy owners sorely disappointed in the short term)
Dallas – The Stars only play five games through this next stretch, including the dreaded road back-to-back (against Carolina and Florida), and while their competition isn’t incredible defensively – save for Carolina, the kings of shot suppression – the Stars just don’t have any secondary scoring. Beyond the top line who should be in starting lineups regardless of how many games Dallas plays, there’s just nothing happening from Dallas.
Colorado – With only four games in this period, the Avalanche can safely be ignored – especially with a home/road back-to-back against the Senators making up two of those games. The Senators, a couple games excepted, have been staunch defensively and the Avs don’t have enough firepower to break through #TheSystem. Their other two games also come on a back-to-back, in Philadelphia Saturday night before going to Brooklyn to face the Isles on Sunday.
Ottawa –Ottawa only has three(!) games during this period, obviously with two coming against the Avs in the road/home split and the third at home against Vegas. The Sens top players have been their best players and are clicking tremendously well, but just on volume they should all be ignored even with the relative ease of their matchups.
November 3rd to November 9th |
Best Bets |
EDM 4.2575 – Away NYI NJD- Home NJD DET |
ANH 4.105 – Away SJS – Home NSH LAK VAN |
MTL 4.1 – Away WPG CHI – Home VGK MIN |
VAN 4.0525 – Away CGY ANH- Home PIT DET |
NJD 3.9475 – Away EDM CGY – Home STL EDM |
Steer Clear |
BUF 1.79 – Away DAL – Home WSH |
WPG 1.895 – Away DAL – Home MTL |
COL 1.995 – Away PHI NYI |
FLA 1.995 – Away CAR – Home NYR |
SJS 2.0475 – Away – Home ANH TBL |
November 4th to November 10th |
Best Bets |
TOR 4.1525 – Away STL – Home VGK MIN BOS |
MTL 4.1 – Away WPG CHI – Home VGK MIN |
WSH 4.095 – Away BOS BUF – Home ARI PIT |
VAN 4.0525 – Away CGY ANH – Home PIT DET |
CBJ 3.9525 – Away TBL NYR – Home NSH CAR |
Steer Clear |
SJS 2.0475 – Home ANH TBL |
PHI 2.2575 – Home COL CHI |
OTT 2.3525 – Away COL- Home VGK |
TBL 2.65 – Away SJS LAK – Home CBJ |
CHI 2.7975 – Away MIN PHI – Home MTL |
November 5th to November 11th |
Best Bets |
MTL 4.2575 – Away CHI – Home VGK MIN BUF |
TOR 4.1525 – Away BOS- Home VGK MIN BOS |
NYI 4.105 – Away DAL STL- Home COL EDM |
NJD 4.095 – Away CGY – Home STL EDM FLA |
CBJ 4.095 – Away NYR DET- Home NSH CAR |
Steer Clear |
TBL 1.7575 – Away SJS LAK |
PHI 1.9425 – Away – Home CHI MIN
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LAK 1.9525 – Away ANH – Home TBL |
DAL 2.1525 – Home WPG NYI |
ANH 2.205 – Home LAK VAN |
November 6th to November 12th |
Best Bets |
TOR 4.1525 – Away BOS – Home VGK MIN BOS |
WSH 4.1425 – Away BUF – Home ARI PIT EDM |
CBJ 4.095 – Away NYR DET – Home NSH CAR |
NJD 4.0475 – Away CHI- Home STL EDM FLA |
VAN 4.01 – Away CGY ANH SJS – Home DET |
Steer Clear |
DAL 2.1525 – Home WPG NYI |
COL 1.9 – Away OTT – Home OTT |
OTT 2.3 – Away COL – Home COL |
PHI 1.9425 – Home CHI MIN |
CGY 2.4675 – Home VAN DET |
November 7th to November 13th |
Best Bets |
STL 4.2 – Away NJD CGY- Home ARI NYI |
CAR 3.9575 – Away CBJ – Home FLA CHI DAL |
EDM 3.61 – Away NYI NJD NYR WSH |
NJD 4.0475 – Away CHI – Home STL EDM FLA |
CGY 3.5175 – Home VAN DET STL |
Steer Clear |
DET 1.89 – Away CGY – Home CBJ |
COL 1.9 – Away OTT – Home OTT |
PHI 1.9425 – Home CHI MIN |
VGK 1.9575 – Away MTL – Home WPG |
DAL 2.0475 – Away CAR- Home NYI |
November 8th to November 14th |
Best Bets |
MIN 4.005 – Away TOR MTL PHI – Home PHI |
EDM 3.92 – Away NJD NYR WSH – Home VGK |
WPG 3.34 – Away VGK ARI – Home ARI |
LAK 3.3075 – Home TBL SJS VAN |
STL 3.2025 – Away CGY – Home ARI NYI |
Steer Clear |
DET 1.89 – Away CGY – Home CBJ |
COL 1.9 – Away OTT – Home OTT |
NYI 1.9 – Away DAL STL |
VGK 2.005 – Away EDM- Home WPG |
NYR 2.0475 – Home BOS EDM |
November 9th to November 15th |
Best Bets |
CHI 4.1425 – Away PHI CAR – Home NJD NYR |
EDM 3.92 – Away NJD NYR WSH – Home VGK |
ANH 3.36 – Home VAN TBL BOS |
CGY 3.35 – Away DET- Home DET STL |
WPG 3.34 – Away VGK ARI – Home ARI |
Steer Clear |
NSH 1.785 – Home PIT WSH |
COL 1.9 – Away OTT – Home OTT |
NYI 1.9 – Away DAL STL |
NYR 1.9475 – Away CHI- Home EDM |
TOR 2 – Away BOS – Home BOS |