Samuel Girard Offers Upside for the Weeks Ahead
Adam Daly-Frey
2017-11-17
All fantasy owners need help in the short term AND the long term. The Looking Ahead feature identifies one player to plug into lineups in the short term, a second to invest in for the long term, a third to bench for the coming week, and a fourth who will struggle to meet expectations for some time. All players discussed are selected based on their upcoming schedule. Stats in this article updated through November 15th
The Immediate Fix (Grab this guy and use him for the next several days)
Derek Grant, C, Anaheim (Available in 99 percent of Yahoo! Leagues) – With the Ryans Getzlaf and Kesler still out for a while, it’s Derek Grant – of the 80 games played with 0 goals before getting to the Ducks – that reaps the benefits. Grant is centering the top line beside Rickard Rakell and Corey Perry, has a great upcoming schedule, and is picking up peripherals at a decent clip (just under 1HIT/1BLK per game). He’s at 4G-6A on the year in 18 games, but in his last five games he’s grabbed 1G-2A with 8 shots on goal. He’s not the most amazing player by any stretch, but he’s fantasy relevant until the start of December and is an easy pickup.
The Building Block (Buy now, sit back and enjoy the production)
Samuel Girard, D, Colorado Avalanche (Available in 98 percent of Yahoo! Leagues) – The diminutive d-man got a huge boost in value when he got shipped out of Nashville, sliding immediately into the PP1 role as a point-man for the Avs. He saw over 20 minutes of ice time in his first two games with Colorado, picked up an assist, and got two shots on goal. Girard has shown he’s capable of putting up offensive numbers, with 75 points in 59 games his last year of junior (although it was in the Q), and 1G-2A in five games with Nashville. The cost of acquiring him alone should keep him relevant as Colorado looks to validate their Duchene trade, and he should continue in his cushy role for a long time.
The Odd Man Out (His short-term value is cause for concern)
Tuukka Rask, G, Boston (Owned in 90 percent of Yahoo! Leagues) – With Boston having the worst non-Anaheim injury luck, Rask’s numbers this season are understandably disappointing: 12 starts, only three wins, and currently sporting an abysmal 0.897 save percentage. On its own, that wouldn’t be the worst thing given how banged-up Boston has been, but when compared to backup Anton Khudobin’s numbers it paints a bleak picture of Rask’s value: Khudobin has three wins in only five starts, is sitting 0.26 points higher in SV% (0.923). He shouldn’t be shopped when his value is this low, but consider putting Rask on the shelf for now.
The Anchors (They’ll do nothing but disappoint even over the long haul)
Adam Henrique, C, New Jersey (Owned in 15 percent of Yahoo! Leagues) – Although the Devils do have a relatively nice schedule in this upcoming slate of games, the return of one Travis Zajac will demolish any fantasy relevance Adam Henrique has. Given the surprise play of Nico Hischier as an 18-year old, Henrique’s now working third line minutes for the Devils and will be shifted to the second-unit power play. Henrique has only picked up 3G-6A and 31SOG while seeing 18:35 a night, which will soon drop in his new role, and shouldn’t be owned in any format.
Love ‘Em (These squads are sure to pay dividends in the coming days)
Anaheim – Anaheim gets seven games in this stretch, which unfortunately means two back-to-backs (Florida-San Jose home-road, Winnipeg-LA home-road), but this is a great time to deploy the Anaheim d-men that are finally healthy in Sami Vatanen and Hampus Lindholm, and a great time to pick up some of the Ducks’ depth given all their injuries at forward.
New York Islanders – With six games upcoming including a home-road against Philadelphia, Islanders players can be rolled out with no issues. As their secondary scoring has been picking up with Jordan Eberle alongside Mathew Barzal, there’s a lot to like from an Isles team that can almost score at will; their only tough game will come against Ottawa and #TheSystem, but beyond that they have an easy road.
New Jersey –One of the highlights of the Devils’ six games between the 17th and 29th is that they get games against both Winnipeg (13th-worst PK) and Florida (2nd-worst PK), while they sit with the third best power play. They also get games against Vancouver (9th-worst PK) and Detroit, although their game against the Red Wings is on the back half of a home-road b2b.
Leave ‘Em (These squads will leave fantasy owners sorely disappointed in the short term)
Boston – There’s a pretty good team to be made out of all the Bruins’ injured players, and with only five games in this upcoming stretch – at least one (against San Jose) without Brad Marchand – the Bs will be in tough to produce. They do have two games against teams giving up a ton of shots in Pittsburgh and New Jersey, but beyond those games they can be safely ignored.
Vegas – Another team with only five games in this stretch, the Golden Knights are still on their fourth-string goalie (so if you have any Vegas players in +/- leagues…woof) and have a very tough road ahead of them: home-road against LA and Anaheim, then home to San Jose, then off to Arizona, then back home to host Dallas. It’s nonsensical scheduling and very tough matchups both defensively and offensively for Vegas.
St. Louis – The Blues are the last team with just five games in this period, but going in their favour is that four of the five are home games. Unfortunately, that includes games against Nashville, the defensive wall that is Minnesota (back-to-back after Nashville) and then Anaheim. Their opponents over the next little while could shut down the Blues’ big boys, so be wary.
November 17th to November 23rd |
Best Bets |
BUF 3.98 – Away DET – Home CAR CBJ MIN |
DET 3.36 – Home BUF COL EDM |
PHI 3.3125 – Away NYI – Home CGY VAN |
LAK 3.2925 – Away VGK – Home FLA WPG |
NSH 3.255 – Home COL WPG MTL |
Steer Clear |
VGK 1.8475 – Away ANH – Home LAK |
BOS 1.9 – Away SJS NJD |
TBL 2.1 – Home NYI CHI |
STL 2.1375 – Away VAN – Home EDM |
PIT 2.31 – Home CHI VAN |
November 18th to November 24th |
Best Bets |
PHI 4.3625 – Away NYI – Home CGY VAN NYI |
LAK 4.3375 – Away VGK ARI- Home FLA WPG |
ANH 4.315 – Away SJS – Home FLA VGK WPG |
SJS 4.2325 – Away ARI VGK- Home BOS ANH |
NSH 4.205 – Away STL- Home COL WPG MTL |
Steer Clear |
FLA 2.8075 – Away LAK ANH – Home TOR |
BOS 2.845 – Away SJS NJD – Home PIT |
VGK 2.845 – Away ANH – Home LAK SJS |
TBL 2.86 – Away WSH- Home NYI CHI |
MTL 2.9025 – Away DAL NSH – Home TOR |
November 19th to November 25th |
Best Bets |
ANH 5.17 – Away SJS LAK- Home FLA VGK WPG |
MIN 4.305 – Away BUF STL- Home NJD COL |
SJS 4.285 – Away ARI VGK – Home ANH WPG |
LAK 4.285 – Away VGK ARI – Home WPG ANH |
NJD 4.21 – Away MIN DET- Home BOS VAN |
Steer Clear |
BOS 1.9425 – Away NJD – Home PIT |
TBL 2.665 – Away WSH PIT- Home CHI |
STL 2.8875 – Home EDM NSH MIN
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VAN 2.8975 – Away PHI PIT NJD |
NSH 2.9975 – Away STL – Home WPG MTL |
November 20th to November 26th |
Best Bets |
MIN 4.305 – Away BUF STL – Home NJD COL |
SJS 4.285 – Away ARI VGK – Home ANH WPG |
NJD 4.21 – Away MIN DET – Home BOS VAN |
ARI 4.1525 – Away TOR – Home SJS LAK VGK |
ANH 4.12 – Away SJS LAK – Home VGK WPG |
Steer Clear |
TBL 2.665 – Away WSH PIT – Home CHI |
FLA 2.1 – Home TOR CHI |
STL 2.8875 – Home EDM NSH MIN |
OTT 2.6175 – Away WSH CBJ – Home NYI |
BOS 2.94 – Away NJD – Home PIT EDM |
November 21st to November 27th |
Best Bets |
NJD 4.4525 – Away DET – Home BOS VAN FLA |
MIN 4.2 – Away BUF STL WPG- Home COL |
ANH 4.1675 – Away LAK CHI- Home VGK WPG |
PIT 4.415 – Away BOS – Home VAN TBL PHI |
PHI 4.115 – Away NYI PIT- Home VAN NYI |
Steer Clear |
TBL 2.665 – Away WSH PIT – Home CHI |
BUF 2.745 – Away MTL – Home MIN EDM |
TOR 2.7875 – Away FLA CAR – Home WSH |
CGY 2.85 – Away CBJ DAL COL |
STL 2.8875 – Home EDM NSH MIN |
November 22nd to November 28th |
Best Bets |
NYR 4.515 – Away CAR – Home DET VAN FLA |
NJD 4.4525 – Away DET – Home BOS VAN FLA |
PIT 4.415 – Away BOS – Home VAN TBL PHI |
NYI 4.3625 – Away PHI OTT – Home PHI VAN |
SJS 4.3325 – Away ARI VGK PHI- Home WPG |
Steer Clear |
OTT 2.6175 – Away WSH CBJ – Home NYI |
BOS 2.94 – Away NJD – Home PIT EDM |
MTL 2.95 – Away NSH – Home BUF CBJ |
COL 2.96 – Away MIN – Home DAL CGY |
WSH 2.9975 – Away TOR – Home OTT TBL |
November 23rd to November 29th |
Best Bets |
ANH 3.8575 – Away LAK CHI STL- Home WPG |
WPG 3.79 – Away ANH SJS COL- Home MIN |
TBL 3.61 – Away WSH PIT BUF BOS |
NYR 3.5175 – Home DET VAN FLA |
NJD 3.4025 – Away DET – Home VAN FLA |
Steer Clear |
DAL 2.2425 – Away VGK – Home CGY |
OTT 2.7125 – Away CBJ MTL- Home NYI |
TOR 2.835 – Away CAR CGY – Home WSH |
CHI 2.85 – Away FLA NSH – Home ANH |
VAN 2.85 – Away NJD NYR NYI |