Looking Ahead: Tanner Pearson Makes a Great Waiver Pickup
Adam Daly-Frey
2017-11-10
All fantasy owners need help in the short term AND the long term. The Looking Ahead feature identifies one player to plug into lineups in the short term, a second to invest in for the long term, a third to bench for the coming week, and a fourth who will struggle to meet expectations for some time. All players discussed are selected based on their upcoming schedule. Stats in this article updated through November 8th
The Immediate Fix (Grab this guy and use him for the next several days)
Tanner Pearson, W, Los Angeles (Available in 93 percent of Yahoo! Leagues) – In 15 games, Pearson has put up 2G-7A-9Pts but more importantly, 41 shots on goal. He’s only shooting 4.9% right now, while his career average is 12.1% playing with essentially the same linemates – Carter out for Kempe is a downgrade, but not as much of one with Carter being the typical triggerman. Playing alongside Toffoli for as long as he has, both at 5v5 and on the Kings’ second power play, the two have great chemistry. As they play with Kempe more, expect that to build and for Pearson’s value to shoot.
The Building Block (Buy now, sit back and enjoy the production)
JT Compher, C, Colorado Avalanche (Available in 99 percent of Yahoo! Leagues) – This is one of those deep B-side cuts from an album no one’s ever heard of, but here’s the thing about Compher: he managed 1G-3A in 8GP with 18SOG and an average ice time of 15:10 before getting hurt. With the departure of Matt Duchene, coach Jared Bednar has already announced that when Compher’s back from injury – which should be this week in Sweden – that Compher will take Duchene’s spot as the 2C. Although playing with Nail Yakupov and Sven Andrighetto isn’t the most appealing from an offensive perspective, they are improvements on his past linemates (Landeskog/Jost), and Compher steps into a few extra minutes of ice time and guaranteed power play work. Compher has the pedigree of a scorer, putting up 30pts in 41 games in his rookie AHL season, as well as 63pts in 38 games for the University of Michigan as a junior.
The Odd Man Out (His short-term value is cause for concern)
Derek Stepan, C, Arizona (Owned in 31 percent of Yahoo! Leagues) – Although the Coyotes have a relatively packed schedule through this stretch (6 games), Stepan has been incredibly disappointing in his first line role for the Desert Dogs. He’s sitting at 2G-5A-7Pts – with only 3PPA – and a paltry 49 shots in 17 games. There are certain things that would point towards keeping him on the roster, like his current career low shooting % and 20 minutes of ice time a night, but his 5v5 shooting is right where last year’s number was (5.71% vs. 5.81%). The main problem is the way he’s used on the power play in Arizona, playing off the high right circle when most of the action comes from Ekman-Larsson on the left point. That cuts Stepan off from easy access to free points on a pretty potent ‘Yotes PP.
The Anchors (They’ll do nothing but disappoint even over the long haul)
The Sedins, C/W, Vancouver (Owned in 10/25 percent of Yahoo! Leagues) – This is a 2-for-1 special for those still clinging to hope out of a redemption season from the Swedish twins. While the Sedins have been creating a ton of offense at 5v5 – they’re on-ice for 40+ SOG/60 – they lack the ice time they both used to get both at even strength and on the power play. They have matching TOI per game (because they’re twins) at a meagre 13:54, just 8:42/game at 5v5; there’s no player in the league – Martin Frk excepted – who will be able to consistently produce with that small amount of ice time. They’ve combined for 4G-9A-13Pts, and a COMBINED 42 shots on goal through 15 games. They should both be 1% owned if that, and if you’re in a league where they’re owned, laugh at that owner.
Love ‘Em (These squads are sure to pay dividends in the coming days)
Edmonton – The Oilers have been struggling to score all season – they’ve only topped three goals twice, and have been below three goals in 10 games. With their soft upcoming schedule and loads of games (seven!), this is a great time to turn the ship around: games against Vegas, the struggling Capitals, Dallas and Detroit are the real highlights in this stretch.
Winnipeg – Winnipeg’s success this year isn’t a surprise to fantasy players who know how good their top-6 scoring is, and with Connor Hellebuyck finally taking the reins they’ve been electric. Unlike the Oilers, they’ve had no trouble scoring: they’ve put up four or more goals in half their games and are yet to be shut out. They get to face Vegas, Arizona (twice!!) and New Jersey as their schedule highlights.
Los Angeles – Although Jeff Carter’s injury should have hurt the Kings, this team hasn’t slowed down, slotting Adrian Kempe into the 2C slot and just rolling. They’re yet to put up less than two goals in a game and have topped 35 shots on goal in seven of 15 games. This upcoming stretch sees them at home for five of six, and although the competition isn’t as appealing as Winnipeg or Edmonton have, they still see the Panthers’ horrific PK, Vegas, and the still banged-up Bruins.
Leave ‘Em (These squads will leave fantasy owners sorely disappointed in the short term)
A quick apology from last week: I totally missed the fact that Colorado/Ottawa’s “home and home” was taking place in Stockholm. Didn’t change their lack of games, but apologies just in case.
Tampa Bay – As the season progresses, there will be stretches that suck for fans of hockey. Tampa Bay only getting four games in this upcoming stretch is one of those times, as they’ve been probably the most fun team in hockey with their top two lines dominating scoresheets. Tampa Bay owners should still roll out their Lightning thanks to how strong they are offensively, but the lack of games will hurt.
Vegas – The Knights have been so, so much better than anyone on this planet expected – except my friend Kyt who’s holding a $200 VGK 200:1 Stanley Cup ticket – but with a weak slate upcoming (five games) that includes only two games at home, they can be pushed aside for now. Since starting 8-1-0 in their first nine (only two on the road), they’ve gone 1-5 in their last six which were all road games. They’re still scoring well, but against the Kings and Ducks they could struggle.
Vancouver – While the Canucks do have six games during this stretch, which is typically more than a Leave ‘Em team would get, they mostly come against very strong defensive teams (except a game against Pittsburgh). They finish a California swing during this period, seeing both the Sharks and Kings, see St. Louis at home, and then face Philadelphia and Pittsburgh in a road back-to-back situation.
November 10th to November 16th |
Best Bets |
WPG 4.495 – Away VGK ARI – Home ARI PHI |
FLA 3.995 – Away BUF NJD SJS- Home DAL |
EDM 3.9725 – Away NYR WSH – Home VGK STL |
DAL 3.9475 – Away CAR FLA TBL- Home NYI |
WSH 3.9375 – Away NSH COL- Home PIT EDM |
Steer Clear |
TBL 1.9525 – Away ANH – Home DAL |
DET 1.995 – Home CBJ CGY |
ANH 2.1 – Home TBL BOS |
CGY 2.1425 – Away DET – Home STL |
NSH 2.5925 – Away MIN- Home PIT WSH |
November 11th to November 17th |
Best Bets |
EDM 3.9725 – Away NYR WSH – Home VGK STL |
WPG 3.355 – Away ARI – Home ARI PHI |
LAK 3.3075 – Home SJS VAN BOS |
MTL 3.2025 – Home BUF CBJ ARI |
MIN 3.1975 – Away PHI – Home PHI NSH |
Steer Clear |
TBL 1.9525 – Away ANH – Home DAL |
VGK 2.0425 – Away EDM VAN |
NYI 2.0525 – Away STL – Home CAR |
TOR 2.0525 – Away BOS – Home NJD |
ANH 2.1 – Home TBL BOS |
November 12th to November 18th |
Best Bets |
LAK 4.3575 – Home SJS VAN BOS FLA |
EDM 4.02 – Away WSH DAL- Home VGK STL |
DAL 3.895 – Away CAR FLA TBL – Home EDM |
WSH 3.885 – Away NSH COL – Home EDM MIN |
WPG 3.4125 – Home ARI PHI NJD |
Steer Clear |
NYR 1.7575 – Away CHI CBJ |
CBJ 1.8525 – Away MTL – Home NYR
📢 advertisement:
|
TOR 1.9575 – Away MTL- Home NJD |
VGK 2.0425 – Away EDM VAN |
NYI 2.0525 – Away TBL- Home CAR |
November 13th to November 19th |
Best Bets |
LAK 4.5 – Away VGK- Home VAN BOS FLA |
CAR 4.095 – Away NYI BUF – Home DAL NYI |
DAL 3.895 – Away CAR FLA TBL – Home EDM |
FLA 3.71 – Away SJS LAK ANH- Home DAL |
DET 3.465 – Home CGY BUF COL |
Steer Clear |
TOR 1.9575 – Away MTL – Home NJD |
CBJ 1.8525 – Away MTL – Home NYR |
ANH 2.1 – Home BOS FLA |
NJD 1.9475 – Away TOR WPG |
SJS 2.1 – Home FLA BOS |
November 14th to November 20th |
Best Bets |
LAK 4.5 – Away VGK – Home VAN BOS FLA |
MIN 4.015 – Away WSH – Home PHI NSH NJD |
WSH 3.99 – Away NSH COL – Home MIN CGY |
WPG 4.315 – Away NSH- Home ARI PHI NJD |
NSH 3.9575 – Away MIN – Home WSH COL WPG |
Steer Clear |
STL 2.0425 – Away EDM VAN |
TBL 2.1 – Away – Home DAL NYI |
BOS 2.66 – Away ANH LAK SJS |
NJD 2.755 – Away TOR WPG MIN |
NYR 2.755 – Away CHI CBJ – Home OTT |
November 15th to November 21st |
Best Bets |
DET 3.465 – Home CGY BUF COL |
PHI 3.36 – Away WPG – Home CGY VAN |
VAN 3.355 – Away PHI- Home VGK STL |
LAK 3.24 – Away VGK – Home BOS FLA |
WPG 3.16 – Away NSH – Home PHI NJD |
Steer Clear |
PIT 1.9525 – Away OTT – Home CHI |
CBJ 2.0425 – Away BUF – Home NYR |
VGK 2.085 – Away VAN – Home LAK |
TBL 2.1 – Home DAL NYI |
BOS 2.66 – Away ANH LAK SJS |
November 16th to November 22nd |
Best Bets |
LAK 4.3425 – Away VGK – Home BOS FLA WPG |
PHI 4.31 – Away WPG NYI- Home CGY VAN |
VAN 4.21 – Away PHI PIT- Home VGK STL |
NYI 4.205 – Away TBL CAR – Home CAR PHI |
SJS 4.1425 – Away ARI- Home FLA BOS ANH |
Steer Clear |
CGY 2.6125 – Away PHI WSH CBJ |
BOS 2.755 – Away LAK SJS NJD |
NYR 2.8025 – Away CBJ CAR- Home OTT |
VGK 2.9875 – Away VAN ANH- Home LAK |
STL 3.04 – Away EDM VAN – Home EDM |